AUDJPY Bullish

Analysis Price: 95.82 (Updated: 17 August 2025, 08:47 UTC)

Comprehensive analysis for AUDJPY showing a predominantly bullish bias with 70% bullish consensus based on combined analytical factors. Raw trader sentiment shows 54% long, 46% short. Market structure, technical patterns, and key levels examined across multiple timeframes.

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Signal Overview

Bullish Medium Confidence Medium Risk

Market Consensus:

70% Long

30% Short

Valid Timeframes:

M15 H1 H4 D1

Signal Analysis:

The analysis indicates a medium confidence bullish bias for AUDJPY (signal strength: 40%). Supporting factors include: Technical patterns identified: Bullish Flag (H4). Contradicting factors: AUD is showing relative weakness against JPY (diff: 26%). Risk assessment for this trade is medium. This signal is most valid on the M15, H1, H4, D1 timeframes.

Sentiment Analysis

Note: The sentiment chart below shows actual trader positioning data (54% long / 46% short). The overall bullish bias (70%) mentioned in the page header represents our analytical consensus based on combined technical factors beyond raw sentiment.

LONG SHORT

54% 46%

Historical Sentiment (7 Days)

Sentiment Interpretation

Neutral sentiment with a balanced distribution between long and short positions. This suggests indecision in the market, which could precede a significant move once a clear direction emerges.

Support & Resistance Analysis

Resistance Levels

R1: 96.75 0.97% ↑

Analysis Price: 95.82

Support Levels

S1: 95.53 0.31% ↓

Market Regime:

Range

Analyst Bias:

Unknown

Direction Probability:

50%

Price Position Analysis

Price is currently near support at 95.53 (0.31% below analysis price) with resistance at 96.75 (0.97% above). This position near support could present a potential buying opportunity with a favorable risk-reward ratio.

Chart Pattern Analysis

86%

Symmetric Triangle

Reliability:

86%

Detected: Aug 17, 03:23

69%

Hammer

Reliability:

69%

Detected: Aug 17, 02:48

62%

Doji

Reliability:

62%

Detected: Aug 16, 15:30

Pattern Analysis Interpretation

Predominantly neutral patterns detected, suggesting a potential consolidation phase. The most reliable pattern is a neutral Symmetric Triangle on the D1 timeframe with 86% historical reliability. Multiple timeframes showing pattern confirmation increases the reliability of the signal.

High Probability Zones

Resistance Zone

95%

Zone Level:

96.50

analysis price:

95.82

Distance:

0.71%

Confluence Factors:

Shooting Star 78.6% Extension

Valid on Timeframes:

H1 H4 D1 W1

Support Zone

93%

Zone Level:

95.35

analysis price:

95.82

Distance:

0.49%

Confluence Factors:

Double Bottom 79% Retracement Volume Spike

Valid on Timeframes:

H1 H4 D1 W1

Support Zone

91%

Zone Level:

94.00

analysis price:

95.82

Distance:

1.90%

Confluence Factors:

Inverse Head and Shoulders 38.2% Retracement

Valid on Timeframes:

H1 H4 D1 W1

High Probability Zones Interpretation

Price is approaching a high probability (95%) resistance zone at 96.50, currently 0.71% away. Consider preparing a sell strategy as price approaches this level, watching for confirmation signals.

Multiple high probability zones exist for this pair, indicating a well-structured technical environment with clear levels for trading decisions.

Volatility Analysis

Select Timeframe:

Daily Range (pips):

0.7

Volatility Regime:

Low

Volatility Level:

10-Day ATR Trend

Volatility Interpretation (H1)

AUDJPY is exhibiting low volatility (5 percentile) with an expected daily range of just 0.7 pips. This reduced movement typically indicates consolidation or indecision in the market. Consider tighter stop losses but be aware that breakout potential increases after periods of low volatility.

Correlation Analysis

Top Correlations with AUDJPY

EURJPY

0.88

AUDNZD

0.77

AUDCAD

0.76

NZDJPY

0.74

CHFJPY

0.72

Correlation Interpretation

Understanding how AUDJPY correlates with other pairs can help with portfolio diversification and risk management. Strong positive correlations (above 0.7) indicate pairs that move similarly, while strong negative correlations (below -0.7) show pairs that typically move in opposite directions.

AUDJPY shows strong positive correlation with: EURJPY, AUDNZD, AUDCAD, NZDJPY, CHFJPY. This means these pairs tend to move in the same direction. Trading in the same direction on multiple correlated pairs increases portfolio risk, while finding divergences between correlated pairs can highlight potential reversal opportunities.

Currency Strength Analysis

Select Timeframe:

AUD

0.89

Very-strong

JPY

-0.46

Weak

Relative Strength:

1.35

Bullish Bias

Currency Strength Interpretation (M15)

AUD is significantly stronger than JPY on the M15 timeframe, with a relative strength of 1.35. This suggests a strong bullish bias for AUDJPY. With AUD showing absolute strength and JPY showing absolute weakness, this is an ideal scenario for a long position.

How to Use This Analysis

This comprehensive analysis provides multiple perspectives on AUDJPY to help inform your trading decisions:

Sentiment Analysis: Use to understand market positioning and potential contrarian opportunities
Support & Resistance: Identify key price levels for setting stop losses and take profits
Pattern Analysis: Recognize technical formations that may indicate continuation or reversal
Volatility Analysis: Adjust position sizing and risk management based on current market conditions
Currency Strength: Compare the relative performance of individual currencies within the pair
Correlation Analysis: Understand how this pair moves in relation to others for portfolio diversification

For optimal results, consider how these different factors align. The strongest trading opportunities typically occur when multiple analytical tools show confirmation across different timeframes.