USD pairs: US yields keep falling despite hot 6.3% PPI and strong retail sales
US Treasury yields continued to decline during the Americas session on October 15, 2026, even after a run of US data that mostly beat expectations. The source reports no currency price move, no pip figure and no technical levels. US September producer prices (PPI) came in at 6.3%, well above the 5.3% forecast, pointing to elevated pipeline inflation. September retail sales rose 0.8% month-on-month against a 0.3% estimate. The October Empire Manufacturing index jumped to +25.50, far above the expected +10.25. The October Philadelphia Fed business index was the exception, printing +20.9 against a +28.4 forecast. For USD traders, the key point is the mismatch between the data and the bond market. Hotter inflation and stronger consumer spending would normally support higher yields, yet yields fell. That divergence leaves the dollar's direction unclear from these releases alone.
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