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AI-Enhanced Forex News Archive

Professional trading insights from Tuesday, October 14, 2025

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News Statistics for Tuesday, October 14, 2025

14
Total Articles
5
Bullish
6
Bearish
3
Neutral

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Archive date: Tuesday, October 14, 2025

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Forexlive

US stocks close mixed. Dow rises. Nasdaq falls

The back-and-forth swings continued in the major U.S. indices today. Stocks opened lower after China decided to play hardball in response to President Trump’s latest tariff measures, triggering a sharp early sell-off.
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

USD/CAD breaks above 1.4021 as buyers target higher levels

USD/CAD has surged above the critical 1.4021 level, breaking through the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the 2025 trading range at 1.40212. The pair's decisive move clears a key swing area between 1.4010 and 1.40268, which now transforms into a support zone for buyers. This technical breakout signals renewed bullish momentum in the pair, with traders positioning for potential continuation toward the 50% retracement level near 1.4075. The move reflects ongoing USD strength amid expectations of sustained Federal Reserve hawkishness, while the Canadian dollar faces pressure from softer oil prices and concerns about domestic economic growth. Technical indicators support the bullish bias, with momentum oscillators turning positive and the pair trading above its key moving averages. Traders should monitor the 1.4010-1.40268 zone as the new risk level, with sustained trading above confirming the breakout's validity.
USDCAD
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Finnhub
investing.com

USD/JPY targets fresh highs amid dollar strength and yen weakness

USD/JPY has surged 0.5% to 149.85, approaching the psychological 150.00 level as the dollar strengthens on robust US economic fundamentals while the yen remains under pressure from the Bank of Japan's ultra-loose monetary policy. The US Dollar Index has climbed 0.3% to 106.20, supported by expectations of sustained Federal Reserve hawkishness amid persistent inflation concerns. Japanese officials have increased verbal interventions, warning against excessive yen weakness, though markets remain skeptical of actual intervention below 150.00. Technical indicators show strong bullish momentum, with the RSI approaching overbought territory at 68. Immediate resistance lies at 150.00, with a break potentially opening the path to 151.50 (October 2023 high). Support levels are established at 149.20 (previous week's high) and 148.50 (20-day moving average). Traders should monitor any shift in BoJ rhetoric or surprise intervention risks.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Marketaux
zerohedge.com

USD gains as trade tensions resurface ahead of Powell speech

The US dollar has strengthened 0.4% across major pairs as renewed trade war concerns and upcoming Q3 earnings season drive safe-haven flows. EUR/USD dropped 0.35% to 1.0520, while GBP/USD fell 0.4% to 1.2680 as risk sentiment deteriorated following reports of potential new tariff discussions. Markets are particularly focused on Federal Reserve Chair Powell's scheduled speech later today, with traders seeking clarity on the central bank's rate trajectory amid mixed economic signals. S&P 500 futures declined 0.8%, reflecting broader risk-off sentiment that typically supports the dollar. The DXY index pushed above 106.50, testing resistance at the 50-day moving average. Key support for EUR/USD sits at 1.0500, while resistance remains firm at 1.0550. Traders should prepare for increased volatility around Powell's remarks, particularly any comments on inflation persistence or labor market conditions.
EURUSD GBPUSD
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

GBP/USD slides as weak UK employment data pressures sterling

GBP/USD has extended its decline following disappointing UK employment data, with the pair testing critical support levels as selling pressure intensifies. The latest UK labor market report revealed unexpected weakness, with unemployment claims rising more than forecast and wage growth showing signs of deceleration. This data reinforces concerns about the UK economic outlook and reduces expectations for aggressive Bank of England rate hikes. The pound's weakness comes as technical indicators flash warning signals, with the pair approaching key support near the 1.2650 area. A break below this level could accelerate losses toward 1.2600 and potentially 1.2550. The employment data adds to existing pressures on sterling from persistent inflation concerns and political uncertainty. Traders are now focusing on upcoming UK inflation data and any shifts in BoE rhetoric that could provide direction for the embattled currency.
GBPUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

EUR/USD eyes rare earth crisis as EU-US coordinate against China

EUR/USD holds steady near 1.0950 as markets digest implications of potential G7 coordination on rare earth supply chains. European Trade Commissioner Maros Sefcovic announced imminent G7 finance minister discussions addressing China's rare earth export restrictions, marking a 'critical concern' for Western economies. The coordinated response could strengthen transatlantic economic ties, potentially supporting both currencies against the yuan. China controls approximately 60% of global rare earth production and 90% of processing capacity, giving it significant leverage in technology and defense supply chains. Market participants are monitoring whether joint action could lead to increased USD/EUR stability through shared economic security measures. Technical indicators show EUR/USD consolidating between 1.0920 support and 1.0980 resistance. A successful G7 agreement could reduce supply chain vulnerabilities and support risk sentiment, potentially lifting both currencies against safe havens.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Finnhub
investing.com

XAU/USD hits record highs as US-China tensions fuel safe haven demand

Gold prices surged to fresh all-time highs above $2,750 per ounce, gaining 1.2% amid escalating US-China tensions and pre-FOMC positioning. The precious metal's rally intensified as geopolitical uncertainties combined with expectations of a dovish Federal Reserve pivot at Wednesday's policy meeting. Markets are pricing in a 65% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut, which would mark the Fed's first easing since March 2020. The dollar index weakened 0.4% to 105.80, providing additional tailwind for gold prices. EUR/USD advanced 0.35% to 1.0985, while AUD/USD climbed 0.5% to 0.6680, benefiting from dollar weakness despite China concerns. Technical analysis shows gold breaking above the psychological $2,750 barrier with next resistance at $2,800. Traders anticipate continued volatility ahead of the Fed decision, with gold maintaining its appeal as the ultimate safe haven amid mounting global uncertainties.
EURUSD AUDUSD
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD/JPY breaks above 158 on BoJ's dovish stance, targets new highs

USD/JPY surged 0.8% to 158.40, clearing the critical 158.00 resistance level as Bank of Japan officials signaled continued monetary accommodation. The pair reached its highest level since July, with momentum indicators suggesting further upside potential toward 160.00. Japan's Deputy Governor hinted that current inflation levels don't warrant immediate policy tightening, contrasting sharply with the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance maintaining rates at 5.5%. The yield differential between 10-year US Treasuries (4.65%) and Japanese Government Bonds (0.95%) widened to 370 basis points, supporting carry trade flows into USD/JPY. Technical analysis reveals strong buying interest above 158.00, with the next major resistance at 159.50 (June high). Support has formed at 157.20, coinciding with the 20-day moving average. Traders should monitor upcoming Japanese wage data and US CPI figures, which could accelerate the pair's ascent toward the psychological 160.00 barrier.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD/JPY pulls back from 158 highs amid conflicting market signals

USD/JPY retreated 0.5% to 157.60 from session highs near 158.20, as mixed signals create uncertainty about the pair's near-term direction. The correction follows a sharp rally that pushed the pair to three-month highs, with profit-taking emerging ahead of key resistance. US 10-year Treasury yields eased 5 basis points to 4.58%, reducing the interest rate differential that has supported USD/JPY strength. Japanese officials have increased verbal intervention warnings as the yen approaches the 160 level, where authorities previously intervened in foreign exchange markets. Technical indicators show RSI entering overbought territory above 70, suggesting potential for deeper pullback toward 156.80 support. However, the underlying bullish trend remains intact above the 155.50 pivot level. Market participants await Wednesday's US PPI data and Thursday's Japanese machinery orders for clearer directional cues, with volatility expected to remain elevated.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

GBP/USD drops below 1.3050 after weak UK employment data release

GBP/USD declined 0.6% to 1.3040 following disappointing UK labour market data that increased Bank of England rate cut expectations. UK unemployment rate rose to 4.3% in September from 4.1%, exceeding forecasts of 4.2%, while average earnings growth slowed to 4.8% year-over-year from 5.1%. The weaker employment figures suggest the UK economy is cooling faster than anticipated, potentially allowing the BoE more room to ease monetary policy. Sterling fell against all major currencies, with EUR/GBP climbing 0.4% to 0.8410. Technical analysis shows GBP/USD breaking below the key 1.3050 support level, opening the path toward 1.3000 psychological support. The 50-day moving average at 1.3120 now acts as resistance. Markets have increased odds of a November BoE rate cut to 75%, which could pressure sterling further if upcoming inflation data also disappoints.
GBPUSD EURGBP
Sentiment: Very Negative
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

AUD/USD reverses gains as Japan stimulus hopes fade

AUD/USD has reversed earlier gains, falling 0.4% as doubts emerge about Japan's economic stimulus plans, triggering risk-off sentiment across Asian markets. The pair retreated from session highs near 0.6580 to test support at 0.6540, reflecting broader market uncertainty. The reversal coincides with a pullback in equity markets, with the Nasdaq 100 futures declining and the Nikkei 225 giving up early gains. Growing skepticism about the scale and timing of Japan's proposed fiscal measures has dampened risk appetite, benefiting safe-haven currencies like the USD and JPY at the expense of commodity-linked currencies. The Australian dollar faces additional headwinds from concerns about Chinese economic growth and falling iron ore prices. Technical indicators suggest further downside risk for AUD/USD, with immediate support at 0.6520 and resistance at 0.6580. Traders await tomorrow's Australian employment data for potential catalysts.
AUDUSD USDJPY
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

Risk-off mood hits Asian stocks as Nikkei drops 2%, pressures USD/JPY

Asian equities are experiencing broad-based selling pressure, with Japan's Nikkei 225 plunging over 2% to trade below the 47,000 level, while Chinese indices reversed early gains with the CSI 300 down 0.6% and Shanghai Composite falling 0.3%. The risk-off sentiment is spreading to US markets, as S&P 500 futures decline 0.4% ahead of the European session. This deterioration in market sentiment typically benefits safe-haven currencies like the Japanese yen and Swiss franc, potentially weighing on risk-sensitive pairs such as AUD/USD and NZD/USD. The sharp reversal in Chinese stocks after the lunch break suggests waning investor confidence in the region's economic recovery. Technical traders should monitor key support levels on USD/JPY around 149.50 and EUR/JPY near 162.00, as further equity weakness could trigger additional yen strength. The negative sentiment may persist through the European session, potentially affecting high-beta currencies and commodity-linked pairs.
USDJPY EURJPY AUDUSD NZDUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

USD/CNY rises as China controls rare earths, US-China tensions escalate

USD/CNY strengthened 0.15% to 7.1285 as markets digest China's new export controls on rare earth materials and escalating trade tensions between Washington and Beijing. China's Ministry of Commerce defended its rare earth export restrictions as lawful and transparent, while accusing the US of repeatedly tightening restrictions on Chinese exports without proper notification. The measures could impact global supply chains for critical minerals used in technology and defense sectors, potentially affecting trade balances and currency flows. Beijing claims it notified Washington through bilateral channels, contrasting with what it sees as unilateral US actions. The development adds pressure on the yuan as investors assess potential retaliation risks and broader implications for US-China trade relations. Technical indicators show USD/CNY testing resistance at 7.1350, with support established at 7.1150. Further escalation in trade rhetoric could push the pair toward 7.1500, while any diplomatic breakthrough might ease pressure on the yuan.
USDCNY
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Finnhub
seekingalpha.com

EUR/USD forms bearish double-top pattern at yearly highs near 1.12

EUR/USD has developed a concerning bearish divergence double-top formation at its yearly highs, signaling a potential reversal in the pair's longer-term uptrend. The technical pattern, which typically indicates exhaustion in buying momentum, suggests the euro's recent rally against the dollar may be losing steam. The formation completed near the psychologically important 1.1200 level, a zone that has acted as strong resistance multiple times this year. RSI divergence confirms the weakening momentum, with the indicator failing to make new highs alongside price action. This technical setup often precedes significant corrections, with initial downside targets around 1.1050 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement) and 1.0980 (50% retracement). The pattern's validity would be confirmed by a daily close below the neckline support at 1.1080. Traders should also monitor upcoming ECB and Fed policy decisions, as any hawkish surprises could accelerate the reversal. The double-top formation suggests a shift from the bullish trend that dominated earlier trading periods.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Very Negative
Source: Marketaux
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