EURCHF Bearish

Analysis Price: 0.9119 (Updated: 16 February 2026, 22:23 UTC)

Comprehensive analysis for EURCHF showing a predominantly bearish bias with 72% bearish consensus based on combined analytical factors. Raw trader sentiment shows 80% long, 20% short. Market structure, technical patterns, and key levels examined across multiple timeframes.

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Signal Overview

Bearish Medium Confidence High Risk

Market Consensus:

28% Long

72% Short

Valid Timeframes:

M15 H1 H4 D1

Signal Analysis:

The analysis indicates a medium confidence bearish bias for EURCHF (signal strength: 44%). Supporting factors include: High probability (95%) resistance zone detected at 0.9128; Technical patterns identified: Bearish Engulfing (H1). Contradicting factors: Retail sentiment is 77% bullish; EUR is showing relative strength against CHF (diff: 24%). Risk assessment for this trade is high. This signal is most valid on the M15, H1, H4, D1 timeframes.

Sentiment Analysis

Note: The sentiment chart below shows actual trader positioning data (80% long / 20% short). The overall bearish bias (72%) mentioned in the page header represents our analytical consensus based on combined technical factors beyond raw sentiment.

LONG SHORT

80% 20%

Historical Sentiment (7 Days)

Sentiment Interpretation

Extremely bullish sentiment with 80% of traders holding long positions. This extreme positioning could indicate a potential contrarian short opportunity as the market may be overcrowded.

Support & Resistance Analysis

Resistance Levels

R1: 0.9179 0.66% ↑

Analysis Price: 0.9119

Support Levels

S1: 0.9110 0.10% ↓

Market Regime:

Range

Analyst Bias:

Unknown

Direction Probability:

40%

Price Position Analysis

Price is currently near support at 0.9110 (0.10% below analysis price) with resistance at 0.9179 (0.66% above). This position near support could present a potential buying opportunity with a favorable risk-reward ratio.

Chart Pattern Analysis

No chart patterns detected for EURCHF at this time.

High Probability Zones

Resistance Zone

95%

Zone Level:

0.9287

analysis price:

0.9119

Distance:

1.82%

Confluence Factors:

Shooting Star 127% Extension

Valid on Timeframes:

H1 H4 D1 W1

High Probability Zones Interpretation

Price is approaching a high probability (95%) resistance zone at 0.9287, currently 1.82% away. Consider preparing a sell strategy as price approaches this level, watching for confirmation signals.

Volatility Analysis

Select Timeframe:

Daily Range (pips):

40.0

Volatility Regime:

Low

Volatility Level:

14%

10-Day ATR Trend

Volatility Interpretation (H1)

EURCHF is exhibiting low volatility (14 percentile) with an expected daily range of just 40.0 pips. This reduced movement typically indicates consolidation or indecision in the market. Consider tighter stop losses but be aware that breakout potential increases after periods of low volatility.

Correlation Analysis

Top Correlations with EURCHF

EURGBP

0.86

EURJPY

0.84

CADCHF

0.83

EURUSD

0.77

USDCHF

0.70

Correlation Interpretation

Understanding how EURCHF correlates with other pairs can help with portfolio diversification and risk management. Strong positive correlations (above 0.7) indicate pairs that move similarly, while strong negative correlations (below -0.7) show pairs that typically move in opposite directions.

EURCHF shows strong positive correlation with: EURGBP, EURJPY, CADCHF, EURUSD, USDCHF. This means these pairs tend to move in the same direction. Trading in the same direction on multiple correlated pairs increases portfolio risk, while finding divergences between correlated pairs can highlight potential reversal opportunities.

Currency Strength Analysis

Select Timeframe:

EUR

-0.87

Very-weak

CHF

0.07

Neutral

Relative Strength:

-0.94

Bearish Bias

Currency Strength Interpretation (M15)

CHF is significantly stronger than EUR on the M15 timeframe, with a relative strength of -0.94. This suggests a strong bearish bias for EURCHF. However, this bias is primarily driven by the weakness of EUR.

How to Use This Analysis

This comprehensive analysis provides multiple perspectives on EURCHF to help inform your trading decisions:

Sentiment Analysis: Use to understand market positioning and potential contrarian opportunities
Support & Resistance: Identify key price levels for setting stop losses and take profits
Pattern Analysis: Recognize technical formations that may indicate continuation or reversal
Volatility Analysis: Adjust position sizing and risk management based on current market conditions
Currency Strength: Compare the relative performance of individual currencies within the pair
Correlation Analysis: Understand how this pair moves in relation to others for portfolio diversification

For optimal results, consider how these different factors align. The strongest trading opportunities typically occur when multiple analytical tools show confirmation across different timeframes.