NZDCHF Neutral

Analysis Price: 0.4929 (Updated: 17 May 2025, 15:39 UTC)

Comprehensive analysis for NZDCHF showing neutral market sentiment. Market structure, technical patterns, and key levels examined across multiple timeframes.

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Signal Overview

Neutral Low Confidence Medium Risk

Market Consensus:

47% Long

53% Short

Valid Timeframes:

M15 H1 H4 D1

Signal Analysis:

The analysis indicates a neutral outlook for NZDCHF. Contradicting factors: Retail sentiment is 74% bullish; NZD is showing relative weakness against CHF (diff: 72%). Risk assessment for this trade is medium.

Sentiment Analysis

LONG SHORT

74% 26%

Historical Sentiment (7 Days)

Sentiment Interpretation

Bullish sentiment with 74% of traders holding long positions. The market has a positive bias, but watch for signs of exhaustion if this percentage increases further.

Support & Resistance Analysis

Resistance Levels

R1: 0.5000 1.44% ↑

Analysis Price: 0.4929

Support Levels

S1: 0.4888 0.83% ↓

Market Regime:

Range

Analyst Bias:

Unknown

Direction Probability:

55%

Price Position Analysis

Price is between support at 0.4888 (0.83% below analysis price) and resistance at 0.5000 (1.44% above), with slightly closer proximity to support. Watch for bounce confirmation at support or break below.

Chart Pattern Analysis

No chart patterns detected for NZDCHF at this time.

High Probability Zones

No high probability zones detected for NZDCHF at this time.

Volatility Analysis

Select Timeframe:

Daily Range (pips):

33.0

Volatility Regime:

High

Volatility Level:

87%

10-Day ATR Trend

Volatility Interpretation (H1)

NZDCHF is experiencing high volatility (87 percentile) with an expected daily range of 33.0 pips. This above-average movement creates trading opportunities but requires careful risk management. Consider slightly wider stop losses and moderate position sizing.

Correlation Analysis

Top Correlations with NZDCHF

NZDJPY

0.87

USDCHF

0.86

NZDCAD

0.79

AUDNZD

-0.76

EURCHF

0.75

Correlation Interpretation

Understanding how NZDCHF correlates with other pairs can help with portfolio diversification and risk management. Strong positive correlations (above 0.7) indicate pairs that move similarly, while strong negative correlations (below -0.7) show pairs that typically move in opposite directions.

NZDCHF shows strong positive correlation with: NZDJPY, USDCHF, NZDCAD, EURCHF. This means these pairs tend to move in the same direction. Trading in the same direction on multiple correlated pairs increases portfolio risk, while finding divergences between correlated pairs can highlight potential reversal opportunities.

NZDCHF shows strong negative correlation with: AUDNZD. This means these pairs tend to move in opposite directions. Negatively correlated pairs can be useful for hedging strategies or to confirm signals (a buy signal in one pair would be supported by a sell signal in the negatively correlated pair).

Currency Strength Analysis

Select Timeframe:

NZD

-0.64

Weak

CHF

-0.39

Weak

Relative Strength:

-0.25

Neutral Bias

Currency Strength Interpretation (M15)

CHF is moderately stronger than NZD on the M15 timeframe, with a relative strength of -0.25. This suggests a mild bearish bias for NZDCHF. Monitor for additional confirmation signals before entering a short position.

How to Use This Analysis

This comprehensive analysis provides multiple perspectives on NZDCHF to help inform your trading decisions:

Sentiment Analysis: Use to understand market positioning and potential contrarian opportunities
Support & Resistance: Identify key price levels for setting stop losses and take profits
Pattern Analysis: Recognize technical formations that may indicate continuation or reversal
Volatility Analysis: Adjust position sizing and risk management based on current market conditions
Currency Strength: Compare the relative performance of individual currencies within the pair
Correlation Analysis: Understand how this pair moves in relation to others for portfolio diversification

For optimal results, consider how these different factors align. The strongest trading opportunities typically occur when multiple analytical tools show confirmation across different timeframes.