GBPUSD Bearish

Analysis Price: 1.3103 (Updated: 21 November 2025, 21:02 UTC)

Comprehensive analysis for GBPUSD showing a predominantly bearish bias with 87% bearish consensus based on combined analytical factors. Raw trader sentiment shows 55% long, 45% short. Market structure, technical patterns, and key levels examined across multiple timeframes.

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Signal Overview

Bearish High Confidence Low Risk

Market Consensus:

13% Long

87% Short

Valid Timeframes:

M15 H1 H4 D1

Signal Analysis:

The analysis indicates a high confidence bearish bias for GBPUSD (signal strength: 74%). Supporting factors include: High probability (95%) resistance zone detected at 1.3106; GBP is showing relative weakness against USD (diff: 86%); Technical patterns identified: Evening Star (D1). Risk assessment for this trade is low. This signal is most valid on the M15, H1, H4, D1 timeframes.

Sentiment Analysis

Note: The sentiment chart below shows actual trader positioning data (55% long / 45% short). The overall bearish bias (87%) mentioned in the page header represents our analytical consensus based on combined technical factors beyond raw sentiment.

LONG SHORT

55% 45%

Historical Sentiment (7 Days)

Sentiment Interpretation

Neutral sentiment with a balanced distribution between long and short positions. This suggests indecision in the market, which could precede a significant move once a clear direction emerges.

Support & Resistance Analysis

Resistance Levels

R1: 1.3124 0.16% ↑

Analysis Price: 1.3103

Support Levels

S1: 1.3039 0.49% ↓

Market Regime:

Range

Analyst Bias:

Unknown

Direction Probability:

60%

Price Position Analysis

Price is currently near resistance at 1.3124 (0.16% above analysis price) with support at 1.3039 (0.49% below). This position near resistance could present a potential selling opportunity with a favorable risk-reward ratio.

Chart Pattern Analysis

No chart patterns detected for GBPUSD at this time.

High Probability Zones

No high probability zones detected for GBPUSD at this time.

Volatility Analysis

Select Timeframe:

Daily Range (pips):

24.0

Volatility Regime:

Normal

Volatility Level:

53%

10-Day ATR Trend

Volatility Interpretation (H1)

GBPUSD is showing normal volatility (53 percentile) with an expected daily range of 24.0 pips. This represents average market conditions conducive to standard trading strategies. Standard position sizing and stop loss parameters are appropriate.

Correlation Analysis

Top Correlations with GBPUSD

GBPCHF

0.88

USDCAD

-0.84

EURGBP

-0.84

USDCHF

-0.83

USDJPY

-0.78

Correlation Interpretation

Understanding how GBPUSD correlates with other pairs can help with portfolio diversification and risk management. Strong positive correlations (above 0.7) indicate pairs that move similarly, while strong negative correlations (below -0.7) show pairs that typically move in opposite directions.

GBPUSD shows strong positive correlation with: GBPCHF. This means these pairs tend to move in the same direction. Trading in the same direction on multiple correlated pairs increases portfolio risk, while finding divergences between correlated pairs can highlight potential reversal opportunities.

GBPUSD shows strong negative correlation with: USDCAD, EURGBP, USDCHF, USDJPY. This means these pairs tend to move in opposite directions. Negatively correlated pairs can be useful for hedging strategies or to confirm signals (a buy signal in one pair would be supported by a sell signal in the negatively correlated pair).

Currency Strength Analysis

Select Timeframe:

GBP

0.41

Strong

USD

0.94

Very-strong

Relative Strength:

-0.53

Bearish Bias

Currency Strength Interpretation (M15)

USD is significantly stronger than GBP on the M15 timeframe, with a relative strength of -0.53. This suggests a strong bearish bias for GBPUSD. However, this bias is primarily driven by the strength of USD.

How to Use This Analysis

This comprehensive analysis provides multiple perspectives on GBPUSD to help inform your trading decisions:

Sentiment Analysis: Use to understand market positioning and potential contrarian opportunities
Support & Resistance: Identify key price levels for setting stop losses and take profits
Pattern Analysis: Recognize technical formations that may indicate continuation or reversal
Volatility Analysis: Adjust position sizing and risk management based on current market conditions
Currency Strength: Compare the relative performance of individual currencies within the pair
Correlation Analysis: Understand how this pair moves in relation to others for portfolio diversification

For optimal results, consider how these different factors align. The strongest trading opportunities typically occur when multiple analytical tools show confirmation across different timeframes.