CHFJPY Bearish

Analysis Price: 182.56 (Updated: 17 August 2025, 12:47 UTC)

Comprehensive analysis for CHFJPY showing a predominantly bearish bias with 73% bearish consensus based on combined analytical factors. Market structure, technical patterns, and key levels examined across multiple timeframes.

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Signal Overview

Bearish High Confidence Low Risk

Market Consensus:

27% Long

73% Short

Valid Timeframes:

M15 H1 H4 D1

Signal Analysis:

The analysis indicates a high confidence bearish bias for CHFJPY (signal strength: 46%). Supporting factors include: High probability (95%) resistance zone detected at 184; Retail sentiment is 80% bearish; CHF is showing relative weakness against JPY (diff: 26%). Contradicting factors: Technical patterns identified: Morning Star (H4). Risk assessment for this trade is low. This signal is most valid on the M15, H1, H4, D1 timeframes.

Sentiment Analysis

LONG SHORT

20% 80%

Historical Sentiment (7 Days)

Sentiment Interpretation

Extremely bearish sentiment with 80% of traders holding short positions. This extreme positioning could indicate a potential contrarian long opportunity as the market may be oversold.

Support & Resistance Analysis

Resistance Levels

R1: 183.64 0.59% ↑

Analysis Price: 182.56

Support Levels

S1: 182.20 0.19% ↓

Market Regime:

Range

Analyst Bias:

Unknown

Direction Probability:

60%

Price Position Analysis

Price is currently near support at 182.20 (0.19% below analysis price) with resistance at 183.64 (0.59% above). This position near support could present a potential buying opportunity with a favorable risk-reward ratio.

Chart Pattern Analysis

No chart patterns detected for CHFJPY at this time.

High Probability Zones

No high probability zones detected for CHFJPY at this time.

Volatility Analysis

Select Timeframe:

Daily Range (pips):

0.9

Volatility Regime:

Normal

Volatility Level:

31%

10-Day ATR Trend

Volatility Interpretation (H1)

CHFJPY is showing normal volatility (31 percentile) with an expected daily range of 0.9 pips. This represents average market conditions conducive to standard trading strategies. Standard position sizing and stop loss parameters are appropriate.

Correlation Analysis

Top Correlations with CHFJPY

USDCHF

-0.88

NZDCHF

-0.86

EURCHF

-0.84

NZDJPY

0.72

CADJPY

0.64

Correlation Interpretation

Understanding how CHFJPY correlates with other pairs can help with portfolio diversification and risk management. Strong positive correlations (above 0.7) indicate pairs that move similarly, while strong negative correlations (below -0.7) show pairs that typically move in opposite directions.

CHFJPY shows strong positive correlation with: NZDJPY. This means these pairs tend to move in the same direction. Trading in the same direction on multiple correlated pairs increases portfolio risk, while finding divergences between correlated pairs can highlight potential reversal opportunities.

CHFJPY shows strong negative correlation with: USDCHF, NZDCHF, EURCHF. This means these pairs tend to move in opposite directions. Negatively correlated pairs can be useful for hedging strategies or to confirm signals (a buy signal in one pair would be supported by a sell signal in the negatively correlated pair).

Currency Strength Analysis

Select Timeframe:

CHF

-0.48

Weak

JPY

-0.08

Neutral

Relative Strength:

-0.40

Bearish Bias

Currency Strength Interpretation (M15)

JPY is moderately stronger than CHF on the M15 timeframe, with a relative strength of -0.40. This suggests a mild bearish bias for CHFJPY. Monitor for additional confirmation signals before entering a short position.

How to Use This Analysis

This comprehensive analysis provides multiple perspectives on CHFJPY to help inform your trading decisions:

Sentiment Analysis: Use to understand market positioning and potential contrarian opportunities
Support & Resistance: Identify key price levels for setting stop losses and take profits
Pattern Analysis: Recognize technical formations that may indicate continuation or reversal
Volatility Analysis: Adjust position sizing and risk management based on current market conditions
Currency Strength: Compare the relative performance of individual currencies within the pair
Correlation Analysis: Understand how this pair moves in relation to others for portfolio diversification

For optimal results, consider how these different factors align. The strongest trading opportunities typically occur when multiple analytical tools show confirmation across different timeframes.