NZDCHF Bullish

Analysis Price: 0.4778 (Updated: 17 August 2025, 08:47 UTC)

Comprehensive analysis for NZDCHF showing a predominantly bullish bias with 67% bullish consensus based on combined analytical factors. Market structure, technical patterns, and key levels examined across multiple timeframes.

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Signal Overview

Bullish High Confidence Medium Risk

Market Consensus:

67% Long

33% Short

Valid Timeframes:

M15 H1 H4 D1

Signal Analysis:

The analysis indicates a high confidence bullish bias for NZDCHF (signal strength: 35%). Supporting factors include: Retail sentiment is 74% bullish. Risk assessment for this trade is medium. This signal is most valid on the M15, H1, H4, D1 timeframes.

Sentiment Analysis

LONG SHORT

74% 26%

Historical Sentiment (7 Days)

Sentiment Interpretation

Bullish sentiment with 74% of traders holding long positions. The market has a positive bias, but watch for signs of exhaustion if this percentage increases further.

Support & Resistance Analysis

Resistance Levels

R1: 0.4821 0.90% ↑

Analysis Price: 0.4778

Support Levels

S1: 0.4765 0.28% ↓

Market Regime:

Range

Analyst Bias:

Unknown

Direction Probability:

60%

Price Position Analysis

Price is currently near support at 0.4765 (0.28% below analysis price) with resistance at 0.4821 (0.90% above). This position near support could present a potential buying opportunity with a favorable risk-reward ratio.

Chart Pattern Analysis

No chart patterns detected for NZDCHF at this time.

High Probability Zones

Resistance Zone

95%

Zone Level:

0.4781

analysis price:

0.4778

Distance:

0.07%

Confluence Factors:

Bearish Engulfing 62% Retracement

Valid on Timeframes:

H1 H4 D1 W1

Support Zone

91%

Zone Level:

0.4662

analysis price:

0.4778

Distance:

2.43%

Confluence Factors:

Bullish Engulfing 127% Extension

Valid on Timeframes:

H1 H4 D1 W1

Support Zone

91%

Zone Level:

0.4662

analysis price:

0.4778

Distance:

2.43%

Confluence Factors:

Morning Star 127% Extension Volume Spike

Valid on Timeframes:

H1 H4 D1 W1

High Probability Zones Interpretation

Price is extremely close to a high probability (95%) resistance zone at 0.4781. This presents a potential selling opportunity with stop loss slightly above the zone. Multiple confluence factors strengthen this level's significance.

Multiple high probability zones exist for this pair, indicating a well-structured technical environment with clear levels for trading decisions.

Volatility Analysis

Select Timeframe:

Daily Range (pips):

99.0

Volatility Regime:

Normal

Volatility Level:

45%

10-Day ATR Trend

Volatility Interpretation (H1)

NZDCHF is showing normal volatility (45 percentile) with an expected daily range of 99.0 pips. This represents average market conditions conducive to standard trading strategies. Standard position sizing and stop loss parameters are appropriate.

Correlation Analysis

Top Correlations with NZDCHF

NZDCAD

0.87

NZDUSD

0.86

CHFJPY

-0.78

CADCHF

0.77

GBPCHF

0.70

Correlation Interpretation

Understanding how NZDCHF correlates with other pairs can help with portfolio diversification and risk management. Strong positive correlations (above 0.7) indicate pairs that move similarly, while strong negative correlations (below -0.7) show pairs that typically move in opposite directions.

NZDCHF shows strong positive correlation with: NZDCAD, NZDUSD, CADCHF, GBPCHF. This means these pairs tend to move in the same direction. Trading in the same direction on multiple correlated pairs increases portfolio risk, while finding divergences between correlated pairs can highlight potential reversal opportunities.

NZDCHF shows strong negative correlation with: CHFJPY. This means these pairs tend to move in opposite directions. Negatively correlated pairs can be useful for hedging strategies or to confirm signals (a buy signal in one pair would be supported by a sell signal in the negatively correlated pair).

Currency Strength Analysis

Select Timeframe:

NZD

0.98

Very-strong

CHF

1.00

Very-strong

Relative Strength:

-0.02

Neutral Bias

Currency Strength Interpretation (M15)

NZD and CHF show similar strength levels on the M15 timeframe, with a relative strength of -0.02. This indicates a neutral bias for NZDCHF and suggests range-bound trading conditions may be more likely.

How to Use This Analysis

This comprehensive analysis provides multiple perspectives on NZDCHF to help inform your trading decisions:

Sentiment Analysis: Use to understand market positioning and potential contrarian opportunities
Support & Resistance: Identify key price levels for setting stop losses and take profits
Pattern Analysis: Recognize technical formations that may indicate continuation or reversal
Volatility Analysis: Adjust position sizing and risk management based on current market conditions
Currency Strength: Compare the relative performance of individual currencies within the pair
Correlation Analysis: Understand how this pair moves in relation to others for portfolio diversification

For optimal results, consider how these different factors align. The strongest trading opportunities typically occur when multiple analytical tools show confirmation across different timeframes.