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AI-Enhanced Forex News Archive

Professional trading insights from Monday, December 1, 2025

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December 2025

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News Statistics for Monday, December 1, 2025

15
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3
Bullish
5
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7
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Archive date: Monday, December 1, 2025

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Forexlive

NZDUSD Technicals: NZDUSD is back testing a swing area after trading to new 4 - week highs

The NZDUSD extended to its highest level since October 30 earlier today, with the rally peaking at 0.5751. The move higher began after the Asian-session low held a key swing area between 0.5723 and 0.5731, which acted as a solid support base for buyers.In the US session, however, the pair has rotated lower and slipped back into that same swing area. This zone now becomes a decision point for traders.
USD NZD
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

USD Strengthens as US 10-Year Yield Surges 7.3 Basis Points

The US dollar is gaining momentum against major currencies, driven by a sharp rise in US Treasury yields. The 10-year yield has jumped 7.3 basis points, while the 2-year yield reached session highs at 3.534%, up 4.3 basis points. This yield surge reflects growing market expectations of sustained higher interest rates and potentially less aggressive Fed easing in 2025. The dollar index has responded positively to the yield movements, with USD pairs showing broad strength across the board. Technical indicators suggest continued upward pressure on the dollar as bond markets price in a more hawkish monetary policy outlook. The yield curve dynamics indicate investors are reassessing inflation risks and economic growth prospects. Traders should monitor key resistance levels on major USD pairs as the greenback tests recent highs amid this yield-driven rally.
EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY USDCHF AUDUSD USDCAD NZDUSD
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Finnhub
mortgagenewsdaily.com

Bond Market Selloff Erases Thanksgiving Week Gains on Japan Concerns

Global bond markets are experiencing sharp weakness to start December, with the selloff effectively erasing last week's Thanksgiving rally. Market participants point to concerns about potential Bank of Japan policy shifts as a key catalyst for the volatility. The rapid unwinding of positions highlights the fragility of recent market gains during the typically thin Thanksgiving trading period. US Treasury yields are climbing across the curve, pressuring risk assets and supporting the US dollar. The correlation between bond weakness and currency movements suggests a broader risk-off sentiment developing in markets. Technical analysis shows bonds breaking below key support levels established during November's rally. This morning's price action reflects heightened uncertainty about global monetary policy divergence, particularly between the Fed and BoJ. Forex traders should expect increased volatility in JPY crosses and safe-haven flows.
USDJPY EURJPY GBPJPY
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
rttnews.com

BoJ Rate Hike Speculation Dampens Fed Easing Optimism in FX Markets

Hawkish comments from Bank of Japan officials regarding potential interest rate increases have tempered the positive sentiment previously driven by Federal Reserve rate cut expectations. The diverging monetary policy outlook between the BoJ and Fed is creating significant volatility in currency markets, particularly affecting yen crosses. Market participants are reassessing positions as Japan signals readiness to normalize policy while the Fed maintains its easing bias. The contrast in central bank stances has led to sharp movements in USDJPY and other yen pairs. Risk sentiment has deteriorated as traders balance Fed dovishness against potential BoJ tightening. This policy divergence could mark a significant shift in global FX dynamics heading into 2025. Traders should monitor upcoming BoJ communications closely as any confirmation of rate hike timing could trigger substantial yen appreciation across the board.
USDJPY EURJPY GBPJPY AUDJPY CADJPY
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
zerohedge.com

Risk Assets Tumble as Bitcoin Drops on Hawkish BoJ Fears

Global risk assets including stocks and cryptocurrencies are sliding amid growing concerns about hawkish Bank of Japan policy shifts. Bitcoin's sharp decline is serving as a leading indicator of risk-off sentiment, with spillover effects visible across forex markets. The correlation between crypto weakness and traditional currency movements highlights interconnected market dynamics. Safe-haven currencies like the Japanese yen and Swiss franc are benefiting from the risk aversion, while commodity currencies face selling pressure. The rapid shift in market sentiment underscores how BoJ policy expectations can trigger broad-based deleveraging. Technical indicators suggest further downside potential if risk sentiment continues deteriorating. Forex traders should expect increased volatility in risk-sensitive pairs and potential continuation of safe-haven flows. The market's reaction demonstrates the significant impact of central bank policy divergence on cross-asset correlations.
USDJPY EURJPY GBPJPY AUDUSD NZDUSD USDCHF AUDJPY
Sentiment: Very Negative
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD/CAD Bears Gain Control as BoC Rate Pause Expectations Build

USD/CAD is experiencing a bearish reversal as market participants increasingly price in a Bank of Canada rate pause at the upcoming policy meeting. The Canadian dollar has strengthened against the greenback, with the pair retreating from recent highs near 1.4100. Growing expectations that the BoC will hold rates steady after aggressive cuts this year are supporting CAD strength. Oil price stability above $68 per barrel provides additional support for the commodity-linked currency. Technical analysis reveals a clear bearish reversal pattern, with the pair breaking below the 50-day moving average at 1.3950. Immediate support lies at 1.3900, with further downside potential toward 1.3850 if bearish momentum continues. The diverging monetary policy outlook between the Fed and BoC could extend this move, particularly if Canadian economic data remains resilient ahead of the policy decision.
USDCAD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
rttnews.com

Dollar Drops As Rate Cut Hopes Rise

A renewal in rate cut expectations from the Federal Reserve caused the U.S. Dollar to weaken against major currencies during the past week..
AUDUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD Index Faces Critical Test as Hawks Eye Last Opportunity

The US Dollar Index hovers near 106.50 as forex markets brace for pivotal economic releases that could determine the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance. EUR/USD remains range-bound around 1.0560, showing minimal movement amid pre-data caution. USD/JPY continues consolidating near 149.80, with traders awaiting clearer directional cues from upcoming US economic indicators. This week's US ISM Manufacturing PMI and Friday's Non-Farm Payrolls report represent potentially the final opportunity for dollar bulls to justify expectations of sustained Fed hawkishness. Technical analysis shows the Dollar Index testing crucial support at 106.30, with resistance at 107.00. A break below support could trigger broader dollar weakness, potentially pushing EUR/USD toward 1.0650 and USD/JPY below 149.00. Market positioning remains cautiously bullish on the dollar, though conviction appears to be waning ahead of key data releases.
EURUSD USDJPY DXY
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

EUR/JPY dips as Spain PMI misses, manufacturing growth slows to 51.5

EUR/JPY declined 0.2% to 157.85 as Spain's Manufacturing PMI disappointed, coming in at 51.5 versus 52.4 expected, down from 52.1 previously. While the reading remains above 50, indicating expansion, the slower pace of growth raised concerns about eurozone economic momentum. Spanish industrial output and new orders continued expanding at a solid pace, maintaining positive business sentiment. The data adds to mixed eurozone signals ahead of this week's ECB meeting, where policymakers face balancing growth concerns with persistent inflation. Technical indicators show EUR/JPY testing support at 157.70, with resistance at 158.20. The pair's direction will likely depend on broader eurozone PMI releases and ECB communication. Traders should monitor the 157.50 level as key support, where the 50-day moving average converges with horizontal support from November lows.
EURJPY
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Finnhub
forexcrunch.com

EUR/USD Consolidates at 1.0560 Ahead of Eurozone Inflation Data

EUR/USD trades in a tight range near 1.0560 during Monday's European session, maintaining its multi-week consolidation pattern as traders await Tuesday's crucial Eurozone inflation data. The pair shows limited movement, trading within a 20-pip range as markets position cautiously ahead of the November CPI release, expected to show inflation rising to 2.3% year-over-year from 2.0% previously. The European Central Bank's recent dovish pivot continues to cap euro gains, with markets pricing in 100 basis points of rate cuts through 2025. Technical indicators suggest continued consolidation, with immediate resistance at 1.0600 and solid support at 1.0500. The 50-day moving average at 1.0580 acts as a pivot point, with price action remaining constrained by declining trading volumes. A decisive break above 1.0600 could target 1.0670, while failure to hold 1.0500 support may accelerate declines toward 1.0450.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

AUD/USD, NZD/USD face pressure as December cross-pair volatility looms

Major cross pairs including AUD/USD, USD/CAD, NZD/USD, and AUD/CHF are positioned for increased volatility entering December, with commodity currencies showing particular vulnerability. AUD/USD trades near 0.6480, facing headwinds from China growth concerns and RBA policy uncertainty. NZD/USD hovers around 0.5920, pressured by RBNZ's dovish stance and soft domestic data. USD/CAD maintains strength at 1.4020, supported by oil price weakness and diverging monetary policies between the Fed and BoC. AUD/CHF shows relative stability at 0.5740, benefiting from SNB's negative rates versus RBA's hawkish tilt. Technical analysis reveals AUD/USD approaching critical support at 0.6450, while NZD/USD risks breaking below 0.5900. Traders should prepare for heightened volatility as year-end positioning, central bank meetings, and thin holiday liquidity converge to create potentially sharp moves in cross pairs.
AUDUSD USDCAD NZDUSD AUDCHF
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
thestockmarketwatch.com

USD/JPY surges 0.5% as BOJ's Ueda signals December rate hike possibility

USD/JPY jumped 0.5% to 150.25 after Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda provided the clearest signal yet of a potential December rate hike. Ueda's hawkish comments surprised markets, suggesting the BOJ is seriously considering ending its ultra-loose monetary policy stance sooner than expected. The yen initially strengthened but quickly reversed as traders reassessed the implications for carry trades and yield differentials. Market pricing now shows a 65% probability of a 25 basis point hike at the December 19 meeting, up from 40% previously. Technical analysis shows USD/JPY breaking above the 150.00 psychological resistance, with next targets at 150.80 and 151.50. Support has formed at 149.50, coinciding with the 20-day moving average. The development marks a significant shift in BOJ communication and could trigger broader yen strength if confirmed by subsequent policy actions.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

Major FX Pairs Coil at Technical Levels as Dollar Consolidates

Major currency pairs remain locked in tight consolidation patterns as the US Dollar Index stabilizes near 106.50 following last week's volatility. EUR/USD continues trading within its 1.0500-1.0600 range, while GBP/USD tests resistance at 1.2650 amid ongoing UK economic concerns. USD/JPY holds steady near 149.50, with the Bank of Japan's policy uncertainty keeping yen traders cautious. USD/CHF demonstrates relative strength, maintaining levels above 0.8850 as safe-haven flows support the Swiss franc. Technical analysis reveals coiling price action across all majors, suggesting an imminent breakout as trading ranges compress. Key support and resistance levels remain intact: EUR/USD (1.0500/1.0600), GBP/USD (1.2580/1.2700), USD/JPY (149.00/150.50). This week's economic calendar, featuring US ISM data and European inflation figures, could provide the catalyst for directional moves after extended consolidation.
EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY USDCHF DXY
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

USD gains as risk-off sentiment hits equities and crypto markets

USD strengthened across major pairs as risk aversion gripped markets to start December, with S&P 500 futures down 0.8% and Nasdaq futures falling 1.0%. The safe-haven dollar benefited as investors fled riskier assets, including Bitcoin which tumbled alongside equities. EUR/USD slipped 0.2% to 1.0520, while USD/JPY held steady near 149.80 as both currencies saw haven flows. The risk-off move follows growing concerns about AI sector valuations despite November's positive equity close. GBP/USD dropped to 1.2680 and AUD/USD fell 0.4% to 0.6450 as commodity currencies underperformed. Technical indicators suggest further USD strength if S&P 500 breaks below 5,900 support. Traders are positioning defensively ahead of key economic data releases this week, including US ISM Manufacturing and Non-Farm Payrolls on Friday.
EURUSD USDJPY GBPUSD AUDUSD
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Finnhub

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