EURAUD Bearish

Analysis Price: 1.7800 (Updated: 17 November 2025, 12:43 UTC)

Comprehensive analysis for EURAUD showing a predominantly bearish bias with 81% bearish consensus based on combined analytical factors. Market structure, technical patterns, and key levels examined across multiple timeframes.

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Signal Overview

Bearish High Confidence Medium Risk

Market Consensus:

19% Long

81% Short

Valid Timeframes:

M15 H1 H4 D1

Signal Analysis:

The analysis indicates a high confidence bearish bias for EURAUD (signal strength: 62%). Supporting factors include: High probability (95%) resistance zone detected at 1.8; Retail sentiment is 69% bearish; EUR is showing relative weakness against AUD (diff: 38%). Risk assessment for this trade is medium. This signal is most valid on the M15, H1, H4, D1 timeframes.

Sentiment Analysis

LONG SHORT

34% 66%

Historical Sentiment (7 Days)

Sentiment Interpretation

Bearish sentiment with 66% of traders holding short positions. The market has a negative bias, but watch for signs of exhaustion if this percentage increases further.

Support & Resistance Analysis

Resistance Levels

R1: 1.7869 0.39% ↑

Analysis Price: 1.7800

Support Levels

S1: 1.7630 0.96% ↓

Market Regime:

Range

Analyst Bias:

Unknown

Direction Probability:

70%

Price Position Analysis

Price is currently near resistance at 1.7869 (0.39% above analysis price) with support at 1.7630 (0.96% below). This position near resistance could present a potential selling opportunity with a favorable risk-reward ratio.

Chart Pattern Analysis

54%

Symmetric Triangle

Reliability:

54%

Detected: Nov 17, 08:52

Pattern Analysis Interpretation

Predominantly neutral patterns detected, suggesting a potential consolidation phase. The most reliable pattern is a neutral Symmetric Triangle on the H4 timeframe with 54% historical reliability. This pattern is currently only confirmed on the H4 timeframe.

High Probability Zones

Support Zone

95%

Zone Level:

1.7688

analysis price:

1.7800

Distance:

0.73%

Confluence Factors:

Double Bottom 79% Retracement Volume Spike

Valid on Timeframes:

H1 H4 D1 W1

Support Zone

95%

Zone Level:

1.7765

analysis price:

1.7800

Distance:

0.30%

Confluence Factors:

Morning Star 50% Retracement Volume Spike

Valid on Timeframes:

H1 H4 D1 W1

Support Zone

95%

Zone Level:

1.7688

analysis price:

1.7800

Distance:

0.73%

Confluence Factors:

Double Bottom 79% Retracement

Valid on Timeframes:

H1 H4 D1 W1

High Probability Zones Interpretation

Price is approaching a high probability (95%) support zone at 1.7688, currently 0.73% away. Consider preparing a buy strategy as price approaches this level, watching for confirmation signals.

Multiple high probability zones exist for this pair, indicating a well-structured technical environment with clear levels for trading decisions.

Volatility Analysis

Select Timeframe:

Daily Range (pips):

87.0

Volatility Regime:

Low

Volatility Level:

13%

10-Day ATR Trend

Volatility Interpretation (H1)

EURAUD is exhibiting low volatility (13 percentile) with an expected daily range of just 87.0 pips. This reduced movement typically indicates consolidation or indecision in the market. Consider tighter stop losses but be aware that breakout potential increases after periods of low volatility.

Correlation Analysis

Top Correlations with EURAUD

EURCAD

0.90

AUDJPY

-0.88

AUDNZD

-0.73

EURUSD

0.69

AUDCHF

-0.69

Correlation Interpretation

Understanding how EURAUD correlates with other pairs can help with portfolio diversification and risk management. Strong positive correlations (above 0.7) indicate pairs that move similarly, while strong negative correlations (below -0.7) show pairs that typically move in opposite directions.

EURAUD shows strong positive correlation with: EURCAD. This means these pairs tend to move in the same direction. Trading in the same direction on multiple correlated pairs increases portfolio risk, while finding divergences between correlated pairs can highlight potential reversal opportunities.

EURAUD shows strong negative correlation with: AUDJPY, AUDNZD. This means these pairs tend to move in opposite directions. Negatively correlated pairs can be useful for hedging strategies or to confirm signals (a buy signal in one pair would be supported by a sell signal in the negatively correlated pair).

Currency Strength Analysis

Select Timeframe:

EUR

-0.83

Very-weak

AUD

0.73

Very-strong

Relative Strength:

-1.56

Bearish Bias

Currency Strength Interpretation (M15)

AUD is significantly stronger than EUR on the M15 timeframe, with a relative strength of -1.56. This suggests a strong bearish bias for EURAUD. With AUD showing absolute strength and EUR showing absolute weakness, this is an ideal scenario for a short position.

How to Use This Analysis

This comprehensive analysis provides multiple perspectives on EURAUD to help inform your trading decisions:

Sentiment Analysis: Use to understand market positioning and potential contrarian opportunities
Support & Resistance: Identify key price levels for setting stop losses and take profits
Pattern Analysis: Recognize technical formations that may indicate continuation or reversal
Volatility Analysis: Adjust position sizing and risk management based on current market conditions
Currency Strength: Compare the relative performance of individual currencies within the pair
Correlation Analysis: Understand how this pair moves in relation to others for portfolio diversification

For optimal results, consider how these different factors align. The strongest trading opportunities typically occur when multiple analytical tools show confirmation across different timeframes.