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AI-Enhanced Forex News Archive

Professional trading insights from Monday, January 5, 2026

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News Statistics for Monday, January 5, 2026

11
Total Articles
6
Bullish
1
Bearish
4
Neutral

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Archive date: Monday, January 5, 2026

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Forexlive

USD/VEN volatility spikes on Maduro political crisis, oil markets react

The USD has strengthened against commodity-linked currencies following reports of Venezuelan President Maduro's capture, with oil volatility impacting forex markets. WTI crude initially spiked 2.3% to $73.50/barrel before paring gains as traders assessed the complex implications. Scotiabank analysts describe the situation as 'mixed' for oil markets, noting potential supply disruptions from Venezuela's 750,000 bpd output could be offset by increased production elsewhere. The Canadian dollar weakened 0.4% against USD to 1.4350, while other petro-currencies showed similar pressure. Energy sector equities displayed divergent reactions, with integrated oil majors gaining while refiners faced uncertainty. Technical indicators suggest USD/CAD faces resistance at 1.4400, with support at 1.4300. Traders should monitor developments closely as geopolitical uncertainty typically drives safe-haven flows to USD, potentially pressuring commodity currencies further in the near term.
USDCAD
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Finnhub
investing.com

USD Strengthens on Geopolitical Tensions and European Political Risk

The US Dollar Index has gained 0.5% in early trading as escalating geopolitical tensions and European political uncertainty drive safe-haven flows into the greenback. EUR/USD declined 0.4% to 1.0420, pressured by concerns over political instability in key European nations ahead of upcoming elections. GBP/USD fell 0.3% to 1.2650 despite earlier bullish momentum, as risk-off sentiment outweighed positive UK economic data. Gold prices retreated 0.8% to $2,045 per ounce as the stronger dollar dampened demand for the precious metal. Technical indicators show the Dollar Index breaking above the 104.50 resistance level, with next targets at 105.20. Traders are monitoring developments in European politics and any escalation in global tensions, which could further support dollar strength. The shift to risk-off positioning suggests continued pressure on risk-sensitive currencies in the near term.
EURUSD GBPUSD XAUUSD DXY
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

GBP/USD dips as UK mortgage approvals decline, consumer credit surges

GBP/USD faces mild selling pressure around 1.2450 as UK mortgage approvals fell to 64,530 in November from 65,010 previously, signaling cooling housing market momentum. Despite the mortgage slowdown, consumer credit jumped sharply to £2.08 billion from £1.71 billion, suggesting resilient consumer spending patterns. Net borrowing of mortgage debt increased to £4.5 billion, recovering from October's £4.2 billion figure. The mixed data reflects divergent UK economic trends, with housing market moderation offset by strong consumer activity. This could complicate the Bank of England's policy decisions as they balance inflation concerns with growth stability. Technical indicators show GBP/USD testing support at 1.2440, with resistance at 1.2480. Traders await upcoming UK services PMI data for clearer directional cues on sterling's trajectory.
GBPUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Finnhub
investing.com

GBP/USD Eyes 1.2750 as Bullish Momentum Remains Intact

GBP/USD maintains its upward trajectory, trading at 1.2680 with a 0.2% intraday gain as technical momentum indicators remain firmly bullish. The pair has broken above the key 1.2650 resistance level, opening the path toward 1.2750, which represents the December 2023 high. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits at 65, indicating strong momentum without being overbought, while the 50-day moving average at 1.2580 provides solid support. Daily MACD continues to show positive divergence, reinforcing the bullish outlook. Market positioning data reveals net long positions in sterling have increased by 15% over the past week, reflecting growing confidence in the pound's strength. Immediate resistance lies at 1.2720, followed by the psychological 1.2750 level. A sustained break above 1.2750 could accelerate gains toward 1.2800, though traders should watch for any deterioration in risk sentiment that could trigger profit-taking.
GBPUSD
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

GBP/USD 2026 Outlook: Pound Targets 1.3000 on UK Economic Recovery

GBP/USD enters 2026 with strong bullish prospects, currently trading at 1.2670 after gaining 8.5% in 2025, as the UK economy shows signs of sustained recovery. Bank of England officials maintain a hawkish stance with interest rates at 4.75%, contrasting with expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts beginning in Q2 2026. UK GDP growth projections have been revised upward to 2.1% for 2026, supported by improving consumer confidence and business investment. The Dollar Index faces headwinds from anticipated Fed policy shifts, potentially weakening from current levels near 104.00. Technical analysis reveals a multi-year ascending triangle pattern targeting 1.3000, with major support established at 1.2500. Key risks include potential UK-EU trade tensions and global recession fears. Analysts project GBP/USD could reach 1.2850 by mid-year and potentially test 1.3000 by year-end, though volatility is expected around major economic releases and central bank decisions.
GBPUSD DXY
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD outlook: Geopolitical risks and policy shifts shape dollar dynamics

The US Dollar Index (DXY) hovers near 105.50 as markets assess implications of potential US policy adventurism on the greenback's global standing. EUR/USD trades cautiously around 1.0420 amid diverging central bank outlooks and geopolitical uncertainties. Rising crude oil prices, with WTI above $74 per barrel, add inflationary pressure that could support dollar strength through hawkish Fed expectations. However, concerns about US fiscal policies and international relations create medium-term headwinds for the currency. Technical analysis shows DXY facing resistance at 106.00, while support holds at 105.00. The dollar's safe-haven appeal remains intact despite policy uncertainties, though sustained geopolitical tensions could trigger volatility. Traders monitor upcoming FOMC minutes and US economic data for clearer policy signals affecting dollar positioning across major pairs.
EURUSD DXY
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
forexcrunch.com

GBP/USD Slips to 1.2640 as Risk-Off Sentiment Boosts Dollar Haven Flows

GBP/USD has declined 0.4% to 1.2640 in Monday's session as deteriorating risk sentiment drives investors toward the safe-haven US dollar. Global equity markets fell sharply with the S&P 500 down 1.2%, triggering defensive positioning across currency markets. The pound's recent rally faces its first significant test as traders book profits near the 1.2700 resistance level. Despite today's pullback, the pair remains above the critical 1.2600 support, maintaining its broader uptrend structure. The Dollar Index surged 0.6% to 104.80, benefiting from haven demand amid concerns over global growth prospects. UK economic fundamentals remain supportive, but short-term momentum has shifted negative with RSI falling below 50. Immediate support lies at 1.2620 (50-day MA), while resistance at 1.2680 must be reclaimed to restore bullish momentum. Traders await Tuesday's UK Services PMI data, which could determine whether this pullback extends or buying interest returns.
GBPUSD DXY
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

Weekly FX outlook: EUR/USD, GBP/USD lead high-conviction trading setups

EUR/USD remains the focal point for traders, consolidating near 1.0430 with potential for directional breakout pending key economic releases. GBP/USD shows vulnerability around 1.2450, facing pressure from mixed UK data and dollar resilience. USD/JPY maintains upward bias near 157.80, supported by Bank of Japan's dovish stance versus Fed's relatively hawkish positioning. USD/CHF trades defensively around 0.9080 as Swiss franc benefits from safe-haven flows amid global uncertainties. Technical setups favor EUR/USD shorts below 1.0400 targeting 1.0350, while GBP/USD could test 1.2380 support on further weakness. USD/JPY longs remain attractive above 157.50 with 159.00 as the next major target. Risk management crucial as month-end flows and upcoming data releases including US NFP could trigger significant volatility across all major pairs.
EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY USDCHF
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

XAU/USD surges 2.1% to $4,420 as precious metals rally continues

XAU/USD has gained 2.1% to reach $4,420 in early week trading, while XAG/USD jumped 3.7% to $75.46, as precious metals maintain their bullish momentum from the start of 2026. The rally follows Friday's strong opening that saw some profit-taking into the close, with gold encountering resistance at the 100-hour moving average. The sustained bid in precious metals reflects ongoing safe-haven demand amid global economic uncertainties and potential shifts in central bank policies. Technical indicators suggest gold faces immediate resistance at the 100-hour MA, with a break above potentially opening the path toward $4,450. Support has formed around $4,350 from Friday's consolidation. The strength in precious metals typically signals risk-off sentiment in broader markets, which could support safe-haven currencies like JPY and CHF while pressuring commodity-linked currencies such as AUD and NZD in the near term.
XAUUSD XAGUSD
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Finnhub
forexcrunch.com

USD/JPY Surges Above 157.00 on BoJ Policy Uncertainty and Yield Gap

USD/JPY has rallied 0.7% to 157.20, marking a fresh multi-month high as uncertainty surrounding Bank of Japan policy decisions keeps the yen under sustained pressure. The US-Japan yield differential has widened to 380 basis points, with US 10-year yields at 4.65% versus Japan's 0.85%, driving carry trade flows into the pair. Market participants remain skeptical about the BoJ's commitment to policy normalization, with Governor Ueda's recent comments suggesting continued accommodation. Technical indicators show strong bullish momentum with RSI at 72, approaching overbought territory. The pair has broken above the key 156.50 resistance, opening targets toward 158.00 and potentially 160.00. Support has formed at 156.00, coinciding with the previous resistance level. Risk-off sentiment paradoxically supports USD/JPY as dollar strength outweighs traditional yen haven demand. Traders should monitor any shifts in BoJ rhetoric or intervention warnings from Japanese officials.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Marketaux
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