USDCHF Bullish

Analysis Price: 0.7940 (Updated: 16 November 2025, 16:41 UTC)

Comprehensive analysis for USDCHF showing a predominantly bullish bias with 72% bullish consensus based on combined analytical factors. Market structure, technical patterns, and key levels examined across multiple timeframes.

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Signal Overview

Bullish High Confidence Medium Risk

Market Consensus:

72% Long

28% Short

Valid Timeframes:

M15 H1 H4 D1

Signal Analysis:

The analysis indicates a high confidence bullish bias for USDCHF (signal strength: 43%). Supporting factors include: Retail sentiment is 82% bullish; USD is showing relative strength against CHF (diff: 34%). Risk assessment for this trade is medium. This signal is most valid on the M15, H1, H4, D1 timeframes.

Sentiment Analysis

LONG SHORT

82% 18%

Historical Sentiment (7 Days)

Sentiment Interpretation

Extremely bullish sentiment with 82% of traders holding long positions. This extreme positioning could indicate a potential contrarian short opportunity as the market may be overcrowded.

Support & Resistance Analysis

Resistance Levels

R1: 0.7948 0.10% ↑

Analysis Price: 0.7940

Support Levels

S1: 0.7878 0.78% ↓

Market Regime:

Downtrend

Analyst Bias:

Unknown

Direction Probability:

75%

Price Position Analysis

Price is currently near resistance at 0.7948 (0.10% above analysis price) with support at 0.7878 (0.78% below). This position near resistance could present a potential selling opportunity with a favorable risk-reward ratio.

Chart Pattern Analysis

93%

Ascending Triangle

Reliability:

93%

Detected: Nov 15, 21:37

77%

Evening Star

Reliability:

77%

Detected: Nov 16, 13:00

Pattern Analysis Interpretation

Mixed pattern signals detected, suggesting conflicting technical factors. The most reliable pattern is a bullish Ascending Triangle on the D1 timeframe with 93% historical reliability. This pattern is currently only confirmed on the D1 timeframe.

High Probability Zones

Resistance Zone

95%

Zone Level:

0.8000

analysis price:

0.7940

Distance:

0.76%

Confluence Factors:

Head and Shoulders 50% Retracement

Valid on Timeframes:

H1 H4 D1 W1

Support Zone

95%

Zone Level:

0.7931

analysis price:

0.7940

Distance:

0.11%

Confluence Factors:

Inverse Head and Shoulders 79% Retracement

Valid on Timeframes:

H1 H4 D1 W1

Resistance Zone

75%

Zone Level:

0.8437

analysis price:

0.7940

Distance:

6.26%

Confluence Factors:

Double Top 127% Extension Volume Spike

Valid on Timeframes:

H1 H4 D1 W1

High Probability Zones Interpretation

Price is approaching a high probability (95%) resistance zone at 0.8000, currently 0.76% away. Consider preparing a sell strategy as price approaches this level, watching for confirmation signals.

Multiple high probability zones exist for this pair, indicating a well-structured technical environment with clear levels for trading decisions.

Volatility Analysis

Select Timeframe:

Daily Range (pips):

46.0

Volatility Regime:

Normal

Volatility Level:

28%

10-Day ATR Trend

Volatility Interpretation (H1)

USDCHF is showing normal volatility (28 percentile) with an expected daily range of 46.0 pips. This represents average market conditions conducive to standard trading strategies. Standard position sizing and stop loss parameters are appropriate.

Correlation Analysis

Top Correlations with USDCHF

USDCAD

0.83

CADCHF

0.80

CHFJPY

-0.76

AUDCHF

0.75

GBPUSD

-0.73

Correlation Interpretation

Understanding how USDCHF correlates with other pairs can help with portfolio diversification and risk management. Strong positive correlations (above 0.7) indicate pairs that move similarly, while strong negative correlations (below -0.7) show pairs that typically move in opposite directions.

USDCHF shows strong positive correlation with: USDCAD, CADCHF, AUDCHF. This means these pairs tend to move in the same direction. Trading in the same direction on multiple correlated pairs increases portfolio risk, while finding divergences between correlated pairs can highlight potential reversal opportunities.

USDCHF shows strong negative correlation with: CHFJPY, GBPUSD. This means these pairs tend to move in opposite directions. Negatively correlated pairs can be useful for hedging strategies or to confirm signals (a buy signal in one pair would be supported by a sell signal in the negatively correlated pair).

Currency Strength Analysis

Select Timeframe:

USD

0.81

Very-strong

CHF

0.69

Strong

Relative Strength:

0.12

Neutral Bias

Currency Strength Interpretation (M15)

USD and CHF show similar strength levels on the M15 timeframe, with a relative strength of 0.12. This indicates a neutral bias for USDCHF and suggests range-bound trading conditions may be more likely.

How to Use This Analysis

This comprehensive analysis provides multiple perspectives on USDCHF to help inform your trading decisions:

Sentiment Analysis: Use to understand market positioning and potential contrarian opportunities
Support & Resistance: Identify key price levels for setting stop losses and take profits
Pattern Analysis: Recognize technical formations that may indicate continuation or reversal
Volatility Analysis: Adjust position sizing and risk management based on current market conditions
Currency Strength: Compare the relative performance of individual currencies within the pair
Correlation Analysis: Understand how this pair moves in relation to others for portfolio diversification

For optimal results, consider how these different factors align. The strongest trading opportunities typically occur when multiple analytical tools show confirmation across different timeframes.