GBPJPY Neutral

Analysis Price: 203.48 (Updated: 16 November 2025, 16:41 UTC)

Comprehensive analysis for GBPJPY showing neutral market bias. Market structure, technical patterns, and key levels examined across multiple timeframes.

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Signal Overview

Neutral Medium Confidence High Risk

Market Consensus:

43% Long

57% Short

Valid Timeframes:

M15 H1 H4 D1

Signal Analysis:

The analysis indicates a neutral outlook for GBPJPY. Supporting factors include: The relative strength between GBP and JPY is balanced; Technical patterns identified: Doji (D1). Contradicting factors: Retail sentiment is 67% bearish. Risk assessment for this trade is high. This signal is most valid on the M15, H1, H4, D1 timeframes.

Sentiment Analysis

LONG SHORT

33% 67%

Historical Sentiment (7 Days)

Sentiment Interpretation

Bearish sentiment with 67% of traders holding short positions. The market has a negative bias, but watch for signs of exhaustion if this percentage increases further.

Support & Resistance Analysis

Resistance Levels

R1: 204.07 0.29% ↑

Analysis Price: 203.48

Support Levels

S1: 202.35 0.56% ↓

Market Regime:

Uptrend

Analyst Bias:

Unknown

Direction Probability:

75%

Price Position Analysis

Price is between support at 202.35 (0.56% below analysis price) and resistance at 204.07 (0.29% above), with slightly closer proximity to resistance. Watch for rejection confirmation at resistance or break above.

Chart Pattern Analysis

81%

Double Top

Reliability:

81%

Detected: Nov 16, 06:23

61%

Doji

Reliability:

61%

Detected: Nov 16, 00:30

60%

Shooting Star

Reliability:

60%

Detected: Nov 16, 06:49

Pattern Analysis Interpretation

Predominantly bearish patterns detected across timeframes, suggesting downward pressure. The most reliable pattern is a bearish Double Top on the H4 timeframe with 81% historical reliability. Multiple timeframes showing pattern confirmation increases the reliability of the signal.

High Probability Zones

Resistance Zone

95%

Zone Level:

205.00

analysis price:

203.48

Distance:

0.75%

Confluence Factors:

Evening Star 161.8% Extension Volume Spike

Valid on Timeframes:

H1 H4 D1 W1

High Probability Zones Interpretation

Price is approaching a high probability (95%) resistance zone at 205.00, currently 0.75% away. Consider preparing a sell strategy as price approaches this level, watching for confirmation signals.

Volatility Analysis

Select Timeframe:

Daily Range (pips):

0.8

Volatility Regime:

Normal

Volatility Level:

65%

10-Day ATR Trend

Volatility Interpretation (H1)

GBPJPY is showing normal volatility (65 percentile) with an expected daily range of 0.8 pips. This represents average market conditions conducive to standard trading strategies. Standard position sizing and stop loss parameters are appropriate.

Correlation Analysis

Top Correlations with GBPJPY

EURJPY

0.90

GBPNZD

0.89

GBPUSD

0.82

EURGBP

-0.80

CADJPY

0.80

Correlation Interpretation

Understanding how GBPJPY correlates with other pairs can help with portfolio diversification and risk management. Strong positive correlations (above 0.7) indicate pairs that move similarly, while strong negative correlations (below -0.7) show pairs that typically move in opposite directions.

GBPJPY shows strong positive correlation with: EURJPY, GBPNZD, GBPUSD, CADJPY. This means these pairs tend to move in the same direction. Trading in the same direction on multiple correlated pairs increases portfolio risk, while finding divergences between correlated pairs can highlight potential reversal opportunities.

GBPJPY shows strong negative correlation with: EURGBP. This means these pairs tend to move in opposite directions. Negatively correlated pairs can be useful for hedging strategies or to confirm signals (a buy signal in one pair would be supported by a sell signal in the negatively correlated pair).

Currency Strength Analysis

Select Timeframe:

GBP

-0.48

Weak

JPY

-0.69

Weak

Relative Strength:

0.21

Neutral Bias

Currency Strength Interpretation (M15)

GBP is moderately stronger than JPY on the M15 timeframe, with a relative strength of 0.21. This suggests a mild bullish bias for GBPJPY. Monitor for additional confirmation signals before entering a long position.

How to Use This Analysis

This comprehensive analysis provides multiple perspectives on GBPJPY to help inform your trading decisions:

Sentiment Analysis: Use to understand market positioning and potential contrarian opportunities
Support & Resistance: Identify key price levels for setting stop losses and take profits
Pattern Analysis: Recognize technical formations that may indicate continuation or reversal
Volatility Analysis: Adjust position sizing and risk management based on current market conditions
Currency Strength: Compare the relative performance of individual currencies within the pair
Correlation Analysis: Understand how this pair moves in relation to others for portfolio diversification

For optimal results, consider how these different factors align. The strongest trading opportunities typically occur when multiple analytical tools show confirmation across different timeframes.