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AI-Enhanced Forex News Archive

Professional trading insights from Monday, September 29, 2025

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News Statistics for Monday, September 29, 2025

9
Total Articles
3
Bullish
1
Bearish
5
Neutral

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Archive date: Monday, September 29, 2025

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investing.com

USD/JPY Awaits NFP Data as Fed Rate Cut Expectations Drive Trading

USD/JPY consolidates near 149.50 as markets await Friday's US Non-Farm Payrolls report, which could determine the pair's next directional breakout. The dollar has shown mixed performance as traders reassess Federal Reserve rate cut expectations following recent economic data. Market pricing currently reflects a 65% probability of a 25 basis point cut at the November FOMC meeting, down from 80% last week. Technical indicators suggest the pair is coiling within a narrowing range between 148.80 support and 150.20 resistance. The upcoming employment data will be crucial, with consensus expecting 140,000 new jobs and unemployment steady at 4.2%. A stronger-than-expected report could push USD/JPY toward the 151.00 handle, while disappointing figures might trigger a test of the 148.00 psychological support. Japanese officials continue monitoring yen weakness, adding another layer of complexity to the pair's dynamics.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
rttnews.com

Dollar Strengthens on Robust US Economic Data, Major Pairs Under Pressure

The US dollar index gained 0.8% during the week ending September 26, reaching 101.50 as stronger-than-expected economic indicators dampened Federal Reserve rate cut expectations. Key data releases included Consumer Confidence jumping to 103.0 from 96.5, exceeding forecasts of 98.7, while Durable Goods Orders rose 0.2% against expectations of -2.6%. The positive data flow has reduced market expectations for aggressive Fed easing, with December rate cut probability falling to 45% from 70% the previous week. Major pairs faced selling pressure, with EUR/USD declining 1.2% to 1.1050 and GBP/USD dropping 0.9% to 1.3320. USD/JPY advanced to 149.80, approaching the critical 150.00 resistance level. Traders are now positioning for next week's ISM Manufacturing PMI and employment data, which could either reinforce dollar strength or trigger profit-taking if results disappoint market expectations.
EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Marketaux
manilatimes.net

Ferrari buyback program update - minimal forex impact

Ferrari N.V. released its periodic update on the ongoing share buyback program, which has limited direct impact on forex markets. While corporate buyback activities can influence equity markets and potentially affect currency flows through changes in foreign investment patterns, this routine disclosure from the Italian luxury automaker is unlikely to move major currency pairs. The EUR/USD remains focused on broader macroeconomic factors including ECB monetary policy decisions and US economic data releases. Traders monitoring European equity market flows may note marginal impacts on EUR sentiment if significant buyback volumes affect overall market liquidity. However, single corporate actions rarely create meaningful forex volatility unless they signal broader economic trends or involve substantial cross-border capital movements.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

EUR/USD rises on US government shutdown concerns

EUR/USD advanced during Asian trading as concerns over a potential US government shutdown weighed on dollar sentiment. The pair found support above key technical levels as traders positioned defensively ahead of critical US fiscal deadlines. Political uncertainty in Washington has historically created short-term dollar weakness, particularly when combined with concerns about economic disruption from government service interruptions. Markets are closely monitoring Congressional negotiations while also preparing for upcoming economic data releases that could influence Federal Reserve policy decisions. Technical indicators suggest the pair is testing resistance levels, with momentum favoring euro bulls in the near term. The combination of US political risk and data uncertainty has shifted sentiment toward the euro, though traders remain cautious about taking large positions ahead of key economic releases. Support holds at recent lows while resistance emerges at psychological levels above current trading ranges.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

Gold & USD Index React to Fed Rate Cut Expectations; EUR/USD & GBP/USD Eye Moves

Gold prices surged to new record highs above $2,680 per ounce, gaining 1.2% as traders increased bets on Federal Reserve rate cuts. The US Dollar Index (DXY) weakened 0.4% to 100.85, pressured by dovish Fed expectations and softer economic outlook. EUR/USD climbed 0.35% to 1.1180, benefiting from dollar weakness and steady Eurozone fundamentals. GBP/USD advanced 0.45% to 1.3420, supported by expectations of slower Bank of England rate cuts compared to the Fed. Markets are pricing in a 65% probability of a 50-basis-point Fed cut in November, up from 45% last week. Technical indicators show EUR/USD facing resistance at 1.1200, while GBP/USD targets 1.3450. The dollar's weakness could accelerate if upcoming US employment data disappoints, potentially pushing gold toward $2,700 and lifting major pairs further.
EURUSD GBPUSD DXY XAUUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
manilatimes.net

Inventiva H1 2025: €146.7M Cash Position May Impact EUR Sentiment

French biotech company Inventiva reported strong first-half 2025 financial results with €146.7 million in cash and equivalents, including €24.6 million in short-term deposits as of June 30, 2025. The company secured €115.6 million from its second financing tranche, extending its cash runway through Q3 2026. Revenues reached €4.5 million for the period. While not directly forex-related, positive European corporate earnings can provide mild support for EUR sentiment. The healthy cash position and successful funding round demonstrate European market resilience, which could marginally benefit EUR/USD if broader risk sentiment improves. However, the impact on currency markets remains limited as biotech sector performance typically has minimal direct influence on major forex pairs. Traders should focus on more significant macroeconomic drivers for EUR positioning.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

Gold bulls drive safe-haven flows; USD/JPY, EUR/USD affected

Gold's bullish momentum accelerated with increased buying activity, influencing major forex pairs as safe-haven flows reshape currency markets. The precious metal's strength typically correlates with dollar weakness, benefiting EUR/USD which has seen upward pressure amid risk-off sentiment. USD/JPY faces selling pressure as the yen attracts traditional safe-haven demand alongside gold. GBP/USD shows mixed signals while maintaining range-bound trading patterns. The Nasdaq 100's performance adds another dimension to currency flows, with tech sector volatility influencing risk appetite across forex markets. Technical analysis reveals gold breaking above key resistance levels, suggesting continued bullish momentum that could further pressure the dollar. Traders are adjusting positions to account for shifting risk dynamics, with safe-haven currencies like JPY and CHF gaining favor. The correlation between gold strength and dollar weakness remains a key factor for EUR/USD trajectory in coming sessions.
EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD/JPY Volatile as Jobs Data Tests Fed Cut Timeline; S&P 500 & Nasdaq Eye GDP

USD/JPY showed increased volatility, trading in a 149.50-150.20 range as markets reassess Federal Reserve rate cut expectations ahead of crucial US jobs data. The pair declined 0.3% to 149.85 as traders position for potential dollar weakness. Strong US GDP growth signals are tempering aggressive rate cut bets, with markets now pricing only 75 basis points of cuts through 2025, down from 100bps last month. The S&P 500 futures indicate a 0.2% opening gain, while Nasdaq 100 futures point 0.3% higher, reflecting optimism about economic resilience. US Dollar Index (DXY) consolidated near 101.20. Friday's Non-Farm Payrolls report becomes pivotal, with expectations of 145K jobs added. A miss could reignite rate cut speculation and pressure USD/JPY toward 149.00 support, while a strong print might push the pair above 150.50 resistance.
USDJPY DXY
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
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