GBPJPY Bullish

Analysis Price: 210.98 (Updated: 31 December 2025, 23:21 UTC)

Comprehensive analysis for GBPJPY showing a predominantly bullish bias with 67% bullish consensus based on combined analytical factors. Raw trader sentiment shows 34% long, 66% short. Market structure, technical patterns, and key levels examined across multiple timeframes.

Select Currency Pair

Signal Overview

Bullish Medium Confidence Medium Risk

Market Consensus:

67% Long

33% Short

Valid Timeframes:

M15 H1 H4 D1

Signal Analysis:

The analysis indicates a medium confidence bullish bias for GBPJPY (signal strength: 33%). Supporting factors include: High probability (95%) support zone detected at 209. Contradicting factors: GBP is showing relative weakness against JPY (diff: 52%); Retail sentiment is 63% bearish. Risk assessment for this trade is medium. This signal is most valid on the M15, H1, H4, D1 timeframes.

Sentiment Analysis

Note: The sentiment chart below shows actual trader positioning data (34% long / 66% short). The overall bullish bias (67%) mentioned in the page header represents our analytical consensus based on combined technical factors beyond raw sentiment.

LONG SHORT

34% 66%

Historical Sentiment (7 Days)

Sentiment Interpretation

Bearish sentiment with 66% of traders holding short positions. The market has a negative bias, but watch for signs of exhaustion if this percentage increases further.

Support & Resistance Analysis

Resistance Levels

R1: 211.60 0.29% ↑

Analysis Price: 210.98

Support Levels

S1: 210.26 0.34% ↓

Market Regime:

Range

Analyst Bias:

Unknown

Direction Probability:

65%

Price Position Analysis

Price is between support at 210.26 (0.34% below analysis price) and resistance at 211.60 (0.29% above), with slightly closer proximity to resistance. Watch for rejection confirmation at resistance or break above.

Chart Pattern Analysis

86%

Symmetric Triangle

Reliability:

86%

Detected: Dec 31, 18:03

Pattern Analysis Interpretation

Predominantly neutral patterns detected, suggesting a potential consolidation phase. The most reliable pattern is a neutral Symmetric Triangle on the H4 timeframe with 86% historical reliability. This pattern is currently only confirmed on the H4 timeframe.

High Probability Zones

No high probability zones detected for GBPJPY at this time.

Volatility Analysis

Select Timeframe:

Daily Range (pips):

0.7

Volatility Regime:

Normal

Volatility Level:

50%

10-Day ATR Trend

Volatility Interpretation (H1)

GBPJPY is showing normal volatility (50 percentile) with an expected daily range of 0.7 pips. This represents average market conditions conducive to standard trading strategies. Standard position sizing and stop loss parameters are appropriate.

Correlation Analysis

Top Correlations with GBPJPY

EURGBP

-0.87

CADJPY

0.85

GBPCAD

0.84

GBPAUD

0.83

CHFJPY

0.83

Correlation Interpretation

Understanding how GBPJPY correlates with other pairs can help with portfolio diversification and risk management. Strong positive correlations (above 0.7) indicate pairs that move similarly, while strong negative correlations (below -0.7) show pairs that typically move in opposite directions.

GBPJPY shows strong positive correlation with: CADJPY, GBPCAD, GBPAUD, CHFJPY. This means these pairs tend to move in the same direction. Trading in the same direction on multiple correlated pairs increases portfolio risk, while finding divergences between correlated pairs can highlight potential reversal opportunities.

GBPJPY shows strong negative correlation with: EURGBP. This means these pairs tend to move in opposite directions. Negatively correlated pairs can be useful for hedging strategies or to confirm signals (a buy signal in one pair would be supported by a sell signal in the negatively correlated pair).

Currency Strength Analysis

Select Timeframe:

GBP

-0.27

Neutral

JPY

-0.56

Weak

Relative Strength:

0.29

Neutral Bias

Currency Strength Interpretation (M15)

GBP is moderately stronger than JPY on the M15 timeframe, with a relative strength of 0.29. This suggests a mild bullish bias for GBPJPY. Monitor for additional confirmation signals before entering a long position.

How to Use This Analysis

This comprehensive analysis provides multiple perspectives on GBPJPY to help inform your trading decisions:

Sentiment Analysis: Use to understand market positioning and potential contrarian opportunities
Support & Resistance: Identify key price levels for setting stop losses and take profits
Pattern Analysis: Recognize technical formations that may indicate continuation or reversal
Volatility Analysis: Adjust position sizing and risk management based on current market conditions
Currency Strength: Compare the relative performance of individual currencies within the pair
Correlation Analysis: Understand how this pair moves in relation to others for portfolio diversification

For optimal results, consider how these different factors align. The strongest trading opportunities typically occur when multiple analytical tools show confirmation across different timeframes.