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AI-Enhanced Forex News Archive

Professional trading insights from Tuesday, December 9, 2025

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News Statistics for Tuesday, December 9, 2025

15
Total Articles
5
Bullish
3
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7
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Archive date: Tuesday, December 9, 2025

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Forexlive

USDINR Technicals: Sellers push the pair below the 100 hour MA and trend line support

USDINR slips below the 100-hour moving average, signaling early signs of weakening bullish momentum.Key support sits at the 89.7900 swing area, with sellers needing a break below to extend downside pressure.A move under the 200-hour moving average would mark a major shift, giving sellers clearer control for the first time since November 19.USDINR Slips as Momentum FadesThe USDINR is coming off the boil, slipping back below both the rising 100-hour moving average and a nearby trend line near...
USD
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

NZD/USD gains on AUD/USD rally after hawkish RBA stance

NZD/USD is trading 0.4% higher at 0.5835, benefiting from strength in AUD/USD which surged following the Reserve Bank of Australia's hawkish policy decision. The RBA maintained its cash rate at 4.35% but shifted to a more aggressive tone on inflation concerns, boosting risk sentiment across commodity currencies. The kiwi's advance has been choppy during US trading hours, encountering resistance near 0.5850. Technical indicators show the pair testing its 50-day moving average at 0.5840, with immediate support at 0.5810. The correlation between AUD/USD and NZD/USD remains strong at 0.85, suggesting further gains are possible if the aussie maintains momentum. Traders are monitoring upcoming New Zealand Q3 GDP data and any spillover effects from RBA's stance on RBNZ policy expectations. A sustained break above 0.5850 could target the November high at 0.5880.
NZDUSD AUDUSD
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

USDCAD rebounds from jobs-driven plunge, sellers emerge at resistance

USDCAD has recovered 0.4% (55 pips) to 1.4280 after Friday's sharp 1.2% decline triggered by Canada's surprisingly strong employment data. The pair plummeted following Canada's second consecutive month of better-than-expected job gains, with employment rising by 51,000 positions against forecasts of 25,000. This robust labor market performance has shifted market sentiment, reducing expectations for aggressive Bank of Canada rate cuts. Technical indicators show the pair finding resistance near 1.4315 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement), with sellers actively defending this level. The 50-day moving average at 1.4290 is providing immediate resistance, while support lies at 1.4220 (Friday's low). Traders are closely monitoring whether this rebound represents a dead-cat bounce or the start of a more sustained recovery. The strength of Canadian employment data suggests further downside risks for USDCAD if US data disappoints this week.
USDCAD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Finnhub
rttnews.com

Fed Fears Dominate Market Sentiment

Sentiment in global markets remains dominated by anxiety ahead of the looming monetary policy decision to be announced by the Federal Open Markets Committee on Wednesday.
USDCAD
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USDJPY and DAX present key trading setups ahead of risk events

USDJPY is consolidating near 150.50, showing indecision ahead of Wednesday's Federal Reserve decision and Friday's Bank of Japan meeting. The pair has formed a symmetrical triangle pattern on the 4-hour chart, suggesting an imminent breakout. Technical indicators point to resistance at 151.00 and support at 149.80, with momentum oscillators remaining neutral. The DAX index is testing crucial resistance at 20,000, supported by expectations of ECB rate cuts and improving German economic sentiment. GBPUSD remains range-bound between 1.2700-1.2750, while AUDUSD struggles below 0.6450 amid China concerns. Traders are positioning for potential volatility spikes as central bank decisions loom. A hawkish Fed could propel USDJPY toward 152.00, while dovish surprises might trigger a breakdown toward 149.00. Risk sentiment remains fragile, with safe-haven flows ready to accelerate on any policy disappointments.
USDJPY GBPUSD AUDUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

EURUSD coils below 1.0600 as Fed decision looms, 1.0700 breakout eyed

EURUSD is trading in a tight range near 1.0580, down 0.1% intraday, as markets await Wednesday's Federal Reserve policy decision. The pair has formed a bullish pennant pattern on the daily chart, suggesting potential for an upside breakout if the Fed delivers a dovish surprise. Current positioning shows the pair compressed between support at 1.0540 (200-day MA) and resistance at 1.0620 (descending trendline). Market participants are pricing in a 25 basis point Fed rate cut with 85% probability, but focus remains on forward guidance and dot plot projections. A dovish tilt acknowledging slowing inflation could trigger a surge toward 1.0700 and potentially the mentioned 1.1700 level longer-term. However, French political uncertainty continues to cap euro gains, with government stability concerns weighing on sentiment. Technical momentum indicators remain neutral, awaiting a catalyst for directional conviction.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

Fed hawkish cut risk weighs on majors, USDJPY and AUDUSD vulnerable

Major currency pairs are experiencing heightened volatility ahead of the Federal Reserve's anticipated rate decision, with markets increasingly concerned about a potential 'hawkish cut' scenario. EURUSD has dipped 0.2% to 1.0570, struggling below the 1.0600 resistance as traders position defensively. GBPUSD remains pressured at 1.2720, down 0.15%, amid UK growth concerns. USDJPY shows relative strength at 150.60, supported by rising US yields and safe-haven flows. AUDUSD continues to underperform at 0.6430, weighed by China's economic slowdown and commodity weakness. The Fed is expected to cut rates by 25 basis points, but hawkish rhetoric emphasizing pause thereafter could strengthen the dollar across the board. Market positioning suggests vulnerability in risk-sensitive pairs if the Fed signals fewer cuts in 2025 than currently priced. Technical levels show USDJPY targeting 151.50 on hawkish outcomes, while AUDUSD risks breaking below 0.6400 support.
EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY AUDUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

USD Strengthens as Trump Signals Tariff Changes, Fed Policy Shift

The US dollar index gained 0.2% following President-elect Trump's comments on potential tariff adjustments to combat inflation and his intention to prioritize immediate interest rate cuts when selecting the next Federal Reserve chair. Trump's policy signals suggest a more accommodative monetary stance ahead, which could initially weaken the dollar but may strengthen it if tariff policies effectively reduce import costs. His comments on Ukraine acknowledging Russia's stronger position and criticism of European handling added geopolitical uncertainty, supporting safe-haven dollar flows. The prospect of extended military operations in Latin America for anti-drug efforts could impact regional currencies, particularly the Mexican peso and Colombian peso. Technical indicators show USD index testing resistance at 106.50, with support at 105.80. Traders are positioning for increased volatility as Trump's policy framework becomes clearer, with particular focus on the intersection of tariff and monetary policy impacts on dollar strength.
USDMXN USDCOP
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Finnhub
forexcrunch.com

EURUSD upside limited by French political crisis and FOMC uncertainty

EURUSD is trading flat at 1.0575, constrained by renewed French political turmoil and pre-FOMC positioning. The pair briefly touched 1.0600 in early European trading before retreating as French government instability concerns resurfaced, with Prime Minister Barnier facing no-confidence votes. Short-term US Treasury yields have risen 3 basis points to 4.25%, providing additional support for the dollar. Technical analysis reveals strong resistance at 1.0620 (50-day MA) and 1.0650 (November high), while support holds at 1.0550 (ascending trendline). The pair remains trapped in a 100-pip range as traders await Wednesday's Federal Reserve decision. Market dynamics suggest limited upside potential unless the Fed delivers an unexpectedly dovish message. French political uncertainty adds another layer of euro weakness, with potential government collapse threatening fiscal stability. Momentum indicators show bearish divergence on the 4-hour chart, suggesting further consolidation or mild downside ahead.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
forexcrunch.com

GBP/USD holds steady near 1.2750 ahead of Fed decision

GBP/USD is trading in a narrow 20-pip range around 1.2750, showing limited volatility as markets await Wednesday's Federal Reserve policy decision. The pair has gained 0.2% this week, supported by broad dollar weakness and improving UK economic sentiment. Recent UK data showed services PMI at 53.4, maintaining expansion territory and reducing recession fears. Markets are pricing in a 75% probability of a 25bp Fed rate cut, which could provide additional upside for cable. Technical analysis shows strong support at 1.2700 (psychological level and 20-day moving average), while resistance sits at 1.2800. The pair's implied volatility has dropped to monthly lows, suggesting range-bound trading until the Fed announcement. Traders should watch for any hawkish surprises from the Fed that could trigger dollar strength and pressure sterling lower.
GBPUSD
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

EUR/USD edges higher as German trade surplus beats expectations

EUR/USD gained 0.1% to 1.0565 following Germany's stronger-than-expected October trade data, with the trade surplus expanding to €16.9 billion versus €15.6 billion forecast. The improvement was driven by resilient exports which rose 0.1% month-over-month against expectations of a 0.5% decline, while imports contracted 1.2%, more than the anticipated 0.5% drop. This marks a notable shift from September's robust 1.4% export growth and 3.1% import surge. Despite the positive surprise, the data is unlikely to alter the European Central Bank's monetary policy trajectory, with markets still pricing in potential rate cuts amid broader eurozone economic weakness. Technical resistance for EUR/USD remains at 1.0600, while support holds at 1.0500. The modest reaction suggests traders are awaiting more significant catalysts, including upcoming ECB policy meetings and US economic releases that could drive more substantial moves in the pair.
EURUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Finnhub
seekingalpha.com

AUD/USD Breaks Above 0.6605 on Technical Momentum Before RBA Decision

AUD/USD surged 0.8% to 0.6635 after breaking above the critical 0.6605 resistance level, confirming a major bullish trendline breakout ahead of Tuesday's Reserve Bank of Australia policy meeting. The pair's technical indicators strongly support further upside, with MACD showing firm positive momentum and RSI rebounding sharply from near-oversold conditions below 30 to current levels near 55. The breakout above the descending trendline that capped gains since October signals a potential trend reversal. Immediate resistance lies at 0.6680 (November high), while the 0.6605 breakout level now serves as key support. Market participants are positioning for a hawkish RBA stance, with inflation remaining elevated at 3.5% year-over-year, well above the central bank's 2-3% target range. A hold at 4.35% with hawkish forward guidance could propel AUD/USD toward 0.6700, while any dovish surprise might trigger a retest of 0.6605 support.
AUDUSD
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

USD/JPY under pressure as Japan signals FX intervention readiness

USD/JPY faces downward pressure as Japanese Prime Minister Takaichi signals readiness for foreign exchange intervention, emphasizing the government will take "appropriate actions if necessary." The yen has weakened significantly in recent sessions, prompting increased concern from Japanese officials despite expectations of an upcoming Bank of Japan rate hike. Takaichi stressed the importance of currency stability reflecting fundamentals and confirmed authorities are "watching market moves closely." The intervention rhetoric intensifies as USD/JPY trades near multi-month highs, with the 150.00 psychological level acting as a key resistance. Market participants now face heightened intervention risk above this threshold, potentially limiting further yen weakness. Technical indicators suggest immediate support at 148.50, while a break below could accelerate yen strength toward 147.00. Traders should monitor Japanese official comments and any unusual price action that might signal actual intervention, particularly during Asian trading hours.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Finnhub
investing.com

USD/JPY Tests 155.85 Resistance, Eyes Break Toward 156.20

USD/JPY advanced 0.4% to 155.85 during Asian trading, testing a key resistance level as dollar strength and yen weakness converge. The pair has gained over 250 pips from last week's 153.30 low, driven by widening US-Japan yield differentials with the 10-year spread expanding to 365 basis points. Technical momentum remains bullish, with the pair trading above all major moving averages and RSI at 68, approaching overbought territory. A decisive break above 155.85 would open the path to 156.20, the November peak, while failure to clear resistance could trigger a pullback to 155.00 support. Bank of Japan officials have remained notably quiet despite the yen's weakness, suggesting tolerance for current levels ahead of next week's policy meeting. Market positioning data shows speculative shorts in yen remain elevated, indicating potential for further USD/JPY gains if US economic data continues to support dollar strength.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux

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