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AI-Enhanced Forex News Archive

Professional trading insights from Monday, January 12, 2026

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News Statistics for Monday, January 12, 2026

14
Total Articles
4
Bullish
5
Bearish
5
Neutral

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Archive date: Monday, January 12, 2026

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mortgagenewsdaily.com

Bond Market Only Marginally Interested in Powell Drama For Now

The most important-sounding news over the weekend was last night's subpoena of Fed Chair Powell over statements made to congress regarding the Fed's building renovations. Bond yields were slightly higher this morning and commentators erroneously connected those dots. There was actually no meaningful movement in either direction when the news hit, but trading volume confirms the news was noticed.
EURUSD
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

USD weakens as Fed independence concerns trigger precious metals rally

The US Dollar Index declined 0.8% to 108.20 as markets reacted negatively to reported threats against Federal Reserve independence. Gold surged to a new all-time high of $2,850/oz while silver rallied 4.2% to fresh records above $32/oz, as investors sought safe-haven assets amid concerns over potential DOJ actions against Fed Chair Powell. European equity markets opened 1.2% lower with US futures down 1.5%, reflecting widespread risk-off sentiment. The political uncertainty has pushed back Fed rate cut expectations, with markets now pricing only two 25bp cuts for 2026 versus three previously. Technical indicators show USD support at 107.80 (50-day MA) with resistance at 109.00. Continued threats to Fed autonomy could accelerate dollar weakness and boost haven demand, particularly benefiting CHF and JPY pairs.
EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY USDCHF AUDUSD NZDUSD USDCAD
Sentiment: Very Negative
Source: Finnhub
investing.com

USD/JPY consolidates near 157.50 as 1-year highs face resistance

USD/JPY is trading at 157.45, holding just below its 1-year high of 157.85 reached earlier in the session. The pair gained 0.2% (30 pips) but momentum has stalled as traders await clearer directional catalysts. Despite broad dollar weakness from Fed independence concerns, the yen's haven appeal remains limited by Japan's ultra-loose monetary policy stance. The Bank of Japan maintained its accommodative stance last week, contrasting with the Fed's relatively hawkish positioning. Technical analysis shows strong resistance at 158.00 psychological level, coinciding with the October 2023 peak. Support lies at 156.80 (10-day MA) and 156.00. A decisive break above 158.00 could target 160.00, while failure to maintain above 157.00 may signal a deeper correction toward 155.50.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

EUR/USD gains 0.9% as Fed turmoil undermines dollar strength

EUR/USD surged 0.9% (95 pips) to 1.0580 as the dollar faced broad selling pressure amid threats to Federal Reserve independence. The euro benefited from safe-haven flows with European currencies outperforming, including CHF gaining 1.2% and SEK advancing 0.8% against the greenback. Markets are repricing Fed policy expectations, with the terminal rate now seen 25bps lower at 4.25% by end-2026. ECB officials maintained their gradual easing stance, supporting relative euro strength. Technical indicators turned bullish with EUR/USD breaking above the 1.0550 resistance, opening path toward 1.0620 (200-day MA). Support has formed at 1.0500. Continued Fed uncertainty could push the pair toward 1.0700, while any resolution might see profit-taking below 1.0500.
EURUSD USDCHF USDSEK
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD/JPY faces headwinds despite yen weakness on Fed uncertainty

USD/JPY declined 0.4% to 156.80 as broad dollar weakness offset traditional yen underperformance during risk-off episodes. The pair retreated from near 1-year highs around 157.50 as Fed independence concerns triggered widespread USD selling. Despite typical safe-haven demand, the yen's gains remained limited due to the Bank of Japan's persistently dovish stance and negative real yields. US Dollar Index fell 0.8% to 108.20, weighing on all USD pairs. Technical analysis shows USD/JPY finding support at 156.50 (20-day MA) with resistance at 157.50. The 200-day MA at 154.80 marks major support. Markets are monitoring whether Fed turmoil will continue pressuring the dollar or if focus returns to the significant US-Japan rate differential, which traditionally supports USD/JPY upside.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

EUR/USD gains as Eurozone sentiment beats expectations at -1.8 vs -4.9

EUR/USD advanced 0.2% to 1.0935 in early European trading as Eurozone investor confidence surprised to the upside. The Sentix investor confidence index for January came in at -1.8, significantly better than the -4.9 forecast and improving from December's -6.2 reading. This marks the highest sentiment level since July 2025, with Germany showing particularly notable improvement. The positive data reinforces the view that the Eurozone economy may be stabilizing after months of weakness. Market participants are now eyeing upcoming ECB policy decisions, with reduced expectations for aggressive rate cuts given the improving sentiment. Technical indicators show EUR/USD testing resistance at 1.0950, with support established at 1.0900. A sustained break above 1.0950 could open the path toward 1.1000, while the improving economic backdrop suggests potential for continued euro strength against the dollar in the near term.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Finnhub
investing.com

USD index poised for extended rally as technical momentum builds

The US Dollar Index (DXY) shows strong technical signals for continued appreciation, with analysts projecting additional upside potential across major pairs. EUR/USD faces downward pressure near 1.0920, while GBP/USD struggles below 1.2350 resistance. USD/JPY maintains bullish momentum above 157.50, supported by widening interest rate differentials between the Fed and BoJ. AUD/USD remains vulnerable near 0.6200 as commodity weakness and China concerns weigh on the Australian currency. The dollar's strength stems from resilient US economic data and expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain higher rates for longer than other major central banks. Technical analysis reveals the DXY testing resistance at 109.50, with a break potentially triggering moves toward 110.00. Key support levels across major pairs suggest further dollar gains, with traders positioning for continued USD outperformance in the coming sessions.
EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY AUDUSD
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

EUR/USD consolidates as quiet European session offers limited catalysts

EUR/USD remains range-bound near 1.0950 levels during Monday's European session, with minimal volatility expected due to a light economic calendar. The session features only low-impact releases including the Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence index and German Current Account data, neither of which are likely to influence ECB policy decisions or trigger significant market movements. In the absence of major catalysts, the pair continues to trade within its recent 1.0920-1.0980 range established last week. Traders are maintaining cautious positions ahead of more substantial data releases later in the week, including US inflation figures and ECB meeting minutes. Technical indicators suggest neutral momentum, with the 50-day moving average at 1.0945 acting as immediate support. Without fresh fundamental drivers, EUR/USD is expected to remain in consolidation mode, with any breakout likely dependent on upcoming US economic data or shifts in broader dollar sentiment.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Finnhub
investing.com

Risk-off sentiment drives USD/CHF higher as equity markets face pressure

USD/CHF climbed 0.4% to 0.9185 as risk-averse sentiment dominated forex markets amid broad equity selloffs. The Nasdaq 100 futures declined 1.2% while S&P 500 futures dropped 0.9%, prompting investors to seek safe-haven currencies. The Swiss franc's traditional haven status was overshadowed by dollar strength, as US yields remained elevated despite equity weakness. Gold prices retreated 0.8% to $2,635, reflecting reduced inflation hedging demand and stronger dollar dynamics. Commodity markets broadly weakened, with oil prices falling 1.5% on demand concerns. The risk-off environment benefits the dollar against most currencies except the Japanese yen, which gained on safe-haven flows. Technical analysis shows USD/CHF approaching resistance at 0.9200, with momentum indicators suggesting potential for further gains. Traders are monitoring equity market stability as a key driver for near-term currency movements.
USDCHF
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
rttnews.com

EUR/USD faces pressure as Middle East tensions weigh on European markets

EUR/USD declined 0.3% to 1.0905 in pre-market trading as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East dampened risk sentiment across European markets. European equity futures point to a negative open, with DAX futures down 0.7% and FTSE 100 futures falling 0.5%. Concerns about Federal Reserve independence added to market uncertainty, following recent political comments about monetary policy influence. The euro faces additional headwinds from energy price concerns, as Middle East tensions threaten to disrupt oil supplies and increase Europe's import costs. Safe-haven flows benefited the dollar, while the euro struggled despite last week's positive sentiment data. Technical indicators show EUR/USD testing support at 1.0900, with a break potentially accelerating declines toward 1.0850. Resistance remains firm at 1.0950, requiring significant risk-on momentum to overcome in the current environment.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

USD/CNY falls to 7.01 as Trump-Fed clash triggers dollar selloff

USD/CNY dropped 0.4% to 7.0108 as the dollar plunged across the board following escalating tensions between President Trump and Federal Reserve Chair Powell. The yuan strengthened despite a former SAFE regulator warning that the currency's recent rally lacks fundamental support. Gold surged 2.1% to $2,850 while silver jumped 3.5% as investors fled to safe havens amid political uncertainty. The conflict centers on Trump's criticism of Fed policy, with Powell reportedly pushing back against political interference. Technical indicators show USD/CNY breaking below the key 7.05 support level, with next targets at 6.98 and 6.95. The dollar index fell 0.8% to 102.50, its sharpest daily decline in six weeks. Traders are now monitoring whether the PBOC will intervene to prevent excessive yuan strength, particularly given concerns about China's export competitiveness and the sustainability of the current rally without strong economic fundamentals.
USDCNY
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

GBP/USD faces pressure as UK hiring slumps despite firm wage growth

GBP/USD has declined 0.2% to 1.2645 as UK labor market data revealed continued weakness in hiring activity. UK permanent placements fell for the 39th consecutive month in December, with the pace of decline accelerating to a four-month high. Despite the hiring slump, starting salaries rose at their strongest rate since May, creating a complex scenario for the Bank of England. The persistent wage pressures, combined with weakening employment trends, complicate the BoE's monetary policy outlook as officials must balance inflation concerns against economic slowdown risks. Recent payroll tax increases continue to weigh on recruitment activity, further dampening the jobs market. Technical analysis shows GBP/USD testing support at 1.2640, with resistance at 1.2680. The divergent signals between employment weakness and wage strength suggest continued volatility for sterling, with traders closely watching upcoming BoE communications for policy direction clarity.
GBPUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Finnhub
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