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Forex News Archive

Professional trading insights from Thursday, September 3, 2026

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Thursday, September 3, 2026 at a glance

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Archive date: Thursday, September 3, 2026

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Forexlive

Preview: August non - farm payrolls by the numbers

What's expected:Consensus estimate +56K July -23KJune +63KPrivate consensus estimate +45KUnemployment rate consensus estimate: 4.1% vs 4.1% priorParticipation rate consensus 61.4% priorPrior underemployment U6 prior 7.9%Avg hourly earnings y/y exp +3.0% y/y vs +3.2% priorAvg hourly earnings m/m exp +0.3% vs +0.1% priorAvg weekly hours exp 34.3 vs 34.3 priorAugust jobs so far:ADP employment report +38K vs +47K expected and +46K prior ISM services employment 47.8 vs 47.4 priorISM manufacturing...
USD JPY
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

USDCHF Technicals: The USDCHF is sharply lower on USD selling. What has the technicals been telling traders?

The USDCHF is down around 0.87% on the day as sellers follow the broader US dollar lower after Fed Governor Christopher Waller’s more dovish comments. The video above provides education and technical knowledge about the price action seen in the pair both yesterday and today as the price tumbled. Technically, the move has taken the price below its 100 hour moving average near 0.8100 and its 200 hour moving average near 0.8070.Those breaks put the sellers in control.
USD CHF
Sentiment: Very Negative
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

ISM non manufacturing PMI for August 55.4 versus 54.2 estimate. Stronger than expectations

Nonmanufacturing PMI prior month 54.1Nonmanufacturing PMI for August 55.4 versus 54.2 estimatenonmanufacturing business activity 61.7 versus 59.1 last monthEmployment index 47.8 versus 47.4 last monthNew orders index 60.9 versus 57 42 last monthPrices paid 72.6 versus 70.3 last monthThe US ISM nonmanufacturing PMI rose to 55.4 in August from 54.1 last month, comfortably above the 54.2 estimate.
USD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Finnhub
seekingalpha.com

USD/JPY Major Bearish Reversal Below 200 - Day MA

USD/JPY fell 0.91% on 2 September and extended its decline by another 1.35% on 3 September, a move comparable with the sharp decline seen around the July US-Japan FX intervention.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Very Negative
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

EUR/USD steady near 1.1650 as Eurozone composite PMI at 52.0 backs ECB hold

EUR/USD held a tight range around the 1.1650 area after August final PMIs confirmed the euro area economy is expanding at a modest but steady pace, offering the ECB little reason to shift policy. The Eurozone final composite PMI printed 52.0 with services at 51.6, both consistent with continued growth. Southern Europe again did the heavy lifting: Spain's services PMI came in at 57.8 and composite at 55.8, while Italy posted 55.2 services and 53.6 composite. The core remains the weak spot, with France's final services PMI at 48.0 and composite at 48.5, both in contraction, while Germany's services slipped to 49.7 even as the composite held at 51.8 on manufacturing strength. The data reaffirms the ECB's on-hold stance, with policymakers seeing growth around trend and inflation near target. Traders should watch resistance at 1.1700 and 1.1750, with support at 1.1600 and 1.1550. With EUR direction now largely dollar-driven, Friday's US jobs report is the more decisive catalyst for EUR/USD.
EURUSD EURGBP EURJPY EURCHF
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Finnhub
europeanbusinessreview.com

Forex trading costs explained: how spreads and execution shape EUR/USD returns

An educational breakdown of forex pricing highlights how spreads, execution quality and financing costs erode net returns even on correctly directioned trades. Major pairs such as EUR/USD, GBP/USD and USD/JPY typically carry the tightest spreads, often 0.1-1.0 pips during the London-New York overlap, while crosses like GBP/JPY and exotics widen substantially, particularly around the Asian open, month-end fixings and top-tier data releases such as Non-Farm Payrolls. Beyond the quoted spread, traders face commission on raw-spread accounts, slippage during volatility spikes, and overnight swap charges determined by central bank rate differentials — a key consideration for carry positions in USD/JPY or AUD/JPY. Execution model matters: market-maker pricing may show tighter headline spreads but greater requote and slippage risk, while ECN routing offers depth-of-book transparency at an explicit commission. For active traders, cumulative transaction costs can exceed strategy edge, making session timing, order type selection and broker comparison as important to profitability as directional analysis itself.
EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY GBPJPY AUDJPY
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

USD/JPY slips as global bond yields retreat from multi-decade highs pre-NFP

The dollar eased against the yen and franc as global bond yields pulled back from the multi-year and, in some cases, multi-decade highs printed earlier in the week. The move began overnight, with long-end JGB, gilt and Treasury yields retreating after an aggressive steepening episode driven by fiscal supply concerns and reduced conviction on near-term rate cuts. The unwind removed some of the yield-differential support that had underpinned USD/JPY, while safe-haven demand for CHF and JPY firmed at the margin as equities stabilised. Long-end volatility remains the dominant cross-asset driver, and bond direction is currently dictating FX rather than the reverse. Attention now shifts to Friday's US non-farm payrolls report, the key input for Federal Reserve pricing into the next meeting. USD/JPY faces support near 147.00 and 146.00 with resistance around 149.00 and the 150.00 psychological barrier. A soft payrolls print would likely extend the yield retreat and pressure the dollar; a strong number risks re-igniting the yield surge and renewed carry-trade demand.
USDJPY USDCHF EURUSD GBPUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

AUD/USD supported as China RatingDog services PMI beats on domestic demand

The Australian dollar and yuan-sensitive crosses found support after China's RatingDog services PMI beat expectations, completing a week of China data that consistently showed private surveys outperforming official readings. Domestic demand carried the expansion, offsetting soft new export order growth — a mix that reduces the near-term urgency for large-scale stimulus while confirming the recovery is not yet export-led. The divergence with the state-weighted official PMIs reflects panel composition rather than data error: the private surveys skew toward smaller, more externally exposed firms, while official readings capture larger state-owned enterprises. For FX, firmer Chinese services activity is a mild positive for AUD/USD and NZD/USD as China-proxy trades, and supportive for USD/CNH stability. AUD/USD resistance sits near 0.6600 and 0.6650, with support at 0.6520 and 0.6480. Traders should note that soft export components keep trade-policy risk live, capping upside enthusiasm. Broader direction for the Aussie remains tied to Friday's US payrolls and the global bond-yield backdrop rather than China data alone.
AUDUSD NZDUSD USDCNH AUDJPY
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Finnhub

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