However, there may be an issue if Apple's decision to move plants to India is not resolved. On Friday, Trump threatened a 25% tariff on Apple products if they are not manufactured in the US. Apple meanwhile was looking to move more manufacturing to India from China to circumvent tariffs.
Source: Finnhub
Market Analysis by covering: Euro US Dollar, US Dollar Index Futures, United States 30-Year, US Dollar Index. Read 's Market Analysis on Investing.com
EURUSD
Source: Marketaux
Market Analysis by covering: US Dollar Canadian Dollar, Invesco QQQ Trust, US Dollar Index Futures. Read 's Market Analysis on Investing.com
USDCAD
Source: Marketaux
Forex news from the European morning session on May 26, 2025
AUDUSD
Source: Marketaux
Market Analysis by covering: US Dollar Canadian Dollar. Read 's Market Analysis on Investing.com
USDCAD
Source: Marketaux
The AUD/USD outlook is strongly bullish as the pair extends its winning streak in the new week, reaching Nov 2024 highs.
AUDUSD
Source: Marketaux
The GBP/USD forecast turns strongly bullish after a corrective pullback. The pair breached the 39-month top amid favorable UK data.
GBPUSD
Source: Marketaux
Market Analysis by covering: Euro US Dollar, US Dollar Japanese Yen, Gold Spot US Dollar, Apple Inc. Read 's Market Analysis on Investing.com
USDJPY
Source: Marketaux
AUD/USD has surged 0.5% to 0.6485, approaching critical resistance at 0.6500 as the US dollar extends its recent decline into month-end. The pair is challenging a major technical level that has capped gains since early May, with momentum indicators suggesting potential for an upside breakout. Dollar weakness stems from growing expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts in H2 2025, while the Australian dollar finds support from resilient commodity prices and stable domestic economic data. The 0.6500 level represents both psychological resistance and the 50-day moving average convergence point. A decisive break above could trigger acceleration toward 0.6550-0.6580, where the 200-day moving average resides. Traders are positioning for potential month-end flows that could amplify the move, with stop-losses clustered above 0.6510. Near-term support sits at 0.6450, with failure to hold above potentially negating the bullish setup.
AUDUSD
Sentiment:
Very Positive
Source: Marketaux
EUR/USD climbed 0.4% to 1.0570 following reports that President Trump is reconsidering aggressive tariff proposals, easing concerns about global trade disruptions. The dollar index dropped 0.3% to 106.20 as markets reassessed the likelihood of immediate protectionist measures. Gold prices paused near $2,050/oz after last week's 1.2% gain, as reduced safe-haven demand offset ongoing dollar weakness. European currencies broadly benefited from the shift in trade policy rhetoric, with traders unwinding defensive positions built over recent weeks. Technical indicators show EUR/USD breaking above its 20-day moving average at 1.0550, targeting resistance at 1.0600. Gold maintains support at $2,035, though momentum has stalled as geopolitical tensions ease. The week ahead features key US Treasury auctions that could influence dollar direction, while any clarification on trade policy remains a primary market driver for risk sentiment and currency flows.
EURUSD
DXY
Sentiment:
Positive
Source: Marketaux
European equity futures surged 1.5% in early Monday trading, with EUR/USD climbing 0.4% to 1.0845 as President Trump postponed planned 50% EU tariffs from June 1 to July 9, opting for negotiations instead. The delay provided immediate relief to European markets after Friday's sharp selloff triggered by the initial tariff announcement. German DAX futures rose 1.4%, reflecting improved risk sentiment across European assets. The euro's strength was further supported by broad dollar weakness, with the greenback declining against all major currencies in Asian trading. Technical indicators suggest EUR/USD faces immediate resistance at 1.0880, with support established at 1.0800. The tariff delay creates a temporary window of stability for EUR/USD, though uncertainty remains regarding July negotiations. Traders should monitor upcoming EU-US trade discussions and any shifts in Trump's stance that could trigger volatility.
EURUSD
Sentiment:
Positive
Source: Finnhub
USD/JPY declined 0.6% to 155.20 during Monday's Asian session as macro traders expressed growing concerns about self-inflicted harm to the US dollar from American policy decisions. The pair's weakness reflects diminishing confidence in dollar strength amid uncertainty over trade policies and their potential economic impact. Market participants are increasingly positioning for yen strength as a safe-haven play against US policy volatility. The move accelerated as broader dollar selling emerged across major pairs, with traders citing fears of protectionist measures undermining US economic growth. Technical analysis shows USD/JPY breaking below the 155.50 support level, opening the path toward 154.80. The 200-day moving average at 154.00 represents the next major support. Rising implied volatility suggests traders expect continued uncertainty, potentially benefiting the yen as traditional risk-off flows return to Japanese currency markets.
USDJPY
Sentiment:
Negative
Source: Marketaux
USD/JPY faces downward pressure near 149.50 as technology sector weakness dampens risk appetite ahead of crucial US Treasury auctions this week. NVIDIA's 3.5% decline led a broader tech selloff, pushing the S&P 500 down 0.8% and strengthening the yen's safe-haven appeal. The pair has retreated from last week's high of 150.20, with technical indicators suggesting further downside risk. This week's Treasury auctions of 2-year, 5-year, and 7-year notes totaling $183 billion could significantly impact dollar funding costs and yield differentials. Japanese investors remain net sellers of foreign bonds, adding to yen strength as repatriation flows continue. Support levels emerge at 149.00 (50-day MA) and 148.50 (previous week's low), while resistance at 150.00 now caps upside attempts. Traders anticipate increased volatility around auction results, with poor demand potentially accelerating USD/JPY losses toward the 148.00 handle.
USDJPY
EURUSD
Sentiment:
Negative
Source: Marketaux
The US dollar faced broad selling pressure across Asian markets Monday, with major currencies posting significant gains following Trump's decision to delay 50% EU tariffs from June 1 to July 9. EUR/USD rose 0.4%, AUD/USD gained 0.5%, while GBP/USD, NZD/USD, and USD/CAD all advanced between 0.3-0.4%. The Chinese yuan (USD/CNH) also strengthened despite PBOC intervention attempts. The tariff delay sparked risk-on sentiment, benefiting commodity and growth-sensitive currencies. Market participants interpreted the postponement as reducing immediate trade war risks, though uncertainty remains for July negotiations. Technical momentum favors continued dollar weakness, with the DXY index breaking below 104.50 support. Asian equity futures rallied alongside currency moves, suggesting improved risk appetite. Traders should monitor upcoming US data releases and any Trump administration comments that could shift the current dovish dollar narrative.
EURUSD
AUDUSD
GBPUSD
NZDUSD
USDCAD
USDCNH
Sentiment:
Negative
Source: Marketaux
USD/CNY is expected to decline to 7.00 within 12 months according to Goldman Sachs' revised forecast, representing a significant yuan appreciation from their previous target of 7.35. The investment bank maintains an overweight position on Chinese equities, citing the strong historical correlation between yuan appreciation and Chinese stock performance. Consumer discretionary, property, and brokerage sectors are identified as primary beneficiaries of the strengthening currency. The forecast revision reflects improving Chinese economic fundamentals and potential policy support measures. Current USD/CNY trades near 7.25, suggesting approximately 3.5% potential yuan appreciation from current levels. Technical indicators show strong support forming at 7.20, with resistance at 7.30. The strengthening yuan could attract additional foreign investment flows into Chinese markets, potentially accelerating the currency's appreciation momentum and creating favorable conditions for yuan-denominated assets.
USDCNY
Sentiment:
Negative
Source: Finnhub
The US dollar experienced widespread selling during Monday's Asian session, with all major currencies posting gains against the greenback. EUR/USD advanced 0.4% to 1.0845, while AUD/USD climbed 0.5% to 0.6520. GBP/USD rose 0.35% to 1.2680, with NZD/USD and CAD strength also evident. Even USD/CNH declined despite People's Bank of China efforts to support the dollar-yuan pair. The coordinated move suggests a fundamental shift in dollar sentiment, driven by concerns over US trade policies and their economic implications. Technical indicators show the Dollar Index (DXY) breaking below key support at 104.50, potentially targeting 104.00. The broad-based nature of dollar weakness indicates systematic unwinding of long dollar positions. Traders should prepare for continued volatility as markets reassess Federal Reserve policy expectations amid changing trade dynamics and global growth concerns.
EURUSD
AUDUSD
GBPUSD
NZDUSD
USDCAD
USDCNH
Sentiment:
Very Negative
Source: Marketaux