AUDCAD Bearish

Analysis Price: 0.9140 (Updated: 31 December 2025, 19:20 UTC)

Comprehensive analysis for AUDCAD showing a predominantly bearish bias with 86% bearish consensus based on combined analytical factors. Raw trader sentiment shows 40% long, 60% short. Market structure, technical patterns, and key levels examined across multiple timeframes.

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Signal Overview

Bearish High Confidence Low Risk

Market Consensus:

14% Long

86% Short

Valid Timeframes:

M15 H1 H4 D1

Signal Analysis:

The analysis indicates a high confidence bearish bias for AUDCAD (signal strength: 71%). Supporting factors include: High probability (95%) resistance zone detected at 0.9145; AUD is showing relative weakness against CAD (diff: 50%); Retail sentiment is 64% bearish. Risk assessment for this trade is low. This signal is most valid on the M15, H1, H4, D1 timeframes.

Sentiment Analysis

Note: The sentiment chart below shows actual trader positioning data (40% long / 60% short). The overall bearish bias (86%) mentioned in the page header represents our analytical consensus based on combined technical factors beyond raw sentiment.

LONG SHORT

40% 60%

Historical Sentiment (7 Days)

Sentiment Interpretation

Bearish sentiment with 60% of traders holding short positions. The market has a negative bias, but watch for signs of exhaustion if this percentage increases further.

Support & Resistance Analysis

Resistance Levels

R1: 0.9194 0.59% ↑

Analysis Price: 0.9140

Support Levels

S1: 0.9134 0.06% ↓

Market Regime:

Range

Analyst Bias:

Unknown

Direction Probability:

50%

Price Position Analysis

Price is currently near support at 0.9134 (0.06% below analysis price) with resistance at 0.9194 (0.59% above). This position near support could present a potential buying opportunity with a favorable risk-reward ratio.

Chart Pattern Analysis

No chart patterns detected for AUDCAD at this time.

High Probability Zones

No high probability zones detected for AUDCAD at this time.

Volatility Analysis

Select Timeframe:

Daily Range (pips):

37.0

Volatility Regime:

Extreme

Volatility Level:

96%

10-Day ATR Trend

Volatility Interpretation (H1)

AUDCAD is currently showing extreme volatility (96 percentile) with an expected daily range of 37.0 pips. This indicates potentially rapid price movements that create both opportunity and risk. Consider wider stop losses (1.5-2x normal size) and reduced position sizes to manage the elevated risk.

Correlation Analysis

Top Correlations with AUDCAD

AUDNZD

0.89

EURCAD

0.82

EURAUD

-0.74

USDCAD

0.67

AUDCHF

0.66

Correlation Interpretation

Understanding how AUDCAD correlates with other pairs can help with portfolio diversification and risk management. Strong positive correlations (above 0.7) indicate pairs that move similarly, while strong negative correlations (below -0.7) show pairs that typically move in opposite directions.

AUDCAD shows strong positive correlation with: AUDNZD, EURCAD. This means these pairs tend to move in the same direction. Trading in the same direction on multiple correlated pairs increases portfolio risk, while finding divergences between correlated pairs can highlight potential reversal opportunities.

AUDCAD shows strong negative correlation with: EURAUD. This means these pairs tend to move in opposite directions. Negatively correlated pairs can be useful for hedging strategies or to confirm signals (a buy signal in one pair would be supported by a sell signal in the negatively correlated pair).

Currency Strength Analysis

Select Timeframe:

AUD

0.31

Strong

CAD

0.76

Very-strong

Relative Strength:

-0.45

Bearish Bias

Currency Strength Interpretation (M15)

CAD is moderately stronger than AUD on the M15 timeframe, with a relative strength of -0.45. This suggests a mild bearish bias for AUDCAD. Monitor for additional confirmation signals before entering a short position.

How to Use This Analysis

This comprehensive analysis provides multiple perspectives on AUDCAD to help inform your trading decisions:

Sentiment Analysis: Use to understand market positioning and potential contrarian opportunities
Support & Resistance: Identify key price levels for setting stop losses and take profits
Pattern Analysis: Recognize technical formations that may indicate continuation or reversal
Volatility Analysis: Adjust position sizing and risk management based on current market conditions
Currency Strength: Compare the relative performance of individual currencies within the pair
Correlation Analysis: Understand how this pair moves in relation to others for portfolio diversification

For optimal results, consider how these different factors align. The strongest trading opportunities typically occur when multiple analytical tools show confirmation across different timeframes.