USD/CNH, USD/TWD: US sees China invasion of Taiwan unlikely before 2028

The source reports no price move, pip figure or technical levels for any currency pair. According to a Reuters report, US officials increasingly see a Chinese invasion of Taiwan before 2028 as unlikely. For years, 2027 has been viewed as the point by which China wants its military to be capable of taking Taiwan by force. The latest US assessment suggests that this target does not necessarily mean an invasion is imminent. The article also notes that trade and market risks remain despite the reduced near-term invasion expectations, though it gives no further detail. No economic data or central bank developments are cited. For traders, the report may modestly ease near-term geopolitical tail-risk around China and Taiwan, a factor relevant to China- and Taiwan-linked currency pairs and broader risk sentiment. The source's caveat that trade and market risks remain means US-China tensions stay a background factor to monitor.