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Forex News Archive

Professional trading insights from Tuesday, December 23, 2025

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Tuesday, December 23, 2025 at a glance

9
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Archive date: Tuesday, December 23, 2025

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Forexlive

WH Hassett: Pres. Trump trade agenda is working

The Fed is way behind the curve in lowering rates.We have reduced the deficit by 600 billion year-over-year.We will be finalizing a housing plan that will be announced sometime in the new yearKevin Hassett remains one of the leading contenders to become the next Fed chair, with betting markets continuing to tilt in his favor. On Polymarket, Hassett is currently priced at 62%, well ahead of Kevin Warsh at 22%.
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

USD Surges as Q3 GDP Beats at 4.3% but Inflation Concerns Rise

The US dollar strengthened across major pairs following the release of stronger-than-expected Q3 GDP data at 4.3% versus 3.3% forecast. The robust growth was accompanied by concerning inflation metrics, with the GDP deflator jumping to 3.7% from 2.1% previously, significantly above the 2.7% estimate. Core PCE inflation held steady at 2.9%, while consumer spending accelerated to 3.5% from 2.5% in the prior quarter. The data presents a complex picture for Federal Reserve policy, as strong growth supports higher rates but elevated inflation readings may complicate the central bank's path forward. Dollar index gained 0.5% following the release, with EUR/USD dropping to test 1.0780 support levels. The combination of robust growth and sticky inflation suggests the Fed may maintain its hawkish stance longer than anticipated, providing continued support for USD strength in the near term.
EURUSD DXY
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Finnhub
investing.com

USD/JPY Stalls at 158.00 as Japan Signals Potential Intervention

USD/JPY retreated from its recent highs near 158.00 as Japanese officials intensified verbal warnings about potential currency intervention. The pair has pulled back 0.4% (63 pips) from session highs after Finance Ministry officials expressed concern over rapid yen depreciation. The yen's weakness has been driven by the widening interest rate differential between Japan and the US, with the Bank of Japan maintaining ultra-loose policy while the Federal Reserve remains hawkish. Technical indicators show USD/JPY facing strong resistance at the psychologically important 158.00 level, with immediate support at 157.20. Market participants remain cautious about pushing the pair higher, mindful of Japan's history of sudden intervention when the yen weakens too rapidly. Traders are closely monitoring official rhetoric and positioning data for signs of actual intervention, which could trigger sharp yen appreciation and unwinding of carry trades across multiple currency pairs.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

GBP/USD Gains 0.5% to 1.2680 Amid Dollar Weakness, Thin Holiday Trade

GBP/USD advanced 0.5% (63 pips) to 1.2680 during Monday's session, capitalizing on broad-based dollar weakness in thin holiday trading conditions. The pound's gains were amplified by reduced liquidity as many traders remain sidelined ahead of the Christmas break. EUR/GBP remained relatively stable near 0.8340, suggesting the move was primarily dollar-driven rather than sterling strength. Technical analysis shows GBP/USD breaking above the 1.2650 resistance level, with next targets at 1.2720 (50-day moving average) and 1.2750 (December high). Support is established at 1.2620, coinciding with the 20-day moving average. The lack of significant economic data releases this week means price action will likely remain choppy and driven by overall dollar sentiment. Traders should be cautious of potential whipsaw movements due to thin liquidity conditions, which can exaggerate price swings in both directions during the holiday period.
GBPUSD EURGBP DXY
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

S&P 500 momentum drives USD weakness across major forex pairs

The US dollar has weakened against major currencies as risk appetite improves with S&P 500 momentum trading gaining traction. EUR/USD has pushed higher by 0.2% to 1.0445, while Gold spot prices surged 0.8% to $2,625 per ounce, reflecting reduced safe-haven dollar demand. The Nasdaq 100's strong performance has encouraged traders to shift from defensive dollar positions into higher-yielding assets. Silver also benefited from the risk-on sentiment, climbing 1.2% to $29.85. Technical indicators suggest the dollar index faces resistance at 108.50, with support at 107.20. The shift in market sentiment comes as traders position for potential year-end portfolio adjustments and anticipate softer Fed rhetoric in 2025. Currency traders should monitor equity market momentum as a key driver for near-term dollar direction, with continued S&P strength likely to pressure the greenback further.
EURUSD XAUUSD XAGUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

AUD/USD rallies 0.5% as RBA minutes signal prolonged rate pause

AUD/USD has surged 0.5% to 0.6285 following the release of hawkish RBA meeting minutes that reinforced the central bank's commitment to maintaining current interest rates. The minutes revealed board members remain concerned about persistent inflation pressures, with underlying inflation still uncomfortably above the 2-3% target range. RBA officials emphasized they need to see more convincing evidence of inflation moderating before considering rate cuts, contrasting with market expectations of early 2025 easing. The Australian dollar found additional support from improved risk sentiment and steady commodity prices. Technical analysis shows AUD/USD broke above the 0.6250 resistance level, with next target at 0.6320 (50-day moving average). Support has formed at 0.6230. Traders should watch upcoming Australian employment data and Chinese economic indicators as key catalysts for the pair's direction in the near term.
AUDUSD
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

USD/JPY falls below 156.50 as yen strengthens on official warnings

USD/JPY has declined 0.5% to trade below 156.50, driven by continued verbal intervention from Japanese officials warning against excessive yen weakness. The pair retreated from recent highs near 157.00 as market participants grew cautious about potential government action to support the currency. Meanwhile, gold and silver reached new record highs, with safe-haven flows benefiting the yen amid broader risk-off sentiment. The PBOC set the USD/CNY central rate at 7.0523, supporting regional currency strength. RBA meeting minutes highlighted upside inflation risks, potentially limiting further AUD weakness. Technical indicators suggest immediate support at 156.00, with resistance now established at 157.00. Traders remain vigilant for any signs of actual intervention from Japanese authorities, which could trigger sharp yen appreciation. The combination of official warnings and record precious metal prices suggests continued volatility in yen crosses through year-end.
USDJPY USDCNY
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Finnhub
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