NZDJPY Bullish

Analysis Price: 87.78 (Updated: 15 November 2025, 20:40 UTC)

Comprehensive analysis for NZDJPY showing a predominantly bullish bias with 70% bullish consensus based on combined analytical factors. Raw trader sentiment shows 32% long, 68% short. Market structure, technical patterns, and key levels examined across multiple timeframes.

Select Currency Pair

Signal Overview

Bullish Medium Confidence Medium Risk

Market Consensus:

70% Long

30% Short

Valid Timeframes:

M15 H1 H4 D1

Signal Analysis:

The analysis indicates a medium confidence bullish bias for NZDJPY (signal strength: 41%). Supporting factors include: High probability (95%) support zone detected at 87.5; Technical patterns identified: Ascending Triangle (D1). Contradicting factors: NZD is showing relative weakness against JPY (diff: 54%); Retail sentiment is 68% bearish. Risk assessment for this trade is medium. This signal is most valid on the M15, H1, H4, D1 timeframes.

Sentiment Analysis

Note: The sentiment chart below shows actual trader positioning data (32% long / 68% short). The overall bullish bias (70%) mentioned in the page header represents our analytical consensus based on combined technical factors beyond raw sentiment.

LONG SHORT

32% 68%

Historical Sentiment (7 Days)

Sentiment Interpretation

Bearish sentiment with 68% of traders holding short positions. The market has a negative bias, but watch for signs of exhaustion if this percentage increases further.

Support & Resistance Analysis

Resistance Levels

R1: 88.05 0.31% ↑

Analysis Price: 87.78

Support Levels

S1: 86.60 1.34% ↓

Market Regime:

Range

Analyst Bias:

Unknown

Direction Probability:

60%

Price Position Analysis

Price is currently near resistance at 88.05 (0.31% above analysis price) with support at 86.60 (1.34% below). This position near resistance could present a potential selling opportunity with a favorable risk-reward ratio.

Chart Pattern Analysis

95%

Bullish Flag

Reliability:

95%

Detected: Nov 15, 19:22

72%

Bullish Rectangle

Reliability:

72%

Detected: Nov 15, 22:03

Pattern Analysis Interpretation

Predominantly bullish patterns detected across timeframes, suggesting upward momentum. The most reliable pattern is a bullish Bullish Flag on the H4 timeframe with 95% historical reliability. Multiple timeframes showing pattern confirmation increases the reliability of the signal.

High Probability Zones

Support Zone

90%

Zone Level:

86.00

analysis price:

87.78

Distance:

2.03%

Confluence Factors:

Inverse Head and Shoulders 161.8% Extension

Valid on Timeframes:

H1 H4 D1 W1

Support Zone

83%

Zone Level:

86.35

analysis price:

87.78

Distance:

1.63%

Confluence Factors:

Double Bottom 79% Retracement Volume Spike

Valid on Timeframes:

H1 H4 D1 W1

High Probability Zones Interpretation

A high probability (90%) support zone exists at 86.00, currently 2.03% away from price. Keep this level on watch for potential future buying opportunities if price moves lower.

Multiple high probability zones exist for this pair, indicating a well-structured technical environment with clear levels for trading decisions.

Volatility Analysis

Select Timeframe:

Daily Range (pips):

1.0

Volatility Regime:

High

Volatility Level:

77%

10-Day ATR Trend

Volatility Interpretation (H1)

NZDJPY is experiencing high volatility (77 percentile) with an expected daily range of 1.0 pips. This above-average movement creates trading opportunities but requires careful risk management. Consider slightly wider stop losses and moderate position sizing.

Correlation Analysis

Top Correlations with NZDJPY

AUDNZD

-0.90

NZDUSD

0.89

NZDCAD

0.86

USDJPY

0.83

GBPNZD

-0.83

Correlation Interpretation

Understanding how NZDJPY correlates with other pairs can help with portfolio diversification and risk management. Strong positive correlations (above 0.7) indicate pairs that move similarly, while strong negative correlations (below -0.7) show pairs that typically move in opposite directions.

NZDJPY shows strong positive correlation with: NZDUSD, NZDCAD, USDJPY. This means these pairs tend to move in the same direction. Trading in the same direction on multiple correlated pairs increases portfolio risk, while finding divergences between correlated pairs can highlight potential reversal opportunities.

NZDJPY shows strong negative correlation with: AUDNZD, GBPNZD. This means these pairs tend to move in opposite directions. Negatively correlated pairs can be useful for hedging strategies or to confirm signals (a buy signal in one pair would be supported by a sell signal in the negatively correlated pair).

Currency Strength Analysis

Select Timeframe:

NZD

0.24

Neutral

JPY

0.69

Strong

Relative Strength:

-0.45

Bearish Bias

Currency Strength Interpretation (M15)

JPY is moderately stronger than NZD on the M15 timeframe, with a relative strength of -0.45. This suggests a mild bearish bias for NZDJPY. Monitor for additional confirmation signals before entering a short position.

How to Use This Analysis

This comprehensive analysis provides multiple perspectives on NZDJPY to help inform your trading decisions:

Sentiment Analysis: Use to understand market positioning and potential contrarian opportunities
Support & Resistance: Identify key price levels for setting stop losses and take profits
Pattern Analysis: Recognize technical formations that may indicate continuation or reversal
Volatility Analysis: Adjust position sizing and risk management based on current market conditions
Currency Strength: Compare the relative performance of individual currencies within the pair
Correlation Analysis: Understand how this pair moves in relation to others for portfolio diversification

For optimal results, consider how these different factors align. The strongest trading opportunities typically occur when multiple analytical tools show confirmation across different timeframes.