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AI-Enhanced Forex News Archive

Professional trading insights from Wednesday, December 17, 2025

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News Statistics for Wednesday, December 17, 2025

13
Total Articles
2
Bullish
7
Bearish
4
Neutral

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Archive date: Wednesday, December 17, 2025

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Forexlive

USDJPY Technical Analysis: Price Pinned at 155.67 Resistance

For the bulls to claim control of the session, they must chew through this supply and establish a foothold above 155.675.How We Got Here: Defending the 154.33 Swing FloorThe impetus for today's upside move didn't just appear out of nowhere; it was built on a solid foundation of support established over the last 24 hours.Both yesterday and during the early hours of today's Asian session, the market tested a key downside swing area between 154.33 and 154.472.Yesterday's Low: Bottomed out at...
USD JPY
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

USDCAD: Buyers Break Key 100-Hour MA, Shift Momentum Higher

USDCAD has broken above the crucial 100-hour moving average resistance, marking a potential bullish reversal after sustained downward pressure since November 26. The pair had tested this moving average level on five separate occasions, with sellers defending it each time and maintaining the bearish bias. Today's decisive break above this technical barrier signals a character shift in market dynamics, suggesting buyers are gaining control. The successful breach comes after weeks of defensive positioning by dip buyers who were repeatedly pushed lower. Technical traders are now watching for the pair to hold above the 100-hour MA on any pullbacks, which would confirm the breakout's validity. The next resistance targets include recent swing highs, while the broken MA should now act as support. This development could attract momentum traders and trigger further upside if the level holds, potentially extending gains toward the 200-hour moving average.
USDCAD
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Finnhub
investing.com

GBP/USD & Oil: Key Trading Setups Emerge Amid Market Shifts

GBP/USD and WTI crude oil are presenting notable trading opportunities as market dynamics evolve. The pound-dollar pair is navigating critical technical levels while oil prices respond to global supply-demand factors. GBP/USD faces pressure from diverging monetary policy expectations between the Bank of England and Federal Reserve, with traders closely monitoring UK economic data for further direction. The US Dollar Index's recent movements are influencing major pairs, creating volatility in cable trading. Meanwhile, WTI crude oil futures are reacting to inventory data and global demand concerns, potentially impacting commodity-linked currencies like CAD. Technical analysis suggests key support and resistance zones are being tested in both markets. Traders should watch for breakouts or rejections at these levels, which could trigger significant moves. The correlation between oil prices and certain forex pairs adds another layer of complexity to current market conditions.
GBPUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

EUR/USD: ECB Communication Risks Weigh on Euro Strength

EUR/USD is facing renewed selling pressure as European Central Bank messaging risks put the euro back on defensive footing. Market participants are increasingly concerned about potential dovish signals from ECB officials, which could undermine the euro's recent stability. The central bank's communication strategy has become a focal point for traders, with any hints of prolonged accommodative policy likely to weigh on the common currency. Economic growth concerns in the eurozone are compounding pressure, as traders balance ECB policy expectations against Federal Reserve positioning. The pair is testing key support levels, with technical indicators suggesting vulnerability to further downside if ECB rhetoric disappoints hawks. Near-term resistance has formed at recent highs, while support zones are being closely watched for potential breakdown signals. Traders should monitor upcoming ECB member speeches and economic data releases for catalysts that could accelerate euro weakness or trigger a relief rally.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

EUR/USD steady at 1.05 as core inflation holds, ECB rate cuts limited

EUR/USD traded flat near 1.0500 as Eurozone's November final CPI came in at 2.1% year-over-year, slightly below the preliminary 2.2% reading. Core inflation remained unchanged at 2.4%, matching October's level and maintaining pressure on the European Central Bank. Germany's persistent inflation concerns continue to complicate ECB policy decisions, forcing policymakers to maintain their cautious stance despite broader economic weakness. Q3 wage data released alongside CPI figures suggests labor cost pressures remain elevated across the region. The steady core inflation reading reinforces market expectations that the ECB will pause rate cuts in December, with traders pricing in only a 25% probability of easing. Technical resistance for EUR/USD sits at 1.0550, while support holds at 1.0470. The pair's near-term direction hinges on this week's ECB meeting and any signals about 2025 policy trajectory.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Finnhub
investing.com

USD Weakness Persists: Dollar Index Shows Continued Softness

The US Dollar Index maintains its soft trend, with broad-based weakness continuing across major currency pairs. EUR/USD is benefiting from the dollar's decline, as traders reassess Federal Reserve rate expectations amid mixed economic signals. The DXY's inability to sustain recent gains reflects shifting market sentiment and questions about US economic resilience. Technical analysis shows the dollar index struggling below key resistance levels, suggesting the path of least resistance remains lower. Currency traders are positioning for potential further dollar weakness, with safe-haven demand diminishing as risk appetite improves. The persistent softness contradicts earlier expectations of dollar strength, forcing market participants to recalibrate positions. Support levels on the Dollar Index are being tested, and a break below could accelerate selling pressure. This environment favors dollar shorts across major pairs, particularly against currencies with supportive fundamentals or technical setups.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

GBP/USD bulls target 1.36 on strong momentum and technical breakout

GBP/USD has accelerated its bullish momentum, rising 0.8% to test 1.3450 resistance as technical indicators flash strong buy signals. The pair has broken above key moving averages and previous resistance levels, with momentum oscillators showing overbought conditions but maintaining upward bias. Dollar weakness across the board has amplified sterling's gains, with the DXY index falling to three-week lows near 106.50. Technical analysis points to immediate resistance at 1.3500, followed by the psychological 1.3600 level. Support has formed at 1.3380 (previous resistance turned support) and 1.3320 (50-day moving average). Trading volumes have increased significantly, suggesting strong conviction behind the move. Risk-on sentiment in global markets and expectations of diverging central bank policies between the Bank of England and Federal Reserve continue to underpin sterling strength. A daily close above 1.3500 could trigger additional buying toward 1.36.
GBPUSD
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

Oil longs squeezed as WTI drops 2.5%, impacting commodity currencies

Crude oil prices experienced sharp declines with WTI falling 2.5% to $68.50, triggering a squeeze on long positions and weighing on commodity-linked currencies. The Canadian dollar weakened 0.4% against the US dollar, with USD/CAD rising to 1.4350, while AUD/USD dropped 0.3% to 0.6280. Technical indicators suggest oversold conditions in oil markets, but momentum remains bearish with next support at $67.00. The selloff accelerated after disappointing Chinese economic data raised concerns about global demand outlook. Gold remained relatively stable near $2,650, providing some support to risk sentiment. Oil's decline has increased pressure on CAD and AUD, both heavily correlated with energy prices. Near-term resistance for WTI sits at $70.50, while a break below $67 could accelerate declines toward $65. Traders are monitoring OPEC+ developments and US inventory data for potential catalysts.
USDCAD AUDUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

USD weakens as soft US jobs data signals potential Fed rate cuts in 2025

The US dollar has come under pressure following disappointing November employment data, with major USD pairs showing weakness across the board. Non-farm payrolls rose by only 64k in November, significantly below expectations, while October's figure was revised sharply lower to show a decline of 105k jobs. The three-month average job growth has cooled dramatically to just 22k, indicating persistent labor market softness. Additionally, the unemployment rate edged higher to 4.6%, reinforcing concerns about economic momentum. CIBC analysts suggest this deteriorating employment picture could prompt the Federal Reserve to reconsider its monetary policy stance and potentially shift toward earlier rate cuts in 2025. For USD pairs, this development represents a significant bearish catalyst, with EURUSD likely to test resistance above 1.0900 and GBPUSD eyeing the 1.2800 level. Traders should monitor upcoming Fed communications for any shifts in policy guidance.
EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY USDCHF AUDUSD USDCAD NZDUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Finnhub
economictimes.indiatimes.com

USD Index drops to 2.5-month low on weak jobs data, Fed uncertainty

The US Dollar Index has declined to near three-month lows around 106.20, pressured by softer-than-expected labor market data that has increased uncertainty over the Federal Reserve's rate trajectory. Recent employment indicators showed job openings falling more than anticipated, while wage growth moderated, suggesting cooling labor market conditions. This data has fueled speculation that the Fed might adopt a more dovish stance in upcoming meetings, with markets now pricing in a 65% probability of a rate cut by March 2025. EUR/USD has benefited from dollar weakness, climbing toward 1.0580 and approaching 12-week highs ahead of Thursday's European Central Bank policy decision. Technical indicators suggest the dollar remains vulnerable, with the DXY testing support at 106.00. A break below this level could accelerate losses toward 105.50, while any recovery faces resistance at 106.80.
EURUSD DXY
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

USD/CAD faces pressure as Trump cannabis order impacts CAD sectors

USD/CAD is trading with a bearish bias near 1.4350 as markets anticipate President Trump's executive order to fast-track cannabis reclassification, potentially benefiting Canadian cannabis companies listed on US exchanges. The move would formally recognize cannabis's medical value under federal law for the first time, marking a significant policy shift that could strengthen the Canadian dollar through increased cross-border cannabis sector investment flows. Canadian cannabis stocks have rallied in pre-market trading, with major producers seeing gains of 5-8%. The development adds to existing CAD support from stable oil prices near $71/barrel. Technical indicators show USD/CAD facing immediate resistance at 1.4380 (50-day moving average), with support established at 1.4320. A break below support could accelerate the pair's decline toward 1.4280, while any disappointment in the executive order details might see the pair recover toward 1.4400.
USDCAD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Finnhub
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