AUDUSD Bullish

Analysis Price: 0.7076 (Updated: 16 February 2026, 22:23 UTC)

Comprehensive analysis for AUDUSD showing a predominantly bullish bias with 76% bullish consensus based on combined analytical factors. Raw trader sentiment shows 35% long, 65% short. Market structure, technical patterns, and key levels examined across multiple timeframes.

Select Currency Pair

Signal Overview

Bullish Medium Confidence Medium Risk

Market Consensus:

76% Long

24% Short

Valid Timeframes:

M15 H1 H4 D1

Signal Analysis:

The analysis indicates a medium confidence bullish bias for AUDUSD (signal strength: 51%). Supporting factors include: High probability (95%) support zone detected at 0.70221; AUD is showing relative strength against USD (diff: 11%). Contradicting factors: Retail sentiment is 66% bearish. Risk assessment for this trade is medium. This signal is most valid on the M15, H1, H4, D1 timeframes.

Sentiment Analysis

Note: The sentiment chart below shows actual trader positioning data (35% long / 65% short). The overall bullish bias (76%) mentioned in the page header represents our analytical consensus based on combined technical factors beyond raw sentiment.

LONG SHORT

35% 65%

Historical Sentiment (7 Days)

Sentiment Interpretation

Bearish sentiment with 65% of traders holding short positions. The market has a negative bias, but watch for signs of exhaustion if this percentage increases further.

Support & Resistance Analysis

Resistance Levels

R1: 0.7147 1.01% ↑

Analysis Price: 0.7076

Support Levels

S1: 0.7044 0.45% ↓

Market Regime:

Range

Analyst Bias:

Unknown

Direction Probability:

75%

Price Position Analysis

Price is currently near support at 0.7044 (0.45% below analysis price) with resistance at 0.7147 (1.01% above). This position near support could present a potential buying opportunity with a favorable risk-reward ratio.

Chart Pattern Analysis

No chart patterns detected for AUDUSD at this time.

High Probability Zones

Resistance Zone

95%

Zone Level:

0.7114

analysis price:

0.7076

Distance:

0.59%

Confluence Factors:

Evening Star 24% Retracement

Valid on Timeframes:

H1 H4 D1 W1

High Probability Zones Interpretation

Price is approaching a high probability (95%) resistance zone at 0.7114, currently 0.59% away. Consider preparing a sell strategy as price approaches this level, watching for confirmation signals.

Volatility Analysis

Select Timeframe:

Daily Range (pips):

29.0

Volatility Regime:

High

Volatility Level:

92%

10-Day ATR Trend

Volatility Interpretation (H1)

AUDUSD is experiencing high volatility (92 percentile) with an expected daily range of 29.0 pips. This above-average movement creates trading opportunities but requires careful risk management. Consider slightly wider stop losses and moderate position sizing.

Correlation Analysis

Top Correlations with AUDUSD

AUDCAD

0.90

USDCAD

-0.89

GBPUSD

0.88

AUDJPY

0.85

USDCHF

-0.83

Correlation Interpretation

Understanding how AUDUSD correlates with other pairs can help with portfolio diversification and risk management. Strong positive correlations (above 0.7) indicate pairs that move similarly, while strong negative correlations (below -0.7) show pairs that typically move in opposite directions.

AUDUSD shows strong positive correlation with: AUDCAD, GBPUSD, AUDJPY. This means these pairs tend to move in the same direction. Trading in the same direction on multiple correlated pairs increases portfolio risk, while finding divergences between correlated pairs can highlight potential reversal opportunities.

AUDUSD shows strong negative correlation with: USDCAD, USDCHF. This means these pairs tend to move in opposite directions. Negatively correlated pairs can be useful for hedging strategies or to confirm signals (a buy signal in one pair would be supported by a sell signal in the negatively correlated pair).

Currency Strength Analysis

Select Timeframe:

AUD

0.70

Very-strong

USD

0.22

Neutral

Relative Strength:

0.48

Bullish Bias

Currency Strength Interpretation (M15)

AUD is moderately stronger than USD on the M15 timeframe, with a relative strength of 0.48. This suggests a mild bullish bias for AUDUSD. Monitor for additional confirmation signals before entering a long position.

How to Use This Analysis

This comprehensive analysis provides multiple perspectives on AUDUSD to help inform your trading decisions:

Sentiment Analysis: Use to understand market positioning and potential contrarian opportunities
Support & Resistance: Identify key price levels for setting stop losses and take profits
Pattern Analysis: Recognize technical formations that may indicate continuation or reversal
Volatility Analysis: Adjust position sizing and risk management based on current market conditions
Currency Strength: Compare the relative performance of individual currencies within the pair
Correlation Analysis: Understand how this pair moves in relation to others for portfolio diversification

For optimal results, consider how these different factors align. The strongest trading opportunities typically occur when multiple analytical tools show confirmation across different timeframes.