USD/BRL spiked 2.8% to 5.95 during Asian trading hours after former President Trump confirmed plans for a 50% tariff on Brazilian imports if re-elected. The real weakened sharply as traders priced in potential trade war risks, pushing the pair to three-month highs. Trump also announced a separate 50% tariff on copper imports, triggering volatility in commodity-linked currencies. AUD/USD fell 0.4% to 0.6520 and USD/CLP jumped 1.2% as copper prices fluctuated on the news. The Chilean peso, heavily dependent on copper exports, bore the brunt of selling pressure. Market participants are reassessing emerging market exposure ahead of the 2024 US election, with Latin American currencies particularly vulnerable to protectionist rhetoric. Technical analysis shows USD/BRL targeting 6.00 psychological resistance, while support for risk-sensitive pairs like AUD/USD emerges near 0.6500. Traders should expect continued volatility in commodity currencies as election-related headlines dominate.
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