EURAUD Bearish

Analysis Price: 1.7740 (Updated: 1 October 2025, 16:12 UTC)

Comprehensive analysis for EURAUD showing a predominantly bearish bias with 79% bearish consensus based on combined analytical factors. Market structure, technical patterns, and key levels examined across multiple timeframes.

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Signal Overview

Bearish High Confidence High Risk

Market Consensus:

21% Long

79% Short

Valid Timeframes:

M15 H1 H4 D1

Signal Analysis:

The analysis indicates a high confidence bearish bias for EURAUD (signal strength: 57%). Supporting factors include: High probability (92%) resistance zone detected at 1.7849; Retail sentiment is 67% bearish. Risk assessment for this trade is high. This signal is most valid on the M15, H1, H4, D1 timeframes.

Sentiment Analysis

LONG SHORT

34% 66%

Historical Sentiment (7 Days)

Sentiment Interpretation

Bearish sentiment with 66% of traders holding short positions. The market has a negative bias, but watch for signs of exhaustion if this percentage increases further.

Support & Resistance Analysis

Resistance Levels

R1: 1.7819 0.45% ↑

Analysis Price: 1.7740

Support Levels

S1: 1.7728 0.06% ↓

Market Regime:

Downtrend

Analyst Bias:

Unknown

Direction Probability:

70%

Price Position Analysis

Price is currently near support at 1.7728 (0.06% below analysis price) with resistance at 1.7819 (0.45% above). This position near support could present a potential buying opportunity with a favorable risk-reward ratio.

Chart Pattern Analysis

95%

Hammer

Reliability:

95%

Detected: Sep 30, 23:21

87%

Rectangle

Reliability:

87%

Detected: Oct 1, 05:18

Pattern Analysis Interpretation

Mixed pattern signals detected, suggesting conflicting technical factors. The most reliable pattern is a bullish Hammer on the H1 timeframe with 95% historical reliability. Multiple timeframes showing pattern confirmation increases the reliability of the signal.

High Probability Zones

No high probability zones detected for EURAUD at this time.

Volatility Analysis

Select Timeframe:

Daily Range (pips):

33.0

Volatility Regime:

Extreme

Volatility Level:

100%

10-Day ATR Trend

Volatility Interpretation (H1)

EURAUD is currently showing extreme volatility (100 percentile) with an expected daily range of 33.0 pips. This indicates potentially rapid price movements that create both opportunity and risk. Consider wider stop losses (1.5-2x normal size) and reduced position sizes to manage the elevated risk.

Correlation Analysis

Top Correlations with EURAUD

EURJPY

0.84

GBPAUD

0.83

EURCHF

0.81

AUDJPY

-0.81

AUDCHF

-0.70

Correlation Interpretation

Understanding how EURAUD correlates with other pairs can help with portfolio diversification and risk management. Strong positive correlations (above 0.7) indicate pairs that move similarly, while strong negative correlations (below -0.7) show pairs that typically move in opposite directions.

EURAUD shows strong positive correlation with: EURJPY, GBPAUD, EURCHF. This means these pairs tend to move in the same direction. Trading in the same direction on multiple correlated pairs increases portfolio risk, while finding divergences between correlated pairs can highlight potential reversal opportunities.

EURAUD shows strong negative correlation with: AUDJPY, AUDCHF. This means these pairs tend to move in opposite directions. Negatively correlated pairs can be useful for hedging strategies or to confirm signals (a buy signal in one pair would be supported by a sell signal in the negatively correlated pair).

Currency Strength Analysis

Select Timeframe:

EUR

0.60

Strong

AUD

-0.69

Weak

Relative Strength:

1.29

Bullish Bias

Currency Strength Interpretation (M15)

EUR is significantly stronger than AUD on the M15 timeframe, with a relative strength of 1.29. This suggests a strong bullish bias for EURAUD. With EUR showing absolute strength and AUD showing absolute weakness, this is an ideal scenario for a long position.

How to Use This Analysis

This comprehensive analysis provides multiple perspectives on EURAUD to help inform your trading decisions:

Sentiment Analysis: Use to understand market positioning and potential contrarian opportunities
Support & Resistance: Identify key price levels for setting stop losses and take profits
Pattern Analysis: Recognize technical formations that may indicate continuation or reversal
Volatility Analysis: Adjust position sizing and risk management based on current market conditions
Currency Strength: Compare the relative performance of individual currencies within the pair
Correlation Analysis: Understand how this pair moves in relation to others for portfolio diversification

For optimal results, consider how these different factors align. The strongest trading opportunities typically occur when multiple analytical tools show confirmation across different timeframes.