USD/JPY has retreated 0.8% (120 pips) to 149.20 following renewed verbal intervention from Japanese officials, with Finance Minister warning of potential market action to curb excessive yen weakness. The pair had approached the psychologically important 150 level, prompting concerns about official intervention similar to actions taken in late 2024. Market positioning data shows speculative long positions in USD/JPY near multi-year highs, increasing vulnerability to sharp reversals. The Bank of Japan maintains its ultra-loose monetary policy stance, though Governor Ueda hinted at potential policy adjustments if inflation sustainably reaches the 2% target. Technical indicators suggest the pair faces strong resistance at 150.50, with immediate support at 148.80 (50-day moving average). Traders are closely monitoring Japanese officials' rhetoric, as actual intervention could trigger a swift move toward 147.00, while absence of action might embolden bulls to test 151.00.
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