The Signal Overview at the top weighs five of the readings above into one score, and the setups worth acting on are the ones where the factors that voted agree. Every pair ranked: Signals. Today's plans: Daily Forecast.
EUR/AUD Analysis
Comprehensive analysis for EURAUD showing neutral market bias. Market structure, technical patterns, and key levels examined across multiple timeframes.
View EURAUD sentiment overview
AI analyst comment
EURAUD has climbed from the Oct 28 low at 1.57767 to Friday's 1.63013 high. Dips since Nov 6 have held above 1.616, and Friday closed near the top at 1.62699. MACD is rising above its signal, and RSI at 61.3 is supportive without being overbought. Retail is 53% long, neutral, so the case rests on structure and euro outperformance against a weak Aussie rather than on sentiment. A daily close above the 1.62903-1.63013 cap would extend toward 1.6335 and 1.6445, while a drop below 1.61575 would break the higher-low sequence.
Signal Overview
Neutral
Low Confidence
High Volatility
Signal Balance:
45% Long
55% Short
Signal strength
10%
Factors are split
no clear majority
Factor detail
Strength
16%
Patterns
23%
S/R
27%
HP Zones
34%
Sentiment
retail positioning too balanced to count (53% long)
—
Signal Analysis:
The analysis indicates a neutral outlook for EURAUD. Supporting factors include: Retail positioning is not one-sided enough to count (53% long, 47% short). Contradicting factors: High probability (69%) resistance zone detected at 1.62903; The analysis reads the structure as bullish, even though the nearest resistance at 1.62903 (0.12% above) sits closer than support. Volatility on this pair is currently high.
AI Daily Forecast
LONG
Buy limit Expected result +0.08 × your risk estimate
Entry1.62280
Stop1.61520
Target 11.63350
Target 21.64450
Risk / reward1:1.41
Buy a pullback inside the 1.6157-1.6290 shelf with the stop below it, targeting a breakout to 1.6335. AUD is the weakest currency in the analysis, weighed by plunging investor home lending and expectations of an RBA pause.
Not the signal above, which is a score refreshed every three hours: this plan is written once a night, for one session. The full board.
Sentiment Analysis
LONG
SHORT
53%
47%
Historical Sentiment
Sentiment Interpretation
Retail positioning is balanced (53% long). Up to 60% on either side it carries no weight in our signals, and a balanced reading says nothing about the next move.
By currency
EUReuro62% long38% short
AUDAustralian dollar61% long39% short
Retail is long both EUR (62% long on average) and AUD (61% long) against the rest of the majors: the 53% long on EUR/AUD is where the two crowds meet, not a lean on either currency by itself.
All 8 currenciesPrice and retail positioning
The same retail long % as above, over the whole archive and drawn against the price. Candles from 15 minutes to monthly.
Retail
Open EUR/AUD on TradingViewCharts drawn with TradingView Lightweight Charts™ · Copyright (с) 2025 TradingView, Inc.
Daily candles from our broker price feed, 2 October 2023 to 13 November 2026 (bid prices; the day closes at 17:00 New York); weekly and monthly candles are built from them. Drag to pan; scroll, drag the time axis or pinch to zoom. On a touch screen, drag the price scale with one finger to move the chart up or down, with two to stretch it, and double-tap it to reset.
The 15-minute, hourly and four-hour candles come from the same feed and load when you pick them; older ones load by themselves as you scroll left, back to the start of the archive. Four-hour candles open at 17:00, 21:00, 01:00, 05:00, 09:00 and 13:00 New York, as on TradingView. Their last candle is still forming and refreshes about every minute while the view is open. On those views the retail positioning is drawn as steps: it is a snapshot every 3 hours, not a minute-by-minute reading.
Retail positioning: daily snapshots since 12 May 2025, 494 so far · latest 53% long at 13 Nov 21:00 UTC; on the weekly and monthly views it is the average of the trading days. From 60% on one side it counts as crowded and from 75% as extreme, the same three states the Trade Panel shows. The positioning is refreshed every 3 hours on weekdays, not real-time.
Want this retail positioning on your MT5 charts? The Trade Panel puts it inside MetaTrader 5 for all 29 markets, next to our signal and the AI plan of the day, and the Chart Panel, new in 1.8, draws them on the chart you trade. One license covers both panels.
Discover the panelSupport & Resistance Analysis
Arithmetic pivots for this pair are pre-filled in the EURAUD pivot point calculator.
Analysis Price:
1.62702
Market price now1.62682Fri 13 Nov, 21:55 UTC · market closed
Between S1 1.62232 (44.9 pips below) and R1 1.62903 (22.2 pips above)
Resistance Levels
R1:
1.62903
0.12%
↑
R2:
1.63013
0.19%
↑
R3:
1.63350
0.40%
↑
R4:
1.64450
1.07%
↑
Support Levels
S1:
1.62232
0.29%
↓
S2:
1.61575
0.69%
↓
S3:
1.60807
1.16%
↓
Market Regime:
Uptrend
AI Bias:
Bullish
Price Position Analysis
Price is currently near resistance at 1.62903 (0.12% above analysis price) with support at 1.62232 (0.29% below). This position near resistance could present a potential selling opportunity with a favorable risk-reward ratio.
Chart Pattern Analysis
H4
66%
Bearish Engulfing
Reliability:
Detected: Nov 13, 18:00 UTC · last closed bar
D1
66%
Bearish Engulfing
Reliability:
Detected: Nov 11 · 2 D1 bars ago
D1
75%
Double Top
Reliability:
Detected: Nov 10 · 3 D1 bars ago · fading
H4
59%
Shooting Star
Reliability:
Detected: Nov 12, 18:00 UTC · 6 H4 bars ago · fading
Pattern Analysis Interpretation
Predominantly bearish patterns detected across timeframes, suggesting downward pressure. The most relevant formation right now is a Bearish Engulfing on H4, documented at 66% historical reliability for that pattern type and printed on the last closed bar. The same bearish reading appears on 2 timeframes, which is worth more than a single chart agreeing with itself.
High Probability Zones
Resistance Zone
69%
Zone Band (3 levels):
1.62903 – 1.63350
Analysis Price:
1.62702
Distance:
0.12%
Market price now1.62682Fri 13 Nov, 21:55 UTC · market closed
22.2 pips below the zone
Confluence Factors:
Context (not scored):
Support Zone
56%
Zone Level:
1.60807
Analysis Price:
1.62702
Distance:
1.16%
Market price now1.62682Fri 13 Nov, 21:55 UTC · market closed
187.4 pips above the zone
Confluence Factors:
Context (not scored):
Support Zone
55%
Zone Level:
1.61575
Analysis Price:
1.62702
Distance:
0.69%
Market price now1.62682Fri 13 Nov, 21:55 UTC · market closed
110.6 pips above the zone
Confluence Factors:
Context (not scored):
Support Zone
52%
Zone Level:
1.62232
Analysis Price:
1.62702
Distance:
0.29%
Market price now1.62682Fri 13 Nov, 21:55 UTC · market closed
44.9 pips above the zone
Confluence Factors:
Context (not scored):
High Probability Zones Interpretation
Price is sitting right on the strongest resistance zone we scored for this pair, at 1.62903 (confluence score 69%). The score comes from 3 factors converging here: a bearish engulfing formed at the level, a psychological round number and 3 distinct tests in the last 30 days.
4 zones were scored for this pair: 3 below the analysis price and 1 above it.
Volatility Analysis
Select Timeframe:
Daily Range (pips):
109.3
Volatility Regime:
High
Volatility Level:
80%
10-Day ATR Trend
Volatility Interpretation (D1)
EURAUD is experiencing high volatility (80 percentile) with an expected range of 109.3 pips per session. This above-average movement creates trading opportunities but requires careful risk management. Consider slightly wider stop losses and moderate position sizing.
Correlation Analysis
Top Correlations with EURAUD
GBPAUD
0.96
AUDCHF
-0.88
AUDCAD
-0.86
AUDJPY
-0.77
AUDUSD
-0.70
Correlation Interpretation
EURAUD shows strong positive correlation with: GBPAUD. This means these pairs tend to move in the same direction. Trading in the same direction on multiple correlated pairs increases portfolio risk, while finding divergences between correlated pairs can highlight potential reversal opportunities.
EURAUD shows strong negative correlation with: AUDCHF, AUDCAD, AUDJPY, AUDUSD. This means these pairs tend to move in opposite directions. Negatively correlated pairs can be useful for hedging strategies or to confirm signals (a buy signal in one pair would be supported by a sell signal in the negatively correlated pair).
Currency Strength Analysis
Select Timeframe:
Weighted across timeframes the way our signal reads it (daily counts most), EUR vs AUD comes out at +0.23 — bullish for EURAUD. Individual tabs can disagree with it: shorter windows swing more.
EUR
-0.04
Neutral
vs
AUD
-0.27
Neutral
Relative Strength:
0.23
Bullish Bias
Currency Strength Interpretation (D1)
EUR is moderately stronger than AUD on the D1 timeframe, with a relative strength of 0.23. This suggests a mild bullish bias for EURAUD. Monitor for additional confirmation signals before entering a long position.
How to Use This Analysis
Other Currency Pairs
EURUSD
Bearish (High)
GBPUSD
Bearish (Low)
USDJPY
Bullish (Low)
USDCHF
Bullish (Medium)
AUDUSD
Bearish (Medium)
USDCAD
Bullish (Low)
NZDUSD
Bearish (Medium)
EURGBP
Bearish (Low)
EURJPY
Neutral (Low)
EURCHF
Neutral (Low)
EURCAD
Bearish (Medium)
EURNZD
Neutral (Low)
GBPJPY
Bearish (Low)
GBPCHF
Bullish (Medium)
GBPAUD
Neutral (Low)
GBPCAD
Bearish (Low)
GBPNZD
Neutral (Low)
AUDJPY
Neutral (Low)
CADJPY
Neutral (Low)
NZDJPY
Bearish (Medium)
CHFJPY
Bearish (Medium)
AUDCHF
Bearish (Low)
AUDCAD
Bearish (Low)
AUDNZD
Neutral (Low)
NZDCHF
Bullish (Low)
NZDCAD
Neutral (Low)
CADCHF
Neutral (Low)
XAUUSD
Neutral (Low)
