AUDJPY Neutral

Analysis Price: 108.60 (Updated: 16 February 2026, 22:23 UTC)

Comprehensive analysis for AUDJPY showing neutral market bias. Market structure, technical patterns, and key levels examined across multiple timeframes.

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Signal Overview

Neutral Medium Confidence High Risk

Market Consensus:

45% Long

55% Short

Valid Timeframes:

M15 H1 H4 D1

Signal Analysis:

The analysis indicates a neutral outlook for AUDJPY. Supporting factors include: The relative strength between AUD and JPY is balanced; Technical patterns identified: Doji (D1). Contradicting factors: Retail sentiment is 63% bearish. Risk assessment for this trade is high. This signal is most valid on the M15, H1, H4, D1 timeframes.

Sentiment Analysis

LONG SHORT

40% 60%

Historical Sentiment (7 Days)

Sentiment Interpretation

Bearish sentiment with 60% of traders holding short positions. The market has a negative bias, but watch for signs of exhaustion if this percentage increases further.

Support & Resistance Analysis

Resistance Levels

R1: 110.79 2.02% ↑

Analysis Price: 108.60

Support Levels

S1: 107.98 0.57% ↓

Market Regime:

Downtrend

Analyst Bias:

Unknown

Direction Probability:

70%

Price Position Analysis

Price is currently near support at 107.98 (0.57% below analysis price) with resistance at 110.79 (2.02% above). This position near support could present a potential buying opportunity with a favorable risk-reward ratio.

Chart Pattern Analysis

56%

Ascending Triangle

Reliability:

56%

Detected: Feb 16, 18:04

54%

Doji

Reliability:

54%

Detected: Feb 16, 11:03

54%

Symmetric Triangle

Reliability:

54%

Detected: Feb 16, 18:43

Pattern Analysis Interpretation

Predominantly neutral patterns detected, suggesting a potential consolidation phase. The most reliable pattern is a bullish Ascending Triangle on the H1 timeframe with 56% historical reliability. Multiple timeframes showing pattern confirmation increases the reliability of the signal.

High Probability Zones

Resistance Zone

95%

Zone Level:

108.88

analysis price:

108.60

Distance:

0.25%

Confluence Factors:

Head and Shoulders 62% Retracement Volume Spike

Valid on Timeframes:

H1 H4 D1 W1

Support Zone

95%

Zone Level:

108.00

analysis price:

108.60

Distance:

0.56%

Confluence Factors:

Hammer 38.2% Retracement

Valid on Timeframes:

H1 H4 D1 W1

Resistance Zone

88%

Zone Level:

111.00

analysis price:

108.60

Distance:

2.21%

Confluence Factors:

Head and Shoulders 127.2% Extension Volume Spike

Valid on Timeframes:

H1 H4 D1 W1

High Probability Zones Interpretation

Price is extremely close to a high probability (95%) resistance zone at 108.88. This presents a potential selling opportunity with stop loss slightly above the zone. Multiple confluence factors strengthen this level's significance.

Multiple high probability zones exist for this pair, indicating a well-structured technical environment with clear levels for trading decisions.

Volatility Analysis

Select Timeframe:

Daily Range (pips):

0.8

Volatility Regime:

Low

Volatility Level:

14%

10-Day ATR Trend

Volatility Interpretation (H1)

AUDJPY is exhibiting low volatility (14 percentile) with an expected daily range of just 0.8 pips. This reduced movement typically indicates consolidation or indecision in the market. Consider tighter stop losses but be aware that breakout potential increases after periods of low volatility.

Correlation Analysis

Top Correlations with AUDJPY

USDJPY

0.89

EURJPY

0.88

AUDUSD

0.85

EURAUD

-0.84

GBPJPY

0.73

Correlation Interpretation

Understanding how AUDJPY correlates with other pairs can help with portfolio diversification and risk management. Strong positive correlations (above 0.7) indicate pairs that move similarly, while strong negative correlations (below -0.7) show pairs that typically move in opposite directions.

AUDJPY shows strong positive correlation with: USDJPY, EURJPY, AUDUSD, GBPJPY. This means these pairs tend to move in the same direction. Trading in the same direction on multiple correlated pairs increases portfolio risk, while finding divergences between correlated pairs can highlight potential reversal opportunities.

AUDJPY shows strong negative correlation with: EURAUD. This means these pairs tend to move in opposite directions. Negatively correlated pairs can be useful for hedging strategies or to confirm signals (a buy signal in one pair would be supported by a sell signal in the negatively correlated pair).

Currency Strength Analysis

Select Timeframe:

AUD

0.70

Very-strong

JPY

0.70

Very-strong

Relative Strength:

0.00

Neutral Bias

Currency Strength Interpretation (M15)

AUD and JPY show similar strength levels on the M15 timeframe, with a relative strength of 0.00. This indicates a neutral bias for AUDJPY and suggests range-bound trading conditions may be more likely.

How to Use This Analysis

This comprehensive analysis provides multiple perspectives on AUDJPY to help inform your trading decisions:

Sentiment Analysis: Use to understand market positioning and potential contrarian opportunities
Support & Resistance: Identify key price levels for setting stop losses and take profits
Pattern Analysis: Recognize technical formations that may indicate continuation or reversal
Volatility Analysis: Adjust position sizing and risk management based on current market conditions
Currency Strength: Compare the relative performance of individual currencies within the pair
Correlation Analysis: Understand how this pair moves in relation to others for portfolio diversification

For optimal results, consider how these different factors align. The strongest trading opportunities typically occur when multiple analytical tools show confirmation across different timeframes.