GBPCHF Bullish

Analysis Price: 1.0486 (Updated: 16 February 2026, 22:23 UTC)

Comprehensive analysis for GBPCHF showing a predominantly bullish bias with 71% bullish consensus based on combined analytical factors. Market structure, technical patterns, and key levels examined across multiple timeframes.

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Signal Overview

Bullish High Confidence Medium Risk

Market Consensus:

71% Long

29% Short

Valid Timeframes:

M15 H1 H4 D1

Signal Analysis:

The analysis indicates a high confidence bullish bias for GBPCHF (signal strength: 42%). Supporting factors include: Retail sentiment is 79% bullish; GBP is showing relative strength against CHF (diff: 10%). Risk assessment for this trade is medium. This signal is most valid on the M15, H1, H4, D1 timeframes.

Sentiment Analysis

LONG SHORT

79% 21%

Historical Sentiment (7 Days)

Sentiment Interpretation

Extremely bullish sentiment with 79% of traders holding long positions. This extreme positioning could indicate a potential contrarian short opportunity as the market may be overcrowded.

Support & Resistance Analysis

Resistance Levels

R1: 1.0567 0.77% ↑

Analysis Price: 1.0486

Support Levels

S1: 1.0439 0.45% ↓

Market Regime:

Range

Analyst Bias:

Unknown

Direction Probability:

75%

Price Position Analysis

Price is between support at 1.0439 (0.45% below analysis price) and resistance at 1.0567 (0.77% above), with slightly closer proximity to support. Watch for bounce confirmation at support or break below.

Chart Pattern Analysis

54%

Symmetric Triangle

Reliability:

54%

Detected: Feb 16, 01:47

50%

Rectangle

Reliability:

50%

Detected: Feb 16, 11:35

Pattern Analysis Interpretation

Predominantly neutral patterns detected, suggesting a potential consolidation phase. The most reliable pattern is a neutral Symmetric Triangle on the D1 timeframe with 54% historical reliability. Multiple timeframes showing pattern confirmation increases the reliability of the signal.

High Probability Zones

Resistance Zone

89%

Zone Level:

1.0773

analysis price:

1.0486

Distance:

2.71%

Confluence Factors:

Double Top 162% Extension

Valid on Timeframes:

H1 H4 D1 W1

Resistance Zone

89%

Zone Level:

1.0773

analysis price:

1.0486

Distance:

2.71%

Confluence Factors:

Double Top 162% Extension

Valid on Timeframes:

H1 H4 D1 W1

Support Zone

70%

Zone Level:

1.0000

analysis price:

1.0486

Distance:

4.66%

Confluence Factors:

Inverse Head and Shoulders 78.6% Extension

Valid on Timeframes:

H1 H4 D1 W1

High Probability Zones Interpretation

A high probability (89%) resistance zone exists at 1.0773, currently 2.71% away from price. Keep this level on watch for potential future selling opportunities if price moves higher.

Multiple high probability zones exist for this pair, indicating a well-structured technical environment with clear levels for trading decisions.

Volatility Analysis

Select Timeframe:

Daily Range (pips):

74.0

Volatility Regime:

Extreme

Volatility Level:

99%

10-Day ATR Trend

Volatility Interpretation (H1)

GBPCHF is currently showing extreme volatility (99 percentile) with an expected daily range of 74.0 pips. This indicates potentially rapid price movements that create both opportunity and risk. Consider wider stop losses (1.5-2x normal size) and reduced position sizes to manage the elevated risk.

Correlation Analysis

Top Correlations with GBPCHF

GBPJPY

0.89

GBPAUD

0.88

CADCHF

0.87

EURGBP

-0.81

GBPNZD

0.75

Correlation Interpretation

Understanding how GBPCHF correlates with other pairs can help with portfolio diversification and risk management. Strong positive correlations (above 0.7) indicate pairs that move similarly, while strong negative correlations (below -0.7) show pairs that typically move in opposite directions.

GBPCHF shows strong positive correlation with: GBPJPY, GBPAUD, CADCHF, GBPNZD. This means these pairs tend to move in the same direction. Trading in the same direction on multiple correlated pairs increases portfolio risk, while finding divergences between correlated pairs can highlight potential reversal opportunities.

GBPCHF shows strong negative correlation with: EURGBP. This means these pairs tend to move in opposite directions. Negatively correlated pairs can be useful for hedging strategies or to confirm signals (a buy signal in one pair would be supported by a sell signal in the negatively correlated pair).

Currency Strength Analysis

Select Timeframe:

GBP

0.83

Very-strong

CHF

0.07

Neutral

Relative Strength:

0.76

Bullish Bias

Currency Strength Interpretation (M15)

GBP is significantly stronger than CHF on the M15 timeframe, with a relative strength of 0.76. This suggests a strong bullish bias for GBPCHF. However, this bias is primarily driven by the strength of GBP.

How to Use This Analysis

This comprehensive analysis provides multiple perspectives on GBPCHF to help inform your trading decisions:

Sentiment Analysis: Use to understand market positioning and potential contrarian opportunities
Support & Resistance: Identify key price levels for setting stop losses and take profits
Pattern Analysis: Recognize technical formations that may indicate continuation or reversal
Volatility Analysis: Adjust position sizing and risk management based on current market conditions
Currency Strength: Compare the relative performance of individual currencies within the pair
Correlation Analysis: Understand how this pair moves in relation to others for portfolio diversification

For optimal results, consider how these different factors align. The strongest trading opportunities typically occur when multiple analytical tools show confirmation across different timeframes.