The Signal Overview at the top weighs five of the readings above into one score, and the setups worth acting on are the ones where the factors that voted agree. Every pair ranked: Signals. Today's plans: Daily Forecast.
EUR/CHF Analysis
Comprehensive analysis for EURCHF showing neutral market bias. Market structure, technical patterns, and key levels examined across multiple timeframes.
View EURCHF sentiment overview
AI analyst comment
EURCHF has recovered from the Nov 9 dip to 0.91227 with four up closes in five sessions. It is back at 0.92515, the middle of its late-October 0.920-0.929 range. RSI at 51.1 is neutral, and MACD, though still below zero, has a rising positive histogram that backs the rebound. Retail positioning at 42/58 is too balanced to add a signal. Acceptance above 0.92869 would favour a run at 0.93345, while slipping under Friday's 0.92008 low would send the pair back toward the 0.913 lows.
Signal Overview
Neutral
Low Confidence
Medium Volatility
Signal Balance:
53% Long
47% Short
Signal strength
5%
Factors are split
no clear majority
Factor detail
Strength
25%
Patterns
15%
S/R
27%
HP Zones
34%
Sentiment
retail positioning too balanced to count (42% long)
—
Signal Analysis:
The analysis indicates a neutral outlook for EURCHF. Supporting factors include: High probability (71%) support zone detected at 0.92008; Retail positioning is not one-sided enough to count (42% long, 58% short). Contradicting factors: EUR is showing relative strength against CHF (diff: 35%). Volatility on this pair is currently medium.
AI Daily Forecast
NO PLAN The AI reads EURCHF as directionless for this session, so it publishes no entry, stop or target.
Inside day under 0.92477 with RSI near 48 and balanced retail; the rebound has not become a trend. No edge.
Not the signal above, which is a score refreshed every three hours: this plan is written once a night, for one session. The full board.
Sentiment Analysis
LONG
SHORT
42%
58%
Historical Sentiment
Sentiment Interpretation
Retail positioning is balanced (42% long). Up to 60% on either side it carries no weight in our signals, and a balanced reading says nothing about the next move.
By currency
EUReuro62% long38% short
CHFSwiss franc59% long41% short
This is mostly a EUR story: retail is long EUR against the other 7 currencies (62% long on average), while CHF sits balanced (59% long on average). The 58% short on EUR/CHF runs against that lean.
All 8 currenciesPrice and retail positioning
The same retail long % as above, over the whole archive and drawn against the price. Candles from 15 minutes to monthly.
Retail
Open EUR/CHF on TradingViewCharts drawn with TradingView Lightweight Charts™ · Copyright (с) 2025 TradingView, Inc.
Daily candles from our broker price feed, 2 October 2023 to 13 November 2026 (bid prices; the day closes at 17:00 New York); weekly and monthly candles are built from them. Drag to pan; scroll, drag the time axis or pinch to zoom. On a touch screen, drag the price scale with one finger to move the chart up or down, with two to stretch it, and double-tap it to reset.
The 15-minute, hourly and four-hour candles come from the same feed and load when you pick them; older ones load by themselves as you scroll left, back to the start of the archive. Four-hour candles open at 17:00, 21:00, 01:00, 05:00, 09:00 and 13:00 New York, as on TradingView. Their last candle is still forming and refreshes about every minute while the view is open. On those views the retail positioning is drawn as steps: it is a snapshot every 3 hours, not a minute-by-minute reading.
Retail positioning: daily snapshots since 12 May 2025, 494 so far · latest 42% long at 13 Nov 21:00 UTC; on the weekly and monthly views it is the average of the trading days. From 60% on one side it counts as crowded and from 75% as extreme, the same three states the Trade Panel shows. The positioning is refreshed every 3 hours on weekdays, not real-time.
Want this retail positioning on your MT5 charts? The Trade Panel puts it inside MetaTrader 5 for all 29 markets, next to our signal and the AI plan of the day, and the Chart Panel, new in 1.8, draws them on the chart you trade. One license covers both panels.
Discover the panelSupport & Resistance Analysis
Arithmetic pivots for this pair are pre-filled in the EURCHF pivot point calculator.
Analysis Price:
0.92516
Market price now0.92482Fri 13 Nov, 21:55 UTC · market closed
Between S1 0.92228 (25.4 pips below) and R1 0.92672 (19.0 pips above)
Resistance Levels
R1:
0.92672
0.17%
↑
R2:
0.92869
0.38%
↑
R3:
0.93345
0.90%
↑
Support Levels
S1:
0.92228
0.31%
↓
S2:
0.92008
0.55%
↓
S3:
0.91263
1.35%
↓
Market Regime:
Range
AI Bias:
Neutral
Price Position Analysis
Price is between support at 0.92228 (0.31% below analysis price) and resistance at 0.92672 (0.17% above), with slightly closer proximity to resistance. Watch for rejection confirmation at resistance or break above.
Chart Pattern Analysis
H1
75%
Double Top
Reliability:
Detected: Nov 13, 18:00 UTC · 3 H1 bars ago · fading
D1
63%
Bullish Engulfing
Reliability:
Detected: Nov 9 · 4 D1 bars ago · fading
H1
76%
Double Bottom
Reliability:
Detected: Nov 13, 15:00 UTC · 6 H1 bars ago · fading
D1
60%
Hammer
Reliability:
Detected: Nov 5 · 6 D1 bars ago · fading
Pattern Analysis Interpretation
Predominantly bullish patterns detected across timeframes, suggesting upward momentum. The most relevant formation right now is a bearish Double Top on H1, documented at 75% historical reliability for that pattern type, printed 3 H1 bars ago, so its weight in the signal has already faded by half or more. The same bullish reading appears on 2 timeframes, which is worth more than a single chart agreeing with itself.
High Probability Zones
Support Zone
71%
Zone Level:
0.92008
Analysis Price:
0.92516
Distance:
0.55%
Market price now0.92482Fri 13 Nov, 21:55 UTC · market closed
47.4 pips above the zone
Confluence Factors:
Resistance Zone
66%
Zone Level:
0.92672
Analysis Price:
0.92516
Distance:
0.17%
Market price now0.92482Fri 13 Nov, 21:55 UTC · market closed
19.0 pips below the zone
Confluence Factors:
Resistance Zone
56%
Zone Level:
0.92869
Analysis Price:
0.92516
Distance:
0.38%
Market price now0.92482Fri 13 Nov, 21:55 UTC · market closed
38.7 pips below the zone
Confluence Factors:
Support Zone
55%
Zone Level:
0.92228
Analysis Price:
0.92516
Distance:
0.31%
Market price now0.92482Fri 13 Nov, 21:55 UTC · market closed
25.4 pips above the zone
Confluence Factors:
Support Zone
52%
Zone Level:
0.91263
Analysis Price:
0.92516
Distance:
1.35%
Market price now0.92482Fri 13 Nov, 21:55 UTC · market closed
121.9 pips above the zone
Confluence Factors:
Resistance Zone
52%
Zone Level:
0.93345
Analysis Price:
0.92516
Distance:
0.90%
Market price now0.92482Fri 13 Nov, 21:55 UTC · market closed
86.3 pips below the zone
Confluence Factors:
High Probability Zones Interpretation
Price is approaching the strongest support zone we scored for this pair, at 0.92008 (confluence score 71%), currently 0.55% away. The score comes from 3 factors converging here: a bullish engulfing formed at the level, a psychological round number and 5 distinct tests in the last 30 days.
6 zones were scored for this pair: 3 below the analysis price and 3 above it.
Volatility Analysis
Select Timeframe:
Daily Range (pips):
46.9
Volatility Regime:
Normal
Volatility Level:
50%
10-Day ATR Trend
Volatility Interpretation (D1)
EURCHF is showing normal volatility (50 percentile) with an expected range of 46.9 pips per session. This represents average market conditions conducive to standard trading strategies. Standard position sizing and stop loss parameters are appropriate.
Correlation Analysis
Top Correlations with EURCHF
GBPCHF
0.90
CADCHF
0.73
NZDCHF
0.69
AUDCHF
0.65
USDCHF
0.53
Correlation Interpretation
EURCHF shows strong positive correlation with: GBPCHF, CADCHF. This means these pairs tend to move in the same direction. Trading in the same direction on multiple correlated pairs increases portfolio risk, while finding divergences between correlated pairs can highlight potential reversal opportunities.
Currency Strength Analysis
Select Timeframe:
Weighted across timeframes the way our signal reads it (daily counts most), EUR vs CHF comes out at +0.35 — bullish for EURCHF. Individual tabs can disagree with it: shorter windows swing more.
EUR
-0.04
Neutral
vs
CHF
-0.97
Very Weak
Relative Strength:
0.93
Bullish Bias
Currency Strength Interpretation (D1)
EUR is significantly stronger than CHF on the D1 timeframe, with a relative strength of 0.93. This suggests a strong bullish bias for EURCHF. However, this bias is primarily driven by the weakness of CHF.
How to Use This Analysis
Other Currency Pairs
EURUSD
Bearish (High)
GBPUSD
Bearish (Low)
USDJPY
Bullish (Low)
USDCHF
Bullish (Medium)
AUDUSD
Bearish (Medium)
USDCAD
Bullish (Low)
NZDUSD
Bearish (Medium)
EURGBP
Bearish (Low)
EURJPY
Neutral (Low)
EURAUD
Neutral (Low)
EURCAD
Bearish (Medium)
EURNZD
Neutral (Low)
GBPJPY
Bearish (Low)
GBPCHF
Bullish (Medium)
GBPAUD
Neutral (Low)
GBPCAD
Bearish (Low)
GBPNZD
Neutral (Low)
AUDJPY
Neutral (Low)
CADJPY
Neutral (Low)
NZDJPY
Bearish (Medium)
CHFJPY
Bearish (Medium)
AUDCHF
Bearish (Low)
AUDCAD
Bearish (Low)
AUDNZD
Neutral (Low)
NZDCHF
Bullish (Low)
NZDCAD
Neutral (Low)
CADCHF
Neutral (Low)
XAUUSD
Neutral (Low)
