AUDJPY Neutral

Analysis Price: 94.44 (Updated: 2 July 2025, 05:11 UTC)

Comprehensive analysis for AUDJPY showing neutral market bias. Market structure, technical patterns, and key levels examined across multiple timeframes.

Select Currency Pair

Signal Overview

Neutral Low Confidence High Risk

Market Consensus:

50% Long

50% Short

Valid Timeframes:

M15 H1 H4 D1

Signal Analysis:

The analysis indicates a neutral outlook for AUDJPY. Supporting factors include: The relative strength between AUD and JPY is balanced. Contradicting factors: Retail sentiment is 56% bullish; Technical patterns identified: Bearish Engulfing (H1). Risk assessment for this trade is high.

Sentiment Analysis

LONG SHORT

56% 44%

Historical Sentiment (7 Days)

Sentiment Interpretation

Neutral sentiment with a balanced distribution between long and short positions. This suggests indecision in the market, which could precede a significant move once a clear direction emerges.

Support & Resistance Analysis

Resistance Levels

R1: 94.89 0.47% ↑

Analysis Price: 94.44

Support Levels

S1: 93.85 0.63% ↓

Market Regime:

Range

Analyst Bias:

Unknown

Direction Probability:

50%

Price Position Analysis

Price is between support at 93.85 (0.63% below analysis price) and resistance at 94.89 (0.47% above), with slightly closer proximity to resistance. Watch for rejection confirmation at resistance or break above.

Chart Pattern Analysis

89%

Rectangle

Reliability:

89%

Detected: Jul 1, 17:13

57%

Bearish Engulfing

Reliability:

57%

Detected: Jul 1, 12:00

Pattern Analysis Interpretation

Mixed pattern signals detected, suggesting conflicting technical factors. The most reliable pattern is a neutral Rectangle on the H1 timeframe with 89% historical reliability. This pattern is currently only confirmed on the H1 timeframe.

High Probability Zones

Support Zone

76%

Zone Level:

91.00

analysis price:

94.44

Distance:

3.65%

Confluence Factors:

Double Bottom 38.2% Retracement

Valid on Timeframes:

H1 H4 D1 W1

High Probability Zones Interpretation

A high probability (76%) support zone exists at 91.00, currently 3.65% away from price. Keep this level on watch for potential future buying opportunities if price moves lower.

Volatility Analysis

Select Timeframe:

Daily Range (pips):

0.8

Volatility Regime:

Low

Volatility Level:

10-Day ATR Trend

Volatility Interpretation (H1)

AUDJPY is exhibiting low volatility (7 percentile) with an expected daily range of just 0.8 pips. This reduced movement typically indicates consolidation or indecision in the market. Consider tighter stop losses but be aware that breakout potential increases after periods of low volatility.

Correlation Analysis

Top Correlations with AUDJPY

CADJPY

0.89

EURAUD

-0.85

CHFJPY

0.85

AUDNZD

0.85

NZDJPY

0.82

Correlation Interpretation

Understanding how AUDJPY correlates with other pairs can help with portfolio diversification and risk management. Strong positive correlations (above 0.7) indicate pairs that move similarly, while strong negative correlations (below -0.7) show pairs that typically move in opposite directions.

AUDJPY shows strong positive correlation with: CADJPY, CHFJPY, AUDNZD, NZDJPY. This means these pairs tend to move in the same direction. Trading in the same direction on multiple correlated pairs increases portfolio risk, while finding divergences between correlated pairs can highlight potential reversal opportunities.

AUDJPY shows strong negative correlation with: EURAUD. This means these pairs tend to move in opposite directions. Negatively correlated pairs can be useful for hedging strategies or to confirm signals (a buy signal in one pair would be supported by a sell signal in the negatively correlated pair).

Currency Strength Analysis

Select Timeframe:

AUD

-0.05

Neutral

JPY

-0.74

Very-weak

Relative Strength:

0.69

Bullish Bias

Currency Strength Interpretation (M15)

AUD is significantly stronger than JPY on the M15 timeframe, with a relative strength of 0.69. This suggests a strong bullish bias for AUDJPY. However, this bias is primarily driven by the weakness of JPY.

How to Use This Analysis

This comprehensive analysis provides multiple perspectives on AUDJPY to help inform your trading decisions:

Sentiment Analysis: Use to understand market positioning and potential contrarian opportunities
Support & Resistance: Identify key price levels for setting stop losses and take profits
Pattern Analysis: Recognize technical formations that may indicate continuation or reversal
Volatility Analysis: Adjust position sizing and risk management based on current market conditions
Currency Strength: Compare the relative performance of individual currencies within the pair
Correlation Analysis: Understand how this pair moves in relation to others for portfolio diversification

For optimal results, consider how these different factors align. The strongest trading opportunities typically occur when multiple analytical tools show confirmation across different timeframes.