USDCHF Neutral

Analysis Price: 0.8390 (Updated: 17 May 2025, 15:39 UTC)

Comprehensive analysis for USDCHF showing neutral market sentiment. Market structure, technical patterns, and key levels examined across multiple timeframes.

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Signal Overview

Neutral Low Confidence High Risk

Market Consensus:

51% Long

49% Short

Valid Timeframes:

M15 H1 H4 D1

Signal Analysis:

The analysis indicates a neutral outlook for USDCHF. Contradicting factors: USD is showing relative strength against CHF (diff: 31%); Technical patterns identified: Bearish Flag (D1). Risk assessment for this trade is high.

Sentiment Analysis

LONG SHORT

62% 38%

Historical Sentiment (7 Days)

Sentiment Interpretation

Bullish sentiment with 62% of traders holding long positions. The market has a positive bias, but watch for signs of exhaustion if this percentage increases further.

Support & Resistance Analysis

Resistance Levels

R1: 0.8476 1.03% ↑

Analysis Price: 0.8390

Support Levels

S1: 0.8326 0.76% ↓

Market Regime:

Uptrend

Analyst Bias:

Unknown

Direction Probability:

65%

Price Position Analysis

Price is between support at 0.8326 (0.76% below analysis price) and resistance at 0.8476 (1.03% above), with slightly closer proximity to support. Watch for bounce confirmation at support or break below.

Chart Pattern Analysis

84%

Double Top

Reliability:

84%

Detected: May 17, 01:25

74%

Morning Star

Reliability:

74%

Detected: May 16, 17:09

Pattern Analysis Interpretation

Mixed pattern signals detected, suggesting conflicting technical factors. The most reliable pattern is a bearish Double Top on the H4 timeframe with 84% historical reliability. This pattern is currently only confirmed on the H4 timeframe.

High Probability Zones

Support Zone

95%

Zone Level:

0.8297

analysis price:

0.8390

Distance:

1.11%

Confluence Factors:

Inverse Head and Shoulders 62% Retracement

Valid on Timeframes:

H1 H4 D1 W1

Resistance Zone

75%

Zone Level:

0.8846

analysis price:

0.8390

Distance:

5.44%

Confluence Factors:

Head and Shoulders 127% Extension

Valid on Timeframes:

H1 H4 D1 W1

High Probability Zones Interpretation

Price is approaching a high probability (95%) support zone at 0.8297, currently 1.11% away. Consider preparing a buy strategy as price approaches this level, watching for confirmation signals.

Multiple high probability zones exist for this pair, indicating a well-structured technical environment with clear levels for trading decisions.

Volatility Analysis

Select Timeframe:

Daily Range (pips):

86.0

Volatility Regime:

Normal

Volatility Level:

71%

10-Day ATR Trend

Volatility Interpretation (H1)

USDCHF is showing normal volatility (71 percentile) with an expected daily range of 86.0 pips. This represents average market conditions conducive to standard trading strategies. Standard position sizing and stop loss parameters are appropriate.

Correlation Analysis

Top Correlations with USDCHF

AUDCHF

0.90

EURUSD

-0.87

GBPUSD

-0.86

GBPCHF

0.85

CADCHF

0.85

Correlation Interpretation

Understanding how USDCHF correlates with other pairs can help with portfolio diversification and risk management. Strong positive correlations (above 0.7) indicate pairs that move similarly, while strong negative correlations (below -0.7) show pairs that typically move in opposite directions.

USDCHF shows strong positive correlation with: AUDCHF, GBPCHF, CADCHF. This means these pairs tend to move in the same direction. Trading in the same direction on multiple correlated pairs increases portfolio risk, while finding divergences between correlated pairs can highlight potential reversal opportunities.

USDCHF shows strong negative correlation with: EURUSD, GBPUSD. This means these pairs tend to move in opposite directions. Negatively correlated pairs can be useful for hedging strategies or to confirm signals (a buy signal in one pair would be supported by a sell signal in the negatively correlated pair).

Currency Strength Analysis

Select Timeframe:

USD

0.09

Neutral

CHF

0.02

Neutral

Relative Strength:

0.07

Neutral Bias

Currency Strength Interpretation (M15)

USD and CHF show similar strength levels on the M15 timeframe, with a relative strength of 0.07. This indicates a neutral bias for USDCHF and suggests range-bound trading conditions may be more likely.

How to Use This Analysis

This comprehensive analysis provides multiple perspectives on USDCHF to help inform your trading decisions:

Sentiment Analysis: Use to understand market positioning and potential contrarian opportunities
Support & Resistance: Identify key price levels for setting stop losses and take profits
Pattern Analysis: Recognize technical formations that may indicate continuation or reversal
Volatility Analysis: Adjust position sizing and risk management based on current market conditions
Currency Strength: Compare the relative performance of individual currencies within the pair
Correlation Analysis: Understand how this pair moves in relation to others for portfolio diversification

For optimal results, consider how these different factors align. The strongest trading opportunities typically occur when multiple analytical tools show confirmation across different timeframes.