GBPCHF Bearish

Analysis Price: 1.0672 (Updated: 31 December 2025, 23:21 UTC)

Comprehensive analysis for GBPCHF showing a predominantly bearish bias with 69% bearish consensus based on combined analytical factors. Raw trader sentiment shows 69% long, 31% short. Market structure, technical patterns, and key levels examined across multiple timeframes.

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Signal Overview

Bearish Medium Confidence Low Risk

Market Consensus:

31% Long

69% Short

Valid Timeframes:

M15 H1 H4 D1

Signal Analysis:

The analysis indicates a medium confidence bearish bias for GBPCHF (signal strength: 37%). Supporting factors include: Technical patterns identified: Bearish Rectangle (D1); GBP is showing relative weakness against CHF (diff: 25%). Contradicting factors: Retail sentiment is 70% bullish. Risk assessment for this trade is low. This signal is most valid on the M15, H1, H4, D1 timeframes.

Sentiment Analysis

Note: The sentiment chart below shows actual trader positioning data (69% long / 31% short). The overall bearish bias (69%) mentioned in the page header represents our analytical consensus based on combined technical factors beyond raw sentiment.

LONG SHORT

69% 31%

Historical Sentiment (7 Days)

Sentiment Interpretation

Bullish sentiment with 69% of traders holding long positions. The market has a positive bias, but watch for signs of exhaustion if this percentage increases further.

Support & Resistance Analysis

Resistance Levels

R1: 1.0685 0.12% ↑

Analysis Price: 1.0672

Support Levels

S1: 1.0647 0.23% ↓

Market Regime:

Uptrend

Analyst Bias:

Unknown

Direction Probability:

75%

Price Position Analysis

Price is between support at 1.0647 (0.23% below analysis price) and resistance at 1.0685 (0.12% above), with slightly closer proximity to resistance. Watch for rejection confirmation at resistance or break above.

Chart Pattern Analysis

No chart patterns detected for GBPCHF at this time.

High Probability Zones

No high probability zones detected for GBPCHF at this time.

Volatility Analysis

Select Timeframe:

Daily Range (pips):

32.0

Volatility Regime:

High

Volatility Level:

89%

10-Day ATR Trend

Volatility Interpretation (H1)

GBPCHF is experiencing high volatility (89 percentile) with an expected daily range of 32.0 pips. This above-average movement creates trading opportunities but requires careful risk management. Consider slightly wider stop losses and moderate position sizing.

Correlation Analysis

Top Correlations with GBPCHF

EURCHF

0.89

GBPJPY

0.89

GBPUSD

0.82

USDCHF

0.82

AUDCHF

0.82

Correlation Interpretation

Understanding how GBPCHF correlates with other pairs can help with portfolio diversification and risk management. Strong positive correlations (above 0.7) indicate pairs that move similarly, while strong negative correlations (below -0.7) show pairs that typically move in opposite directions.

GBPCHF shows strong positive correlation with: EURCHF, GBPJPY, GBPUSD, USDCHF, AUDCHF. This means these pairs tend to move in the same direction. Trading in the same direction on multiple correlated pairs increases portfolio risk, while finding divergences between correlated pairs can highlight potential reversal opportunities.

Currency Strength Analysis

Select Timeframe:

GBP

-0.27

Neutral

CHF

0.93

Very-strong

Relative Strength:

-1.20

Bearish Bias

Currency Strength Interpretation (M15)

CHF is significantly stronger than GBP on the M15 timeframe, with a relative strength of -1.20. This suggests a strong bearish bias for GBPCHF. However, this bias is primarily driven by the strength of CHF.

How to Use This Analysis

This comprehensive analysis provides multiple perspectives on GBPCHF to help inform your trading decisions:

Sentiment Analysis: Use to understand market positioning and potential contrarian opportunities
Support & Resistance: Identify key price levels for setting stop losses and take profits
Pattern Analysis: Recognize technical formations that may indicate continuation or reversal
Volatility Analysis: Adjust position sizing and risk management based on current market conditions
Currency Strength: Compare the relative performance of individual currencies within the pair
Correlation Analysis: Understand how this pair moves in relation to others for portfolio diversification

For optimal results, consider how these different factors align. The strongest trading opportunities typically occur when multiple analytical tools show confirmation across different timeframes.