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AI-Enhanced Forex News Archive

Professional trading insights from Tuesday, September 30, 2025

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News Statistics for Tuesday, September 30, 2025

11
Total Articles
3
Bullish
3
Bearish
5
Neutral

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Archive date: Tuesday, September 30, 2025

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rttnews.com

Market Focus On U.S. Government Shutdown

Spotlight of world markets turned on the potential partial shutdown of the U.S. government. Also weighing on sentiment are the global trade jitters, Federal Reserve rate cut expectations and geopolitical tensions.
USDCAD
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

Gold Hits Record High: Impact on AUD/USD, USD/CHF Currency Pairs

Gold futures reached unprecedented levels above $2,750 per ounce, driving significant movements in commodity-linked currencies. AUD/USD gained 0.4% to 0.6820 as Australia's position as a major gold exporter boosted the Australian dollar. Conversely, USD/CHF fell 0.3% to 0.8650 as investors shifted from the safe-haven franc to gold amid geopolitical uncertainties. The precious metal's rally reflects persistent inflation concerns and central bank gold accumulation, with China and emerging markets leading purchases. Technical indicators suggest gold's momentum remains strong, with RSI readings above 70 indicating overbought conditions but continued bullish sentiment. For forex traders, the correlation between gold prices and commodity currencies presents opportunities, particularly in AUD/USD longs and CHF shorts. Near-term resistance for gold sits at $2,780, while support has formed at $2,720, suggesting further upside potential that could continue pressuring the US dollar against commodity currencies.
AUDUSD USDCHF XAUUSD
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD/JPY Drops Below 149.50 on US Government Shutdown Concerns

USD/JPY declined 0.5% to 149.40 as fears of a potential US government shutdown weighed heavily on the dollar. The pair broke below the key 150.00 psychological support level after Congressional negotiations stalled over budget disputes, raising concerns about fiscal stability. Japanese yen strength was further supported by safe-haven flows, with the DXY (Dollar Index) falling 0.3% to 105.80. Market participants are closely monitoring Washington developments, as a shutdown could delay critical economic data releases and complicate Federal Reserve policy decisions. Technical analysis shows immediate support at 149.20 (50-day moving average), with resistance now established at the broken 150.00 level. EUR/USD benefited from dollar weakness, rising to 1.0580, while gold prices advanced 0.6% to $2,745. Traders should prepare for increased volatility, particularly if shutdown talks fail, which could accelerate yen appreciation toward the 148.50 support zone.
USDJPY EURUSD XAUUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD/JPY Bears Target 148.00 as BoJ Hawkish Rhetoric Intensifies

USD/JPY extended losses to 149.20, down 0.6% in Asian trading, as Bank of Japan officials maintained hawkish rhetoric regarding potential policy normalization. BoJ Governor Ueda's comments suggesting readiness to adjust monetary policy if inflation sustainably reaches 2% triggered yen buying across the board. The pair has now declined 2.1% from last week's high of 152.00, with momentum indicators signaling further downside potential. Japanese core CPI data showing 2.8% year-over-year growth reinforced expectations for policy adjustment, contrasting with the Federal Reserve's potentially dovish pivot. Technical analysis reveals strong support at 148.80 (August low), with a break below targeting 148.00. Resistance stands at 150.00, now acting as a ceiling for any corrective bounces. Currency strategists note that the BoJ's shifting stance could mark a significant turning point for USD/JPY, potentially ending the pair's multi-year uptrend if Japanese officials follow through with rate normalization.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Very Negative
Source: Marketaux
forexcrunch.com

USD/CAD Steady at 1.3920 as BoC Rate Cut Expectations Mount

USD/CAD consolidated above 1.3900, trading at 1.3920 with minimal 0.1% movement, as markets priced in aggressive Bank of Canada easing expectations. Mixed Canadian economic data showed retail sales rising 0.4% month-over-month but employment figures disappointing at -15,000 jobs versus +20,000 expected. The Canadian dollar's weakness is offset by similar US dollar softness, keeping the pair range-bound between 1.3880-1.3950. Markets are pricing in a 75% probability of a 50-basis-point BoC cut at the next meeting, compared to only 25 basis points expected from the Federal Reserve. Oil prices at $68.50 per barrel provide limited support for the commodity-linked CAD. Technical indicators suggest consolidation continues, with a break above 1.3950 targeting 1.4000, while support at 1.3880 remains intact. Traders should monitor upcoming Canadian GDP data and any shifts in BoC communication for directional catalysts in this technically balanced pair.
USDCAD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD/JPY Slides to 149.00 as US Shutdown Risk Boosts Safe-Haven Yen

USD/JPY tumbled 0.7% to 149.00, marking the lowest level in three weeks as US government shutdown risks intensified safe-haven demand for the Japanese yen. The dollar weakened broadly with EUR/USD climbing to 1.0590 and AUD/USD reaching 0.6840, while defensive assets gained traction. Congressional deadlock over spending bills raised concerns about potential economic disruptions and delayed data releases that could impact Federal Reserve decisions. The yen's strength was amplified by its traditional safe-haven status during US political uncertainty, with USD/JPY breaking below the critical 149.50 support level. Technical momentum indicators turned bearish, with the RSI dropping below 40 and MACD signaling further downside potential toward 148.50. USD/CAD bucked the trend, rising slightly to 1.3940 on separate Canadian dollar weakness. Traders are advised to monitor Washington developments closely, as any breakthrough in negotiations could trigger a swift yen reversal.
USDJPY EURUSD AUDUSD USDCAD
Sentiment: Very Negative
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD/JPY Tests 150 Resistance: October Breakout Could Spark Rally

USD/JPY continues to consolidate just below the psychologically important 150.00 level, trading at 149.85 with minimal movement of 0.1% in early Asian session. The pair has been range-bound between 149.50-150.00 for the past week, building pressure for a potential breakout. Technical indicators suggest growing bullish momentum, with the RSI trending higher and the 50-day moving average providing solid support at 149.20. A decisive break above 150.00 could open the path toward 151.50, the July high, while failure to breach this resistance may trigger a pullback to 148.50. The Bank of Japan's continued dovish stance contrasts sharply with the Federal Reserve's higher-for-longer narrative, supporting the pair's upward bias. Traders are closely monitoring upcoming US employment data and Japanese inflation figures, which could provide the catalyst for October's directional move. The consolidation pattern suggests a breakout is imminent, with bulls maintaining control above key support levels.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

EUR/USD Bulls Defend 1.0600 Support as Q4 Rally Prospects Strengthen

EUR/USD maintains its bullish structure above 1.0600, trading at 1.0625 with a 0.2% gain in Monday's session. The pair has successfully defended key support at the 1.0600 psychological level for the third consecutive week, demonstrating underlying strength despite dollar resilience. Technical analysis reveals a potential inverse head and shoulders pattern forming on the daily chart, with neckline resistance at 1.0680. A break above this level could trigger a measured move toward 1.0750. The European Central Bank's hawkish tilt continues to support the euro, with officials signaling rates may stay elevated through early 2024. Meanwhile, softening US economic data and growing expectations for a Fed pause are weighing on dollar strength. Immediate resistance lies at 1.0650 (21-day moving average), while solid support remains at 1.0580 (weekly low). Q4 seasonality historically favors euro strength, and current positioning suggests bulls are preparing for an upside breakout if fundamental catalysts align.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Marketaux
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