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GBPCHF Bullish

Analysis Price: 1.0000 (Updated: 17 May 2025, 15:39 UTC)

Comprehensive analysis for GBPCHF showing predominantly bullish sentiment with 64% of traders in long positions. Market structure, technical patterns, and key levels examined across multiple timeframes.

Signal Overview

Bullish High Confidence High Risk
Market Consensus:
64% Long
36% Short
Valid Timeframes:
M15 H1 H4 D1

Signal Analysis:

The analysis indicates a high confidence bullish bias for GBPCHF (signal strength: 29%). Supporting factors include: High probability (95%) support zone detected at 0.98856; Retail sentiment is 62% bullish; GBP is showing relative strength against CHF (diff: 11%). Contradicting factors: Technical patterns identified: Head and Shoulders (H1), Head and Shoulders (D1). Risk assessment for this trade is high. This signal is most valid on the M15, H1, H4, D1 timeframes.

Sentiment Analysis

LONG SHORT
62% 38%

Historical Sentiment (7 Days)

Sentiment Interpretation

Bullish sentiment with 62% of traders holding long positions. The market has a positive bias, but watch for signs of exhaustion if this percentage increases further.

Support & Resistance Analysis

No support and resistance data is available for GBPCHF at this time.

Chart Pattern Analysis

H4
90%
Bullish Flag
Reliability:
90%
Detected: May 17, 14:45
H1
82%
Double Bottom
Reliability:
82%
Detected: May 17, 01:07

Pattern Analysis Interpretation

Predominantly bullish patterns detected across timeframes, suggesting upward momentum. The most reliable pattern is a bullish Bullish Flag on the H4 timeframe with 90% historical reliability. Multiple timeframes showing pattern confirmation increases the reliability of the signal.

High Probability Zones

Support Zone
75%
Zone Level:
0.9153
analysis price:
1.0000
Distance:
8.47%
Confluence Factors:
Hammer 162% Extension
Valid on Timeframes:
H1 H4 D1 W1

High Probability Zones Interpretation

A high probability (75%) support zone exists at 0.9153, currently 8.47% away from price. Keep this level on watch for potential future buying opportunities if price moves lower.

Volatility Analysis

Select Timeframe:
Daily Range (pips):
55.0
Volatility Regime:
Normal
Volatility Level:
41%
10-Day ATR Trend

Volatility Interpretation (H1)

GBPCHF is showing normal volatility (41 percentile) with an expected daily range of 55.0 pips. This represents average market conditions conducive to standard trading strategies. Standard position sizing and stop loss parameters are appropriate.

Correlation Analysis

Top Correlations with GBPCHF

USDCHF
0.85
GBPJPY
0.82
GBPCAD
0.81
GBPAUD
0.77
GBPNZD
0.76

Correlation Interpretation

Understanding how GBPCHF correlates with other pairs can help with portfolio diversification and risk management. Strong positive correlations (above 0.7) indicate pairs that move similarly, while strong negative correlations (below -0.7) show pairs that typically move in opposite directions.

GBPCHF shows strong positive correlation with: USDCHF, GBPJPY, GBPCAD, GBPAUD, GBPNZD. This means these pairs tend to move in the same direction. Trading in the same direction on multiple correlated pairs increases portfolio risk, while finding divergences between correlated pairs can highlight potential reversal opportunities.

Currency Strength Analysis

Select Timeframe:
GBP
0.06
Neutral
vs
CHF
0.02
Neutral
Relative Strength:
0.04
Neutral Bias

Currency Strength Interpretation (M15)

GBP and CHF show similar strength levels on the M15 timeframe, with a relative strength of 0.04. This indicates a neutral bias for GBPCHF and suggests range-bound trading conditions may be more likely.

How to Use This Analysis

This comprehensive analysis provides multiple perspectives on GBPCHF to help inform your trading decisions:

  • Sentiment Analysis: Use to understand market positioning and potential contrarian opportunities
  • Support & Resistance: Identify key price levels for setting stop losses and take profits
  • Pattern Analysis: Recognize technical formations that may indicate continuation or reversal
  • Volatility Analysis: Adjust position sizing and risk management based on current market conditions
  • Currency Strength: Compare the relative performance of individual currencies within the pair
  • Correlation Analysis: Understand how this pair moves in relation to others for portfolio diversification

For optimal results, consider how these different factors align. The strongest trading opportunities typically occur when multiple analytical tools show confirmation across different timeframes.

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