The US dollar retreated modestly as June FOMC meeting minutes alleviated concerns about an overly hawkish Federal Reserve stance. The minutes revealed a more balanced approach among policymakers, with several members acknowledging progress on inflation while maintaining data dependency. This tempered tone contrasted with recent hawkish market pricing, prompting a recalibration of rate expectations. Treasury yields pulled back from recent highs, reducing the dollar's yield advantage against major currencies. EUR/USD found support above 1.0800, while GBP/USD stabilized near 1.2700. The minutes suggested the Fed remains patient on policy adjustments, waiting for clearer economic signals before committing to a specific path. Near-term dollar direction will likely depend on upcoming inflation and employment data. Technical indicators show the dollar index testing support at 105.80, with a break below potentially accelerating the correction toward 105.50.
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