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Forex News Archive

Professional trading insights from Wednesday, September 30, 2026

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Wednesday, September 30, 2026 at a glance

6
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4
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Archive date: Wednesday, September 30, 2026

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Forexlive

USD pairs: US Q2 GDP final 2.2% beats 1.5% estimate as price gauges cool

The source reports no price move, pip figure, specific currency pair or technical levels. The final reading of US Q2 GDP came in at +2.2%, above the 1.5% estimate cited in the headline and unchanged from the previous estimate of +2.2%. Consumer spending was revised up to +3.8% from +3.4%. Inflation components were softer than expected. The GDP deflator printed +6.1% against +6.4% expected and the prior +6.4% estimate. Core PCE prices rose +3.3% versus +3.6% expected. For the US dollar, the release is mixed. Headline growth and stronger consumer spending point to firmer activity, while the cooler deflator and core PCE readings suggest softer inflation than forecast. Because core PCE is a closely watched inflation gauge, traders may weigh the upside growth surprise against the downside inflation surprise when judging the Federal Reserve's policy outlook and positioning in USD pairs.
USD EUR
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

EUR/USD in focus as euro-area inflation jumps; gold recovers on dovish Fed

The source reports no EUR/USD price move, pip figure or technical levels. European equities slipped back as oil and bond yields edged higher from session lows. Regional inflation data was hotter across the board. French HICP rose to 3.4% in September. German state CPI readings point to national inflation climbing back above 3% for the month. Italy's preliminary September CPI came in at +4.2% y/y versus +3.8%. Cost pressures are also visible upstream, with German import prices up 1.0% in August. German retail sales rebounded 1.3% in August after a July slump, pointing to some consumer resilience. On the US side, dovish comments from the Fed's Williams, together with renewed hopes for a US-Iran deal, helped gold extend its recovery. For traders, the combination of firmer euro-area inflation and dovish Fed commentary is the key fundamental backdrop for EUR/USD. Elevated bond yields, rebounding oil and softer equities add a cautious risk tone.
EURUSD XAUUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

EUR/USD: Germany September CPI seen at 3.1%, inflation back above 3%

German inflation is one of the main data points for EUR/USD traders in European trading today, with the September readings expected to show a further pick-up in price pressures. The source reports no price move, pip figures or technical levels. Markets expect headline CPI to rise to 3.1% y/y from 2.9% prior. The harmonised HICP measure is forecast at 3.2% y/y, also up from 2.9%. The August report had already shown inflation accelerating to 2.9%, with energy prices rising 10.5% on the year and doing much of the heavy lifting. The source does not discuss any central bank response. For traders, the release is a potential source of euro volatility during the European session. The key comparison is the actual figures against the 3.1% CPI and 3.2% HICP expectations. The role of energy prices in any further acceleration is also worth watching.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

AUD/USD, China-linked FX supported as China manufacturing PMI returns to 50.1

The source reports no currency price move, pip figure or technical levels. China's official manufacturing PMI returned to growth at 50.1, and the non-manufacturing index jumped to 50.2. The source says this gives China-sensitive assets a supportive final data point before the holiday. It does not name specific currency pairs. AUD/USD is included here only as a commonly used China-sensitive proxy. Factory strength matters for industrial commodities, including oil. RatingDog found that manufacturers' input costs are being pushed up by metals and oil, which suggests demand for those inputs is holding up. No central bank developments are cited. For traders, both indexes sit just above the 50 expansion threshold, which offers modest fundamental support for China-linked currencies and commodity-sensitive markets. Price confirmation was not reported in the source.
AUDUSD
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Finnhub
economictimes.indiatimes.com

EUR/USD slides as dollar nears yearly high on strong US growth

The US dollar is heading for a September gain that has come mainly at the euro's expense. It is trading close to a yearly high against the single currency, which puts EUR/USD near the lower end of its range for the year. The source reports no specific price levels, percentage changes or pip figures. The main driver is strong US economic growth, which continues to support the greenback. In Europe, concerns over energy supplies and debt have added to the pressure on the euro and widened the gap in sentiment between the two economies. Looking ahead, important US economic data is expected to shape interest rate expectations in the near term, making upcoming releases a key focus for EUR/USD direction. Traders should note that strong US data could reinforce the dollar's advantage. Softer figures could shift rate expectations and ease pressure on the euro. Ongoing European energy and debt concerns remain a headwind for the single currency.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux

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