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AI-Enhanced Forex News Archive

Professional trading insights from Tuesday, December 16, 2025

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News Statistics for Tuesday, December 16, 2025

13
Total Articles
3
Bullish
5
Bearish
5
Neutral

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Archive date: Tuesday, December 16, 2025

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Forexlive

New Zealand consumer confidence jumps in the fourth quarter

Consumer confidence jumps to 96.5 from 90.9 in Q3.That's a good sign for spending in New Zealand and highlights upside risks to rates and the kiwi. This article was written by Adam Button at investinglive.com.
NZD
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

AUD/USD battles at 0.66 as range-bound trading persists

AUD/USD is trading near 0.6630, consolidating within a well-defined range between 0.6400-0.6700 as traders await clearer directional signals. The pair successfully defended crucial support at 0.6617 and the 0.66247-0.6635 swing area, maintaining a modestly bullish short-term bias. This defense prevented what could have been a failed breakout pattern, keeping buyers in control for now. The persistent two-way price action reflects ongoing market uncertainty and lack of conviction from either bulls or bears. Technical indicators suggest the pair remains trapped in this volatile pattern, with immediate resistance at the 0.6700 range high. A decisive break above this level could trigger momentum buying toward 0.6750, while failure to hold above the 0.6617 support zone would likely accelerate corrective downside toward 0.6500. Traders should monitor these key levels closely as a breakout in either direction could establish the next medium-term trend.
AUDUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

USD Bears Eye Rate Cuts as Trump Advisor Signals Policy Shift

The US Dollar faces renewed selling pressure as White House economic advisor Kevin Hassett stated there's 'plenty of room to cut rates,' signaling potential dovish shifts in monetary policy. His comments suggest the Trump administration may push for more accommodative Fed policy, though Hassett emphasized the need for consensus based on facts and data. Despite bullish projections for 2026, Hassett acknowledged recent jobs data was distorted by government shutdowns, adding uncertainty to employment figures. Markets are now pricing in higher probability of rate cuts in H1 2025, weakening the dollar against major peers. Technical indicators show the DXY (Dollar Index) testing support at 106.50, with a break below potentially accelerating USD weakness. Traders should monitor upcoming Fed communications and economic data releases for confirmation of policy direction shifts.
EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY USDCHF AUDUSD USDCAD NZDUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Finnhub
investing.com

GBP/USD Eyes 1.2750 as UK Jobs Data Lifts Sterling, Oil Weakens

GBP/USD advanced 0.25% to 1.2720 in Monday's session, supported by better-than-expected UK employment figures that eased concerns about economic weakness. The pound's strength contrasts with broader dollar softness and declining oil prices, with WTI crude falling below $70 per barrel. Technical analysis identifies immediate resistance at 1.2750, coinciding with the 50-day moving average, while support holds firm at 1.2680. The pair shows bullish momentum indicators with RSI climbing above 55, suggesting further upside potential. Traders are positioning ahead of Wednesday's UK PMI data and Friday's crucial US Non-Farm Payrolls report, which could determine whether GBP/USD breaks above the 1.2800 psychological level. Oil's weakness may provide additional support for Sterling as lower energy costs reduce UK inflation pressures, potentially giving the Bank of England more policy flexibility.
GBPUSD
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

EUR/USD Edges Lower as Eurozone Trade Surplus Narrows to €18.4B

EUR/USD has slipped 0.1% to 1.0515 as Eurozone's October trade balance disappointed at €18.4 billion, missing expectations and matching the downward-revised September figure. The data reveals concerning trends in transatlantic trade, with exports to the US plummeting nearly 15% year-over-year while imports rose 4%, narrowing the trade surplus with America to €11.2 billion from €19.5 billion in 2023. This deterioration adds pressure on the euro ahead of potential US tariff implementations. The pair faces immediate support at 1.0500 psychological level, with resistance at 1.0550 (20-day moving average). Traders are monitoring escalating trade tensions that could further weaken European export competitiveness. The narrowing surplus suggests economic headwinds for the Eurozone, potentially influencing ECB policy decisions as growth concerns mount alongside persistent trade challenges.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Finnhub
forexcrunch.com

GBP/USD Rises on Strong UK Employment Before Key PMI & NFP Data

GBP/USD climbed 0.35% to 1.2735 following robust UK employment data that showed unemployment holding steady at 4.3% while wage growth exceeded expectations at 5.2% year-over-year. The positive jobs report alleviates immediate pressure on the Bank of England to cut rates, supporting Sterling strength. Markets now await Wednesday's UK Services PMI, expected at 50.8, and Friday's pivotal US Non-Farm Payrolls data, forecast to show 185K jobs added. Technical analysis reveals the pair broke above the 1.2700 resistance level, opening path toward 1.2780 (November high). The 200-day moving average at 1.2690 now acts as dynamic support. With the BoE meeting scheduled for December 19th, traders are pricing in a 65% probability of rates holding steady, compared to 45% last week, further underpinning pound strength against the dollar.
GBPUSD
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

EUR/USD pressured as French PMI disappoints below expectations

EUR/USD faces downward pressure following weaker-than-expected French PMI data for December. The services PMI dropped to 50.2 from 51.4 previously, missing the 51.1 forecast and barely holding above the 50.0 expansion threshold. Manufacturing showed surprising strength at 50.6 versus 48.1 expected, but the composite PMI at 50.1 indicates economic stagnation. The mixed data suggests France's economy is losing momentum heading into year-end, with the crucial services sector showing particular weakness. This divergence between manufacturing and services creates uncertainty for EUR traders. The data weighs on the euro as markets assess whether this weakness will spread to other Eurozone economies. Technical levels show EUR/USD testing support near 1.0500, with resistance at 1.0550. Traders await German and Eurozone-wide PMI releases later today for further direction, as persistent economic weakness could influence ECB policy decisions in early 2025.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Finnhub
investing.com

USD/JPY Coils in Tight Range Before BoJ Decision and US NFP

USD/JPY remains compressed in a narrow 152.50-153.20 range, with implied volatility dropping to three-month lows ahead of Thursday's Bank of Japan policy meeting and Friday's US employment data. The pair's 20-day average true range has contracted to just 95 pips, signaling an imminent breakout. Markets assign 25% probability to a BoJ rate hike this week, with speculation mounting over potential policy normalization. Technical indicators show converging moving averages and Bollinger Bands at their tightest since September, classic precursors to explosive moves. Key resistance sits at 153.50 (December high), while support holds at 152.00 (psychological level). A hawkish BoJ surprise could trigger a sharp decline toward 150.00, while disappointing US NFP data below 150K jobs would likely pressure the pair lower. Conversely, strong US data combined with a dovish BoJ could propel USD/JPY toward 155.00.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD/CAD Slides as Canadian Dollar Strengthens on Risk-On Sentiment

USD/CAD has declined 0.5% to 1.4250 as the Canadian dollar gains ground amid improving risk sentiment and stable commodity prices. The loonie's strength comes despite broader USD resilience against other majors, suggesting Canada-specific factors are driving the move. Oil prices holding above $71/barrel support the commodity-linked currency, while market positioning suggests traders are reducing long USD/CAD positions accumulated during recent dollar strength. Technical indicators show the pair breaking below the 1.4300 support level, opening potential for further declines toward 1.4200. The 50-day moving average at 1.4180 represents the next significant support zone. Upcoming Canadian inflation data and Bank of Canada communications could provide additional direction. The current momentum favors continued CAD strength, particularly if oil prices remain supportive and risk appetite improves further in global markets.
USDCAD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
forexcrunch.com

EUR/USD Holds Above 1.0500 as Markets Await ECB Decision, US NFP

EUR/USD maintains position above 1.0500, trading at 1.0520 with minimal movement as traders position ahead of critical events. The pair shows resilience following last week's ECB hold on rates, with markets now focused on upcoming EU PMI data and Friday's crucial US Non-Farm Payrolls report. Current stability reflects balanced forces, with ECB's cautious stance on rate cuts supporting the euro while solid US economic data underpins dollar strength. Technical analysis reveals the pair consolidating between 1.0480 support and 1.0550 resistance, with the 200-day moving average at 1.0535 acting as a pivot point. EU PMI readings expected Wednesday could provide near-term direction, while US employment data remains the week's main event. Traders anticipate NFP around 200K jobs added; a significant deviation could trigger substantial EUR/USD volatility and influence Fed rate cut expectations.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

S&P 500 Sentiment Hits Extreme Levels; USD/JPY Eyes 152.50 Resistance

USD/JPY advances 0.3% to 152.20 as extreme bullish sentiment in US equities supports risk-on flows, with S&P 500 sentiment indicators reaching overbought territory. The yen weakens across the board as traders dismiss near-term intervention risks from Japanese authorities, focusing instead on divergent monetary policies. Gold struggles near $2,650/oz as dollar strength and elevated equity sentiment reduce safe-haven demand. EUR/USD remains range-bound at 1.0515, caught between dollar strength and eurozone concerns. Technical analysis shows USD/JPY approaching key resistance at 152.50, with momentum indicators supporting further upside potential toward 153.00. However, extreme sentiment readings in equities warn of potential reversal risks. The Nasdaq 100's extended rally adds to concerns about market positioning. Traders should monitor for any shift in risk appetite that could trigger profit-taking and support traditional safe havens.
EURUSD USDJPY
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

USD braces for volatility as NFP looms amid Fed rate cut aftermath

USD faces heightened volatility ahead of today's Non-Farm Payrolls release, following last week's 25 basis point Fed rate cut that brought the federal funds rate to 4.25%-4.50%. The dollar index has shown mixed performance, consolidating near 106.50 as markets digest the Fed's final policy move of 2024. Speculation around Kevin Warsh potentially replacing Jerome Powell as Fed Chair adds another layer of uncertainty to dollar positioning. Market consensus expects NFP to show 200K job additions for November, with unemployment rate holding at 4.1%. Any significant deviation could trigger sharp moves across major USD pairs, particularly EUR/USD trading near 1.0500 and USD/JPY hovering around 152.00. Strong employment data could support dollar recovery and validate the Fed's cautious approach to further easing, while disappointing figures might accelerate bearish momentum as traders price in additional 2025 rate cuts.
EURUSD USDJPY DXY
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

USD/CNY slides as China targets 5% growth, yuan hits 14-month high

USD/CNY has declined sharply with the Chinese yuan reaching a 14-month high against the dollar, as China signals commitment to maintaining economic growth around 5% for 2026. The China Securities Times reported policymakers are debating between targeting 5% growth or adopting a wider 4.5%-5.0% range, suggesting continued policy support for the economy. Recent data showed China's economy stabilizing in November, despite persistent weak consumer demand clouding the growth outlook. The yuan's strength reflects market confidence in China's pragmatic approach to economic management and expectations of sustained policy support. Technical indicators suggest USD/CNY faces immediate support at current levels, with further yuan appreciation possible if China announces concrete stimulus measures. Traders should monitor upcoming Chinese economic data releases and policy announcements from the PBOC, as these could significantly impact the pair's trajectory in the near term.
USDCNY
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Finnhub
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