NZDCHF Bullish

Analysis Price: 0.4642 (Updated: 16 February 2026, 22:23 UTC)

Comprehensive analysis for NZDCHF showing a predominantly bullish bias with 70% bullish consensus based on combined analytical factors. Market structure, technical patterns, and key levels examined across multiple timeframes.

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Signal Overview

Bullish High Confidence High Risk

Market Consensus:

70% Long

30% Short

Valid Timeframes:

M15 H1 H4 D1

Signal Analysis:

The analysis indicates a high confidence bullish bias for NZDCHF (signal strength: 41%). Supporting factors include: NZD is showing relative strength against CHF (diff: 45%); Retail sentiment is 68% bullish. Risk assessment for this trade is high. This signal is most valid on the M15, H1, H4, D1 timeframes.

Sentiment Analysis

LONG SHORT

66% 34%

Historical Sentiment (7 Days)

Sentiment Interpretation

Bullish sentiment with 66% of traders holding long positions. The market has a positive bias, but watch for signs of exhaustion if this percentage increases further.

Support & Resistance Analysis

Resistance Levels

R1: 0.4682 0.87% ↑

Analysis Price: 0.4642

Support Levels

S1: 0.4635 0.15% ↓

Market Regime:

Range

Analyst Bias:

Unknown

Direction Probability:

50%

Price Position Analysis

Price is currently near support at 0.4635 (0.15% below analysis price) with resistance at 0.4682 (0.87% above). This position near support could present a potential buying opportunity with a favorable risk-reward ratio.

Chart Pattern Analysis

No chart patterns detected for NZDCHF at this time.

High Probability Zones

Resistance Zone

95%

Zone Level:

0.4657

analysis price:

0.4642

Distance:

0.32%

Confluence Factors:

Double Top 38% Retracement Volume Spike

Valid on Timeframes:

H1 H4 D1 W1

High Probability Zones Interpretation

Price is extremely close to a high probability (95%) resistance zone at 0.4657. This presents a potential selling opportunity with stop loss slightly above the zone. Multiple confluence factors strengthen this level's significance.

Volatility Analysis

Select Timeframe:

Daily Range (pips):

56.0

Volatility Regime:

High

Volatility Level:

83%

10-Day ATR Trend

Volatility Interpretation (H1)

NZDCHF is experiencing high volatility (83 percentile) with an expected daily range of 56.0 pips. This above-average movement creates trading opportunities but requires careful risk management. Consider slightly wider stop losses and moderate position sizing.

Correlation Analysis

Top Correlations with NZDCHF

NZDJPY

0.90

AUDCHF

0.90

EURNZD

-0.87

GBPNZD

-0.83

CADCHF

0.83

Correlation Interpretation

Understanding how NZDCHF correlates with other pairs can help with portfolio diversification and risk management. Strong positive correlations (above 0.7) indicate pairs that move similarly, while strong negative correlations (below -0.7) show pairs that typically move in opposite directions.

NZDCHF shows strong positive correlation with: NZDJPY, AUDCHF, CADCHF. This means these pairs tend to move in the same direction. Trading in the same direction on multiple correlated pairs increases portfolio risk, while finding divergences between correlated pairs can highlight potential reversal opportunities.

NZDCHF shows strong negative correlation with: EURNZD, GBPNZD. This means these pairs tend to move in opposite directions. Negatively correlated pairs can be useful for hedging strategies or to confirm signals (a buy signal in one pair would be supported by a sell signal in the negatively correlated pair).

Currency Strength Analysis

Select Timeframe:

NZD

0.78

Very-strong

CHF

-0.34

Weak

Relative Strength:

1.12

Bullish Bias

Currency Strength Interpretation (M15)

NZD is significantly stronger than CHF on the M15 timeframe, with a relative strength of 1.12. This suggests a strong bullish bias for NZDCHF. With NZD showing absolute strength and CHF showing absolute weakness, this is an ideal scenario for a long position.

How to Use This Analysis

This comprehensive analysis provides multiple perspectives on NZDCHF to help inform your trading decisions:

Sentiment Analysis: Use to understand market positioning and potential contrarian opportunities
Support & Resistance: Identify key price levels for setting stop losses and take profits
Pattern Analysis: Recognize technical formations that may indicate continuation or reversal
Volatility Analysis: Adjust position sizing and risk management based on current market conditions
Currency Strength: Compare the relative performance of individual currencies within the pair
Correlation Analysis: Understand how this pair moves in relation to others for portfolio diversification

For optimal results, consider how these different factors align. The strongest trading opportunities typically occur when multiple analytical tools show confirmation across different timeframes.