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AI-Enhanced Forex News Archive

Professional trading insights from Wednesday, October 15, 2025

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News Statistics for Wednesday, October 15, 2025

14
Total Articles
3
Bullish
8
Bearish
3
Neutral

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Archive date: Wednesday, October 15, 2025

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Forexlive

investingLive Americas FX news wrap 15 Oct: USD falls, but China remains a concern.

US stock markets sizzle at the open, slump midday and then recover to gainsGold has the spotlight right now but oil will take it again before longCrude oil settles at $58.27UK's Reeves shrugs off 'scaremongering' tips higher taxes on the wealthyBeige Book shows now signs of US accelerationFed's Waller: AI is moving so fast we'll see job losses before new jobsMore Fed's Miran: AI investment could lead to a higher neutral rateEuropean indices close mixed. US stocks are higher.
USD EUR GBP JPY CHF AUD CAD
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

USD/JPY drops as Nvidia selloff triggers risk-off sentiment in markets

USD/JPY has declined 0.5% to 149.20 as equity market reversals sparked safe-haven flows into the Japanese yen. The S&P 500 erased a 70-point gain to trade down 14 points, with Nvidia shares falling 1.2% to $183.50 after initially rising 2% in premarket trading. The sudden reversal occurred without any clear catalyst, raising concerns about underlying market stability. Technical indicators suggest further downside risk as the pair broke below the 149.50 support level that held during yesterday's session. The risk-off sentiment has benefited traditional safe havens, with the yen gaining against most major currencies. Traders are closely monitoring the 149.00 psychological level as the next key support, while resistance now sits at 149.80. The correlation between equity weakness and yen strength remains intact, suggesting continued volatility ahead as market participants reassess risk positions.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

USD weakens as China bets Trump will avoid market-disrupting trade war

USD/JPY declined 0.4% to 149.20 as reports emerged that China's Xi Jinping believes Trump won't risk stock market turmoil to sustain a prolonged trade conflict. The dollar index fell 0.3% to 103.85 amid growing concerns about US-China trade tensions potentially escalating. Market participants are reassessing the likelihood of aggressive tariff implementations, with risk sentiment improving on expectations that Trump may prioritize market stability over trade confrontation. Asian equities gained 1.2% while US futures pointed higher by 0.8%. The yen strengthened as safe-haven flows moderated, with USD/JPY finding support at 149.00 (daily pivot) and facing resistance at 149.80 (50-day MA). Traders are closely monitoring any official statements from either administration, as trade policy clarity could significantly impact dollar positioning. A de-escalation in rhetoric could further pressure the greenback against major counterparts.
USDJPY DXY
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Finnhub
investing.com

GBP/USD attempts recovery above 1.3050 amid dollar weakness

GBP/USD is showing signs of recovery, trading 0.2% higher at 1.3065 as the US Dollar Index retreats from recent highs. The pound sterling is benefiting from broad-based dollar weakness despite the absence of significant UK economic data. Technical analysis indicates the pair is attempting to establish support above the 1.3050 level after finding buyers at yesterday's lows. The US Dollar Index has pulled back 0.3% from its intraday peak, providing relief for sterling bulls. Immediate resistance lies at 1.3100, which coincides with the 50-day moving average, while a break below 1.3050 could expose the 1.3000 psychological level. Market participants await tomorrow's UK inflation data, which could provide further directional cues. The pair's ability to sustain gains above 1.3050 will be crucial for maintaining the near-term bullish bias.
GBPUSD
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
rttnews.com

USD falls across board after Powell signals dovish Fed stance

The dollar index plunged 0.8% to 103.20 following Fed Chair Jerome Powell's unexpectedly dovish remarks on Tuesday, with EUR/USD surging 0.9% to 1.0920 and GBP/USD climbing 0.7% to 1.2680. Powell suggested the Fed may pause rate hikes sooner than anticipated, citing concerns about economic headwinds and financial stability. His comments sparked a broad risk-on rally, with gold advancing $25 to $2,045/oz and emerging market currencies gaining 1-2% against the dollar. Treasury yields tumbled 15 basis points across the curve, reinforcing expectations for a less hawkish Fed trajectory. USD/JPY broke below key support at 148.50, accelerating losses to 148.20. Markets are now pricing in only a 35% chance of another rate hike this cycle, down from 65% before Powell's speech. The dovish pivot could mark a significant turning point for dollar strength if sustained.
EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY DXY XAUUSD
Sentiment: Very Negative
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

AUD/USD faces pressure at 0.6700 on China trade concerns

AUD/USD is trading defensively at 0.6680, down 0.3% as renewed trade tensions weigh on the commodity-linked currency. The Australian dollar faces headwinds from concerns about China's economic outlook and potential trade disruptions, given Australia's significant export exposure to its largest trading partner. Technical analysis reveals the pair struggling to maintain the 0.6700 handle, with immediate support at 0.6650 and resistance at 0.6720. Four potential scenarios are emerging: continued weakness toward 0.6600 if trade tensions escalate, a relief rally to 0.6750 on positive China data, range-bound trading between 0.6650-0.6720, or a sharp decline below 0.6600 on risk-off sentiment. The Reserve Bank of Australia's neutral stance provides limited support, while upcoming Chinese economic indicators and trade developments will be key drivers for the Aussie's near-term direction.
AUDUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD/JPY drops to 148.30 on Powell dovishness and China trade tensions

USD/JPY tumbled 1.1% to 148.30, marking its sharpest daily decline in three weeks as Powell's dovish Fed commentary combined with escalating US-China trade concerns. The pair broke below the crucial 149.00 support level, triggering stop-loss selling that accelerated the downward momentum. Gold surged 1.3% to $2,052/oz as investors sought safe-haven assets amid the dual pressures on the dollar. Japanese yen strength was further supported by repatriation flows ahead of Japan's fiscal year-end. Technical indicators show USD/JPY approaching oversold territory with RSI at 32, though immediate support at 148.00 remains vulnerable. The 200-day moving average at 147.50 represents the next major downside target. Traders are positioning for continued dollar weakness unless upcoming US data significantly beats expectations or trade tensions ease materially.
USDJPY XAUUSD
Sentiment: Very Negative
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

USD weakens as mortgage applications improve, refinancing activity rises

US mortgage applications showed improvement for the week ending October 10, declining only 1.8% compared to the previous week's 4.7% drop, with the market index at 317.2. The purchase index fell modestly to 166.0 from 170.6, while refinancing activity remained robust at 1168.0 versus 1180.2 previously. The 30-year mortgage rate edged slightly lower to 6.42% from 6.43%, potentially supporting housing market stability. This data suggests resilient domestic demand despite elevated interest rates, which could influence Federal Reserve policy considerations. The improved mortgage application figures may provide mild support for USD pairs, though this indicator rarely causes significant market movements. Traders should monitor upcoming housing starts and existing home sales data for confirmation of housing sector trends, which could impact broader USD sentiment and positioning.
EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY AUDUSD USDCAD NZDUSD USDCHF
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Finnhub
investing.com

GBP/USD faces selling pressure near 1.2650 resistance level

GBP/USD retreated 0.3% to 1.2625 after failing to sustain gains above the 1.2650 resistance level during European trading. Sterling weakness emerged despite broader dollar softness, as UK economic concerns outweighed positive risk sentiment. UK retail sales data disappointed with a -0.4% monthly decline versus +0.2% expected, raising concerns about consumer spending resilience. The Bank of England's increasingly cautious stance on further rate hikes has also weighed on sterling sentiment. Technical analysis shows GBP/USD trapped in a 1.2580-1.2650 range, with momentum indicators turning bearish. The pair faces immediate support at 1.2600 (psychological level) and stronger backing at 1.2580 (weekly low). A break below 1.2580 could accelerate losses toward 1.2550, while recovery above 1.2650 remains necessary to reignite bullish momentum. Traders await Thursday's UK GDP data for directional clarity.
GBPUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

USD gains on Greer trade comments, US stocks rally from Friday lows

US stock indices posted a strong rebound yesterday, with the initial 50% rally potentially triggered by CNBC's announcement that US Trade Representative Greer would appear on television. The dollar strengthened across major pairs as risk sentiment improved, with traders anticipating positive trade developments from Greer's comments. Technical factors also contributed to the move, as equity prices bounced off Friday's cash market lows, attracting dip buyers into oversold conditions. The correlation between US equity strength and dollar performance remained intact, with USD/JPY climbing above 149.50 and EUR/USD retreating from recent highs near 1.0950. Market participants are closely monitoring any trade policy signals from Greer that could impact global commerce and currency flows. Key resistance for the DXY (Dollar Index) sits at 106.20, while support has formed at 105.50. Traders should watch for follow-through buying in US equities to sustain dollar momentum in the near term.
USDJPY EURUSD
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Finnhub
investing.com

EUR/USD finds support at 1.0900 amid improving French political outlook

EUR/USD stabilized at 1.0905, gaining 0.2% as political tensions in France showed signs of easing following constructive coalition talks. The euro found additional support from better-than-expected German industrial production data, which rose 0.5% monthly versus -0.2% forecast. Cross pairs also reflected euro resilience, with EUR/JPY advancing 0.4% to 161.85 and EUR/CHF holding steady at 0.9745. The single currency's recovery comes after touching three-week lows at 1.0875 earlier in the week. AUD/USD participated in the dollar weakness, climbing 0.5% to 0.6485 on improved risk appetite. Technical analysis shows EUR/USD building a base above the 1.0900 psychological support, with resistance at 1.0935 (50-hour MA) and 1.0950 (daily high). A sustained break above 1.0950 could target the 1.1000 round figure, while failure to hold 1.0900 risks renewed selling pressure.
EURUSD EURJPY EURCHF AUDUSD
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

GBP/USD approaches key support as bears maintain control

GBP/USD is experiencing sustained selling pressure, sliding toward critical support levels as bearish momentum persists in the pair. The sterling's weakness reflects ongoing concerns about UK economic prospects and diverging monetary policy expectations between the Bank of England and Federal Reserve. Technical indicators suggest the pair is testing important support zones that could determine near-term direction. A break below current support levels would open the path for further declines, potentially targeting the next major support area. Traders are closely monitoring UK inflation data and BoE communications for potential catalysts that could reverse the current downtrend. The persistent selling pressure indicates strong USD demand relative to GBP, with market participants favoring the dollar's safe-haven appeal. Short-term resistance levels are capping any recovery attempts, maintaining the bearish technical structure intact.
GBPUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

USD strength tested as 10-year yields pause at critical 4% level

The 10-year Treasury yield decline has stalled near the psychologically important 4% mark, a level that previously halted bond market moves in April and September. This pause in yield declines is providing temporary support for the US dollar, with USD/JPY holding above 149.50 and EUR/USD struggling to break above 1.0530. The bond market's behavior at this juncture suggests traders are reassessing Fed rate cut expectations amid persistent inflation concerns. Technical analysis shows the 4% yield level acting as a key support zone, with multiple tests reinforcing its significance. Should yields break decisively below 4%, it could trigger renewed dollar weakness across major pairs. Conversely, a bounce from this level might fuel USD strength, particularly against rate-sensitive currencies. Traders should monitor upcoming US economic data releases for catalysts that could determine the next directional move in both bonds and forex markets.
USDJPY EURUSD DXY
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

JPY Outperforms as PBOC USD/CNY Fix Below 7.1 Weakens Dollar

The Japanese yen emerged as the standout performer during Asian trading hours, strengthening across the board while other currencies posted modest gains against a weakening US dollar. The catalyst for broad dollar weakness came from the People's Bank of China setting its USD/CNY reference rate below the psychologically important 7.1 level, signaling Beijing's tolerance for yuan appreciation. This development pressured the greenback against most major currencies, though EUR/USD remained anchored around 1.1600 due to significant option expiries totaling 4.13 billion euros at that strike price. The yen's outperformance suggests renewed safe-haven demand or potential positioning ahead of Bank of Japan policy expectations. Technical traders are monitoring whether the dollar's weakness will extend beyond Asian hours, with particular focus on how European and US sessions respond to the PBOC's signal and whether EUR/USD can break free from its options-related magnetic pull at 1.1600.
USDJPY USDCNY EURUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Finnhub
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