The Signal Overview at the top weighs five of the readings above into one score, and the setups worth acting on are the ones where the factors that voted agree. Every pair ranked: Signals. Today's plans: Daily Forecast.
AUD/CHF Analysis
Comprehensive analysis for AUDCHF showing a tentative bearish bias (low confidence) with 59% bearish signal balance across the weighted factors. Market structure, technical patterns, and key levels examined across multiple timeframes.
View AUDCHF sentiment overview
AI analyst comment
AUDCHF fell from 0.58522 on Oct 29 to 0.5605 on Nov 6. It has since bounced into a 0.5652-0.5712 band, closing Friday at 0.56858. RSI at 41.6 and a MACD still below its signal keep the tilt bearish, but price has not made a new low in five sessions as both currencies weaken together. Retail is 53% long, no contrarian signal. The Nov 11 high at 0.57117 caps the rebound, and a close above it targets 0.57442. A break of 0.56665 would resume the decline toward 0.5605.
Signal Overview
Bearish
Low Confidence
High Volatility
Signal Balance:
41% Long
59% Short
Signal strength
18%
Factor agreement
75% of weight
Factor detail
Strength
12%
Patterns
12%
S/R
37%
HP Zones
38%
Sentiment
retail positioning too balanced to count (53% long)
—
Signal Analysis:
The analysis indicates a low confidence bearish bias for AUDCHF (signal strength: 18%). Supporting factors include: Price is near a resistance level at 0.56950 (0.15% above current price). Contradicting factors: AUD is showing relative strength against CHF (diff: 12%); Technical patterns identified: Bullish Engulfing (D1), Double Bottom (H4). Volatility on this pair is currently high.
AI Daily Forecast
SHORT
Sell limit Expected result +0.09 × your risk estimate
Entry0.56930
Stop0.57200
Target 10.56522
Target 20.56050
Risk / reward1:1.51
The rebound was rejected at 0.57117 and MACD is widening lower; sell 0.5693 with the stop above that high, targeting the 0.56522 support. Part of the short-AUD theme with EURAUD and AUDNZD.
Not the signal above, which is a score refreshed every three hours: this plan is written once a night, for one session. The full board.
Sentiment Analysis
LONG
SHORT
53%
47%
Historical Sentiment
Sentiment Interpretation
Retail positioning is balanced (53% long). Up to 60% on either side it carries no weight in our signals, and a balanced reading says nothing about the next move.
By currency
AUDAustralian dollar61% long39% short
CHFSwiss franc59% long41% short
This is mostly a AUD story: retail is long AUD against the other 7 currencies (61% long on average), while CHF sits balanced (59% long on average). The 53% long on AUD/CHF runs with that lean.
All 8 currenciesPrice and retail positioning
The same retail long % as above, over the whole archive and drawn against the price. Candles from 15 minutes to monthly.
Retail
Open AUD/CHF on TradingViewCharts drawn with TradingView Lightweight Charts™ · Copyright (с) 2025 TradingView, Inc.
Daily candles from our broker price feed, 2 October 2023 to 13 November 2026 (bid prices; the day closes at 17:00 New York); weekly and monthly candles are built from them. Drag to pan; scroll, drag the time axis or pinch to zoom. On a touch screen, drag the price scale with one finger to move the chart up or down, with two to stretch it, and double-tap it to reset.
The 15-minute, hourly and four-hour candles come from the same feed and load when you pick them; older ones load by themselves as you scroll left, back to the start of the archive. Four-hour candles open at 17:00, 21:00, 01:00, 05:00, 09:00 and 13:00 New York, as on TradingView. Their last candle is still forming and refreshes about every minute while the view is open. On those views the retail positioning is drawn as steps: it is a snapshot every 3 hours, not a minute-by-minute reading.
Retail positioning: daily snapshots since 12 May 2025, 494 so far · latest 53% long at 13 Nov 21:00 UTC; on the weekly and monthly views it is the average of the trading days. From 60% on one side it counts as crowded and from 75% as extreme, the same three states the Trade Panel shows. The positioning is refreshed every 3 hours on weekdays, not real-time.
Want this retail positioning on your MT5 charts? The Trade Panel puts it inside MetaTrader 5 for all 29 markets, next to our signal and the AI plan of the day, and the Chart Panel, new in 1.8, draws them on the chart you trade. One license covers both panels.
Discover the panelSupport & Resistance Analysis
Arithmetic pivots for this pair are pre-filled in the AUDCHF pivot point calculator.
Analysis Price:
0.56862
Market price now0.56843Fri 13 Nov, 21:55 UTC · market closed
Between S1 0.56665 (17.8 pips below) and R1 0.56950 (10.7 pips above)
Resistance Levels
R1:
0.56950
0.15%
↑
R2:
0.57117
0.45%
↑
R3:
0.57442
1.02%
↑
Support Levels
S1:
0.56665
0.35%
↓
S2:
0.56520
0.60%
↓
S3:
0.56050
1.43%
↓
Market Regime:
Range
AI Bias:
Bearish
Price Position Analysis
Price is currently near resistance at 0.56950 (0.15% above analysis price) with support at 0.56665 (0.35% below). This position near resistance could present a potential selling opportunity with a favorable risk-reward ratio.
Chart Pattern Analysis
D1
63%
Bullish Engulfing
Reliability:
Detected: Nov 11 · 2 D1 bars ago
H4
76%
Double Bottom
Reliability:
Detected: Nov 13, 06:00 UTC · 3 H4 bars ago · fading
H1
75%
Double Top
Reliability:
Detected: Nov 13, 18:00 UTC · 3 H1 bars ago · fading
D1
63%
Bullish Engulfing
Reliability:
Detected: Nov 9 · 4 D1 bars ago · fading
Pattern Analysis Interpretation
Predominantly bullish patterns detected across timeframes, suggesting upward momentum. The most relevant formation right now is a Bullish Engulfing on D1, documented at 63% historical reliability for that pattern type, printed 2 D1 bars ago. The same bullish reading appears on 2 timeframes, which is worth more than a single chart agreeing with itself.
High Probability Zones
Resistance Zone
78%
Zone Band (2 levels):
0.56950 – 0.57117
Analysis Price:
0.56862
Distance:
0.15%
Market price now0.56843Fri 13 Nov, 21:55 UTC · market closed
10.7 pips below the zone
Confluence Factors:
Context (not scored):
Support Zone
75%
Zone Band (2 levels):
0.56520 – 0.56665
Analysis Price:
0.56862
Distance:
0.35%
Market price now0.56843Fri 13 Nov, 21:55 UTC · market closed
17.8 pips above the zone
Confluence Factors:
Context (not scored):
Support Zone
56%
Zone Level:
0.56050
Analysis Price:
0.56862
Distance:
1.43%
Market price now0.56843Fri 13 Nov, 21:55 UTC · market closed
79.3 pips above the zone
Confluence Factors:
Context (not scored):
Resistance Zone
56%
Zone Level:
0.57442
Analysis Price:
0.56862
Distance:
1.02%
Market price now0.56843Fri 13 Nov, 21:55 UTC · market closed
59.9 pips below the zone
Confluence Factors:
Context (not scored):
High Probability Zones Interpretation
Price is approaching the strongest resistance zone we scored for this pair, at 0.56950 (confluence score 78%), currently 0.15% away. The score comes from 4 factors converging here: a double top formed at the level, a 38.2% retracement of the 30-day range, a psychological round number and 3 distinct tests in the last 30 days.
4 zones were scored for this pair: 2 below the analysis price and 2 above it.
Volatility Analysis
Select Timeframe:
Daily Range (pips):
51.2
Volatility Regime:
High
Volatility Level:
77%
10-Day ATR Trend
Volatility Interpretation (D1)
AUDCHF is experiencing high volatility (77 percentile) with an expected range of 51.2 pips per session. This above-average movement creates trading opportunities but requires careful risk management. Consider slightly wider stop losses and moderate position sizing.
Correlation Analysis
Top Correlations with AUDCHF
GBPAUD
-0.90
EURAUD
-0.88
AUDCAD
0.83
AUDJPY
0.82
CADCHF
0.75
Correlation Interpretation
AUDCHF shows strong positive correlation with: AUDCAD, AUDJPY, CADCHF. This means these pairs tend to move in the same direction. Trading in the same direction on multiple correlated pairs increases portfolio risk, while finding divergences between correlated pairs can highlight potential reversal opportunities.
AUDCHF shows strong negative correlation with: GBPAUD, EURAUD. This means these pairs tend to move in opposite directions. Negatively correlated pairs can be useful for hedging strategies or to confirm signals (a buy signal in one pair would be supported by a sell signal in the negatively correlated pair).
Currency Strength Analysis
Select Timeframe:
Weighted across timeframes the way our signal reads it (daily counts most), AUD vs CHF comes out at +0.12 — bullish for AUDCHF. Individual tabs can disagree with it: shorter windows swing more.
AUD
-0.27
Neutral
vs
CHF
-0.97
Very Weak
Relative Strength:
0.70
Bullish Bias
Currency Strength Interpretation (D1)
AUD is significantly stronger than CHF on the D1 timeframe, with a relative strength of 0.70. This suggests a strong bullish bias for AUDCHF. However, this bias is primarily driven by the weakness of CHF.
How to Use This Analysis
Other Currency Pairs
EURUSD
Bearish (High)
GBPUSD
Bearish (Low)
USDJPY
Bullish (Low)
USDCHF
Bullish (Medium)
AUDUSD
Bearish (Medium)
USDCAD
Bullish (Low)
NZDUSD
Bearish (Medium)
EURGBP
Bearish (Low)
EURJPY
Neutral (Low)
EURCHF
Neutral (Low)
EURAUD
Neutral (Low)
EURCAD
Bearish (Medium)
EURNZD
Neutral (Low)
GBPJPY
Bearish (Low)
GBPCHF
Bullish (Medium)
GBPAUD
Neutral (Low)
GBPCAD
Bearish (Low)
GBPNZD
Neutral (Low)
AUDJPY
Neutral (Low)
CADJPY
Neutral (Low)
NZDJPY
Bearish (Medium)
CHFJPY
Bearish (Medium)
AUDCAD
Bearish (Low)
AUDNZD
Neutral (Low)
NZDCHF
Bullish (Low)
NZDCAD
Neutral (Low)
CADCHF
Neutral (Low)
XAUUSD
Neutral (Low)
