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AI-Enhanced Forex News Archive

Professional trading insights from Tuesday, March 24, 2026

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News Statistics for Tuesday, March 24, 2026

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Archive date: Tuesday, March 24, 2026

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Forexlive

investingLive Americas market news wrap: Waiting for real signs of war negotiations

Washington initiated outreach with Iran but nothing reached a level of negotiations - CNNUS-led group waiting for response from Iran for peace talks on Thursday - reportUS Richmond Fed composite index 0 vs -10 expectedUS March S&P Global flash services PMI 51.1 vs 51.5 expectedSNB Chairman: We are prepared to introduce negative rates but the hurdle is highThe U.S.
USD NZD
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

USD Pressured as US-Iran Diplomatic Outreach Signals Geopolitical Shift

The US dollar faces uncertainty as reports emerge that Washington has initiated outreach with Iran through various intermediaries, though discussions have not yet reached formal negotiation status. The conflict, now in its fourth week, has been a key driver of risk sentiment across forex markets, with safe-haven flows supporting JPY and CHF while weighing on risk-sensitive currencies. Proposals under consideration aim beyond a simple ceasefire toward a comprehensive agreement to end hostilities between the US and Iran. Oil prices, a critical input for commodity-linked currencies such as CAD and NOK, remain elevated amid the ongoing conflict but could face downward pressure if diplomatic progress materializes. The DXY (US Dollar Index) has shown choppy price action as traders digest conflicting signals between geopolitical risk premiums and potential de-escalation. Near-term, traders should monitor headline risk closely, as any confirmation of formal negotiations could trigger significant moves in USD pairs, particularly USD/JPY and USD/CHF. Risk management remains paramount in this headline-driven environment.
USDJPY USDCHF USDCAD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Finnhub
rttnews.com

Markets Nervous Amidst Renewed Iran Tensions

The relief rally in global markets on Monday turned out to be short-lived as renewed worries about an escalation in the conflict dampened sentiment and pushed crude oil price higher.
USDCAD
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

USD/JPY Consolidates Below 160.00 as US-Iran Talks and Weak PMIs Drive FX

USD/JPY is consolidating just below the psychologically significant 160.00 level during European trading hours, as markets digest a mix of geopolitical developments and disappointing PMI data across Europe. UK flash services PMI came in at 51.2, well below the 53.0 consensus, weighing on GBP sentiment. Eurozone services PMI printed at 50.1 versus 51.1 expected, barely holding in expansion territory, while French services PMI fell deeper into contraction at 48.3 versus 49.0 forecast. The standout upside surprise was Germany's manufacturing PMI at 51.7, comfortably beating the 49.5 expectation and marking a return to expansion. Geopolitical focus has shifted to US-Iran negotiations after reports that Iran's Supreme Leader agreed to engage with the US, though Israeli officials cautioned that talks are unlikely to succeed despite Trump's desire for a deal. The mixed risk backdrop is keeping markets in a holding pattern. Traders should watch 160.00 as key resistance for USD/JPY and monitor geopolitical headlines for directional catalysts across major pairs.
USDJPY EURUSD GBPUSD EURGBP
Sentiment: Very Negative
Source: Finnhub
investing.com

USD/JPY and FTSE 100 in Focus as Risk Sentiment Drives Markets

USD/JPY remains a key pair to watch as traders navigate a complex macro landscape shaped by divergent central bank policies and shifting risk appetite. The pair has been trading in a volatile range, with the Bank of Japan's cautious approach to policy normalization contrasting with the Federal Reserve's data-dependent stance. Crude oil prices, tracked via WTI futures, continue to influence broader market sentiment and the US Dollar Index, which has shown mixed signals in recent sessions. The FTSE 100's performance provides additional context for GBP crosses, as UK equity strength or weakness often correlates with sterling positioning. Technical analysis on USD/JPY highlights key resistance near recent highs, while support levels are being tested amid headline-driven volatility. Traders should watch upcoming US economic releases and any shifts in BOJ rhetoric for directional cues. The interplay between equity risk sentiment and yen safe-haven demand will likely dictate near-term USD/JPY trajectory, making cross-asset monitoring essential for forex positioning.
USDJPY GBPUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

EUR/USD and EUR/GBP Volatile Amid Headline-Driven FX Trading

EUR/USD and EUR/GBP continue to experience elevated volatility as forex markets remain firmly in headline-driven trading mode, with geopolitical developments and shifting economic expectations dominating price action. The US Dollar Index has shown erratic movement, reflecting uncertainty around the Fed's rate path and broader risk sentiment swings triggered by rapidly evolving news flow. EUR/USD traders are navigating between competing forces: euro area economic resilience and persistent US dollar safe-haven demand during periods of geopolitical stress. EUR/GBP has also seen notable fluctuations as the Bank of England and European Central Bank policy divergence creates opportunities for cross-pair traders. The lack of a clear directional catalyst has resulted in range-bound trading with sharp intraday reversals, making risk management particularly critical. Technical levels on EUR/USD remain well-defined, with traders watching key support and resistance zones for breakout signals. Near-term, the market's sensitivity to headlines suggests that positioning should remain light and nimble, with stop-losses tightly managed to account for sudden sentiment shifts.
EURUSD EURGBP
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

EUR/USD Under Pressure as France Services PMI Slumps to 5-Month Low

EUR/USD faces headwinds after France's March flash services PMI came in at 48.3, significantly missing the 49.0 consensus and falling from the prior reading of 49.6. The composite PMI also disappointed at 48.3 versus 49.3 expected, marking a five-month low in business activity and signaling deepening contraction in France's services sector at the close of Q1. On a brighter note, France's manufacturing PMI surprised to the upside at 50.2 versus 49.5 expected, crossing back into expansion territory from the prior 50.1. However, the manufacturing beat was insufficient to offset the broader weakness in services, which remains the dominant sector in the French economy. The deteriorating French economic outlook adds to concerns about Eurozone growth momentum and could weigh on ECB policy expectations. Traders should monitor upcoming PMI releases from Germany and the broader Eurozone for confirmation of this softening trend. Near-term, the weak data introduces downside risk for the euro against major counterparts, particularly if other Eurozone economies report similar weakness.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

USD/JPY: Japan to Release One-Month Crude Oil Reserves, Pressuring Yen

Japan's government has confirmed it will release approximately one month's supply of crude oil reserves beginning March 26, following an earlier release of about 15 days' worth of private-sector reserves on March 16. This strategic move aims to stabilize domestic energy costs and alleviate inflationary pressures from elevated global oil prices. The release of reserves effectively increases crude supply in the Japanese market, which could weigh on import costs and influence the Bank of Japan's inflation outlook. For USD/JPY, the implications are nuanced: lower energy import costs could reduce Japan's trade deficit, providing modest yen support, but the broader signal suggests Japan is responding to sustained commodity price pressures that have weighed on its current account. Traders should monitor how this supply injection affects crude oil benchmarks and whether it shifts BOJ rate expectations. Near-term, USD/JPY remains sensitive to both energy market developments and US-Japan interest rate differentials. The decision underscores Japan's proactive fiscal policy stance in managing energy security amid geopolitical uncertainty surrounding global oil supply chains.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Finnhub
investing.com

EUR/USD Tests 2-Week Highs as Trump Tariff Speculation Weighs on Dollar

EUR/USD is testing two-week highs as the euro benefits from renewed dollar weakness driven by speculation surrounding potential Trump tariff adjustments, referred to in market circles as the 'TACO' scenario. The pair has pushed higher during early Monday trading as traders reassess the impact of evolving US trade policy on the greenback. Uncertainty around tariff implementation timelines and scope has contributed to a risk-repricing environment, with the US Dollar Index futures trading under pressure. The dollar's vulnerability stems from concerns that aggressive trade measures could slow US economic growth, potentially influencing the Federal Reserve's monetary policy trajectory. Meanwhile, crude oil markets remain a secondary factor, with WTI futures adding to the broader macro picture. The euro's advance comes despite mixed Eurozone fundamentals, suggesting the move is primarily dollar-driven. Traders should watch for further clarity on US trade policy developments, as any concrete tariff announcements could trigger sharp directional moves in EUR/USD and related dollar pairs.
EURUSD DXY
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
seekingalpha.com

USD/CAD Eyes Breakout Above 1.3730 on Risk-On Shift After Iran News

USD/CAD is exhibiting a cautiously bullish posture as traders await a decisive break above the key 1.3730 resistance level. The pair experienced significant volatility following the US postponement of military strikes on Iran, which triggered a broad risk-on sentiment shift across financial markets. The geopolitical de-escalation reduced safe-haven demand for the US dollar while simultaneously easing pressure on crude oil prices, a critical factor for the commodity-linked Canadian dollar. Despite the risk-on environment typically favoring CAD strength, the pair's bullish bias suggests underlying USD resilience, potentially driven by persistent interest rate differentials between the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Canada. The 1.3730 level represents a pivotal technical threshold; a sustained break above could open the path toward 1.3800, while failure to breach resistance may see the pair consolidate back toward 1.3650 support. Traders should remain vigilant for any re-escalation in Middle East tensions, which could rapidly reverse current positioning. Upcoming Canadian GDP and US employment data will also serve as key directional catalysts.
USDCAD
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

USD/JPY eyes upside as Japan flash PMI slows across sectors in March

USD/JPY faces upward pressure as Japan's March flash composite PMI data revealed a broad-based cooling in economic momentum, potentially undermining the case for near-term Bank of Japan tightening. The services PMI eased to 52.8 from 53.8, while manufacturing PMI dropped more sharply to 51.4 from 53.0. Manufacturing output saw the steepest decline, falling to 51.8 from 54.2 in the prior reading. While both sectors remain in expansion territory above 50, the deceleration signals fading growth momentum in the Japanese economy. Adding to concerns, cost pressures continued to rise, creating a stagflationary dynamic that complicates the BOJ's policy outlook. The combination of slowing activity and persistent inflation inputs may lead the central bank to adopt a more cautious stance on further rate normalization. Traders should monitor upcoming BOJ commentary for guidance on the rate path. Near-term, the softening PMI data is JPY-negative, as reduced tightening expectations could weigh on the currency against its major counterparts, particularly the US dollar.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Finnhub

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