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CAD/CHF Analysis

Signal: Neutral
Market price0.58803Fri 13 Nov, 21:55 UTC · market closed
Analysis Price0.5882113 Nov, 21:18 UTC

The signal, the levels and the zones on this page were built on the Analysis Price; the market price is where the pair trades right now.

Comprehensive analysis for CADCHF showing neutral market bias. Market structure, technical patterns, and key levels examined across multiple timeframes.

AI analyst comment AI market analysis · updated 21:18 UTC · refreshed every 3 hours

CADCHF rebounded from 0.57895 on Nov 9 with four consecutive higher closes to 0.58815. Friday's high at 0.58864 is testing the 0.58866 pivot. RSI at 56.3 is mildly positive, but MACD and its signal sit flat near zero, so the bounce lacks momentum confirmation. Retail at 43/57 gives no contrarian signal. A close above 0.58866 would open the late-October 0.59074-0.59299 highs, while a drop under 0.58447 would return price to the middle of the 0.579-0.593 range.

Signal Overview

Neutral Low Confidence Very high Volatility
Signal Balance:
47% Long
53% Short
Signal strength 7%
Factors are split leans bearish, too weak to call
Factor detail
Strength 31%
Patterns 15%
S/R 54%
Sentiment retail positioning too balanced to count (43% long) —
HP Zones zones balanced above and below —

Signal Analysis:

The analysis indicates a neutral outlook for CADCHF. Supporting factors include: High probability (65%) support zone detected at 0.58447; Retail positioning is not one-sided enough to count (43% long, 57% short). Contradicting factors: Price is near a resistance level at 0.58866 (0.08% above current price); CAD is showing relative strength against CHF (diff: 69%). Volatility on this pair is currently very high.

AI Daily Forecast

Last plan, Fri 13 Nov 2026 · window closed Fri 21:00 UTC · written 12 Nov, 23:34 UTC · not every pair gets one

NO PLAN The AI reads CADCHF as directionless for this session, so it publishes no entry, stop or target.

A three-day bounce meets the 0.58633-0.58786 cluster with lagging momentum. No edge.

Not the signal above, which is a score refreshed every three hours: this plan is written once a night, for one session. The full board.

Sentiment Analysis

LONG SHORT
43% 57%

Historical Sentiment

Sentiment Interpretation

Retail positioning is balanced (43% long). Up to 60% on either side it carries no weight in our signals, and a balanced reading says nothing about the next move.

By currencyCAD and CHF against the other majors · updated 13 Nov, 21:00 UTC
CADCanadian dollar54% short46% longBalanced7d−6
CHFSwiss franc59% long41% shortBalanced7d+24

Neither currency is crowded against the rest of the majors (CAD 46% long on average, CHF 59%): the 57% short on CAD/CHF is specific to this pair, not part of a wider lean.

All 8 currencies

Price and retail positioning

The same retail long % as above, over the whole archive and drawn against the price. Candles from 15 minutes to monthly.

Retail
Open CAD/CHF on TradingViewCharts drawn with TradingView Lightweight Charts™ · Copyright (с) 2025 TradingView, Inc. Daily candles from our broker price feed, 2 October 2023 to 13 November 2026 (bid prices; the day closes at 17:00 New York); weekly and monthly candles are built from them. Drag to pan; scroll, drag the time axis or pinch to zoom. On a touch screen, drag the price scale with one finger to move the chart up or down, with two to stretch it, and double-tap it to reset. The 15-minute, hourly and four-hour candles come from the same feed and load when you pick them; older ones load by themselves as you scroll left, back to the start of the archive. Four-hour candles open at 17:00, 21:00, 01:00, 05:00, 09:00 and 13:00 New York, as on TradingView. Their last candle is still forming and refreshes about every minute while the view is open. On those views the retail positioning is drawn as steps: it is a snapshot every 3 hours, not a minute-by-minute reading. Retail positioning: daily snapshots since 12 May 2025, 494 so far · latest 43% long at 13 Nov 21:00 UTC; on the weekly and monthly views it is the average of the trading days. From 60% on one side it counts as crowded and from 75% as extreme, the same three states the Trade Panel shows. The positioning is refreshed every 3 hours on weekdays, not real-time.

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Support & Resistance Analysis

Arithmetic pivots for this pair are pre-filled in the CADCHF pivot point calculator.

Analysis Price: 0.58821
Market price now0.58803Fri 13 Nov, 21:55 UTC · market closed

Between S1 0.58447 (35.6 pips below) and R1 0.58866 (6.3 pips above)

Resistance Levels

R1: 0.58866 0.08% ↑
R2: 0.59074 0.43% ↑
R3: 0.59299 0.81% ↑

Support Levels

S1: 0.58447 0.64% ↓
S2: 0.58280 0.92% ↓
S3: 0.58116 1.20% ↓
Market Regime:
Range
AI Bias:
Neutral

Price Position Analysis

Price is currently near resistance at 0.58866 (0.08% above analysis price) with support at 0.58447 (0.64% below). This position near resistance could present a potential selling opportunity with a favorable risk-reward ratio.

Chart Pattern Analysis

H1
50%
Doji
Reliability:
Detected: Nov 13, 20:00 UTC · 1 H1 bar ago
H1
50%
Doji
Reliability:
Detected: Nov 13, 18:00 UTC · 3 H1 bars ago · fading
H4
50%
Doji
Reliability:
Detected: Nov 13, 02:00 UTC · 4 H4 bars ago · fading
H1
71%
Evening Star
Reliability:
Detected: Nov 13, 14:00 UTC · 7 H1 bars ago · fading

Pattern Analysis Interpretation

Predominantly bearish patterns detected across timeframes, suggesting downward pressure. The most relevant formation right now is a neutral Doji on H1, documented at 50% historical reliability for that pattern type, printed 1 H1 bar ago. This reading currently appears on the H1 timeframe only.

High Probability Zones

Support Zone
65%
Zone Level:
0.58447
Analysis Price:
0.58821
Distance:
0.64%
Market price now0.58803Fri 13 Nov, 21:55 UTC · market closed

35.6 pips above the zone

Confluence Factors:
38.2% Retracement 5× tested (30d)
Context (not scored):
High-volatility regime
Resistance Zone
64%
Zone Level:
0.58866
Analysis Price:
0.58821
Distance:
0.08%
Market price now0.58803Fri 13 Nov, 21:55 UTC · market closed

6.3 pips below the zone

Confluence Factors:
Evening Star 3× tested (30d)
Context (not scored):
High-volatility regime
Support Zone
55%
Zone Level:
0.58116
Analysis Price:
0.58821
Distance:
1.20%
Market price now0.58803Fri 13 Nov, 21:55 UTC · market closed

68.7 pips above the zone

Confluence Factors:
4× tested (30d)
Context (not scored):
High-volatility regime
Support Zone
55%
Zone Level:
0.58280
Analysis Price:
0.58821
Distance:
0.92%
Market price now0.58803Fri 13 Nov, 21:55 UTC · market closed

52.3 pips above the zone

Confluence Factors:
4× tested (30d)
Context (not scored):
High-volatility regime
Resistance Zone
51%
Zone Level:
0.59074
Analysis Price:
0.58821
Distance:
0.43%
Market price now0.58803Fri 13 Nov, 21:55 UTC · market closed

27.1 pips below the zone

Confluence Factors:
1× tested (30d)
Context (not scored):
High-volatility regime
Resistance Zone
51%
Zone Level:
0.59299
Analysis Price:
0.58821
Distance:
0.81%
Market price now0.58803Fri 13 Nov, 21:55 UTC · market closed

49.6 pips below the zone

Confluence Factors:
1× tested (30d)
Context (not scored):
High-volatility regime

High Probability Zones Interpretation

Price is approaching the strongest support zone we scored for this pair, at 0.58447 (confluence score 65%), currently 0.64% away. The score comes from 2 factors converging here: a 38.2% retracement of the 30-day range and 5 distinct tests in the last 30 days.

6 zones were scored for this pair: 3 below the analysis price and 3 above it.

Volatility Analysis

Select Timeframe:
Daily Range (pips):
38.5
Volatility Regime:
Extreme
Volatility Level:
93%
10-Day ATR Trend

Volatility Interpretation (D1)

CADCHF is currently showing extreme volatility (93 percentile) with an expected range of 38.5 pips per session. This indicates potentially rapid price movements that create both opportunity and risk. Consider wider stop losses (1.5-2x normal size) and reduced position sizes to manage the elevated risk.

Correlation Analysis

Top Correlations with CADCHF

GBPCHF
0.76
AUDCHF
0.75
EURCHF
0.73
USDCHF
0.71
CHFJPY
-0.65

Correlation Interpretation

CADCHF shows strong positive correlation with: GBPCHF, AUDCHF, EURCHF, USDCHF. This means these pairs tend to move in the same direction. Trading in the same direction on multiple correlated pairs increases portfolio risk, while finding divergences between correlated pairs can highlight potential reversal opportunities.

Currency Strength Analysis

Select Timeframe:

Weighted across timeframes the way our signal reads it (daily counts most), CAD vs CHF comes out at +0.69 — bullish for CADCHF. Individual tabs can disagree with it: shorter windows swing more.

CAD
-0.06
Neutral
vs
CHF
-0.97
Very Weak
Relative Strength:
0.91
Bullish Bias

Currency Strength Interpretation (D1)

CAD is significantly stronger than CHF on the D1 timeframe, with a relative strength of 0.91. This suggests a strong bullish bias for CADCHF. However, this bias is primarily driven by the weakness of CHF.

How to Use This Analysis

The Signal Overview at the top weighs five of the readings above into one score, and the setups worth acting on are the ones where the factors that voted agree. Every pair ranked: Signals. Today's plans: Daily Forecast.

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