EURJPY Bearish

Analysis Price: 179.57 (Updated: 16 November 2025, 16:41 UTC)

Comprehensive analysis for EURJPY showing a predominantly bearish bias with 77% bearish consensus based on combined analytical factors. Market structure, technical patterns, and key levels examined across multiple timeframes.

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Signal Overview

Bearish High Confidence Medium Risk

Market Consensus:

23% Long

77% Short

Valid Timeframes:

M15 H1 H4 D1

Signal Analysis:

The analysis indicates a high confidence bearish bias for EURJPY (signal strength: 53%). Supporting factors include: High probability (95%) resistance zone detected at 180; Retail sentiment is 76% bearish. Contradicting factors: EUR is showing relative strength against JPY (diff: 26%). Risk assessment for this trade is medium. This signal is most valid on the M15, H1, H4, D1 timeframes.

Sentiment Analysis

LONG SHORT

24% 76%

Historical Sentiment (7 Days)

Sentiment Interpretation

Extremely bearish sentiment with 76% of traders holding short positions. This extreme positioning could indicate a potential contrarian long opportunity as the market may be oversold.

Support & Resistance Analysis

Resistance Levels

R1: 179.97 0.22% ↑

Analysis Price: 179.57

Support Levels

S1: 178.97 0.33% ↓

Market Regime:

Uptrend

Analyst Bias:

Unknown

Direction Probability:

75%

Price Position Analysis

Price is between support at 178.97 (0.33% below analysis price) and resistance at 179.97 (0.22% above), with slightly closer proximity to resistance. Watch for rejection confirmation at resistance or break above.

Chart Pattern Analysis

87%

Symmetric Triangle

Reliability:

87%

Detected: Nov 16, 13:34

60%

Symmetric Triangle

Reliability:

60%

Detected: Nov 16, 01:39

Pattern Analysis Interpretation

Predominantly neutral patterns detected, suggesting a potential consolidation phase. The most reliable pattern is a neutral Symmetric Triangle on the H1 timeframe with 87% historical reliability. Multiple timeframes showing pattern confirmation increases the reliability of the signal.

High Probability Zones

Support Zone

95%

Zone Level:

179.00

analysis price:

179.57

Distance:

0.32%

Confluence Factors:

Bullish Engulfing 24% Retracement Volume Spike

Valid on Timeframes:

H1 H4 D1 W1

Support Zone

95%

Zone Level:

178.34

analysis price:

179.57

Distance:

0.69%

Confluence Factors:

Hammer 38% Retracement

Valid on Timeframes:

H1 H4 D1 W1

Resistance Zone

95%

Zone Level:

180.00

analysis price:

179.57

Distance:

0.24%

Confluence Factors:

Head and Shoulders 161.8% Extension Volume Spike

Valid on Timeframes:

H1 H4 D1 W1

High Probability Zones Interpretation

Price is extremely close to a high probability (95%) support zone at 179.00. This presents a potential buying opportunity with stop loss slightly below the zone. Multiple confluence factors strengthen this level's significance.

Multiple high probability zones exist for this pair, indicating a well-structured technical environment with clear levels for trading decisions.

Volatility Analysis

Select Timeframe:

Daily Range (pips):

0.3

Volatility Regime:

High

Volatility Level:

90%

10-Day ATR Trend

Volatility Interpretation (H1)

EURJPY is experiencing high volatility (90 percentile) with an expected daily range of 0.3 pips. This above-average movement creates trading opportunities but requires careful risk management. Consider slightly wider stop losses and moderate position sizing.

Correlation Analysis

Top Correlations with EURJPY

GBPJPY

0.90

AUDJPY

0.90

CHFJPY

0.85

CADJPY

0.78

EURAUD

0.76

Correlation Interpretation

Understanding how EURJPY correlates with other pairs can help with portfolio diversification and risk management. Strong positive correlations (above 0.7) indicate pairs that move similarly, while strong negative correlations (below -0.7) show pairs that typically move in opposite directions.

EURJPY shows strong positive correlation with: GBPJPY, AUDJPY, CHFJPY, CADJPY, EURAUD. This means these pairs tend to move in the same direction. Trading in the same direction on multiple correlated pairs increases portfolio risk, while finding divergences between correlated pairs can highlight potential reversal opportunities.

Currency Strength Analysis

Select Timeframe:

EUR

0.45

Strong

JPY

-0.69

Weak

Relative Strength:

1.14

Bullish Bias

Currency Strength Interpretation (M15)

EUR is significantly stronger than JPY on the M15 timeframe, with a relative strength of 1.14. This suggests a strong bullish bias for EURJPY. With EUR showing absolute strength and JPY showing absolute weakness, this is an ideal scenario for a long position.

How to Use This Analysis

This comprehensive analysis provides multiple perspectives on EURJPY to help inform your trading decisions:

Sentiment Analysis: Use to understand market positioning and potential contrarian opportunities
Support & Resistance: Identify key price levels for setting stop losses and take profits
Pattern Analysis: Recognize technical formations that may indicate continuation or reversal
Volatility Analysis: Adjust position sizing and risk management based on current market conditions
Currency Strength: Compare the relative performance of individual currencies within the pair
Correlation Analysis: Understand how this pair moves in relation to others for portfolio diversification

For optimal results, consider how these different factors align. The strongest trading opportunities typically occur when multiple analytical tools show confirmation across different timeframes.