The Signal Overview at the top weighs five of the readings above into one score, and the setups worth acting on are the ones where the factors that voted agree. Every pair ranked: Signals. Today's plans: Daily Forecast.
EUR/GBP Analysis
Comprehensive analysis for EURGBP showing a tentative bearish bias (low confidence) with 58% bearish signal balance across the weighted factors. Market structure, technical patterns, and key levels examined across multiple timeframes.
View EURGBP sentiment overview
AI analyst comment
EURGBP has been boxed between 0.8322 and 0.83724 since Oct 30, after the slide from 0.84286. ATR at just 0.00269 confirms compressed volatility. RSI at 30.4 reflects the bearish drift, but MACD's histogram has turned positive, so downside momentum is flattening rather than accelerating. Retail is 84% long, heavily crowded on the buy side, which keeps the bias pointed lower within the range. Friday's 0.83395 low sits just above 0.8322: a close below that floor would restart the trend, while a break above 0.83724 would invalidate it.
Signal Overview
Bearish
Low Confidence
Low Volatility
Signal Balance:
42% Long
58% Short
Signal strength
15%
Factor agreement
59% of weight
Factor detail
Sentiment
18%
Strength
13%
Patterns
15%
S/R
26%
HP Zones
28%
Signal Analysis:
The analysis indicates a low confidence bearish bias for EURGBP (signal strength: 15%). Supporting factors include: Retail is 84% long: a crowded long, read as contrarian pressure; EUR is showing relative weakness against GBP (diff: 25%). Contradicting factors: Technical patterns identified: Bullish Engulfing (H1), fading. Volatility on this pair is currently low.
AI Daily Forecast
SHORT
Sell limit Expected result +0.07 × your risk estimate
Entry0.83560
Stop0.83770
Target 10.83306
Target 20.83220
Risk / reward1:1.21
Sell the 0.83633 area with the stop above the 0.83724 range top, targeting 0.83306: the UK GDP beat keeps a BoE December hike in play while the ECB warns on energy risks and slowing growth. Retail at 82% long adds contrarian weight.
Not the signal above, which is a score refreshed every three hours: this plan is written once a night, for one session. The full board.
Sentiment Analysis
Note: The sentiment chart below shows actual trader positioning data (84% long / 16% short). The overall bearish bias (58%) mentioned in the page header represents our signal balance based on combined technical factors beyond raw sentiment.
LONG
SHORT
84%
16%
Historical Sentiment
Sentiment Interpretation
Retail is heavily long (84%): positioning is at an extreme. Our signals read it against the crowd, as a warning for longs, and its weight keeps growing up to a 90/10 split.
By currency
EUReuro62% long38% short
GBPBritish pound59% short41% long
This is mostly a EUR story: retail is long EUR against the other 7 currencies (62% long on average), while GBP sits balanced (41% long on average). The 84% long on EUR/GBP runs with that lean.
All 8 currenciesPrice and retail positioning
The same retail long % as above, over the whole archive and drawn against the price. Candles from 15 minutes to monthly.
Retail
Open EUR/GBP on TradingViewCharts drawn with TradingView Lightweight Charts™ · Copyright (с) 2025 TradingView, Inc.
Daily candles from our broker price feed, 2 October 2023 to 13 November 2026 (bid prices; the day closes at 17:00 New York); weekly and monthly candles are built from them. Drag to pan; scroll, drag the time axis or pinch to zoom. On a touch screen, drag the price scale with one finger to move the chart up or down, with two to stretch it, and double-tap it to reset.
The 15-minute, hourly and four-hour candles come from the same feed and load when you pick them; older ones load by themselves as you scroll left, back to the start of the archive. Four-hour candles open at 17:00, 21:00, 01:00, 05:00, 09:00 and 13:00 New York, as on TradingView. Their last candle is still forming and refreshes about every minute while the view is open. On those views the retail positioning is drawn as steps: it is a snapshot every 3 hours, not a minute-by-minute reading.
Retail positioning: daily snapshots since 12 May 2025, 494 so far · latest 84% long at 13 Nov 21:00 UTC; on the weekly and monthly views it is the average of the trading days. From 60% on one side it counts as crowded and from 75% as extreme, the same three states the Trade Panel shows. The positioning is refreshed every 3 hours on weekdays, not real-time.
Want this retail positioning on your MT5 charts? The Trade Panel puts it inside MetaTrader 5 for all 29 markets, next to our signal and the AI plan of the day, and the Chart Panel, new in 1.8, draws them on the chart you trade. One license covers both panels.
Discover the panelSupport & Resistance Analysis
Arithmetic pivots for this pair are pre-filled in the EURGBP pivot point calculator.
Analysis Price:
0.83408
Market price now0.83423Fri 13 Nov, 21:55 UTC · market closed
Between S1 0.83395 (2.8 pips below) and R1 0.83633 (21.1 pips above)
Resistance Levels
R1:
0.83633
0.27%
↑
R2:
0.83724
0.38%
↑
R3:
0.84019
0.73%
↑
Support Levels
S1:
0.83395
0.02%
↓
S2:
0.83220
0.23%
↓
S3:
0.83000
0.49%
↓
Market Regime:
Range
AI Bias:
Bearish
Price Position Analysis
Price is currently near support at 0.83395 (0.02% below analysis price) with resistance at 0.83633 (0.27% above). This position near support could present a potential buying opportunity with a favorable risk-reward ratio.
Chart Pattern Analysis
H4
50%
Doji
Reliability:
Detected: Nov 13, 14:00 UTC · 1 H4 bar ago
H1
63%
Bullish Engulfing
Reliability:
Detected: Nov 13, 16:00 UTC · 5 H1 bars ago · fading
D1
50%
Doji
Reliability:
Detected: Nov 6 · 5 D1 bars ago · fading
Pattern Analysis Interpretation
Predominantly bullish patterns detected across timeframes, suggesting upward momentum. The most relevant formation right now is a neutral Doji on H4, documented at 50% historical reliability for that pattern type, printed 1 H4 bar ago. This reading currently appears on the H4 timeframe only.
High Probability Zones
Resistance Zone
63%
Zone Band (2 levels):
0.83633 – 0.83724
Analysis Price:
0.83408
Distance:
0.27%
Market price now0.83423Fri 13 Nov, 21:55 UTC · market closed
21.1 pips below the zone
Confluence Factors:
Resistance Zone
57%
Zone Level:
0.84019
Analysis Price:
0.83408
Distance:
0.73%
Market price now0.83423Fri 13 Nov, 21:55 UTC · market closed
59.7 pips below the zone
Confluence Factors:
Support Zone
55%
Zone Level:
0.83000
Analysis Price:
0.83408
Distance:
0.49%
Market price now0.83423Fri 13 Nov, 21:55 UTC · market closed
42.3 pips above the zone
Confluence Factors:
Support Zone
52%
Zone Level:
0.83220
Analysis Price:
0.83408
Distance:
0.23%
Market price now0.83423Fri 13 Nov, 21:55 UTC · market closed
20.2 pips above the zone
Confluence Factors:
Support Zone
52%
Zone Level:
0.83395
Analysis Price:
0.83408
Distance:
0.02%
Market price now0.83423Fri 13 Nov, 21:55 UTC · market closed
2.8 pips above the zone
Confluence Factors:
High Probability Zones Interpretation
Price is approaching the strongest resistance zone we scored for this pair, at 0.83633 (confluence score 63%), currently 0.27% away. The score comes from 2 factors converging here: a 23.6% retracement of the 30-day range and 3 distinct tests in the last 30 days.
5 zones were scored for this pair: 3 below the analysis price and 2 above it.
Volatility Analysis
Select Timeframe:
Daily Range (pips):
26.9
Volatility Regime:
Low
Volatility Level:
13%
10-Day ATR Trend
Volatility Interpretation (D1)
EURGBP is exhibiting low volatility (13 percentile) with an expected range of just 26.9 pips per session. This reduced movement typically indicates consolidation or indecision in the market. Consider tighter stop losses but be aware that breakout potential increases after periods of low volatility.
Correlation Analysis
Top Correlations with EURGBP
EURCAD
0.37
EURAUD
0.32
GBPUSD
-0.27
EURCHF
0.27
EURNZD
0.27
Correlation Interpretation
EURGBP does not show strong correlation (above 0.7 or below -0.7) with other major currency pairs. This suggests it moves relatively independently, potentially offering good diversification benefits for a forex portfolio.
Currency Strength Analysis
Select Timeframe:
Weighted across timeframes the way our signal reads it (daily counts most), EUR vs GBP comes out at -0.25 — bearish for EURGBP. Individual tabs can disagree with it: shorter windows swing more.
EUR
-0.04
Neutral
vs
GBP
-0.05
Neutral
Relative Strength:
0.01
Neutral Bias
Currency Strength Interpretation (D1)
EUR and GBP show similar strength levels on the D1 timeframe, with a relative strength of 0.01. This indicates a neutral bias for EURGBP and suggests range-bound trading conditions may be more likely.
How to Use This Analysis
Other Currency Pairs
EURUSD
Bearish (High)
GBPUSD
Bearish (Low)
USDJPY
Bullish (Low)
USDCHF
Bullish (Medium)
AUDUSD
Bearish (Medium)
USDCAD
Bullish (Low)
NZDUSD
Bearish (Medium)
EURJPY
Neutral (Low)
EURCHF
Neutral (Low)
EURAUD
Neutral (Low)
EURCAD
Bearish (Medium)
EURNZD
Neutral (Low)
GBPJPY
Bearish (Low)
GBPCHF
Bullish (Medium)
GBPAUD
Neutral (Low)
GBPCAD
Bearish (Low)
GBPNZD
Neutral (Low)
AUDJPY
Neutral (Low)
CADJPY
Neutral (Low)
NZDJPY
Bearish (Medium)
CHFJPY
Bearish (Medium)
AUDCHF
Bearish (Low)
AUDCAD
Bearish (Low)
AUDNZD
Neutral (Low)
NZDCHF
Bullish (Low)
NZDCAD
Neutral (Low)
CADCHF
Neutral (Low)
XAUUSD
Neutral (Low)
