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Daily Forex Forecast

Every night our AI builds a trade plan for every market that offers one — entry, stop, two targets, with the reward-to-risk and what the plan is worth on average per unit risked in plain sight; pairs it reads as directionless get a range instead. Then the market judges it: every plan is checked against real candles and published again, win or lose. And the rollover hour, when spreads blow out and stops get hit for nothing, stays outside the plan on purpose.

Forecast generated: Thursday, 01 October 2026 Forecast for: Friday, 02 October 2026 Plan window: Thu 23:00 – Fri 20:00 UTC Stop hit on about 2 in 10 plans · verified record

This forecast's trading window has ended (at 20:00 UTC). Its orders should no longer be placed — the plans below stay up for the record until the next forecast is published, about two and a half hours after the window closes.

Market Overview - Next 24 Hours

Reading guide: This overview provides a general outlook of market conditions expected for the next 24 hours of trading. It describes the overall sentiment of forex markets, the expected volatility level, key events to monitor, and the currency pairs presenting the best trading opportunities according to our artificial intelligence.

General Outlook

The US dollar ended September near its high for the year as US 10-year yields climbed to their highest level since 2007. Meanwhile the euro, the Australian dollar and especially the New Zealand dollar kept falling. Today's plans stay out of every dollar pair and gold because the US payrolls report is due at 08:30 New York time. Instead, the plans use cross pairs to express three themes: a firmer yen against the euro and the Australian and New Zealand dollars, a weaker New Zealand and Australian dollar against sterling and the Canadian dollar, and a softer euro.

Volatility Forecast

High

Key Events to Monitor

  • USD Non-Farm Employment Change, Unemployment Rate and Average Hourly Earnings at 08:30 NY: all USD pairs and XAUUSD neutral
  • EUR CPI Flash Estimate y/y and Core CPI Flash at 05:00 NY (forecast 3.7%, previous 3.3%): squeeze risk for the euro shorts in EURJPY and EURCAD
  • JPY Tokyo Core CPI y/y at 19:30 NY Thursday (forecast 2.4%, previous 1.8%): a hot print would support the long-yen plans as Japan's PM vows to restore confidence in the yen
  • CNY bank holiday: thinner Asian liquidity for AUD and NZD while US yields at 2007 highs keep the dollar bid

Best Opportunities

GBPAUD Bullish
AUDJPY Bearish
GBPNZD Bullish

Top 3 Trading Opportunities

Trading with these forecasts: The Top 3 are the pairs the model singles out as the best of the session, kept only when what the plan is worth — the odds of the target, the reward-to-risk and the share of plans that run out of time, read together — is positive; if fewer than three clear that bar, the list is shorter — sometimes empty. Each forecast carries an entry, a stop loss and two targets, so the whole plan is on the table before you decide. No plan is published below 1:1: if no real level on the chart offers at least as much reward as risk, the pair is published as Neutral instead. The whole chain is ours — our AI generates the plan, our own geometry rules validate every level server-side, and our verification republishes the outcome win or lose — and the same feed powers the MT5 Trade Panel. On the verified record when these plans were written (277 filled plans), 10% hit the target, 22% hit the stop and 68% timed out at the window close: that is the mix behind the expected result shown on each plan.

GBPAUD

Bullish Medium Confidence
R/R 1:1.78

Expected result +0.09 × your risk estimate

Stop hit 13:04 UTC
Entry Point 1.90320 Buy limit
Stop Loss 1.89850 (47.0 pips)
Conservative Target 1.91157 (83.7 pips)
Optimal Target 1.91910 (159.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.91157 1.91910 1.92601
Support: 1.90238 1.90071 1.89590

Rationale

The breakout above the September range holds, with higher lows every session since 22 September. The plan buys a dip toward 1.90238 with a 0.5 ATR volatility stop below 1.90071, expressing AUD weakness without dollar exposure on payrolls day.

AUDJPY

Bearish Medium Confidence
R/R 1:1.78

Expected result +0.09 × your risk estimate

Window closed, entry filled, -0.3R
Entry Point 109.650 Sell limit
Stop Loss 110.180 (53.0 pips)
Conservative Target 108.708 (94.2 pips)
Optimal Target 108.000 (165.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 110.110 110.890 111.650
Support: 109.235 108.708 108.000

Rationale

Lower closes and retail 64% long favour selling a bounce under the 110.11 hammer high, with the stop just above it. A hot Tokyo Core CPI at 19:30 NY and Japan's pledge to support the yen back the yen leg, while the China holiday thins Asian liquidity.

GBPNZD

Bullish Medium Confidence
R/R 1:1.22

Expected result +0.09 × your risk estimate

Window closed, entry filled, +0.6R
Entry Point 2.35400 Buy limit
Stop Loss 2.34740 (66.0 pips)
Conservative Target 2.36208 (80.8 pips)
Optimal Target 2.37000 (160.0 pips)

Key Levels

Resistance: 2.36208 2.37000
Support: 2.35182 2.34165 2.33445

Rationale

The impulse is strong, retail is 74% short and the kiwi keeps falling despite RBNZ hike bets. The plan buys a shallow dip with a 0.5 ATR volatility stop below the 2.35182 low, but RSI at 70 tempers the odds.

These plans can go straight onto your chart. The Trade Panel EA reads this same forecast inside MetaTrader 5 — entry, stop and both targets — and prefills the pending order at the published price, so the trade you place is the one measured on this page. The Chart Panel, new in 1.8, draws the plan on the chart of that market, with stop and target you can drag. It is available now — one license covers both panels. New to trade panels? How an MT5 trade panel places these plans.

Discover the Trade Panel EA

Complete Forecasts

Using the forecast table: This table shows forecasts for all major forex pairs. Use the filter controls to focus on specific directions (bullish, bearish, neutral) or confidence levels. Each forecast includes the expected direction, entry levels, stop loss and targets, the reward-to-risk ratio and the expected result it is worth per unit of risk. Click on a row to view additional details for that currency pair.

Pair Direction Confidence Analysis Price Entry Stop Loss Target Expected result Risk:Reward

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Analysis Price 1.90442
Entry Point 1.90320
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 1.89850
Conservative Target 1.91157
Risk:Reward 1:1.78
Optimal Target 1.91910
Stop Loss Distance 47.0 pips
Target Distance 83.7 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.91157 1.91910 1.92601
Support: 1.90238 1.90071 1.89590

Rationale

The breakout above the September range holds, with higher lows every session since 22 September. The plan buys a dip toward 1.90238 with a 0.5 ATR volatility stop below 1.90071, expressing AUD weakness without dollar exposure on payrolls day.

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Analysis Price 2.35553
Entry Point 2.35400
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 2.34740
Conservative Target 2.36208
Risk:Reward 1:1.22
Optimal Target 2.37000
Stop Loss Distance 66.0 pips
Target Distance 80.8 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 2.36208 2.37000
Support: 2.35182 2.34165 2.33445

Rationale

The impulse is strong, retail is 74% short and the kiwi keeps falling despite RBNZ hike bets. The plan buys a shallow dip with a 0.5 ATR volatility stop below the 2.35182 low, but RSI at 70 tempers the odds.

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Analysis Price 109.544
Entry Point 109.650
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 110.180
Conservative Target 108.708
Risk:Reward 1:1.78
Optimal Target 108.000
Stop Loss Distance 53.0 pips
Target Distance 94.2 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 110.110 110.890 111.650
Support: 109.235 108.708 108.000

Rationale

Lower closes and retail 64% long favour selling a bounce under the 110.11 hammer high, with the stop just above it. A hot Tokyo Core CPI at 19:30 NY and Japan's pledge to support the yen back the yen leg, while the China holiday thins Asian liquidity.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 177.794
Entry Point 177.950
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 178.650
Conservative Target 176.771
Risk:Reward 1:1.68
Optimal Target 176.000
Stop Loss Distance 70.0 pips
Target Distance 117.9 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 178.576 179.313 179.540
Support: 176.771 176.000

Rationale

Lower highs and a fresh 176.771 low favour selling a bounce under 178.576, with the stop just above it; this is part of the long-yen theme with AUDJPY and NZDJPY. Confidence is low because the euro CPI flash at 05:00 NY could squeeze the euro, although hotter national prints failed to lift it this week.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 1.59898
Entry Point 1.59970
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 1.60390
Conservative Target 1.59500
Risk:Reward 1:1.12
Optimal Target 1.59000
Stop Loss Distance 42.0 pips
Target Distance 47.0 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.60010 1.60340 1.61047
Support: 1.59778 1.59500 1.59000

Rationale

The break below the 1.6000 range floor, with retail 77% long, favours selling a retest under 1.6001, with the stop above 1.6034. The entry is shallow after a close near the low, and confidence is low because of the 05:00 NY euro CPI flash.

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Analysis Price 88.592
Entry Point 88.680
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 89.130
Conservative Target 88.119
Risk:Reward 1:1.25
Optimal Target 88.000
Stop Loss Distance 45.0 pips
Target Distance 56.1 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 89.072 89.515 90.545
Support: 88.119 88.000 87.500

Rationale

The broken 88.96 base, a fresh low and retail 78% long favour selling a bounce below 89.072, aiming to retest 88.119. Oversold RSI at 28 and a turning MACD histogram cap the odds, while Tokyo CPI at 19:30 NY is a yen-supportive risk.

Forecast Details

Confidence Medium
Analysis Price 0.98535
Entry Point 0.98610
Order Type Sell limit
Stop Loss 0.98900
Conservative Target 0.98198
Risk:Reward 1:1.42
Optimal Target 0.98052
Stop Loss Distance 29.0 pips
Target Distance 41.2 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.98843 0.99068 0.99257
Support: 0.98425 0.98198 0.98052

Rationale

Lower highs since 1.00127 and MACD below zero favour selling a bounce under the 0.98843 pivot, with the stop above it. This is part of the short-AUD theme with AUDJPY and GBPAUD, and retail at 50/50 adds no signal.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 1.23664
Entry Point 1.23580
Order Type Buy limit
Stop Loss 1.23120
Conservative Target 1.24376
Risk:Reward 1:1.73
Optimal Target 1.24910
Stop Loss Distance 46.0 pips
Target Distance 79.6 pips

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.23773 1.24376 1.24910
Support: 1.23569 1.23185 1.22781

Rationale

A double bottom at 1.23185 with retail 67% short supports buying a dip, with the stop below that floor. This keeps the short-NZD theme while offsetting some AUD-short exposure; confidence is low in a range.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 1.12457
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.13300 1.13800 1.14357
Support: 1.12150 1.12000

Rationale

US Non-Farm Payrolls, Unemployment Rate and Average Hourly Earnings at 08:30 NY rule out a directional plan despite the bearish trend. RSI at 18.5 also leaves the pair stretched going into the release.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 1.31945
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.32730 1.33110 1.33480
Support: 1.31808 1.31500

Rationale

US Non-Farm Payrolls at 08:30 NY: no directional plan. The test of 1.31808 is left until after the release.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 158.102
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 158.452 159.033 159.780
Support: 158.026 157.240 156.380

Rationale

US Non-Farm Payrolls at 08:30 NY: no directional plan. Japan's PM has vowed to restore confidence in the yen, so buying toward 159-160 also carries intervention risk.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 0.83091
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.83590 0.83826 0.84000
Support: 0.82920 0.82710 0.82290

Rationale

US Non-Farm Payrolls at 08:30 NY: no directional plan. The 1 October rejection from 0.83826 had already clouded the long bias.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 0.69303
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.69602 0.69950 0.70240
Support: 0.69223 0.69097 0.69000

Rationale

US Non-Farm Payrolls at 08:30 NY: no directional plan. The short-AUD theme is carried by AUDJPY, AUDCAD and GBPAUD instead.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 1.42217
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.42628 1.43000
Support: 1.42000 1.41550 1.41320

Rationale

US Non-Farm Payrolls at 08:30 NY: no directional plan. RSI at 75 is overbought going into the release.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 0.56021
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.56374 0.56770 0.56872
Support: 0.56000 0.55934 0.55750

Rationale

US Non-Farm Payrolls at 08:30 NY: no directional plan. The short-NZD theme is carried by NZDJPY, GBPNZD and AUDNZD.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 0.85196
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.85474 0.85530 0.85831
Support: 0.85085 0.85000 0.84549

Rationale

Redundant with the short-EUR plans in EURJPY and EURCAD. A stop above 0.85474 leaves 0.8500 short of a 1:1 target, and the euro CPI flash at 05:00 NY adds risk.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 0.93423
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.93493 0.93730 0.93942
Support: 0.93240 0.93073 0.92757

Rationale

The breakdown is valid, but this is redundant with the short-EUR plans in EURJPY and EURCAD. A third euro short ahead of the 05:00 NY CPI flash would stack one risk.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 1.62284
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.62523 1.63383 1.64130
Support: 1.62120 1.61616 1.60819

Rationale

The failed test of the September highs left flat momentum and a neutral bias, so there is no edge. The euro CPI flash at 05:00 NY adds noise.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 2.00688
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 2.01300 2.01652 2.02000
Support: 2.00260 2.00000 1.99403

Rationale

Buying the euro would cut against the short-EUR plans. The short-NZD theme is already carried by GBPNZD, NZDJPY and AUDNZD.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 208.641
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 209.999 210.898 211.283
Support: 207.871 207.592 207.200

Rationale

The pair is boxed in a month-long range with split momentum and a neutral bias. There is no edge.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 1.09643
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.09674 1.10059 1.10667
Support: 1.09519 1.09364 1.09136

Rationale

The failed break of 1.1105 left price in the middle of its range, with RSI 48 and MACD on its signal line. There is no direction to trade.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 1.87691
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 1.87854 1.88522 1.88943
Support: 1.87611 1.87445 1.87127

Rationale

After rejecting 1.88943 the pair sits mid-range, with RSI near 50 and MACD at zero. There is no trend to trade.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 111.165
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 111.303 111.520 112.591
Support: 110.803 110.549 110.170

Rationale

A range regime with MACD flat on its signal gives a weak edge. The long-yen theme is already carried by EURJPY, AUDJPY and NZDJPY.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 190.282
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 190.425 191.936 192.488
Support: 189.087 188.464 187.606

Rationale

The pair has a neutral bias inside the 187.6-192.5 range, with retail leaning long against the 1 October rally. There is no edge.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 0.57574
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.57810 0.57910 0.58229
Support: 0.57333 0.57000 0.56687

Rationale

This low-confidence range break is redundant with the short-AUD plans in AUDJPY, AUDCAD and GBPAUD.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 0.46566
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.46727 0.47086 0.47241
Support: 0.46500 0.46474

Rationale

With a stop above 0.46727, no listed support offers a 1:1 target. It is also redundant with the short-NZD plans in NZDJPY, GBPNZD and AUDNZD.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 0.79690
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.79840 0.80260 0.80401
Support: 0.79662 0.79500

Rationale

A stop above 0.7984 leaves only 0.7950 as a target, barely at 1:1. It is redundant with the short-NZD plans in NZDJPY, GBPNZD and AUDNZD.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 0.58434
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 0.58644 0.58805 0.59078
Support: 0.58294 0.58226 0.57862

Rationale

The pair is rotating inside its monthly range with flat momentum and a neutral bias. There is no edge.

Forecast Details

Confidence Low
Analysis Price 4178.33
Entry Point —
Order Type —
Stop Loss —
Conservative Target —
Risk:Reward —
Optimal Target —
Stop Loss Distance —
Target Distance —

Key Levels

Resistance: 4193.02 4219.36 4244.30
Support: 4139.33 4110.88 4020.65

Rationale

US Non-Farm Payrolls at 08:30 NY: USD events count for gold, so there is no directional plan. Price is consolidating between 4110 and 4219 into the release.

Expected result is in R — multiples of what the plan risks. +0.20R on a $100 risk means about $20 back, on average over a long run of plans like it — an estimate, not a result.

Verified record

The three we pick

+$7 average per $100 risked

61 of 93 picks filled, over 31 verified days · target hit 18%

Every plan on the board

−$5 average per $100 risked

277 plans over 31 verified days · target hit 10%

31 verified days is a short record, and neither number is proof yet. On 61 picks the honest range around the +$7 runs from −$12 to +$27 — wide enough to include zero. We publish both figures as they grow, win or lose.

How solid is this, exactly?

What the two numbers are. The board is the whole sheet, all 29 markets, and it includes every plan that did not clear the bar for the Top 3. The Top 3 are the ones declared the evening before, when the forecast is published — not picked afterwards: every one of them is in the dated archive, so you can check any past day yourself. Of 93 picks published, 61 were actually filled; the rest never reached their entry price and are excluded, here as everywhere else.

Why the sample is weaker than the count suggests. 17 of the 61 picks lost the full $100, against 37 that closed above zero — the shape of the record so far. One session accounts for 67% of the Top 3 result, and 25 of the 61 picks were the same underlying bet (long AUD) expressed on different pairs, so they are fewer independent outcomes than they look. The board figure carries its own range, −$13 to +$4, which also includes zero.

What this sample cannot show. That the picks beat the board, and that either of them makes money over time. What it does show is the method: every plan checked against the real candles of its day and republished, whatever it did.

How the 277 plans of the board ended (19 Aug – 30 Sep 2026)

  • Target hit 10% (28)
  • Stop hit 22% (62)
  • Timed out 68% (187)

Every plan is checked against the real market candles of its target day. “Timed out” means the order was still open at the end of the day and is counted at its closing price — not as a loss. 142 plans never reached the entry price, so they are excluded.

See the full breakdown
31% Win rate 28 of 90 plans closed at target or stop
-0.05R Actual average result what the plans really returned, per traded plan, risking the same amount on every one
+0.09R Timed-out average how those 187 orders ended, on average

A high win rate alone doesn’t mean profit: what matters is how much each win and each loss is worth. That is what the number at the top measures.

Win rate by direction

Bullish

25%
14 of 57 plans

Bearish

42%
14 of 33 plans

Win rate by pair

PairWin ratePlans
GBPJPY
75%
3 / 4
AUDCHF
50%
3 / 6
USDCAD
50%
2 / 4
NZDCAD
50%
2 / 4
EURCHF
38%
3 / 8
AUDJPY
33%
1 / 3
GBPUSD
33%
1 / 3
CHFJPY
33%
1 / 3
AUDUSD
33%
2 / 6
EURNZD
25%
1 / 4
EURUSD
25%
1 / 4
USDCHF
25%
1 / 4
USDJPY
25%
1 / 4
NZDUSD
25%
1 / 4
NZDCHF
0%
0 / 3
GBPNZD
0%
0 / 3
EURGBP
0%
0 / 3
GBPCAD
0%
0 / 3

What each outcome means

Target hit
Price reached the conservative target without touching the stop first, and the minute-by-minute prices of our data feed (bid and ask, the sides a real order fills and closes on) confirm it happened after the order filled; where a day has no complete minute record, the hourly candles take over. A price printed before the entry was reached does not count: there was no position to close.
Stop hit
Price reached the stop before the target. Counts as a loss. When a day touched both levels, the minute prices say which one came first (the hourly candles where the minute record is incomplete) — and a stop can only be hit after the entry filled, never before. In the rare event that both land inside the same minute, the tie goes to the loss.
Timed out
The order was still open when the day ended: it is closed at that day's closing price, so the result can be slightly positive or slightly negative. Not a loss.
Not filled
Price never reached the entry, so the order would never have opened. Excluded from every rate — counting it either way would be inventing a trade that did not exist.
Range held / Range broken
Only for neutral calls, where the forecast says a pair has no direction and publishes no trade. We check whether the day closed inside the levels we published: held if it did, broken if it did not. Neither counts in the statistics, because there was no order to place.

The Result column is in R, multiples of what that plan put at risk: +1.50R means one and a half times the risk, −1R is a full stop loss. It is the same unit as the headline above, which is simply the average R turned into dollars.

Day by day

30 Sep 2026 2 target · 0 stop · 2 timed out $100 → $177
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
USDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDUSD Neutral Range Range held –
EURGBP Neutral Range Range broken –
EURJPY Neutral Range Range held –
EURCHF Bullish 0.94530 → 0.94767 Target hit +1.25R
EURAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURNZD Bullish 2.00950 → 2.02000 Timed out +0.16R
GBPJPY Bearish 208.260 → 207.103 Target hit +1.45R
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPNZD Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
CADJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDJPY Bearish 88.790 → 88.000 Timed out +0.25R
CHFJPY Bearish 188.780 → 187.841 Not filled –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
NZDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
CADCHF Neutral Range Range held –
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range held –
29 Sep 2026 1 target · 0 stop · 3 timed out $100 → $107
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
USDCHF Bullish 0.83130 → 0.83500 Not filled –
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCAD Bullish 1.41670 → 1.42388 Not filled –
NZDUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURGBP Neutral Range Range held –
EURJPY Neutral Range Range held –
EURCHF Bullish 0.94530 → 0.94767 Timed out +0.14R
EURAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCAD Neutral Range Range held –
EURNZD Bullish 2.00350 → 2.01232 Target hit +1.47R
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range held –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range held –
GBPAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCAD Bullish 1.87780 → 1.88293 Timed out -0.39R
GBPNZD Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
CADJPY Bearish 111.170 → 110.549 Not filled –
NZDJPY Bearish 89.330 → 88.685 Not filled –
CHFJPY Bearish 189.500 → 188.464 Not filled –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
CADCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
XAUUSD Bearish 4125.00 → 4020.65 Timed out -0.95R
28 Sep 2026 1 target · 2 stop · 3 timed out $100 → $91
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Bearish 1.13965 → 1.13593 Not filled –
GBPUSD Bearish 1.32510 → 1.32094 Timed out -0.01R
USDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
USDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCAD Bullish 1.41360 → 1.42000 Not filled –
NZDUSD Neutral Range Range held –
EURGBP Neutral Range Range broken –
EURJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
EURAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCAD Neutral Range Range held –
EURNZD Bullish 2.01100 → 2.02000 Stop hit -1.00R
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range held –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPNZD Neutral Range Range held –
AUDJPY Bearish 110.570 → 110.029 Target hit +1.23R
CADJPY Bearish 111.310 → 110.549 Timed out +0.42R
NZDJPY Bearish 89.140 → 88.500 Timed out -0.17R
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDCHF Bearish 0.46945 → 0.46727 Stop hit -1.00R
NZDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
CADCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
XAUUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
25 Sep 2026 0 target · 1 stop · 3 timed out $100 → $85
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Bearish 1.13830 → 1.13500 Stop hit -1.00R
GBPUSD Neutral Range Range held –
USDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCHF Bullish 0.82720 → 0.83000 Timed out +0.49R
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDUSD Neutral Range Range held –
EURGBP Neutral Range Range held –
EURJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCHF Bullish 0.94130 → 0.94353 Not filled –
EURAUD Neutral Range Range held –
EURCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURNZD Bullish 2.00640 → 2.01372 Not filled –
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPAUD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPNZD Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
CADJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDJPY Bearish 90.130 → 89.498 Not filled –
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range held –
NZDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
NZDCAD Bearish 0.80130 → 0.79803 Timed out -0.03R
CADCHF Neutral Range Range held –
XAUUSD Bearish 4288.00 → 4234.83 Timed out -0.07R
24 Sep 2026 0 target · 0 stop · 5 timed out $100 → $157
PairDirectionEntry → TargetOutcomeResult
EURUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPUSD Bearish 1.32480 → 1.32000 Timed out +0.72R
USDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
USDCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
AUDUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
USDCAD Bullish 1.41000 → 1.41500 Timed out +0.88R
NZDUSD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURGBP Neutral Range Range broken –
EURJPY Neutral Range Range held –
EURCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
EURAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
EURCAD Neutral Range Range held –
EURNZD Bullish 2.00450 → 2.01162 Timed out +0.98R
GBPJPY Neutral Range Range held –
GBPCHF Neutral Range Range held –
GBPAUD Neutral Range Range broken –
GBPCAD Neutral Range Range held –
GBPNZD Neutral Range Range held –
AUDJPY Neutral Range Range held –
CADJPY Neutral Range Range held –
NZDJPY Bearish 89.900 → 89.267 Timed out -0.05R
CHFJPY Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
AUDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
AUDNZD Neutral Range Range broken –
NZDCHF Neutral Range Range held –
NZDCAD Neutral Range Range held –
CADCHF Neutral Range Range broken –
XAUUSD Bearish 4300.00 → 4200.00 Timed out +0.35R

Forecast Methodology

How We Generate Forecasts

Our daily forex forecasts combine technical analysis, sentiment data, algorithmic indicators and artificial intelligence to write one tradable plan per market for the next session — and only where the levels allow one. What each plan is worth is stated as an expected result, and how the plans actually ended is published below.

The forecasting process is structured in four main phases:

  1. Data Collection: We aggregate market data from reliable specialized providers, along with historical data for analysis.
  2. Technical Analysis: We calculate key indicators such as RSI, MACD and ATR and identify significant support and resistance levels on the daily candles.
  3. AI Integration: Our artificial intelligence model reads all of those factors together and writes the plan: entry, stop and two targets, with the levels it is built on.
  4. Verification: every forecast is checked against the real market candles of its target day — target reached, stop hit, still open at the close, or entry never touched — and the full record is published on this page, win or lose.

Since August 2026 the model also receives the week's economic calendar: since 16 September 2026 a pair with a high-impact release on either of its currencies inside the plan window gets no directional plan at all (on the verified record those plans lost 0.35R per filled plan and were stopped half of the time, against a small gain and one stop in six for the rest), medium-impact releases are weighed as gap risk, and the events considered are recorded with each forecast. Since September 2026 it also reads the last 48 hours of our forex news feed and runs a few web searches for the day's macro context (central-bank expectations, intervention warnings, risk events), and the plans are treated as one book: at most three directional plans per currency, the rest set to neutral, so that one adverse headline cannot stop twenty plans that were really a single trade.

Forecasts are generated at 18:30 New York time, ninety minutes after the daily rollover, and cover the trading day that has just opened. Each plan is meant to run until 16:00 New York, an hour before the next rollover: that hour is left out on purpose, because spreads widen so much that a stop can be hit without the market ever moving there. The verification uses the same window.

How to Use These Forecasts

Forecast Components

  • Direction: The expected price orientation (Bullish, Bearish, Neutral) for the next 24 hours
  • Entry Point: The price the order waits for. Every plan is a limit order — a buy limit for a long, a sell limit for a short — so the entry is a pullback from the price at the time the plan was written, and the numbers above hold whenever you place it.
  • Stop Loss: The level to limit losses if the market moves contrary to the forecast
  • Targets: Two price objectives — a conservative one, which is the first real level worth at least as much as the plan risks, and an optimal one further out
  • Expected Result: What one plan is worth for every unit of risk, over a long run of plans like it — the single number that summarises the plan. Risk $100 on each and +0.20R means about $20 back on average per plan, −0.05R about $5 lost. It weighs three outcomes, not two: the target is reached, the stop is reached, or the order is still open when the window closes and is counted at its closing price — that last case is the majority, and the rate it is priced at comes from the verified record below, not from an assumption. Only plans with a positive expected result, and with target odds above the no-edge baseline, are promoted to the Top 3; when fewer than three clear the bar, the Top 3 is shorter, or empty
  • Target odds: the model's chance that the conservative target is hit before the stop and before the window closes, once the order fills. It is not shown next to each plan: with three possible outcomes a plan with no edge at all already sits at the no-edge baseline for a 1:1 plan is about 16%, not 50%, so the raw figure means nothing without that baseline printed beside it. The expected result carries the baseline inside, and the rates actually measured on the record are published below. Since 22 September 2026 the odds behind the expected result give the model's declared edge over that baseline only 50% credit: on the verified record the edges the model declared had not materialised, so the published expected result is computed from the credited odds, and the model's raw figure is kept in the data as model_probability
  • Risk/Reward Ratio: What the plan stands to make against what it risks. Never below 1:1 — a plan that risks more than it can win needs to be right most of the time just to break even

Trading Implementation

  • Read the expected result, not the reward-to-risk alone: a wide target that is rarely reached can be worth less than a near one, and the expected result is the number that already weighs the two together
  • Always use the indicated stop losses to manage risk
  • Consider taking partial profit at the conservative target
  • Adjust position size based on expected volatility
  • Monitor key support and resistance levels for potential deviations
  • Use these forecasts as part of a complete trading strategy, not as the sole decision source

Important: A positive expected result is an estimate over many plans, not a promise about the next one, and no forecast here guarantees future results. These are statistical tools based on historical patterns and current market conditions. Always use appropriate risk management and consider these forecasts as valuable inputs for your trading decisions, not as automatic instructions.

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Background reading

From our blog, on what this page measures.

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