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AI-Enhanced Forex News Archive

Professional trading insights from Monday, October 20, 2025

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News Statistics for Monday, October 20, 2025

11
Total Articles
7
Bullish
1
Bearish
3
Neutral

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Archive date: Monday, October 20, 2025

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Forexlive

investingLive Americas market news wrap: Gold rebounds to fresh all - time high

White House's Hassett: I think the shutdown is likely to end sometime this weekBank of Canada business outlook survey: Overall intentions remain subduedCanada September producer price index +5.5% y/y vs +4.0% priorECB's Nagel: We can stay in wait-and-see mode on ratesTrump on Australia: Will discuss critical materials/rare earthsMarkets:Gold up $125 to $4372US 10-year yields down 2.7 bps to 3.98%WTI crude oil down 4-cents to $57.50S&P 500 up 1.1%Nasdaq up 1.4% to all-time highAUD leads, CHF...
USD CHF AUD
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

GBP/USD finds support at 1.3400 as buyers defend 100-hour MA

GBP/USD is experiencing volatile intraday swings, declining modestly to test the critical 1.3400 support level where the 100-hour moving average converges. The pair has entered a consolidation phase after recent gains, with buyers defending the support cluster between 1.3391 and 1.3405. Technical indicators suggest the pair is at a crucial juncture, with the rising 100-hour MA providing dynamic support. A sustained break below this level could accelerate losses toward 1.3350, while successful defense might prompt a rebound toward 1.3450 resistance. The consolidation reflects broader market uncertainty ahead of key economic releases, with traders awaiting clearer directional signals. Short-term momentum remains neutral as the pair digests recent moves, though the ability to hold above the 100-hour MA will be critical for maintaining the near-term bullish structure.
GBPUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

USD/CAD sellers fail at 1.4010 support as buyers regain control

USD/CAD initially tested the key 1.4010 support level during Monday's session, with sellers attempting to push below this critical swing low. The pair started near the support zone between 1.4010-1.40268, trading beneath the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at 1.40212. Despite initial bearish pressure that drove prices below 1.4010, sellers failed to maintain momentum through seven consecutive hourly candles. The lack of follow-through selling allowed buyers to step in and reclaim the level, suggesting the downside move was exhausted. This price action indicates strong buying interest at these levels, with the 1.4010-1.40268 zone now established as significant support. Technical traders are watching for a potential rebound toward the 38.2% Fibonacci level at 1.40212, which could serve as initial resistance. The failed breakdown suggests USD/CAD may consolidate above support before determining its next directional move.
USDCAD
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Finnhub
investing.com

Sterling steady as USD rebounds before delayed inflation data release

The British pound is maintaining stability against a rebounding US dollar as markets position ahead of delayed inflation data releases. GBP/USD is holding near recent levels despite broad dollar strength returning to the market. The greenback's recovery reflects renewed safe-haven demand and anticipation of upcoming economic indicators that could influence Federal Reserve policy decisions. EUR/USD has also come under pressure from the dollar's resurgence, while gold prices are consolidating as investors await clearer inflation signals. Market sentiment remains cautious with traders reluctant to take large positions before the data release. The S&P 500 is showing mixed signals, reflecting broader market uncertainty about the inflation trajectory and its implications for monetary policy. Sterling's resilience suggests underlying support, though significant moves are likely postponed until after the inflation figures provide clearer direction for currency markets.
GBPUSD EURUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

USD Strengthens on Trump Tariff Threats Against China

The US dollar surged across major pairs following former President Donald Trump's tariff-related comments about China on October 10, triggering a broad risk-off sentiment in financial markets. The S&P 500 experienced a sharp selloff, with safe-haven flows benefiting the greenback. Technical analysis shows the dollar index testing key resistance levels, while risk-sensitive currencies like AUD and NZD faced selling pressure. The tariff threats have reignited concerns about renewed US-China trade tensions, potentially disrupting global supply chains and economic growth. Traders are monitoring the confluence of technical support zones that could provide short-term stability for equity bulls. However, sustained dollar strength depends on whether these trade concerns escalate into actual policy actions. Key USD pairs are approaching critical technical levels, with EUR/USD testing support near 1.0750 and USD/JPY pushing toward resistance at 150.00.
EURUSD USDJPY AUDUSD NZDUSD
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Finnhub
investing.com

EUR/USD approaches fair value as US credit concerns boost euro strength

EUR/USD is trading near its fair value levels on Monday as mounting US credit concerns provide underlying support for the euro. The pair has benefited from shifting risk sentiment as investors reassess US fiscal stability amid growing debt ceiling debates and credit rating concerns. European economic resilience continues to contrast with softening US data, creating a favorable environment for euro appreciation. The European Central Bank's relatively hawkish stance compared to recent Federal Reserve communications has widened the policy divergence between the two central banks. Technical indicators suggest EUR/USD is consolidating near equilibrium levels, with traders monitoring for breakout signals. Cross-currency flows show EUR/GBP stability while EUR/PLN and EUR/HUF reflect ongoing Eastern European currency dynamics. Near-term resistance lies at recent highs, while support has formed at key moving averages. The combination of US credit uncertainties and steady European fundamentals could drive further euro gains if risk sentiment deteriorates.
EURUSD EURGBP EURPLN EURHUF
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
forexcrunch.com

USD/CAD holds firm on trade tensions and weakening oil prices

USD/CAD remains steady with the greenback maintaining strength against the Canadian dollar amid persistent trade tensions and declining oil prices. The pair is consolidating recent gains as WTI crude weakness undermines the commodity-linked loonie. Trade concerns between major economies continue to support safe-haven dollar demand while pressuring risk-sensitive currencies like CAD. The weakening oil market, traditionally supportive of the Canadian dollar, is failing to provide its usual boost as energy prices retreat from recent highs. Technical analysis shows USD/CAD holding above key support levels, suggesting further upside potential if oil weakness persists. Market participants are monitoring developments in global trade negotiations and energy market dynamics for directional cues. The combination of trade uncertainty and commodity price pressure creates a challenging environment for the Canadian dollar, with USD/CAD likely to maintain its firm tone in the near term.
USDCAD
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
forexcrunch.com

AUD/USD gains momentum as US-China tensions ease, China data improves

AUD/USD extended its rally for a second consecutive session on Monday, climbing as improved US-China trade relations and positive Chinese economic data bolstered the Australian dollar. The risk-sensitive currency benefited from easing geopolitical tensions between the world's two largest economies, reducing concerns about potential trade disruptions. Recent Chinese economic indicators showed signs of stabilization, supporting demand expectations for Australian commodities. The data reinforced optimism about China's recovery trajectory, a crucial factor for Australia's export-dependent economy. Technical momentum remains bullish with the pair breaking above key resistance levels on increased trading volumes. The Reserve Bank of Australia's relatively hawkish stance compared to other major central banks provides additional support. Immediate resistance is seen at recent highs, while support has consolidated at previous breakout levels. Continued improvement in US-China relations and sustained Chinese economic recovery could propel AUD/USD toward higher targets in coming sessions.
AUDUSD
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD/JPY extends decline as yen correction gains momentum

USD/JPY has fallen sharply by 0.8% (120 pips) to 149.50 as the Japanese yen continues its corrective rally against the US dollar. The move represents an extension of last week's reversal from the 151.70 resistance level, with traders unwinding long dollar positions amid growing expectations of Bank of Japan policy normalization. Technical indicators suggest the pair has broken below the key 150.00 psychological support, opening the path toward the 148.80 level (50-day moving average). The yen's strength is being supported by repatriation flows and reduced carry trade positions as year-end approaches. Immediate resistance now sits at 150.30, while a sustained break below 149.00 could accelerate the decline toward 147.50. Traders should monitor upcoming BOJ Governor speeches and US Treasury yield movements for directional cues.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
rttnews.com

EUR crosses surge as US-China tensions ease, risk appetite improves

European currency pairs have strengthened notably during Monday's Asian session, with EUR/USD gaining 0.4% to 1.0875 and EUR/GBP rising 0.2% to 0.8340. The moves come as diplomatic progress between the US and China has boosted risk sentiment, benefiting pro-cyclical currencies. European equity futures point to a positive open, with DAX futures up 0.6% and CAC 40 futures advancing 0.5%. The improved risk environment has reduced safe-haven demand for the US dollar, while expectations for continued ECB rate support have bolstered the euro. Technical analysis shows EUR/USD approaching the 1.0900 resistance level, with momentum indicators turning bullish. Traders are positioning for potential further gains if the risk-on sentiment persists through the European session, though caution remains ahead of Tuesday's Eurozone inflation data release.
EURUSD EURGBP
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

XAU/USD Bullish: Credit Agricole Sees Gold Support Through H1 2025

Gold prices remain strongly supported with XAU/USD trading near $2,730, according to Credit Agricole's latest analysis projecting continued strength through the first half of 2025. The bank identifies four primary drivers sustaining the precious metal's rally: currency debasement hedging as investors seek protection against fiscal concerns in the US, Japan, and Europe; heightened safe-haven demand amid geopolitical uncertainties; central bank accumulation patterns; and persistent inflation hedging requirements. The analysis suggests gold's correlation with major forex pairs, particularly USD weakness, will continue driving demand. Technical levels show strong support at $2,680-$2,700, with resistance emerging near $2,750-$2,780. For forex traders, sustained gold strength typically correlates with USD weakness, potentially supporting EUR/USD, GBP/USD, and other major pairs against the dollar. The outlook implies continued pressure on USD pairs as investors maintain defensive positioning through precious metals.
XAUUSD EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Finnhub
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