The Signal Overview at the top weighs five of the readings above into one score, and the setups worth acting on are the ones where the factors that voted agree. Every pair ranked: Signals. Today's plans: Daily Forecast.
AUDJPY Neutral
Analysis Price: 112.590 (Updated: 4 September 2026, 21:26 UTC)
Comprehensive analysis for AUDJPY showing neutral market bias. Market structure, technical patterns, and key levels examined across multiple timeframes.
View AUDJPY sentiment overview
AI analyst comment
AUDJPY fell from 114.962 to 111.699 in three sessions, then recovered half of Thursday's candle to close at 112.555 - the strongest bounce in the JPY complex, reflecting the Aussie's own bid. RSI at 43.7 and a MACD line still positive at +0.185 despite a -0.129 histogram describe a trend under stress, not yet reversed. Retail at 49/51 is perfectly split, offering no contrarian read. The 112.474/112.630 pivots frame the decision: above 113.578 the uptrend resumes, below 111.857 the JPY bid dominates again.
Signal Overview
Neutral
Low Confidence
Medium Volatility
Signal Balance:
49% Long
51% Short
Signal strength
3%
Factors are split
no clear majority
Factor detail
Strength
26%
Patterns
23%
HP Zones
52%
Sentiment
retail book too balanced to count (49% long)
—
S/R
price sits mid-range, no lean
—
Signal Analysis:
The analysis indicates a neutral outlook for AUDJPY. Supporting factors include: High probability (70%) support zone detected at 112.474; Retail positioning is not one-sided enough to count (49% long, 51% short). Contradicting factors: AUD is showing relative weakness against JPY (diff: 26%). Volatility on this pair is currently medium.
AI Daily Forecast
NO PLAN The AI reads AUDJPY as directionless for this session, so it publishes no entry, stop or target.
MACD is still marginally positive and retail is balanced, so conviction is low, and the pair pits the long-AUD theme against the long-JPY theme. Neutral by design.
Not the Signal Overview above: that signal is a score refreshed every three hours and always present, while this plan is written once a night, for one session, and only where the AI sees an edge. Any figure it quotes is the one it had at that moment. The full board.
Sentiment Analysis
LONG
SHORT
49%
51%
Historical Sentiment
Sentiment Interpretation
Neutral sentiment with a balanced distribution between long and short positions. This suggests indecision in the market, which could precede a significant move once a clear direction emerges.
Support & Resistance Analysis
Analysis Price:
112.590
Resistance Levels
R1:
112.630
0.04%
↑
R2:
112.784
0.17%
↑
R3:
113.578
0.88%
↑
R4:
114.163
1.40%
↑
Support Levels
S1:
112.474
0.10%
↓
S2:
112.206
0.34%
↓
S3:
111.857
0.65%
↓
S4:
111.198
1.24%
↓
Market Regime:
Volatile
AI Bias:
Neutral
Direction Probability:
53%
Price Position Analysis
Price is currently near resistance at 112.630 (0.04% above analysis price) with support at 112.474 (0.10% below). This position near resistance could present a potential selling opportunity with a favorable risk-reward ratio.
Chart Pattern Analysis
D1
78%
Three Black Crows
Reliability:
Detected: Sep 3, 00:00 · last closed bar
H1
63%
Bullish Engulfing
Reliability:
Detected: Sep 4, 18:00 · 2 H1 bars ago
H1
78%
Three White Soldiers
Reliability:
Detected: Sep 4, 15:00 · 5 H1 bars ago · fading
H1
74%
Morning Star
Reliability:
Detected: Sep 4, 14:00 · 6 H1 bars ago · fading
Pattern Analysis Interpretation
Predominantly bullish patterns detected across timeframes, suggesting upward momentum. The most relevant formation right now is a bearish Three Black Crows on D1, documented at 78% historical reliability for that pattern type and printed on the last closed bar. The directional readings point in opposite ways, so this is a conflict rather than a confirmation.
High Probability Zones
Support Zone
70%
Zone Band (2 levels):
112.206 – 112.474
Analysis Price:
112.590
Distance:
0.10%
Confluence Factors:
Resistance Zone
64%
Zone Band (2 levels):
112.630 – 112.784
Analysis Price:
112.590
Distance:
0.04%
Confluence Factors:
High Probability Zones Interpretation
Price is sitting right on the strongest support zone we scored for this pair, at 112.474 (confluence score 70%). The score comes from 3 factors converging here: a bullish engulfing formed at the level, a psychological round number and 4 distinct tests in the last 30 days.
2 zones were scored for this pair: 1 below the analysis price and 1 above it.
Volatility Analysis
Select Timeframe:
Daily Range (pips):
84.7
Volatility Regime:
Normal
Volatility Level:
63%
10-Day ATR Trend
Volatility Interpretation (D1)
AUDJPY is showing normal volatility (63 percentile) with an expected range of 84.7 pips per session. This represents average market conditions conducive to standard trading strategies. Standard position sizing and stop loss parameters are appropriate.
Correlation Analysis
Top Correlations with AUDJPY
GBPJPY
0.86
USDJPY
0.85
CADJPY
0.85
EURJPY
0.84
NZDJPY
0.80
Correlation Interpretation
AUDJPY shows strong positive correlation with: GBPJPY, USDJPY, CADJPY, EURJPY, NZDJPY. This means these pairs tend to move in the same direction. Trading in the same direction on multiple correlated pairs increases portfolio risk, while finding divergences between correlated pairs can highlight potential reversal opportunities.
Currency Strength Analysis
Select Timeframe:
Weighted across timeframes the way the signal engine reads it (daily counts most), AUD vs JPY comes out at -0.26 — bearish for AUDJPY. Individual tabs can disagree with it: shorter windows swing more.
AUD
0.28
Neutral
vs
JPY
1.00
Very Strong
Relative Strength:
-0.72
Bearish Bias
Currency Strength Interpretation (D1)
JPY is significantly stronger than AUD on the D1 timeframe, with a relative strength of -0.72. This suggests a strong bearish bias for AUDJPY. However, this bias is primarily driven by the strength of JPY.
How to Use This Analysis
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