China remains on holiday. Mainland markets reopen on 8 October. During the Tokyo afternoon today we'll hear from Bank of Japan Governor Ueda. I'll get a preview of this posted separately. This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.
Source: Finnhub
USD/CAD has trended higher since bottoming in early September near 1.3750 and has now stretched to a targeted upside level, where sellers have stepped in. The source does not report the current price, the size of the move, or the specific target level. Buyers have stayed firmly in control during the advance, and the rising 100-hour moving average has acted as a reliable floor. Over this period, there were only two hourly bars below that moving average. The first came on Wednesday after a slightly weaker US PCE inflation report. The second came on Friday after a weaker-than-expected US jobs report. Both breaks were quickly rejected, which shows that dip-buying demand stayed strong despite softer US data. For traders, the rising 100-hour moving average is the key technical gauge. Continued holds above it keep the bullish trend structure intact. A sustained break below it would be the first technical sign that the selling seen at the targeted level is developing into a broader decline.
USDCAD
Sentiment:
Neutral
Source: Finnhub
The source reports no currency price move, pip figure or technical levels. The US ISM non-manufacturing (services) PMI for September came in at 54.9, below the 55.2 estimate and down from 55.4 in August. The services sector continued to expand, though at a slower pace. Business activity fell sharply to 56.5 from 61.7, and new orders eased to 59.8 from 60.9. New export orders contracted to 46.9 from 56.3, and imports slowed to 52.9 from 56.3. Employment edged back into expansion at 50.1 versus 47.8. The prices index rose to 74.0 from 72.6, which points to firmer cost pressures in the services sector. Supplier deliveries rose to 53.2 from 51.3, the backlog of orders increased to 56.6 from 55.6, and inventories climbed to 57.8 from 56.7. Inventory sentiment dipped to 51.7 from 54.1. For USD traders, the report is mixed. The headline miss and slower activity growth contrast with the higher prices reading and the return of employment to expansion territory, so the release gives no clear directional signal for the dollar on its own.
USD
Sentiment:
Neutral
Source: Finnhub
ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero
EURUSD
Source: Marketaux
The US dollar extended gains against major currencies during the week ended October 2 and closed the week on a strong positive note. The source does not report specific price moves, percentage changes, or levels. The main driver was a jump in yields on long-dated US Treasuries to multi-decade highs, which drew demand toward the dollar. This yield spike outweighed weaker US economic data. PCE inflation readings came in softer than expected, and the latest job market update was disappointing. Both releases reduced expectations of further rate hikes from the Federal Reserve but failed to halt the dollar's advance. For traders, the key takeaway is that long-dated Treasury yields are currently driving the dollar more than incoming data surprises or Fed rate expectations. Moves in long-end yields therefore remain the primary variable to monitor across USD pairs.
EURUSD
GBPUSD
USDJPY
USDCHF
AUDUSD
USDCAD
NZDUSD
Sentiment:
Positive
Source: Marketaux
The source reports no currency price moves, pip figures or technical levels. Its focus is the US bond market, which the author argues remains the main pressure point for traders this week despite Friday's softer US jobs report. The September non-farm payrolls report showed a rise of just 29k jobs, well below expectations. The weak reading gave markets some relief heading into the weekend. Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields initially fell on the release, dipping to a low of 5.16%. The author does not see the jobs data as changing the broader picture, with bond yields still the key driver to monitor. For USD traders, the takeaway is that Treasury yield behaviour, rather than the soft payrolls figure alone, may be the more important influence on dollar-sensitive markets in the days ahead. That makes moves in the 10-year yield a key factor to watch.
Sentiment:
Very Negative
Source: Finnhub
EUR/USD declined 0.7%, according to a report published on October 5, 2026. The move made the euro the weakest performer among the G10 currencies. The source does not give the exchange rate level, a pip figure, or support and resistance levels. It also does not name a specific driver, economic data release, or central bank development behind the move. The available information points to euro-specific underperformance, since the single currency lagged all of its G10 peers. For traders, a 0.7% drop is a notable daily move for a major pair, and the euro's position at the bottom of the G10 table suggests relative weakness worth monitoring. Further confirmation of the drivers and price levels would be needed before drawing firmer conclusions about the pair's direction.
EURUSD
Sentiment:
Negative
Source: Marketaux
Russian officials say no laboratory pathogen was found in connection with a death at a plague research institute, and 189 people are under observation. The source reports no price move, pip figure or technical levels. Contacts have so far tested negative, and authorities insist there is no outbreak, so markets are unlikely to react unless the situation escalates. The main risk is confirmation of plague with secondary cases among those being monitored. That could fuel broader health-scare headlines and modest safe-haven demand, a channel that typically involves currencies such as the Japanese yen and Swiss franc. Local industry is the most exposed channel. Precautions at the nearby aluminium smelter bear watching because aluminium supply is already tight due to Middle East disruption. For traders, the story is a low-probability tail risk rather than a current market driver. Follow-up test results from the observed group are the key headlines to monitor for any shift in risk sentiment or commodity supply concerns.
USDJPY
USDCHF
Sentiment:
Negative
Source: Finnhub
