USD/JPY staged a sharp intraday decline of 0.5% to trade at 161.70, falling back below the prior resistance level at 161.95 in what market participants suspect was deliberate intervention by Japanese authorities. The steep and sudden nature of the reversal bears the classic hallmarks of official FX intervention by the Bank of Japan or the Ministry of Finance, which have previously acted to defend the yen when USD/JPY reached extreme levels. The pair had been trading near multi-decade highs, intensifying pressure on Japanese policymakers to act. This suspected intervention comes at a sensitive time, with the US Non-Farm Payrolls report due Friday, which could amplify volatility in the pair. A strong NFP print would likely reinforce expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain higher rates for longer, potentially pushing USD/JPY back toward recent highs. Key levels to watch include support at 160.80 and resistance at 162.00. Traders should exercise heightened caution given the elevated intervention risk, as further official action remains possible if the yen weakens beyond tolerated thresholds.
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