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AI-Enhanced Forex News Archive

Professional trading insights from Monday, December 15, 2025

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News Statistics for Monday, December 15, 2025

13
Total Articles
2
Bullish
7
Bearish
4
Neutral

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Archive date: Monday, December 15, 2025

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Forexlive

USDJPY technical outlook: price slips then rebounds back into a neutral range

Early downside move tests key supportThe USDJPY moved lower during the Asia-Pacific session, briefly breaking below the 200-bar moving average on the 4-hour chart at 155.29. That downside probe echoed last Thursday’s price action, when the pair also slipped below the same moving average, only to quickly rotate higher.
USD JPY
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

XAU/USD rally intact: Scotiabank cites 6 bullish factors for gold continuation

XAU/USD has surged 64% year-to-date, trading near record highs above $2,650, with Scotiabank maintaining an Overweight stance on precious metals despite profit-taking pressures. The bank's analysis highlights six key factors supporting further gold appreciation: persistent central bank accumulation, ongoing geopolitical tensions, Federal Reserve rate cut expectations, structural dollar weakness, inflation hedge demand, and robust technical momentum. Silver has outperformed with gains approaching 128%, while gold mining equities have rallied 130%. Scotiabank analysts emphasize that the fundamental drivers remain intact, particularly with central banks diversifying reserves away from USD holdings. Technical indicators suggest strong support at $2,600, with potential upside targets near $2,800 if current momentum persists. The bullish outlook reflects broader market concerns about currency debasement and monetary policy uncertainty, positioning gold as a preferred safe-haven asset for forex traders hedging dollar exposure.
XAUUSD XAGUSD
Sentiment: Very Positive
Source: Finnhub
rttnews.com

Dollar Drops After Fed's Not - so - hawkish Cut

The six-currency Dollar Index which measures the U.S. dollar's strength against a basket of 6 currencies declined during the week ended December 12 amidst a widely expected rate cut and forward guidance by the Federal Reserve.
AUDUSD
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

JPY strengthens on rate hike expectations, USD/JPY drops below key support

The Japanese yen led gains among major currencies as USD/JPY fell 0.8% to 151.20, breaking below the 152.00 psychological support level. Better-than-expected Japanese wage data fueled speculation of a Bank of Japan rate hike at next week's policy meeting, with markets now pricing in a 65% probability of a 25-basis-point increase. Japan's November wage growth accelerated to 3.0% year-over-year, exceeding forecasts and supporting the BoJ's normalization path. Meanwhile, the dollar faced broad selling pressure as traders positioned ahead of this week's US Non-Farm Payrolls and CPI releases. Technical indicators show USD/JPY targeting the 150.50 support zone, with resistance now established at 152.50. The yen's strength extended across other pairs, with EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY also declining sharply. Traders should monitor upcoming BoJ communications for further directional cues.
USDJPY EURJPY GBPJPY
Sentiment: Very Negative
Source: Finnhub
investing.com

USD consolidates ahead of key data releases; volatility expected across majors

The US dollar entered a consolidation phase across major pairs, with DXY holding steady near 106.50 as markets await crucial economic data. This week's calendar features US Non-Farm Payrolls on Friday and CPI data, which could trigger sharp moves in currency markets. EUR/USD trades in a tight 1.0480-1.0520 range, with the ECB expected to maintain rates at Thursday's meeting. GBP/USD hovers around 1.2650, awaiting UK inflation and retail sales data that could influence Bank of England policy expectations. USD/JPY remains under pressure at 151.30 amid rising BoJ rate hike speculation, while USD/CHF tests support at 0.8850. Technical analysis suggests major pairs are coiling for breakout moves, with implied volatility rising ahead of the data-heavy week. Traders should prepare for potential range expansion as central bank divergence themes dominate market sentiment.
EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY USDCHF
Sentiment: Positive
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD/JPY: BoJ rate hike prospects drive yen rally as wage growth accelerates

USD/JPY declined 0.7% to 151.35 as strengthening Japanese wage momentum significantly increased the probability of a Bank of Japan rate hike at the December 19 meeting. November's wage data showed a robust 3.0% year-over-year increase, surpassing the 2.6% forecast and marking the highest growth rate in eight months. This development aligns with the BoJ's conditions for policy normalization, with Governor Ueda previously emphasizing the importance of sustained wage-price dynamics. Market pricing now reflects a 70% chance of a 25-basis-point hike next week, up from 40% a week ago. Technical analysis shows USD/JPY breaking below the 152.00 support level, with next targets at 150.80 and 150.00. The pair faces resistance at 152.50-153.00. Traders should monitor upcoming BoJ communications and Japan's December Tankan survey for additional policy clues.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Very Negative
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

GBP/USD vulnerable to repricing ahead of UK data and BoE decision

GBP/USD faces potential volatility around the 1.2650 level as markets prepare for a series of high-impact UK economic releases and the Bank of England's policy decision on Thursday. The pair has been trading in a 1.2600-1.2700 range, with sterling's direction dependent on upcoming UK CPI, retail sales, and employment data. Current market pricing suggests a 15% probability of a BoE rate cut, but weaker-than-expected inflation data could significantly increase dovish bets. November's CPI is forecast to rise to 2.6% from 2.3%, while retail sales are expected to show modest growth. Technical indicators show GBP/USD testing the 50-day moving average at 1.2645, with support at 1.2580 and resistance at 1.2720. A break below support could accelerate declines toward 1.2500, while stronger UK data might push the pair back above 1.2700.
GBPUSD
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

Yen gains momentum as USD/JPY drops ahead of crucial BoJ meeting

The Japanese yen strengthened significantly against the dollar, with USD/JPY falling 0.9% to 151.10 as traders positioned for a potential Bank of Japan policy shift. The decline accelerated after breaking below the 152.00 technical support level, reaching a two-week low. Market participants are increasingly confident about a December rate hike, with overnight index swaps pricing in a 68% probability of a 25-basis-point increase. Recent comments from BoJ board members have reinforced hawkish expectations, while improving wage dynamics and steady inflation provide the central bank with room to normalize policy. Technical analysis shows USD/JPY targeting the 150.50 support zone, with momentum indicators suggesting further downside potential. Resistance is now established at 152.00-152.50. The yen's appreciation extends beyond the dollar, with crosses like EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY also declining sharply.
USDJPY EURJPY GBPJPY
Sentiment: Very Negative
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

USD/JPY faces pressure as BoJ rate hike expectations intensify

USD/JPY has retreated to 151.20, down 0.4% (60 pips) as markets price in a potential Bank of Japan rate hike at the upcoming December meeting. Growing speculation about the BoJ ending its ultra-loose monetary policy has renewed focus on unwinding yen carry trades, which could trigger significant volatility. Japan's 10-year bond yields have risen to multi-year highs, reflecting changing rate expectations. The Nikkei 225 has declined 1.2% amid concerns about the impact on exporters. Technical indicators show USD/JPY approaching critical support at 150.80, with a break below potentially accelerating losses toward 149.50. Resistance sits at 152.00, coinciding with the 50-day moving average. Traders are closely monitoring BoJ Governor Ueda's comments and upcoming inflation data, which could determine whether the central bank moves away from negative rates, potentially strengthening the yen further against the dollar.
USDJPY
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
investing.com

AUD/USD struggles near 0.6650 amid weak Chinese economic data

AUD/USD remains under pressure at 0.6645, down 0.2% (15 pips) following disappointing Chinese economic indicators that dampened risk sentiment. China's November retail sales grew only 3.0% year-over-year, missing the 4.6% forecast, while industrial production rose 5.4%, below expectations of 5.8%. The weak data from Australia's largest trading partner has weighed heavily on the commodity-linked Aussie dollar. Fixed asset investment also disappointed at 3.3% versus 3.4% expected, raising concerns about China's economic recovery trajectory. Technical analysis shows AUD/USD facing immediate resistance at 0.6680, with strong support established at 0.6620. The pair's failure to break above the 0.6700 psychological level suggests continued bearish momentum. Traders await Tuesday's RBA meeting minutes and Thursday's Australian employment data, which could provide fresh directional catalysts for the currency pair amid China's economic headwinds.
AUDUSD
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Marketaux
forexcrunch.com

Tech rotation impacts dollar as AI sentiment shifts affect indices

Market sentiment shifts in technology stocks are creating ripple effects across forex markets, with the US Dollar Index fluctuating near 106.50 as investors reassess AI-driven equity valuations. The Nasdaq 100's 0.8% decline amid profit-taking in tech giants has prompted flows into safe-haven assets, benefiting gold which rose to $2,650/oz and silver advancing to $31.20/oz. The S&P 500's more modest 0.3% decline reflects broader market resilience outside tech sectors. This rotation has implications for dollar strength, as reduced risk appetite typically supports the greenback against higher-yielding currencies. However, concerns about overvaluation in US equities could limit dollar gains if international investors reduce exposure. Technical analysis shows DXY facing resistance at 107.00, with support at 106.20. The ongoing tech sector reassessment may continue influencing currency flows, particularly affecting risk-sensitive pairs as markets navigate year-end positioning adjustments.
DXY
Sentiment: Neutral
Source: Marketaux
Forexlive

EUR/CHF, USD/CHF await quiet European session with minor data releases

European markets face a light data calendar today, with only Swiss PPI and Eurozone Industrial Production scheduled for release. These low-tier indicators are unlikely to significantly impact currency movements or alter central bank policies. The Swiss National Bank held rates unchanged last week as expected, while slightly downgrading 2026-2027 inflation forecasts, suggesting a cautious outlook for the Swiss franc. EUR/CHF continues to trade near recent ranges around 0.9350, while USD/CHF hovers near 0.8850 levels. With no major economic catalysts, both pairs are expected to see limited volatility during the European session. Traders may look to position ahead of next week's more substantial data releases, including key inflation figures from both regions. Technical traders should monitor established support and resistance levels for potential range-bound trading opportunities in the absence of fundamental drivers.
EURCHF USDCHF
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Finnhub
Forexlive

USD/CNY rises as China retail sales miss, property crisis deepens

USD/CNY strengthened 0.4% to 7.2850 following disappointing Chinese economic data that reinforced concerns about the world's second-largest economy. November retail sales grew only 1.3% year-over-year, significantly below the 2.9% forecast, marking a sharp deceleration in consumer spending. Industrial production also underperformed at 4.8% versus expectations of 5.0%. Most concerning was the property sector, with investment plummeting 15.9% in the first 11 months of 2024, accelerating from the previous decline. This data suggests China's economic recovery remains fragile despite recent stimulus efforts by the People's Bank of China. The weak data is likely to pressure the PBOC to implement further monetary easing, potentially through rate cuts or liquidity injections. Technical indicators show USD/CNY approaching the 7.30 resistance level, with momentum indicators suggesting further yuan weakness if Chinese authorities don't intervene to support their currency.
USDCNY
Sentiment: Negative
Source: Finnhub
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