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Professional trading insights from Monday, September 14, 2026

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Monday, September 14, 2026 at a glance

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Archive date: Monday, September 14, 2026

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Forexlive

Economic & event calendar Asia Tuesday, September 15, 2026: China set to report August activity

China's National Bureau of Statistics is due to release August industrial production, retail sales and fixed asset investment data at 0200 GMT on Tuesday, September 15, offering the next read on whether Beijing's economy is stabilising or losing further ground.Economists polled ahead of the release expect industrial output to rise 4.8% year on year, a rebound from July's 4.5% print, which itself undershot the same 4.8% forecast and slowed from June's 5.3% pace.
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

Trump: AI will be the greatest economic development engine in history

However, Trump’s criticism of industry leaders seeking regulation could create uncertainty over how the administration will balance rapid development against concerns about safety, energy demand and national security.Of course, if Trump says it is a "HOAX", I am not sure the odds favoring that it is in reality a hoax. Nevertheless, the Nasdaq is nearly back to unchanged at -9 points or 0.04%. The S&P is down -15 points or 0.20%.
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

USD/INR in focus as India CPI jumps to 4.82% in August, RBI hike bets build

The Indian rupee faces a shifting policy backdrop after August retail inflation accelerated to 4.82% year-on-year, up from 4.45% in July and moving further above the Reserve Bank of India's 4% medium-term target. Food prices led the upside, with the Consumer Food Price Index rising 5.95% y/y, while rural inflation printed at 5.23% versus 4.31% for urban households. Despite the acceleration, headline CPI remains inside the RBI's 2%-6% tolerance band, giving the Monetary Policy Committee scope to hold before acting. The data reinforces market expectations that the RBI will lean hawkish, a factor that is typically supportive for the rupee and caps upside in USD/INR, though the pair remains heavily influenced by dollar direction and RBI intervention around record-high zones. Traders should watch the sequential trend in food prices, as a repeat acceleration in September would harden rate-hike pricing. A firmer RBI stance narrows the carry differential in favour of INR, while any downside inflation surprise would reopen upside room for USD/INR.
USDINR EURINR
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Finnhub
thestockmarketwatch.com

USD firms across majors as Fed hike fears hit equities before September meeting

Risk appetite deteriorated ahead of the Federal Reserve's September policy meeting, with US stock futures falling sharply and Nasdaq-100 contracts leading the decline. The move reflects growing market conviction that the Fed will deliver a rate hike rather than remain on hold, a repricing that has lifted front-end US yields and underpinned the dollar against high-beta currencies such as AUD/USD and NZD/USD. Traditional risk-off flows have also supported USD/JPY-sensitive safe-haven demand, while EUR/USD and GBP/USD face pressure from the widening rate differential in favour of the dollar. Elsewhere, headlines that OpenAI is exploring an Australian data-centre expansion offer a modest medium-term investment story for AUD, but carry limited immediate FX impact against the dominant Fed narrative. Until the FOMC decision and accompanying dot plot are released, positioning is likely to stay defensive, with equity-linked currencies vulnerable to further downside. Traders should expect elevated intraday volatility, wider spreads around the announcement, and sharp two-way reactions to any change in the Fed's forward guidance language.
EURUSD AUDUSD USDJPY NZDUSD GBPUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

USD sentiment steady as Anthropic, OpenAI and Google discuss AI safety body

Reports that Anthropic, OpenAI and Google have held talks on forming a shared AI safety body add substance to the wave of public safety commentary from industry leaders over the weekend, suggesting coordination is more advanced than isolated statements implied. The FX impact is indirect but relevant through the equity and risk-sentiment channel. Credible common testing and auditing standards can be read two ways: as a de-risking of the AI investment cycle that supports the tech-heavy equity complex and risk-sensitive currencies such as AUD/USD and NZD/USD, or as an added compliance burden that slows deployment timelines and tempers the capex narrative currently underpinning US asset inflows. With the dollar's near-term direction dominated by Federal Reserve policy expectations, this story is unlikely to move major pairs on its own. Traders should treat it as a background driver for equity-correlated FX flows rather than a standalone catalyst, monitoring Nasdaq futures as the transmission mechanism into USD/JPY and the commodity currencies. Direction remains unclear pending formal announcements.
USDJPY AUDUSD NZDUSD EURUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Finnhub

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