The Swiss franc is strengthening broadly as Middle East geopolitical risks continue to mount, with Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps signaling it will no longer tolerate what it calls 'deceptive ceasefires' used by the US to regroup militarily. USD/CHF is declining as traders rotate into traditional safe-haven currencies amid fears of sustained regional conflict. The IRGC's hardened rhetoric suggests Tehran is preparing for prolonged confrontation, reducing the probability of near-term diplomatic resolution. This development compounds existing risk-off flows triggered by earlier reports of explosions in Kuwait and Trump's consideration of expanded military operations. EUR/CHF is also under pressure as the franc outperforms the euro. Oil markets remain elevated on supply disruption fears, adding a stagflationary dimension to the macro outlook. Traders should closely monitor developments from Iranian state media and US military positioning for further directional signals. Support for USD/CHF may be tested at lower levels if escalation continues unabated throughout the week.
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