USD/JPY advanced 0.4% to 157.20 during Asian trading as Tokyo's core CPI accelerated well above 3%, reinforcing expectations for potential Bank of Japan policy normalization. The inflation data sparked yen selling initially as traders positioned for a widening rate differential with the US. However, gains were capped by Treasury Secretary nominee Bessent's comments that US-China trade talks have stalled, raising concerns about regional economic stability. The development adds uncertainty to Asian currencies broadly, with potential spillover effects on risk sentiment. Technical indicators show USD/JPY approaching key resistance at 157.50, while support lies at 156.80. The conflicting forces of Japanese inflation pressures and geopolitical tensions create a complex trading environment. Traders should monitor upcoming BOJ commentary and any developments in US-China relations for directional cues.
USDJPY
USDCNY
Sentiment:
Positive
Source: Marketaux
USD/CNY trading remains elevated near 7.25 as geopolitical tensions intensify following US plans to dramatically increase weapons sales to Taiwan. The proposed arms deals could exceed $18.3 billion, surpassing the entire amount sold during Trump's previous administration, potentially straining US-China relations further. Markets are pricing in increased safe-haven demand for the dollar against Asian currencies, though CNY weakness is being partially offset by PBOC intervention. The escalation comes as China continues military exercises near Taiwan, raising concerns about regional stability. Technical indicators show USD/CNY testing resistance at 7.2650, with support at 7.2300. Traders should monitor upcoming diplomatic developments and potential Chinese retaliatory measures, which could trigger additional volatility in the pair. The situation may also impact broader risk sentiment, affecting commodity currencies and emerging market forex pairs.
USDCNY
Sentiment:
Positive
Source: Finnhub
AUD/USD declined 0.2% to 0.6485 in early Asian trading as disappointing Australian economic data weighed on the currency. Retail sales data came in below expectations, signaling weakening consumer demand, while building permits also disappointed, suggesting a cooling construction sector. The weak data reinforces market expectations that the Reserve Bank of Australia may pause its tightening cycle, putting additional pressure on the Aussie dollar. Technical analysis shows AUD/USD breaking below the 0.6500 psychological support level, with next support at 0.6470 (50-day moving average). Resistance now sits at 0.6520. The combination of soft domestic data and a relatively stronger US dollar continues to pressure the pair lower. Traders are awaiting next week's RBA meeting minutes for further clarity on monetary policy direction, which could determine whether the current downtrend accelerates.
AUDUSD
Sentiment:
Negative
Source: Marketaux
USD has maintained recent gains with major pairs consolidating ahead of tonight's Costco and Dell earnings reports. While not direct forex catalysts, these tech bellwethers could influence broader risk sentiment affecting currency flows. Costco is expected to report EPS of $3.78 versus last year's $3.78, with revenues projected at $63.13 billion compared to $58.52 billion previously. Dell forecasts show EPS at $1.70 versus $1.27 year-over-year, with revenues expected at $23.18 billion. These results may provide insights into consumer spending and tech sector health, potentially impacting USD strength. Markets are particularly focused on forward guidance amid persistent inflation concerns. The earnings come as traders position for tomorrow's US GDP revision and Friday's crucial PCE inflation data, which could significantly influence Federal Reserve policy expectations and dollar direction through June.
EURUSD
GBPUSD
USDJPY
Sentiment:
Neutral
Source: Finnhub
USD/CAD has bounced from session lows of 1.3784 to trade near 1.3810, recovering approximately 25 pips from intraday lows. The pair initially weakened following comments from Canadian PM Carney regarding unjustified US tariffs on steel and autos, highlighting ongoing trade tensions between the two nations. Technical support at 1.3781 held firm, with additional backing from the 100-hour moving average at 1.3775, prompting the rebound. The ongoing tariff dispute continues to weigh on Canadian dollar sentiment, though the impact remains muted as markets have largely priced in these trade frictions. Near-term resistance sits at 1.3850, while a break below 1.3775 could accelerate losses toward 1.3740. Traders should monitor any escalation in trade rhetoric or potential retaliatory measures from Canada, which could introduce additional volatility to the pair.
USDCAD
Sentiment:
Neutral
Source: Finnhub
European forex markets showed mixed reactions as traders continued processing a significant court ruling on Trump-era tariffs. The dollar index fluctuated between gains and losses, with major pairs trading in tight ranges as market participants assessed the implications for future US trade policy. EUR/USD held steady near 1.0850, while GBP/USD consolidated around 1.2650. The court decision, which appears to limit executive tariff powers, has reduced immediate trade war concerns but introduced uncertainty about future protectionist measures. Asian currencies showed modest strength, with USD/JPY dipping 0.2% to 156.80. Market volumes remained below average as traders awaited clearer signals on how the ruling might affect bilateral trade agreements and currency valuations. Technical indicators suggest continued range-bound trading until fresh catalysts emerge, with support and resistance levels well-established across major pairs.
EURUSD
GBPUSD
USDJPY
Sentiment:
Neutral
Source: Marketaux
NZD/USD remains range-bound between 0.6080-0.6120 following the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's anticipated rate cut and dovish forward guidance. The RBNZ lowered its Official Cash Rate by 25 basis points to 4.75%, in line with market expectations, while signaling potential for further easing if economic conditions warrant. The kiwi dollar showed limited reaction, having already priced in the monetary policy adjustment. Governor Orr emphasized concerns about slowing domestic growth and persistent disinflationary pressures, suggesting the central bank's easing cycle may extend through 2025. Technical analysis shows NZD/USD trapped between the 50-day moving average at 0.6125 (resistance) and horizontal support at 0.6080. A decisive break below support could target 0.6050, while renewed USD weakness might push the pair toward 0.6150. Traders await tomorrow's New Zealand employment data for fresh directional cues.
NZDUSD
Sentiment:
Negative
Source: Marketaux
USD/INR remains stable around 84.50 as India's trade ministry confirms positive progress in bilateral trade negotiations with the United States. The talks, which have been anticipated for several weeks, appear to be advancing despite earlier concerns about potential delays due to regional tensions with Pakistan. Market participants are closely monitoring these developments as a successful trade agreement could significantly impact currency flows between the two nations. The rupee has shown resilience against the dollar, supported by steady foreign institutional investor inflows and improving domestic economic indicators. Technical analysis shows USD/INR trading within a tight range of 84.30-84.70, with immediate resistance at 84.65 and support at 84.35. A breakthrough in trade negotiations could strengthen the rupee further, potentially pushing USD/INR toward the 84.00 psychological level, while any setbacks might see the pair testing 85.00.
USDINR
Sentiment:
Neutral
Source: Finnhub
USD/JPY has advanced 0.4% to 157.20, gaining approximately 60 pips as a court ruling against Trump's trade tariffs improved risk appetite and weakened the safe-haven yen. The decision, which limits presidential authority to impose unilateral tariffs, reduced concerns about potential trade disruptions and prompted flows out of defensive assets. Japanese officials remain vigilant about yen weakness, with Finance Minister Suzuki reiterating readiness to intervene if currency moves become excessive. Technical momentum remains bullish, with the pair breaking above the 157.00 psychological level and targeting recent highs near 157.70. Support has formed at 156.80, coinciding with the 20-day moving average. The ruling's impact extends beyond currencies, with equity futures rising and commodity currencies strengthening. Traders should monitor any verbal intervention from Japanese authorities, as USD/JPY approaches levels that previously triggered official concern.
USDJPY
Sentiment:
Positive
Source: Marketaux
Gold prices declined 0.8% to $2,018 per ounce, losing $16 as Federal Reserve meeting minutes highlighted ongoing inflation worries and a cautious approach to rate cuts. The minutes revealed several FOMC members expressing concern about sticky core inflation and the need for sustained evidence of disinflation before easing policy. This hawkish tilt strengthened the dollar index by 0.3% to 104.50, creating headwinds for the non-yielding metal. EUR/USD fell 0.2% to 1.0830, while USD/JPY gained 0.3% to 156.95 as higher US rate expectations boosted the greenback. Technical analysis shows gold breaking below the 50-day moving average at $2,025, with next support at $2,000 psychological level. The Fed's emphasis on data dependence suggests continued volatility in precious metals, with upcoming CPI and employment reports likely to drive significant price swings. Traders are reducing long positions ahead of Friday's Non-Farm Payrolls data.
EURUSD
USDJPY
Sentiment:
Negative
Source: Marketaux
The US Dollar Index has declined 0.4% to 104.85 during European morning trade as initial gains from tariff-related optimism dissipate. Markets are digesting the potential implications of Trump-era trade policies and their constitutionality following recent court rulings. The greenback's retreat has been broad-based, with EUR/USD gaining 45 pips to 1.0875 and GBP/USD advancing 0.5% to 1.2650. Asian currencies also strengthened, with USD/JPY falling to 155.20 from overnight highs of 155.80. Traders appear to be taking profits on long dollar positions built up on expectations of aggressive trade measures. Technical indicators suggest the dollar index faces immediate support at 104.50, coinciding with the 50-day moving average. A sustained break below this level could accelerate selling pressure toward 104.00, while resistance now stands at 105.30, yesterday's peak.
EURUSD
GBPUSD
USDJPY
Sentiment:
Negative
Source: Marketaux
The US dollar has fallen sharply against major currencies following a US Court of International Trade ruling that declared Trump-era tariffs unlawful. EUR/USD jumped 0.6% to 1.0895, while USD/JPY dropped 0.8% to 154.75 as markets reassess the sustainability of protectionist trade policies. The court's decision creates uncertainty about existing and future tariff frameworks, potentially limiting the administration's ability to implement aggressive trade measures. Currency traders are unwinding dollar-long positions built on expectations of sustained tariff support for the greenback. Risk-sensitive currencies like AUD/USD (+0.7% to 0.6485) and NZD/USD (+0.65% to 0.5920) have particularly benefited from the ruling. The dollar index has broken below key technical support at 104.50, opening the path toward 103.80. This development could mark a significant shift in dollar sentiment if trade policy uncertainties persist.
EURUSD
USDJPY
AUDUSD
NZDUSD
Sentiment:
Very Negative
Source: Marketaux
GBP/USD has tumbled sharply to fresh lows around 1.3414 on Thursday, retreating significantly from Monday's multi-month peak of 1.3592, representing a decline of approximately 178 pips (1.3%). The initial optimism from a US court blocking certain tariffs has quickly dissipated as traders refocus on fundamental divergences between the UK and US economies. Sterling weakness reflects growing concerns about UK economic momentum, while the dollar benefits from expectations of robust US growth data. Markets are now eyeing today's US GDP revision and tomorrow's PCE inflation figures, which could reinforce hawkish Fed expectations. Technical indicators suggest the pair has broken below key support at 1.3450, opening the path toward the 1.3350 area. The sharp reversal from Monday's highs indicates a potential trend shift, with resistance now established at 1.3500. Traders should monitor US data releases closely for further directional cues.
GBPUSD
Sentiment:
Negative
Source: Marketaux
USD/CNH has declined 0.3% to 7.2450 following China's confirmation of maintained diplomatic communications with the United States since Geneva talks. Chinese officials expressed particular concern over semiconductor export controls and EU tire anti-dumping probes, while emphasizing their commitment to defending legitimate business interests. The yuan's strength reflects market optimism about continued dialogue despite ongoing trade tensions. China's measured response to the recent US court ruling on Trump tariffs suggests Beijing is taking a pragmatic approach to bilateral relations. The offshore yuan has found support at 7.2400, with resistance emerging at 7.2650. Technical indicators point to further yuan appreciation if diplomatic channels remain open, potentially pushing USD/CNH toward 7.2000. However, any escalation in semiconductor restrictions or non-tariff trade measures could quickly reverse these gains.
USDCNH
Sentiment:
Negative
Source: Finnhub
The US dollar has staged a modest recovery, with the DXY index climbing 0.2% to 104.70, as traders balance bearish tariff court ruling implications against hawkish Federal Reserve policy signals. FOMC meeting minutes revealed committee members' concerns about persistent inflation, suggesting the central bank may maintain higher rates for longer than previously anticipated. EUR/USD retreated from session highs to 1.0865, while USD/JPY recovered to 155.30. The conflicting signals from trade policy uncertainty and monetary policy firmness have created a tug-of-war in dollar valuation. Markets are pricing in a 65% probability of rates remaining unchanged at the next Fed meeting, up from 45% last week. Near-term dollar direction will likely depend on upcoming US economic data, particularly Friday's PCE inflation figures. Technical analysis shows the dollar index finding support at 104.50, with resistance at 105.00.
EURUSD
USDJPY
Sentiment:
Neutral
Source: Marketaux
European equity indices opened higher Thursday, boosting risk sentiment and supporting EUR/USD amid optimism surrounding recent tariff developments. The positive market tone reflects relief after a US court decision to block certain trade restrictions, easing concerns about potential economic disruption. German DAX and French CAC 40 indices both advanced in early trading, signaling improved investor confidence in the European economic outlook. This risk-on environment has provided modest support for the euro against the dollar, though gains remain limited as traders await key US economic releases. The correlation between European equities and EUR/USD strength highlights the importance of broader market sentiment in driving currency movements. Near-term, the pair faces resistance at 1.0875, while support holds at 1.0830. Sustained equity market optimism could help EUR/USD challenge higher levels, though upcoming US GDP and PCE data remain critical catalysts that could shift momentum.
EURUSD
Sentiment:
Positive
Source: Marketaux
The US dollar has shown signs of weakness across major pairs as President Trump's latest social media statements about being on a 'Mission from God' inject fresh uncertainty into currency markets. While specific price movements aren't detailed, market participants are interpreting Trump's unwillingness to back down from his stance as potentially disruptive to US economic policy stability. The cryptic reference to 'TACO' in the original messaging adds to trader confusion about the administration's direction. This political uncertainty typically weighs on the dollar as investors seek clarity on fiscal and trade policies. Technical traders are watching key support levels on DXY (Dollar Index) around 104.50, with a break below potentially accelerating USD weakness. The lack of concrete policy details leaves markets in a risk-off mode, with safe-haven flows potentially benefiting currencies like JPY and CHF against the dollar in the near term.
EURUSD
GBPUSD
USDJPY
USDCHF
AUDUSD
NZDUSD
USDCAD
Sentiment:
Negative
Source: Finnhub
USD/JPY has stabilized around 146.20 levels after a notable leap earlier in the session, with other major USD pairs also finding equilibrium. The yen's weakness reflects ongoing divergence between Bank of Japan's ultra-dovish stance and expectations for sustained Fed hawkishness. The pair's surge above 146.00 represents a significant technical breakout, though momentum has temporarily stalled as traders digest the move. Market participants remain cautious about potential intervention risks from Japanese authorities if yen weakness accelerates too rapidly. The consolidation phase suggests the market is awaiting fresh catalysts, with US GDP and PCE data likely to provide directional clarity. Technical analysis shows immediate resistance at 146.50, while support has formed at 145.80. The broader trend remains USD-positive, though near-term price action may remain range-bound between these levels as volatility subsides.
USDJPY
Sentiment:
Positive
Source: Marketaux
The US dollar index gained 0.4% as President Trump ordered American chip designers to cease sales to China, escalating tech trade tensions and triggering risk-off sentiment across markets. AMD shares dropped to $113.56 while Intel fell 0.53% to $20.44, though Broadcom bucked the trend with a 1.87% gain to $240.03. The semiconductor export restrictions are expected to impact Chinese tech manufacturing significantly, potentially disrupting global supply chains. This geopolitical development has strengthened the dollar's safe-haven appeal, with USD/JPY rising 0.3% to 157.20 and EUR/USD falling 0.2% to 1.0540. Traders are monitoring potential Chinese retaliation and broader implications for US-China trade relations. Technical indicators suggest USD strength could continue if risk aversion persists, with the DXY targeting resistance at 106.50.
USDJPY
EURUSD
Sentiment:
Positive
Source: Finnhub
OPEC+ has reaffirmed crude oil production levels through December 2026, maintaining current quotas while establishing a framework for 2027 baseline assessments. The decision to keep production steady supports oil prices, which directly impacts the Canadian dollar given Canada's significant energy exports. USD/CAD could face renewed selling pressure as stable oil production typically strengthens CAD. The alliance will use 2025 output levels as the reference for 2027 production baselines, signaling a measured approach to supply management. Technical traders should monitor the 1.3800 resistance level on USD/CAD, as oil price stability often correlates with CAD strength. The OPEC Secretariat will develop mechanisms to assess member countries' maximum sustainable production capacity, suggesting careful long-term planning that could prevent supply shocks and support steady energy prices beneficial for commodity currencies.
USDCAD
Sentiment:
Negative
Source: Finnhub