AUDCHF Neutral

Analysis Price: 0.5369 (Updated: 17 May 2025, 15:39 UTC)

Comprehensive analysis for AUDCHF showing neutral market sentiment. Market structure, technical patterns, and key levels examined across multiple timeframes.

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Signal Overview

Neutral Medium Confidence High Risk

Market Consensus:

54% Long

46% Short

Valid Timeframes:

M15 H1 H4 D1

Signal Analysis:

The analysis indicates a neutral outlook for AUDCHF. Supporting factors include: The relative strength between AUD and CHF is balanced; Technical patterns identified: Doji (H1). Contradicting factors: Retail sentiment is 63% bullish. Risk assessment for this trade is high. This signal is most valid on the M15, H1, H4, D1 timeframes.

Sentiment Analysis

LONG SHORT

63% 37%

Historical Sentiment (7 Days)

Sentiment Interpretation

Bullish sentiment with 63% of traders holding long positions. The market has a positive bias, but watch for signs of exhaustion if this percentage increases further.

Support & Resistance Analysis

Resistance Levels

R1: 0.5424 1.02% ↑

Analysis Price: 0.5369

Support Levels

S1: 0.5329 0.75% ↓

Market Regime:

Uptrend

Analyst Bias:

Unknown

Direction Probability:

60%

Price Position Analysis

Price is between support at 0.5329 (0.75% below analysis price) and resistance at 0.5424 (1.02% above), with slightly closer proximity to support. Watch for bounce confirmation at support or break below.

Chart Pattern Analysis

73%

Double Bottom

Reliability:

73%

Detected: May 16, 16:01

60%

Shooting Star

Reliability:

60%

Detected: May 17, 01:30

Pattern Analysis Interpretation

Mixed pattern signals detected, suggesting conflicting technical factors. The most reliable pattern is a bullish Double Bottom on the H1 timeframe with 73% historical reliability. Multiple timeframes showing pattern confirmation increases the reliability of the signal.

High Probability Zones

Support Zone

95%

Zone Level:

0.5367

analysis price:

0.5369

Distance:

0.04%

Confluence Factors:

Inverse Head and Shoulders 50% Retracement

Valid on Timeframes:

H1 H4 D1 W1

High Probability Zones Interpretation

Price is extremely close to a high probability (95%) support zone at 0.5367. This presents a potential buying opportunity with stop loss slightly below the zone. Multiple confluence factors strengthen this level's significance.

Volatility Analysis

Select Timeframe:

Daily Range (pips):

33.0

Volatility Regime:

High

Volatility Level:

88%

10-Day ATR Trend

Volatility Interpretation (H1)

AUDCHF is experiencing high volatility (88 percentile) with an expected daily range of 33.0 pips. This above-average movement creates trading opportunities but requires careful risk management. Consider slightly wider stop losses and moderate position sizing.

Correlation Analysis

Top Correlations with AUDCHF

USDCHF

0.90

EURAUD

-0.86

AUDUSD

0.81

AUDCAD

0.81

AUDNZD

0.77

Correlation Interpretation

Understanding how AUDCHF correlates with other pairs can help with portfolio diversification and risk management. Strong positive correlations (above 0.7) indicate pairs that move similarly, while strong negative correlations (below -0.7) show pairs that typically move in opposite directions.

AUDCHF shows strong positive correlation with: USDCHF, AUDUSD, AUDCAD, AUDNZD. This means these pairs tend to move in the same direction. Trading in the same direction on multiple correlated pairs increases portfolio risk, while finding divergences between correlated pairs can highlight potential reversal opportunities.

AUDCHF shows strong negative correlation with: EURAUD. This means these pairs tend to move in opposite directions. Negatively correlated pairs can be useful for hedging strategies or to confirm signals (a buy signal in one pair would be supported by a sell signal in the negatively correlated pair).

Currency Strength Analysis

Select Timeframe:

AUD

-0.29

Neutral

CHF

0.02

Neutral

Relative Strength:

-0.31

Bearish Bias

Currency Strength Interpretation (M15)

CHF is moderately stronger than AUD on the M15 timeframe, with a relative strength of -0.31. This suggests a mild bearish bias for AUDCHF. Monitor for additional confirmation signals before entering a short position.

How to Use This Analysis

This comprehensive analysis provides multiple perspectives on AUDCHF to help inform your trading decisions:

Sentiment Analysis: Use to understand market positioning and potential contrarian opportunities
Support & Resistance: Identify key price levels for setting stop losses and take profits
Pattern Analysis: Recognize technical formations that may indicate continuation or reversal
Volatility Analysis: Adjust position sizing and risk management based on current market conditions
Currency Strength: Compare the relative performance of individual currencies within the pair
Correlation Analysis: Understand how this pair moves in relation to others for portfolio diversification

For optimal results, consider how these different factors align. The strongest trading opportunities typically occur when multiple analytical tools show confirmation across different timeframes.