CHFJPY Neutral

Analysis Price: 194.66 (Updated: 15 November 2025, 20:40 UTC)

Comprehensive analysis for CHFJPY showing neutral market bias. Market structure, technical patterns, and key levels examined across multiple timeframes.

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Signal Overview

Neutral Low Confidence Medium Risk

Market Consensus:

52% Long

49% Short

Valid Timeframes:

M15 H1 H4 D1

Signal Analysis:

The analysis indicates a neutral outlook for CHFJPY. Supporting factors include: The relative strength between CHF and JPY is balanced. Risk assessment for this trade is medium.

Sentiment Analysis

Note: The sentiment chart below shows actual trader positioning data (% long / % short). The overall neutral bias (49%) mentioned in the page header represents our analytical consensus based on combined technical factors beyond raw sentiment.

No sentiment data is available for CHFJPY at this time.

Support & Resistance Analysis

Resistance Levels

R1: 195.60 0.48% ↑

Analysis Price: 194.66

Support Levels

S1: 193.65 0.52% ↓

Market Regime:

Uptrend

Analyst Bias:

Unknown

Direction Probability:

75%

Price Position Analysis

Price is between support at 193.65 (0.52% below analysis price) and resistance at 195.60 (0.48% above), with slightly closer proximity to resistance. Watch for rejection confirmation at resistance or break above.

Chart Pattern Analysis

78%

Morning Star

Reliability:

78%

Detected: Nov 15, 08:12

Pattern Analysis Interpretation

Predominantly bullish patterns detected across timeframes, suggesting upward momentum. The most reliable pattern is a bullish Morning Star on the H1 timeframe with 78% historical reliability. This pattern is currently only confirmed on the H1 timeframe.

High Probability Zones

Support Zone

95%

Zone Level:

192.00

analysis price:

194.66

Distance:

1.37%

Confluence Factors:

Hammer 61.8% Retracement Volume Spike

Valid on Timeframes:

H1 H4 D1 W1

Resistance Zone

95%

Zone Level:

197.00

analysis price:

194.66

Distance:

1.20%

Confluence Factors:

Head and Shoulders 161.8% Extension

Valid on Timeframes:

H1 H4 D1 W1

High Probability Zones Interpretation

Price is approaching a high probability (95%) support zone at 192.00, currently 1.37% away. Consider preparing a buy strategy as price approaches this level, watching for confirmation signals.

Multiple high probability zones exist for this pair, indicating a well-structured technical environment with clear levels for trading decisions.

Volatility Analysis

Select Timeframe:

Daily Range (pips):

0.8

Volatility Regime:

Normal

Volatility Level:

57%

10-Day ATR Trend

Volatility Interpretation (H1)

CHFJPY is showing normal volatility (57 percentile) with an expected daily range of 0.8 pips. This represents average market conditions conducive to standard trading strategies. Standard position sizing and stop loss parameters are appropriate.

Correlation Analysis

Top Correlations with CHFJPY

GBPJPY

0.89

AUDCHF

-0.89

CADJPY

0.88

EURCHF

-0.87

NZDJPY

0.83

Correlation Interpretation

Understanding how CHFJPY correlates with other pairs can help with portfolio diversification and risk management. Strong positive correlations (above 0.7) indicate pairs that move similarly, while strong negative correlations (below -0.7) show pairs that typically move in opposite directions.

CHFJPY shows strong positive correlation with: GBPJPY, CADJPY, NZDJPY. This means these pairs tend to move in the same direction. Trading in the same direction on multiple correlated pairs increases portfolio risk, while finding divergences between correlated pairs can highlight potential reversal opportunities.

CHFJPY shows strong negative correlation with: AUDCHF, EURCHF. This means these pairs tend to move in opposite directions. Negatively correlated pairs can be useful for hedging strategies or to confirm signals (a buy signal in one pair would be supported by a sell signal in the negatively correlated pair).

Currency Strength Analysis

Select Timeframe:

CHF

-0.35

Weak

JPY

0.69

Strong

Relative Strength:

-1.04

Bearish Bias

Currency Strength Interpretation (M15)

JPY is significantly stronger than CHF on the M15 timeframe, with a relative strength of -1.04. This suggests a strong bearish bias for CHFJPY. With JPY showing absolute strength and CHF showing absolute weakness, this is an ideal scenario for a short position.

How to Use This Analysis

This comprehensive analysis provides multiple perspectives on CHFJPY to help inform your trading decisions:

Sentiment Analysis: Use to understand market positioning and potential contrarian opportunities
Support & Resistance: Identify key price levels for setting stop losses and take profits
Pattern Analysis: Recognize technical formations that may indicate continuation or reversal
Volatility Analysis: Adjust position sizing and risk management based on current market conditions
Currency Strength: Compare the relative performance of individual currencies within the pair
Correlation Analysis: Understand how this pair moves in relation to others for portfolio diversification

For optimal results, consider how these different factors align. The strongest trading opportunities typically occur when multiple analytical tools show confirmation across different timeframes.