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Forex News Archive

Professional trading insights from Monday, April 6, 2026

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Monday, April 6, 2026 at a glance

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Archive date: Monday, April 6, 2026

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Forexlive

USD/IRR & Oil Prices React as Iran Rejects US Ceasefire Proposal

Geopolitical tensions escalated after Iran formally rejected a US ceasefire proposal relayed through Pakistan, demanding a permanent end to hostilities, security guarantees, and compensation before unblocking the Strait of Hormuz. This development carries significant implications for forex markets, particularly for USD pairs and commodity-linked currencies. Crude oil prices face upward pressure as the Hormuz blockage—through which approximately 20% of global oil supply transits—remains in place, supporting commodity currencies like CAD and NOK while weighing on oil-importing nations' currencies such as JPY and INR. The USD may see safe-haven demand in the near term, though prolonged conflict risks undermining broader economic stability. Iran's insistence on comprehensive settlement terms before reopening Hormuz suggests supply disruptions could persist, keeping energy prices elevated. Traders should monitor USD/CAD for potential CAD strength on rising oil, while USD/JPY could see upward pressure as Japan's energy import costs climb. Risk-off sentiment may also benefit CHF and gold as traditional safe havens amid heightened Middle East uncertainty.
USDCAD USDJPY USDCHF
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

EUR/USD Rises 0.4% to 1.1555 as Dollar Weakens on Iran-US Geopolitical Uncertainty

EUR/USD has climbed 0.4% to 1.1555 during early Monday trading, as broad-based dollar weakness coincides with geopolitical uncertainty surrounding Iran-US relations. Iran announced it has formulated a response to the United States but will reveal details at a later time, creating a wait-and-see atmosphere across markets. Despite the geopolitical overhang, risk appetite remains cautiously optimistic, with S&P 500 futures up 0.4% on the session. The dollar is selling off across the board, exacerbated by thin liquidity conditions as European traders remain absent, likely due to a holiday. The mixed reception to headlines from the rumour mill over the past 24 hours has kept markets from making decisive moves in either direction. Traders should monitor upcoming Iran-US developments closely, as any escalation could trigger safe-haven flows back into the dollar, while a diplomatic resolution could extend the current risk-on positioning. Near-term EUR/USD resistance sits around the 1.1600 psychological level, with support near 1.1500.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

USD/IRR & Oil Surge as Iran Rejects Ceasefire, Hormuz Strait Remains Closed

Geopolitical risk is escalating sharply as Iran reportedly refuses to reopen the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for a ceasefire, sending shockwaves through forex and commodity markets. US President Trump has warned of imminent massive strikes against Iranian power plants and bridges, raising the prospect of a significant military escalation. Iran has received Pakistan's peace proposal but has rejected any temporary ceasefire arrangement, signaling a hardened negotiating stance. The Strait of Hormuz is a critical chokepoint for roughly 20% of global oil supply, and its continued closure is driving crude oil prices higher, which in turn is pressuring oil-importing currencies such as JPY, EUR, and INR while supporting commodity-linked currencies like CAD and NOK. Safe-haven flows are boosting USD, CHF, and JPY demand. Traders should monitor USD/CAD for potential downside as elevated oil prices support the Canadian dollar, while USD/JPY may see competing forces between yen safe-haven demand and dollar strength. Volatility across major pairs is expected to remain elevated until a diplomatic resolution emerges.
USDCAD USDJPY USDCHF EURUSD
Sentiment: Very Negative
Source: Finnhub
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EURUSD
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M15, H1, H4, D1
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Bullish (70%)
M15, H1, H4, D1
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Bearish (70%)
M15, H1, H4, D1
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