AUDCAD Neutral

Analysis Price: 0.9170 (Updated: 16 November 2025, 16:41 UTC)

Comprehensive analysis for AUDCAD showing neutral market bias. Market structure, technical patterns, and key levels examined across multiple timeframes.

Select Currency Pair

Signal Overview

Neutral Medium Confidence Medium Risk

Market Consensus:

45% Long

55% Short

Valid Timeframes:

M15 H1 H4 D1

Signal Analysis:

The analysis indicates a neutral outlook for AUDCAD. Supporting factors include: Technical patterns identified: Rectangle (H4), Doji (H4). Contradicting factors: Retail sentiment is 61% bearish; AUD is showing relative weakness against CAD (diff: 14%). Risk assessment for this trade is medium. This signal is most valid on the M15, H1, H4, D1 timeframes.

Sentiment Analysis

LONG SHORT

39% 61%

Historical Sentiment (7 Days)

Sentiment Interpretation

Bearish sentiment with 61% of traders holding short positions. The market has a negative bias, but watch for signs of exhaustion if this percentage increases further.

Support & Resistance Analysis

Resistance Levels

R1: 0.9205 0.38% ↑

Analysis Price: 0.9170

Support Levels

S1: 0.9115 0.60% ↓

Market Regime:

Range

Analyst Bias:

Unknown

Direction Probability:

50%

Price Position Analysis

Price is between support at 0.9115 (0.60% below analysis price) and resistance at 0.9205 (0.38% above), with slightly closer proximity to resistance. Watch for rejection confirmation at resistance or break above.

Chart Pattern Analysis

58%

Evening Star

Reliability:

58%

Detected: Nov 16, 07:43

53%

Doji

Reliability:

53%

Detected: Nov 16, 07:17

51%

Symmetric Triangle

Reliability:

51%

Detected: Nov 16, 01:49

Pattern Analysis Interpretation

Predominantly neutral patterns detected, suggesting a potential consolidation phase. The most reliable pattern is a bearish Evening Star on the D1 timeframe with 58% historical reliability. Multiple timeframes showing pattern confirmation increases the reliability of the signal.

High Probability Zones

Support Zone

94%

Zone Level:

0.8976

analysis price:

0.9170

Distance:

2.11%

Confluence Factors:

Morning Star 127% Extension

Valid on Timeframes:

H1 H4 D1 W1

High Probability Zones Interpretation

A high probability (94%) support zone exists at 0.8976, currently 2.11% away from price. Keep this level on watch for potential future buying opportunities if price moves lower.

Volatility Analysis

Select Timeframe:

Daily Range (pips):

71.0

Volatility Regime:

Normal

Volatility Level:

26%

10-Day ATR Trend

Volatility Interpretation (H1)

AUDCAD is showing normal volatility (26 percentile) with an expected daily range of 71.0 pips. This represents average market conditions conducive to standard trading strategies. Standard position sizing and stop loss parameters are appropriate.

Correlation Analysis

Top Correlations with AUDCAD

AUDNZD

0.86

AUDJPY

0.84

EURCAD

0.83

NZDCAD

0.83

EURAUD

-0.81

Correlation Interpretation

Understanding how AUDCAD correlates with other pairs can help with portfolio diversification and risk management. Strong positive correlations (above 0.7) indicate pairs that move similarly, while strong negative correlations (below -0.7) show pairs that typically move in opposite directions.

AUDCAD shows strong positive correlation with: AUDNZD, AUDJPY, EURCAD, NZDCAD. This means these pairs tend to move in the same direction. Trading in the same direction on multiple correlated pairs increases portfolio risk, while finding divergences between correlated pairs can highlight potential reversal opportunities.

AUDCAD shows strong negative correlation with: EURAUD. This means these pairs tend to move in opposite directions. Negatively correlated pairs can be useful for hedging strategies or to confirm signals (a buy signal in one pair would be supported by a sell signal in the negatively correlated pair).

Currency Strength Analysis

Select Timeframe:

AUD

-0.92

Very-weak

CAD

0.71

Very-strong

Relative Strength:

-1.63

Bearish Bias

Currency Strength Interpretation (M15)

CAD is significantly stronger than AUD on the M15 timeframe, with a relative strength of -1.63. This suggests a strong bearish bias for AUDCAD. With CAD showing absolute strength and AUD showing absolute weakness, this is an ideal scenario for a short position.

How to Use This Analysis

This comprehensive analysis provides multiple perspectives on AUDCAD to help inform your trading decisions:

Sentiment Analysis: Use to understand market positioning and potential contrarian opportunities
Support & Resistance: Identify key price levels for setting stop losses and take profits
Pattern Analysis: Recognize technical formations that may indicate continuation or reversal
Volatility Analysis: Adjust position sizing and risk management based on current market conditions
Currency Strength: Compare the relative performance of individual currencies within the pair
Correlation Analysis: Understand how this pair moves in relation to others for portfolio diversification

For optimal results, consider how these different factors align. The strongest trading opportunities typically occur when multiple analytical tools show confirmation across different timeframes.