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AI-Enhanced Forex News Archive

Professional trading insights from Thursday, October 16, 2025

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News Statistics for Thursday, October 16, 2025

11
Total Articles
3
Bullish
3
Bearish
5
Neutral

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Archive date: Thursday, October 16, 2025

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Forexlive

USDCHF faces rejection at 0.7990 as sellers regain control

USDCHF declined during Asian trading, temporarily breaching the 0.7938-0.7947 support zone before buyers emerged to push prices higher. The rebound stalled at 0.7984, just shy of the critical 0.7986-0.7994 resistance area, prompting renewed selling pressure. This zone now serves as the decisive level for near-term directional bias. The pair's inability to sustain breaks below support or above resistance indicates a range-bound market awaiting fresh catalysts. Technical traders are closely monitoring these levels, with a sustained break above 0.7994 potentially opening the path to 0.8020, while failure to hold above 0.7938 could accelerate declines toward 0.7900. The current price action suggests market indecision, with neither bulls nor bears establishing clear dominance in the absence of significant fundamental drivers.
USDCHF
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Finnhub
rttnews.com

Mixed Sentiment In World Markets

Strong rate cut expectations from the Fed continued to dominate sentiment in global markets..
USDCAD
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

GBP/USD climbs as UK GDP shows 0.2% growth in August

GBP/USD advanced 0.4% to 1.3075 following the release of positive UK economic data showing the economy returned to growth in August. UK GDP expanded 0.2% month-over-month, matching expectations and reversing July's stagnation. The services sector led the recovery with 0.1% growth, while production output surged 0.5%. Sterling strength was further supported by declining US dollar momentum ahead of key US retail sales data. The pound found immediate resistance at 1.3100, a level that has capped gains multiple times this week. Support remains firm at 1.3040, aligned with the 50-day moving average. Traders are now positioning for potential Bank of England policy shifts, as returning growth could delay anticipated rate cuts. The positive GDP print reduces recession fears and may prompt the BoE to maintain its hawkish stance longer than previously expected.
GBPUSD
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

EUR/USD dips as Eurozone trade surplus narrows to €1.0 billion

EUR/USD declined 0.2% to 1.0980 after Eurozone trade data revealed a sharp deterioration in the bloc's trade balance. The August trade surplus plummeted to €1.0 billion from July's revised €12.7 billion, significantly below market expectations. The decline was primarily driven by a collapse in machinery and vehicle exports, which fell from €18.0 billion to €7.8 billion. Year-to-date figures remain positive, suggesting the August reading may be an anomaly rather than a trend reversal. The euro found support at 1.0975, near the daily pivot point, while resistance emerged at 1.1000. Market participants are reassessing ECB rate cut expectations, as weakening trade dynamics could pressure the central bank toward more accommodative policy. The disappointing trade figures add to concerns about Eurozone economic momentum heading into the fourth quarter.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Finnhub
investing.com

USD faces pressure from rare earth export concerns in key pairs

The US dollar weakened across major pairs, with EUR/USD rising 0.3% to 1.1025 and USD/JPY falling 0.5% to 149.20, as traders digest implications of potential rare earth export restrictions. Growing tensions over critical mineral supplies have sparked concerns about future trade dynamics and dollar demand. AUD/USD benefited significantly, jumping 0.6% to 0.6680, as Australia's dominant position in rare earth production attracts investment flows. EUR/CHF remained stable at 0.9385, indicating safe-haven demand remains muted despite trade uncertainties. Technical indicators suggest the dollar index could test support at 105.50, with a break potentially accelerating losses toward 105.00. The rare earth issue adds a new dimension to global trade relations, potentially reshaping currency dynamics as nations secure critical supply chains. Traders should monitor developments closely as this theme could dominate forex movements in coming sessions.
EURUSD USDJPY AUDUSD EURCHF
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

EUR/USD targets gains as Powell comments weaken dollar outlook

EUR/USD is positioning for potential upside movement following dovish remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell that have undermined dollar strength across the board. Powell's comments have shifted market expectations regarding the Fed's monetary policy trajectory, reducing support for the greenback. The Dollar Index has shown notable weakness in response, creating favorable conditions for euro appreciation. Technical indicators suggest building bullish momentum for the pair, with traders eyeing key resistance levels that could accelerate gains if breached. The shift in Fed communication has prompted reassessment of interest rate differentials between the US and Eurozone, potentially narrowing the gap that has supported dollar strength. Near-term focus remains on upcoming economic data releases that could either reinforce or challenge the emerging euro-positive narrative, with particular attention on inflation metrics and growth indicators from both regions.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

Russell entry signals risk-on mode for USD pairs

Risk appetite surged as traders positioned for Russell index rebalancing, pressuring the US dollar across multiple pairs. GBP/USD rallied 0.5% to 1.3120, while USD/JPY retreated 0.4% to 149.35 as yen safe-haven flows increased. AUD/USD jumped 0.7% to 0.6715, benefiting from the broader risk-on sentiment and commodity currency strength. The Nasdaq 100's 1.2% gain reinforced the positive market mood, drawing capital away from defensive dollar positions. Technical analysis shows GBP/USD approaching key resistance at 1.3150, while AUD/USD eyes the 0.6750 level. Support for USD/JPY sits at 149.00, with a break potentially accelerating yen strength toward 148.50. The Russell rebalancing typically generates significant volume and can establish new trends lasting several weeks. Traders should prepare for continued dollar weakness if equity markets maintain their upward trajectory.
GBPUSD USDJPY AUDUSD
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

AUD/USD faces pressure as unemployment hits 4.5%, CPI data crucial

AUD/USD has weakened to 0.6720, declining 0.5% as Australia's unemployment rate jumped to 4.5%, the highest level since 2021. This sharp deterioration in labor market conditions directly contradicts RBA Governor Bullock's recent assessment of a 'tight' labor market, raising questions about the central bank's hawkish stance. The unexpected rise from 4.2% suggests cooling economic conditions that could prompt the RBA to reconsider its monetary policy trajectory. Markets are now intensely focused on the upcoming Australian CPI report, which will be pivotal in determining whether the RBA maintains its current stance or shifts toward potential rate cuts. Technical indicators show AUD/USD testing support at 0.6700, with resistance at 0.6750. A disappointing inflation reading could accelerate bearish momentum toward 0.6650, while any upside surprise might provide temporary relief but faces headwinds from deteriorating employment conditions.
AUDUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

USD/JPY faces pressure as Japan expected to halt Russian energy imports

USD/JPY remains under scrutiny as US Treasury nominee Bessent indicates the incoming administration expects Japan to cease Russian energy imports, potentially impacting Japan's trade balance and currency dynamics. This geopolitical development follows earlier reports of Trump pressuring India and China to reduce Russian oil purchases, signaling a coordinated effort to isolate Russian energy markets. Japan's compliance could lead to higher energy costs and increased trade deficits, traditionally bearish for the yen. However, reduced global oil demand from major importers might ease crude prices, offsetting some negative impacts. The pair currently trades near 149.50, with traders monitoring both energy market developments and upcoming Bank of Japan policy decisions. Technical resistance stands at 150.00 psychological level, while support emerges at 148.80. The situation adds another layer of complexity to USD/JPY positioning, with geopolitical factors potentially overriding traditional fundamental drivers in the near term.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Finnhub
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