AUD/USD is trading near a significant resistance zone as the pair consolidates ahead of Australia's closely watched inflation data release. The Australian dollar has been supported by improved risk appetite and steady commodity prices, while the US dollar remains under modest pressure amid expectations of a Federal Reserve policy pivot. Technical analysis indicates the pair is testing a key resistance level that has previously capped upside momentum on multiple occasions. A decisive break above this zone could open the path toward higher targets, while a rejection may trigger a pullback toward near-term support. The upcoming Consumer Price Index data from Australia will be a critical catalyst — a hotter-than-expected reading could reinforce expectations for the Reserve Bank of Australia to maintain its hawkish stance, boosting AUD/USD through resistance. Conversely, softer inflation figures may ease rate hike bets and limit upside. Traders should watch for volume confirmation on any breakout attempt and position accordingly around the data release.
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