AUDCHF Neutral

Analysis Price: 0.5443 (Updated: 16 February 2026, 22:23 UTC)

Comprehensive analysis for AUDCHF showing neutral market bias. Market structure, technical patterns, and key levels examined across multiple timeframes.

Select Currency Pair

Signal Overview

Neutral Low Confidence High Risk

Market Consensus:

48% Long

52% Short

Valid Timeframes:

M15 H1 H4 D1

Signal Analysis:

The analysis indicates a neutral outlook for AUDCHF. Supporting factors include: High probability (95%) support zone detected at 0.5419; Retail sentiment is balanced (50% long, 50% short). Contradicting factors: AUD is showing relative weakness against CHF (diff: 21%). Risk assessment for this trade is high.

Sentiment Analysis

LONG SHORT

50% 50%

Historical Sentiment (7 Days)

Sentiment Interpretation

Neutral sentiment with a balanced distribution between long and short positions. This suggests indecision in the market, which could precede a significant move once a clear direction emerges.

Support & Resistance Analysis

Resistance Levels

R1: 0.5504 1.13% ↑

Analysis Price: 0.5443

Support Levels

S1: 0.5417 0.47% ↓

Market Regime:

Range

Analyst Bias:

Unknown

Direction Probability:

50%

Price Position Analysis

Price is currently near support at 0.5417 (0.47% below analysis price) with resistance at 0.5504 (1.13% above). This position near support could present a potential buying opportunity with a favorable risk-reward ratio.

Chart Pattern Analysis

77%

Symmetric Triangle

Reliability:

77%

Detected: Feb 16, 11:11

70%

Doji

Reliability:

70%

Detected: Feb 16, 17:23

Pattern Analysis Interpretation

Predominantly neutral patterns detected, suggesting a potential consolidation phase. The most reliable pattern is a neutral Symmetric Triangle on the H4 timeframe with 77% historical reliability. Multiple timeframes showing pattern confirmation increases the reliability of the signal.

High Probability Zones

Resistance Zone

95%

Zone Level:

0.5473

analysis price:

0.5443

Distance:

0.56%

Confluence Factors:

Bearish Engulfing 24% Retracement Volume Spike

Valid on Timeframes:

H1 H4 D1 W1

Resistance Zone

75%

Zone Level:

0.5735

analysis price:

0.5443

Distance:

5.38%

Confluence Factors:

Bearish Engulfing 162% Extension

Valid on Timeframes:

H1 H4 D1 W1

Resistance Zone

75%

Zone Level:

0.5735

analysis price:

0.5443

Distance:

5.38%

Confluence Factors:

Head and Shoulders 162% Extension Volume Spike

Valid on Timeframes:

H1 H4 D1 W1

High Probability Zones Interpretation

Price is approaching a high probability (95%) resistance zone at 0.5473, currently 0.56% away. Consider preparing a sell strategy as price approaches this level, watching for confirmation signals.

Multiple high probability zones exist for this pair, indicating a well-structured technical environment with clear levels for trading decisions.

Volatility Analysis

Select Timeframe:

Daily Range (pips):

39.0

Volatility Regime:

Normal

Volatility Level:

35%

10-Day ATR Trend

Volatility Interpretation (H1)

AUDCHF is showing normal volatility (35 percentile) with an expected daily range of 39.0 pips. This represents average market conditions conducive to standard trading strategies. Standard position sizing and stop loss parameters are appropriate.

Correlation Analysis

Top Correlations with AUDCHF

GBPAUD

-0.87

CADCHF

0.79

EURCHF

0.76

EURAUD

-0.72

AUDCAD

0.72

Correlation Interpretation

Understanding how AUDCHF correlates with other pairs can help with portfolio diversification and risk management. Strong positive correlations (above 0.7) indicate pairs that move similarly, while strong negative correlations (below -0.7) show pairs that typically move in opposite directions.

AUDCHF shows strong positive correlation with: CADCHF, EURCHF, AUDCAD. This means these pairs tend to move in the same direction. Trading in the same direction on multiple correlated pairs increases portfolio risk, while finding divergences between correlated pairs can highlight potential reversal opportunities.

AUDCHF shows strong negative correlation with: GBPAUD, EURAUD. This means these pairs tend to move in opposite directions. Negatively correlated pairs can be useful for hedging strategies or to confirm signals (a buy signal in one pair would be supported by a sell signal in the negatively correlated pair).

Currency Strength Analysis

Select Timeframe:

AUD

0.09

Neutral

CHF

0.91

Very-strong

Relative Strength:

-0.82

Bearish Bias

Currency Strength Interpretation (M15)

CHF is significantly stronger than AUD on the M15 timeframe, with a relative strength of -0.82. This suggests a strong bearish bias for AUDCHF. However, this bias is primarily driven by the strength of CHF.

How to Use This Analysis

This comprehensive analysis provides multiple perspectives on AUDCHF to help inform your trading decisions:

Sentiment Analysis: Use to understand market positioning and potential contrarian opportunities
Support & Resistance: Identify key price levels for setting stop losses and take profits
Pattern Analysis: Recognize technical formations that may indicate continuation or reversal
Volatility Analysis: Adjust position sizing and risk management based on current market conditions
Currency Strength: Compare the relative performance of individual currencies within the pair
Correlation Analysis: Understand how this pair moves in relation to others for portfolio diversification

For optimal results, consider how these different factors align. The strongest trading opportunities typically occur when multiple analytical tools show confirmation across different timeframes.