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AI-Enhanced Forex News Archive

Professional trading insights from Friday, January 9, 2026

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News Statistics for Friday, January 9, 2026

11
Total Articles
3
Bullish
4
Bearish
4
Neutral

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Archive date: Friday, January 9, 2026

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Forexlive

EUR/USD rises on soft NFP data, ECB policy outlook unchanged

EUR/USD gained 0.4% to 1.0975 following softer-than-expected US Non-Farm Payrolls data, which came in below whisper numbers, triggering a classic 'bad news is good news' rally in risk assets. The disappointing jobs report has reignited speculation about potential Fed policy adjustments, weakening the dollar across major pairs. European equities responded positively, with the STOXX 600 climbing 2.23% for the week, reflecting improved market breadth and risk appetite. While the data doesn't significantly alter ECB policy expectations, the combination of dollar weakness and improved European market sentiment has provided support for the euro. Technical indicators suggest immediate resistance at 1.1000 psychological level, with support established at 1.0940. Traders should monitor upcoming ECB communications and US inflation data for directional cues, as the pair remains sensitive to central bank policy divergence expectations.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

Japan PM Takaichi considers snap election amid JPY volatility

USD/JPY trading remains volatile around 157.20 as reports surface that Japan's new Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi is considering dissolving the lower house for a snap election in mid-February. Takaichi, who became Japan's first female PM in October, is reportedly looking to capitalize on strong personal approval ratings during her honeymoon period. The political uncertainty adds complexity to Bank of Japan's policy normalization timeline, potentially delaying rate hike expectations that have been supporting the yen. Markets are closely monitoring any signs of policy shifts under Takaichi's leadership, particularly regarding the ultra-loose monetary stance. The snap election consideration could create short-term yen weakness as investors price in extended political uncertainty. Technical indicators show USD/JPY finding resistance near 158.00, with support established at 156.50, suggesting range-bound trading until clearer political direction emerges.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Finnhub
investing.com

USD/CHF overbought as franc strength builds near 0.8950

USD/CHF faces increasing downside pressure near 0.8950 as technical indicators signal overbought conditions following the pair's recent rally. The Swiss franc is showing renewed strength as momentum oscillators, including RSI above 70, suggest the dollar's advance against CHF may be overextended. Risk-off sentiment in global markets is also supporting traditional safe-haven demand for the franc, particularly amid ongoing geopolitical tensions and uncertainty over US trade policies. The Swiss National Bank's relatively hawkish stance compared to other European central banks continues to underpin CHF strength. Technical analysis reveals immediate support at 0.8920, coinciding with the 50-day moving average, while resistance sits at 0.8980. A pullback toward 0.8900 appears increasingly likely as traders book profits on long USD/CHF positions. The upcoming US inflation data could accelerate this correction if figures disappoint market expectations.
USDCHF
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

EUR/USD slides below 1.0350 on strong US jobs data and tariff concerns

EUR/USD has declined 0.5% to 1.0340, pressured by robust US employment data and renewed tariff risk concerns strengthening dollar demand. The latest US jobs report showed stronger-than-expected growth, reinforcing Federal Reserve hawkish positioning and pushing US Treasury yields higher. Dollar Index futures surged to 109.50, approaching multi-month highs as traders price in sustained Fed restrictiveness. Meanwhile, escalating trade tensions and potential US tariff implementations weigh heavily on European export prospects, further undermining euro sentiment. Technical indicators show EUR/USD breaking below key support at 1.0350, opening the path toward 1.0300 psychological level. The 200-day moving average at 1.0380 now acts as resistance, capping any relief rallies. With US economic resilience contrasting European growth concerns, the bearish EUR/USD trend appears set to continue unless significant support emerges near 1.0300.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Very Negative
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD/CAD consolidates near 1.3900 as bulls pause rally

USD/CAD is consolidating around 1.3890 after encountering resistance just below the psychologically important 1.3900 level, with bulls taking a breather following recent gains. The pair's upward momentum has stalled as oil prices stabilize near $75/barrel, providing modest support for the commodity-linked Canadian dollar. Technical indicators suggest the rally may be overextended, with RSI readings approaching overbought territory above 65. Bank of Canada's dovish stance continues to cap CAD strength, but immediate USD buying has moderated ahead of key US inflation data. Support has formed at 1.3850, coinciding with the 20-day moving average, while resistance at 1.3900-1.3920 zone proves difficult to breach. Traders await fresh catalysts, with Canadian employment data and US CPI figures likely to determine the next directional move. A decisive break above 1.3900 could target 1.3950, while failure might see a pullback toward 1.3820.
USDCAD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

Friday's forex outlook: Key data releases to drive major pair volatility

Major currency pairs face heightened volatility ahead of Friday's crucial economic releases, with EUR/USD hovering near 1.0350 and USD/CAD testing 1.3900 resistance. The US Dollar Index maintains strength at 109.30 as markets position for potential data-driven moves. EUR/USD remains under pressure from diverging central bank policies, while USD/CAD bulls eye a breakout above 1.3900 psychological level. EUR/DKK stability reflects Danish krone's euro peg mechanism functioning normally despite broader euro weakness. Friday's economic calendar features high-impact releases including US inflation components and European industrial production data. Technical setups across major pairs suggest potential for sharp moves, with EUR/USD support at 1.0300 and USD/CAD resistance at 1.3920 as key levels to watch. Traders should prepare for increased volatility as positioning ahead of weekend risk may amplify price movements following data releases.
EURUSD USDCAD EURDKK
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD/AUD: NFP Data Could Spark Dollar Rally Amid Strong Jobs Outlook

The US dollar is showing strength against the Australian dollar ahead of Friday's Non-Farm Payrolls release, with USD/AUD trading near 1.5950. Market expectations point to robust job creation of 165,000 positions for December, following November's impressive 227,000 gain. The unemployment rate is forecast to remain steady at 4.2%. Strong employment data would reinforce the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance and potentially delay rate cuts, supporting dollar strength. The Australian dollar remains under pressure from China's economic slowdown and declining iron ore prices. Technical indicators suggest USD/AUD could test resistance at 1.6000 if NFP beats expectations, while disappointment might see support at 1.5900. Traders are positioning for potential volatility, with the Dollar Index hovering near 109.50. A positive surprise in jobs data could accelerate the greenback's rally against commodity currencies.
USDAUD AUDUSD
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
forexcrunch.com

AUD/USD pressured by weak China data, declining trade surplus

AUD/USD has declined 0.6% to 0.6245 as disappointing Chinese economic data and Australia's shrinking trade surplus weigh heavily on the Aussie dollar. China's latest economic indicators fell short of expectations, dampening demand outlook for Australian commodities and reinforcing concerns about the region's largest trading partner. Australia's trade balance has deteriorated significantly, adding domestic pressure to the currency's weakness. The pair found temporary support at 0.6240 but remains vulnerable to further declines if China's economic momentum doesn't improve. US jobs data added another layer of complexity, with softer employment figures providing only limited relief to the downward pressure. Near-term resistance sits at 0.6280, while a break below 0.6240 could accelerate losses toward 0.6200. Traders should closely monitor upcoming Chinese PMI data and RBA policy signals for potential reversal catalysts.
AUDUSD
Sentiment: Very Negative
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

EUR/USD Falls Below 1.0300 as ECB-Fed Policy Divergence Widens

EUR/USD has declined 0.5% to trade below the critical 1.0300 support level, pressured by growing monetary policy divergence between the ECB and Federal Reserve. The euro faces mounting bearish pressure as markets anticipate more aggressive ECB rate cuts in 2024, with inflation in the Eurozone showing signs of approaching the 2% target. Meanwhile, the Fed maintains its hawkish bias, supported by resilient US economic data and persistent inflation concerns. The Dollar Index has strengthened to 109.80, its highest level since November 2022. Technical analysis reveals EUR/USD has broken below the 200-day moving average at 1.0320, opening the path toward 1.0250. Resistance now stands at 1.0350. European economic weakness, particularly in Germany's manufacturing sector, continues to weigh on the euro. Traders are closely watching upcoming ECB minutes and US CPI data for further directional clues.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Very Negative
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

USD Awaits First NFP Report of 2026 Amid Labor Market Focus

The US dollar remains range-bound ahead of today's highly anticipated Non-Farm Payrolls report, the first employment data release of 2026. Market participants are particularly focused on labor market dynamics as the Federal Reserve's policy outlook has shifted from inflation concerns to employment stability. The November 2025 report faced data quality issues due to the extended government shutdown, making today's figures crucial for establishing reliable trend analysis. Economists expect December payrolls to show a modest 185,000 job additions, with unemployment rate forecasted to hold steady at 4.2%. Any significant deviation from expectations could trigger substantial USD volatility across major pairs. Technical indicators show USD index consolidating near 104.50, with immediate resistance at 104.80 and support at 104.20. A strong employment report could propel the dollar higher, while disappointing figures might accelerate recent USD weakness against major counterparts.
EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY USDCHF AUDUSD USDCAD NZDUSD
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Finnhub
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