NZDJPY Bearish

Analysis Price: 90.56 (Updated: 31 December 2025, 03:18 UTC)

Comprehensive analysis for NZDJPY showing a predominantly bearish bias with 62% bearish consensus based on combined analytical factors. Market structure, technical patterns, and key levels examined across multiple timeframes.

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Signal Overview

Bearish Medium Confidence High Risk

Market Consensus:

38% Long

62% Short

Valid Timeframes:

M15 H1 H4 D1

Signal Analysis:

The analysis indicates a medium confidence bearish bias for NZDJPY (signal strength: 23%). Supporting factors include: Retail sentiment is 66% bearish; Technical patterns identified: Shooting Star (H1). Risk assessment for this trade is high. This signal is most valid on the M15, H1, H4, D1 timeframes.

Sentiment Analysis

LONG SHORT

34% 66%

Historical Sentiment (7 Days)

Sentiment Interpretation

Bearish sentiment with 66% of traders holding short positions. The market has a negative bias, but watch for signs of exhaustion if this percentage increases further.

Support & Resistance Analysis

Resistance Levels

R1: 91.38 0.91% ↑

Analysis Price: 90.56

Support Levels

S1: 90.39 0.19% ↓

Market Regime:

Range

Analyst Bias:

Unknown

Direction Probability:

60%

Price Position Analysis

Price is currently near support at 90.39 (0.19% below analysis price) with resistance at 91.38 (0.91% above). This position near support could present a potential buying opportunity with a favorable risk-reward ratio.

Chart Pattern Analysis

No chart patterns detected for NZDJPY at this time.

High Probability Zones

No high probability zones detected for NZDJPY at this time.

Volatility Analysis

Select Timeframe:

Daily Range (pips):

0.4

Volatility Regime:

Normal

Volatility Level:

50%

10-Day ATR Trend

Volatility Interpretation (H1)

NZDJPY is showing normal volatility (50 percentile) with an expected daily range of 0.4 pips. This represents average market conditions conducive to standard trading strategies. Standard position sizing and stop loss parameters are appropriate.

Correlation Analysis

Top Correlations with NZDJPY

AUDJPY

0.90

GBPJPY

0.85

NZDCAD

0.80

NZDUSD

0.77

CHFJPY

0.77

Correlation Interpretation

Understanding how NZDJPY correlates with other pairs can help with portfolio diversification and risk management. Strong positive correlations (above 0.7) indicate pairs that move similarly, while strong negative correlations (below -0.7) show pairs that typically move in opposite directions.

NZDJPY shows strong positive correlation with: AUDJPY, GBPJPY, NZDCAD, NZDUSD, CHFJPY. This means these pairs tend to move in the same direction. Trading in the same direction on multiple correlated pairs increases portfolio risk, while finding divergences between correlated pairs can highlight potential reversal opportunities.

Currency Strength Analysis

Select Timeframe:

NZD

0.63

Strong

JPY

-0.23

Neutral

Relative Strength:

0.86

Bullish Bias

Currency Strength Interpretation (M15)

NZD is significantly stronger than JPY on the M15 timeframe, with a relative strength of 0.86. This suggests a strong bullish bias for NZDJPY. However, this bias is primarily driven by the strength of NZD.

How to Use This Analysis

This comprehensive analysis provides multiple perspectives on NZDJPY to help inform your trading decisions:

Sentiment Analysis: Use to understand market positioning and potential contrarian opportunities
Support & Resistance: Identify key price levels for setting stop losses and take profits
Pattern Analysis: Recognize technical formations that may indicate continuation or reversal
Volatility Analysis: Adjust position sizing and risk management based on current market conditions
Currency Strength: Compare the relative performance of individual currencies within the pair
Correlation Analysis: Understand how this pair moves in relation to others for portfolio diversification

For optimal results, consider how these different factors align. The strongest trading opportunities typically occur when multiple analytical tools show confirmation across different timeframes.