The US dollar is weakening against commodity currencies and gold as uncertainty grows around the timing of Fed rate cuts. AUD/USD has climbed 0.5% to 0.6780, USD/CAD fell 0.3% to 1.3420, and gold prices rose 0.6% to $1,975/oz. Recent disappointing US data, including higher initial jobless claims (242K vs. 235K expected) and a miss on the Philly Fed Manufacturing Index (-10.4 vs. -5.0 expected), have cast doubts on the strength of the US economy and the Fed's rate path. USD/JPY has slipped 0.2% to 138.80. Traders should monitor upcoming Fed speakers for hints on the rate outlook and watch key support/resistance levels: AUD/USD (0.6800), USD/CAD (1.3400), and gold ($1,985). A more dovish Fed tone could further pressure the dollar.
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