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Professional trading insights from Tuesday, September 29, 2026

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Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at a glance

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Archive date: Tuesday, September 29, 2026

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Forexlive

USDCAD Technicals: The buyers continue to trend the USDCAD higher and higher

Last week’s question: Was the high in place?In last week’s video, I asked whether the USDCAD’s high was in place .The question centered on a swing area between 1.41297 and 1.41488. After a move from the September 8 low at 1.37588 to the September 24 high near 1.41488, buyers had covered a lot of ground in a short time. That area looked like a reasonable place for the rally to stall.The test for sellers was whether they could push the price below 1.41297 and keep it there.
USD CAD
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

AUD/USD sellers stay in control despite RBA rate hike to 4.60%

AUD/USD remains under seller control despite the Reserve Bank of Australia's decision to raise its cash rate target by 25 basis points to 4.60%. The hike was widely expected, which may explain why it failed to lift the Australian dollar. The source reports no specific price move, pip figure or technical levels. The RBA said inflation remains too high and left the door open to further tightening if needed, a hawkish signal that would typically support the currency. The source frames the pair's reaction as counterintuitive: a rate increase might be expected to push the Australian dollar higher, yet technical control stays with sellers. For traders, the key takeaway is the gap between hawkish RBA policy and the pair's price action. Because the hike was already expected, further Australian dollar gains may depend on stronger signals of additional tightening. Until buyers regain control, the technical bias highlighted by the source remains tilted to the downside.
AUDUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

US-Iran Talks Keep Markets Tentatively Optimistic; Zcash Stays Supported

European session trading was shaped by ongoing US-Iran talks, which kept markets tentatively optimistic, according to the news wrap. The source reports no currency pair moves, pip figures, percentages, or technical levels, and cites no economic data releases or central bank developments. The one specific headline says Zcash remains supported by idiosyncratic catalysts, but macro headwinds limit further gains. For traders, the takeaway is that geopolitical headlines from the US-Iran negotiations are the main sentiment driver in this session. Risk appetite appears cautiously constructive rather than decisively bullish. With no FX-specific moves reported, traders may want to watch how the talks develop and confirm price action directly before drawing conclusions for individual currency pairs.
USD EUR JPY AUD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

EUR/USD in focus as Spain CPI jumps to 4.9%, highest since Feb 2023

The source reports no price move, pip figure or technical levels for EUR/USD or other euro pairs. Spain's preliminary September inflation data came in hotter than expected. Headline CPI rose 4.9% y/y, above the 4.6% forecast and the prior 4.3%. That is the highest annual reading since February 2023. The EU-harmonised HICP measure climbed 5.0% y/y, against 4.9% expected and up from 4.6% previously. Core annual inflation is also seen accelerating from 2.9% to 3.1% in September. This suggests price pressures are broadening rather than staying confined to energy prices. For euro traders, the upside surprise across headline, harmonised and core measures in a major eurozone economy adds to the region's inflation picture. It could feed into expectations for European Central Bank policy, which would be supportive for the euro if markets price a firmer stance. Traders may watch whether similar broad-based price pressures emerge elsewhere in the bloc.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

USD/JPY, AUD/USD in focus: Katayama flags weak yen, Aussie spending flat

Asian equities slipped in the Asia-Pacific session. The source reports no currency price moves, pip figures or technical levels. For the yen, Japan's Katayama said an undervalued yen is problematic and that she agrees with US Treasury Secretary Bessent on cooperation, which keeps the currency's weakness on the policy agenda for USD/JPY traders. In Australia, household spending was flat in August and missed forecasts ahead of the Reserve Bank of Australia's policy decision, which puts the soft consumption data in focus for AUD/USD. The PBOC set the USD/CNY central rate at 6.7411. In commodities, State Street said gold may test $4,000 on rate fears but that $5,000 is still possible within six months. Other headlines included Singapore allocating US$1.1 billion to five asset managers to boost its equities market, and Anthropic's IPO prospectus showing a $42 billion loss for 2025 and $518 billion in spending plans. For traders, the key points are official comments on the yen for USD/JPY, the RBA decision following weak Australian spending data for AUD/USD, and softer regional risk sentiment.
USDJPY AUDUSD USDCNY
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

USD/JPY faces verbal pressure as Katayama calls undervalued yen problematic

The yen is the main focus after Japan's Katayama said an undervalued yen is problematic and agreed with US Treasury Secretary Bessent on cooperation. The source reports no price move, pip figure or technical levels. Katayama's comments came with a promise of close contact with the US Treasury, which adds to verbal pressure on USD/JPY. The remarks follow August's joint intervention, so markets are likely to read them as a signal that Tokyo and Washington remain aligned on currency matters. Explicitly describing the yen as undervalued, together with visible US-Japan coordination, strengthens the verbal defense of the currency. For traders, this raises the risk of sharp yen-positive moves in USD/JPY. It argues for caution with long USD/JPY exposure, since officials have already shown a willingness to back words with coordinated action.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Finnhub

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